Don't talk to me about your big, big heroes "Kelly's Heroes" - Black Grape
Big East Conference · CHI Health Center Omaha · January 4, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread CREI -8.5 Home covered
O/U 133.5 Over
Money CREI -450 / HALL +310
Model Predictions
Spread Total CREI win
Actual CREI +22 144 Won
Massey CREI -8.8 (+13.2) — —
Massey Totals — 135.8 (+8.2) —
Bradley-Terry — — 76% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 87% ✓
Baseline Plus ML CREI -6.4 (+15.6) 140.4 (+3.6) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CREI -8.1 (+13.9) 142.2 (+1.8) 81% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML CREI -6.8 (+15.2) 140.8 (+3.2) 76% ✓
Baseline ML CREI -5.9 (+16.1) 141.7 (+2.3) 76% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Mar 12, 2026 HALL 72 – 61 CREI
Feb 7, 2026 CREI 69 – 68 HALL
Jan 4, 2026 HALL 56 – 54 CREI
Mar 5, 2025 CREI 79 – 61 HALL
Jan 25, 2025 CREI 79 – 54 HALL

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CREI HALL
Overall 24-13 17-16
Conference 14-6 10-10
Home 13-2 10-6
Away 5-6 6-7
Neutral 6-5 1-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L2
Avg Pts For 76.4 67.9
Avg Pts Against 68.4 65.4
Massey 12.5 (#25) 8.0 (#69)
Bradley-Terry 1.23 (#77) 0.82 (#102)
W. Bradley-Terry 1.80 (#72) 0.80 (#110)
RPI 0.583 (#52) 0.565 (#67)
Shooting & Four Factors CREI HALL
FG% 46.9% 43.8%
3PT% 35.9% 30.8%
REB / G 37.4 36.6
OREB / G 8.1 11.1
AST / TO 1.38 0.83
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 54.7% 49.3%
TOV% 16.7% 21.8%
ORB% 24.1% 32.2%
FT Rate 19.6% 30.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 48.1% 45.5%
Opp TOV% 15.6% 20.5%
DRB% 78.2% 70.1%
Opp FT Rate 10.7% 22.7%

Game Analysis

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