Betting Lines
| Spread | CHST -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | CHST -150 DSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DSU +7 | 145 | Lost |
| Massey | CHST -5.1 (-12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.7 (+5.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CHST -1.2 (-8.2) | 140.6 (+4.4) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CHST -2.2 (-9.2) | 141.0 (+4.0) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CHST -2.3 (-9.3) | 141.3 (+3.7) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CHST -2.7 (-9.7) | 143.0 (+2.0) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 8, 2023 | DSU 66 – 60 CHST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHST | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 15-19 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 6-8 |
| Home | 6-5 | 7-5 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 71.4 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#331) | -9.3 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#337) | -2.11 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.31 (#342) | -3.22 (#321) |
| RPI | 0.334 (#347) | 0.391 (#317) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHST | DSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.4% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 27.7% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 43.7% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 33.4% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 66.8% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.3% | 29.1% |
Game Analysis
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