What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Smith-Hammond-Middleton Memorial Center · December 10, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread SCST -1.5 Home covered
O/U 144.5 Over
Money SCST -140 / CHSO +115
Model Predictions
Spread Total SCST win
Actual SCST +19 145 Won
Massey SCST -4.1 (+14.9)
Massey Totals 142.9 (+2.1)
Bradley-Terry 73%
Weighted B-T 81%
Efficiency Plus ML SCST -3.1 (+15.9) 140.7 (+4.3) 64%
Baseline Tuned ML SCST -4.0 (+15.0) 141.7 (+3.3) 63%
Baseline ML SCST -3.9 (+15.1) 142.2 (+2.8) 65%
Baseline Plus ML SCST -3.8 (+15.2) 142.2 (+2.8) 63%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 9, 2025 CHSO 8444 SCST
Dec 2, 2023 CHSO 6664 SCST
Dec 21, 2021 SCST 7565 CHSO

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SCST CHSO
Overall 20-13 10-22
Conference 11-3 6-10
Home 10-2 7-5
Away 7-10 3-14
Neutral 3-1 0-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L5
Avg Pts For 76.0 70.1
Avg Pts Against 71.5 78.8
Massey -6.8 (#291) -6.5 (#286)
Bradley-Terry -1.47 (#297) -1.65 (#307)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.06 (#291) -2.60 (#316)
RPI 0.424 (#298) 0.444 (#271)
Shooting & Four Factors SCST CHSO
FG% 42.0% 42.7%
3PT% 32.4% 32.1%
REB / G 33.9 36.2
OREB / G 11.8 11.8
AST / TO 0.93 0.95
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.3% 49.2%
TOV% 20.0% 19.5%
ORB% 31.8% 30.9%
FT Rate 24.0% 20.6%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 52.5% 55.4%
Opp TOV% 21.0% 13.5%
DRB% 65.8% 73.3%
Opp FT Rate 30.7% 20.1%

Game Analysis

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