Betting Lines
| Spread | QUC -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Under |
| Money | QUC -115 MER -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | QUC +7 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | QUC -2.6 (+4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-21.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | QUC -1.8 (+5.2) | 155.9 (-16.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | QUC -2.2 (+4.8) | 154.6 (-15.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | QUC -2.2 (+4.8) | 153.0 (-14.0) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | QUC -1.1 (+5.9) | 154.8 (-15.8) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2023 | MER 84 – 65 QUC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUC | MER |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 7-6 |
| Away | 9-9 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.3 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#286) | -5.1 (#258) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.50 (#220) | -0.28 (#198) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#242) | -0.97 (#238) |
| RPI | 0.464 (#240) | 0.463 (#244) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUC | MER |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 64.8% | 69.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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