Betting Lines
| Spread | TAR -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | TAR -300 WEB +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | TAR -19.7 (-9.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (-3.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TAR -13.8 (-3.8) | 143.3 (-3.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TAR -11.1 (-1.1) | 138.8 (+1.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TAR -13.4 (-3.4) | 141.6 (-1.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TAR -14.7 (-4.7) | 142.7 (-2.7) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2021 | WEB 94 – 79 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 13-2 | 8-4 |
| Away | 2-12 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 66.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 6.0 (#72) | -7.3 (#300) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#87) | -0.36 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.06 (#82) | -0.41 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.640 (#37) | 0.485 (#198) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 38.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 28.1% |
| REB / G | 31.2 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.67 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 21.3% |
| FT Rate | 36.5% | 31.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 61.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.7% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 66.7% | 80.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.9% | 15.6% |
Game Analysis
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