Betting Lines
| Spread | DUKE -33.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUKE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DUKE +42 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | DUKE -26.5 (+15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+14.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DUKE -17.4 (+24.6) | 148.7 (+9.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DUKE -17.5 (+24.5) | 141.8 (+16.2) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 12, 2025 | DUKE 114 – 59 ARMY |
| Nov 13, 2021 | DUKE 82 – 56 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUKE | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 19-1 | 10-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 12-4 |
| Away | 10-1 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 8-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-0 | 1-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.2 | 71.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 76.5 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#47) | -3.3 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#52) | 0.31 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.46 (#53) | 0.37 (#112) |
| RPI | — | — |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUKE | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.6% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.9% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 40.0 | 41.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.31 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 64.3% | 49.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 36.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 39.5% | 40.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 13.3% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 78.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.8% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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