Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
Mid-American Conference · McGuirk Arena · January 13, 2024
Betting Lines
Spread KENT -7.5 Home covered
O/U 141.5 Under
Money CMU +300 / KENT -300
Model Predictions
Spread Total CMU win
Actual CMU +15 139 Won
Massey KENT -7.2 (+22.2)
Massey Totals 149.1 (-10.1)
Bradley-Terry 56%
Weighted B-T 44%
Efficiency Plus ML KENT -7.3 (+22.3) 139.9 (-0.9) 24%
Baseline Tuned ML KENT -5.1 (+20.1) 142.8 (-3.8) 33%
Baseline ML KENT -5.7 (+20.7) 143.2 (-4.2) 30%
Baseline Plus ML KENT -5.8 (+20.8) 143.4 (-4.4) 32%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 25, 2026 KENT 8381 CMU
Jan 10, 2026 CMU 8785 KENT
Feb 12, 2025 KENT 9183 CMU
Mar 2, 2024 KENT 7973 CMU
Feb 1, 2023 KENT 8169 CMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CMU KENT
Overall 18-14 17-17
Conference 12-6 8-10
Home 10-3 9-6
Away 7-9 4-9
Neutral 1-2 4-2
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 65.7 73.8
Avg Pts Against 70.2 72.0
Massey -10.8 (#328) 0.4 (#160)
Bradley-Terry -0.77 (#249) -0.23 (#200)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.31 (#273) -0.22 (#199)
RPI 0.462 (#245) 0.503 (#167)
Shooting & Four Factors CMU KENT
FG% 42.0% 44.6%
3PT% 32.2% 36.0%
REB / G 32.1 34.6
OREB / G 10.4 10.7
AST / TO 0.84 0.96
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.5% 51.2%
TOV% 19.6% 19.2%
ORB% 28.7% 30.8%
FT Rate 17.1% 28.3%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 52.4%
Opp TOV% 19.1% 19.8%
DRB% 68.6% 70.2%
Opp FT Rate 26.0% 25.0%

Game Analysis

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