Betting Lines
| Spread | BING -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | BING -260 MERC +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BING win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BING +2 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | BING -8.8 (-6.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BING -4.5 (-2.5) | 130.6 (-8.6) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BING -6.1 (-4.1) | 137.0 (-15.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BING -6.8 (-4.8) | 135.6 (-13.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BING -5.1 (-3.1) | 133.6 (-11.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2025 | MERC 82 – 61 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BING | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-4 | 11-2 |
| Away | 5-12 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | W2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 71.8 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#291) | -12.0 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#252) | -1.61 (#306) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.63 (#272) | -2.47 (#316) |
| RPI | 0.452 (#266) | 0.446 (#273) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BING | MERC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 38.3% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 24.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 21.9% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 25.1% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.6% | 58.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.4% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 60.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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