Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | OMA +160 MTST -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTST +11 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -4.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -2.8 (-8.2) | 142.6 (-1.6) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -3.3 (-7.7) | 142.5 (-1.5) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -3.3 (-7.7) | 140.9 (+0.1) | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -4.0 (-7.0) | 140.8 (+0.2) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2022 | MTST 82 – 54 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 70.7 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#293) | 2.5 (#128) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#323) | -1.03 (#267) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#336) | -0.48 (#200) |
| RPI | 0.384 (#331) | 0.462 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | MTST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 37.6% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 24.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 73.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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