Betting Lines
| Spread | ULM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ULM -185 HCU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ULM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HCU +6 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | ULM -4.7 (-10.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.3 (+7.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 76% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ULM -2.9 (-8.9) | 135.8 (+6.2) | 50% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ULM -3.5 (-9.5) | 134.9 (+7.1) | 54% ✗ |
| Model 3 ML | ULM -3.1 (-9.1) | 137.0 (+5.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ULM -3.6 (-9.6) | 135.4 (+6.6) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 14, 2025 | HCU 72 – 61 ULM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ULM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 9-11 |
| Home | 5-11 | 8-7 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.1 | 64.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.9 | 69.9 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#335) | -11.2 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#339) | -2.81 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#341) | -3.45 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#351) | 0.364 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ULM | HCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.6% | 40.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.5% | 28.7% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 28.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 31.0% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 22.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.9% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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