Betting Lines
| Spread | JOES -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | JOES -900 AMER +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JOES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JOES +27 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | JOES -11.7 (+15.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.3 (-0.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JOES -10.0 (+17.0) | 141.7 (-0.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JOES -10.9 (+16.1) | 143.2 (-2.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JOES -10.0 (+17.0) | 141.5 (-0.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JOES -12.4 (+14.6) | 142.8 (-1.8) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2023 | JOES 69 – 53 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JOES | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 13-5 |
| Home | 13-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 67.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 68.5 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#121) | -5.0 (#257) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#144) | 0.32 (#146) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#151) | 0.17 (#155) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#137) | 0.532 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JOES | AMER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.41 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.7% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.9% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 30.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.