Why don't you get back into bed. "Reasons to be Cheerful, Part 3" - Ian Dury & the Blockheads
Memorial Hall (DE) · February 8, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CHST -5.5 Home covered
O/U 134.5 Under
Money DSU +200 / CHST -188
Model Predictions
Spread Total DSU win
Actual DSU +6 126 Won
Massey CHST -3.7 (+9.7) — —
Massey Totals — 134.3 (-8.3) —
Bradley-Terry — — 46% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 36% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CHST -2.8 (+8.8) 136.2 (-10.2) 34% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CHST -2.8 (+8.8) 138.5 (-12.5) 35% ✗
Baseline ML CHST -2.7 (+8.7) 140.2 (-14.2) 36% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CHST -2.5 (+8.5) 136.8 (-10.8) 32% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 1, 2023 DSU 76 – 69 CHST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings DSU CHST
Overall 6-24 11-20
Conference 4-10 0-0
Home 4-8 8-0
Away 2-14 3-20
Neutral 0-2 0-0
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L4 L2
Avg Pts For 63.1 66.5
Avg Pts Against 75.8 74.3
Massey -13.2 (#351) -5.8 (#273)
Bradley-Terry -2.01 (#338) -1.19 (#289)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.82 (#348) -1.50 (#284)
RPI 0.407 (#332) 0.447 (#283)
Shooting & Four Factors DSU CHST
FG% 41.2% 41.2%
3PT% 32.3% 32.2%
REB / G 33.8 34.2
OREB / G 10.6 11.6
AST / TO 0.70 0.77
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 46.1% 48.0%
TOV% 24.1% 21.2%
ORB% 30.6% 33.4%
FT Rate 18.7% 24.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.8% 51.6%
Opp TOV% 18.3% 16.7%
DRB% 68.0% 66.5%
Opp FT Rate 25.1% 25.8%

Game Analysis

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