Betting Lines
| Spread | SBU -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | BUCK +290 SBU -380 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BUCK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SBU +17 | 111 | Lost |
| Massey | SBU -6.4 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-31.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 6% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SBU -5.2 (-11.8) | 138.7 (-27.7) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SBU -3.8 (-13.2) | 137.8 (-26.8) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SBU -4.5 (-12.5) | 137.4 (-26.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SBU -7.3 (-9.7) | 137.7 (-26.7) | 25% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 23, 2023 | SBU 67 – 61 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BUCK | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-10 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#213) | 8.6 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.06 (#177) | 2.45 (#34) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#173) | 3.56 (#40) |
| RPI | 0.506 (#156) | 0.595 (#50) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BUCK | SBU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 47.4% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 53.6% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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