Betting Lines
| Spread | BRAD -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | BRAD -135 SF +115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRAD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BRAD +2 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | BRAD -0.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.6 (-13.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BRAD -3.0 (-1.0) | 138.1 (-8.1) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BRAD -3.8 (-1.8) | 141.3 (-11.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BRAD -3.7 (-1.7) | 142.4 (-12.4) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BRAD -4.1 (-2.1) | 140.9 (-10.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 16, 2025 | SF 75 – 64 BRAD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRAD | SF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-9 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 13-5 |
| Home | 14-4 | 17-2 |
| Away | 9-3 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.4 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.3 | 69.6 |
| Massey | 7.4 (#78) | 10.7 (#51) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.85 (#57) | 2.01 (#46) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.24 (#64) | 2.66 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.589 (#46) | 0.587 (#49) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRAD | SF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.9% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 45.4% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.3% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 25.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 45.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 21.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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