That man could give a fuck about the grin on your face as you walk by randy as a goat. "Never Say Never" - Romeo Void
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 28, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -2.5 Home covered
O/U 142.5 Over
Money RMU -154 / DETM +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +8 162 Won
Massey RMU -2.3 (+5.7) — —
Massey Totals — 144.2 (+17.8) —
Bradley-Terry — — 60% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 59% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -0.6 (+7.4) 146.0 (+16.0) 59% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ DETM -0.7 (+8.7) 146.0 (+16.0) 50% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -1.4 (+6.6) 146.3 (+15.7) 59% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -1.0 (+7.0) 147.8 (+14.2) 56% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 10, 2026 DETM 70 – 64 RMU
Feb 26, 2026 RMU 73 – 62 DETM
Jan 3, 2026 RMU 85 – 77 DETM
Feb 6, 2025 RMU 71 – 56 DETM
Jan 3, 2025 DETM 78 – 76 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU DETM
Overall 16-17 14-19
Conference 10-10 9-11
Home 11-4 9-5
Away 5-10 5-13
Neutral 0-3 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 67.5 76.1
Avg Pts Against 67.7 75.7
Massey -3.9 (#238) -2.7 (#227)
Bradley-Terry -1.17 (#286) -0.94 (#270)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.10 (#265) -0.72 (#230)
RPI 0.435 (#295) 0.452 (#270)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU DETM
FG% 42.9% 42.7%
3PT% 32.3% 38.7%
REB / G 34.0 35.2
OREB / G 9.8 12.2
AST / TO 0.98 1.01
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 48.6% 51.1%
TOV% 19.7% 17.1%
ORB% 28.3% 33.2%
FT Rate 18.6% 19.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 49.4% 53.3%
Opp TOV% 18.8% 16.4%
DRB% 71.6% 67.6%
Opp FT Rate 23.3% 22.2%

Game Analysis

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