Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | NICH -230 USA +195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USA +6 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -31.0 (-37.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.1 (-23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -15.9 (-21.9) | 147.7 (-13.7) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -13.3 (-19.3) | 147.5 (-13.5) | 85% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 17, 2023 | NICH 102 – 97 USA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | USA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-4 | 13-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.7 | 65.5 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#86) | -11.4 (#290) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.38 (#205) | -3.55 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.45 (#177) | -4.94 (#295) |
| RPI | — | 0.000 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | USA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 40.5% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 49.0 | 27.0 |
| OREB / G | 14.0 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 55.7% |
| TOV% | 20.6% | 22.2% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 25.8% |
| FT Rate | 12.5% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.6% | 58.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 9.3% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.2% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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