Betting Lines
| Spread | UVM -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Over |
| Money | BRWN +150 UVM -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BRWN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UVM +1 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | UVM -3.4 (+2.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+5.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVM -3.2 (+2.2) | 135.5 (+5.5) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVM -2.8 (+1.8) | 135.6 (+5.4) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UVM -2.7 (+1.7) | 135.3 (+5.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVM -3.0 (+2.0) | 134.0 (+7.0) | 39% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 9, 2025 | UVM 89 – 84 BRWN |
| Dec 4, 2024 | BRWN 60 – 53 UVM |
| Nov 8, 2022 | UVM 80 – 65 BRWN |
| Dec 11, 2021 | UVM 70 – 65 BRWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BRWN | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 28-7 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 15-1 |
| Home | 5-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 63.8 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#270) | 2.5 (#130) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.84 (#318) | 0.92 (#98) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.81 (#297) | 1.11 (#103) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#334) | 0.532 (#123) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BRWN | UVM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.3% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 53.5% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 31.3% | 23.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 17.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 74.2% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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