Betting Lines
| Spread | ISU -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | ISU -1600 SDST +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ISU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ISU +17 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | ISU -18.3 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+8.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ISU -17.3 (-0.3) | 135.5 (+11.5) | 90% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | ISU -16.0 (+1.0) | 135.5 (+11.5) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | ISU -17.3 (-0.3) | 135.1 (+11.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ISU -17.7 (-0.7) | 135.4 (+11.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2020 | SDST 71 – 68 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ISU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-8 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 12-4 |
| Home | 18-0 | 11-3 |
| Away | 5-5 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 5-5 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.5 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 20.2 (#6) | 1.9 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.96 (#4) | 0.11 (#160) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.53 (#7) | 0.19 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#20) | 0.524 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ISU | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 48.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 55.3% |
| TOV% | 15.6% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.8% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 74.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 20.4% |
Game Analysis
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