Betting Lines
| Spread | LT -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
| Money | LT -1000 SELA +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LT +29 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | LT -21.7 (+7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.0 (+23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LT -16.3 (+12.7) | 132.2 (+16.8) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LT -16.2 (+12.8) | 130.6 (+18.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LT -17.6 (+11.4) | 128.6 (+20.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LT -18.5 (+10.5) | 128.7 (+20.3) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 10, 2020 | LT 78 – 69 SELA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LT | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 14-2 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-7 | 6-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 8.1 (#57) | -8.7 (#314) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.45 (#25) | -3.25 (#354) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#27) | -3.92 (#344) |
| RPI | 0.632 (#23) | 0.367 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LT | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 37.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 29.0% |
| REB / G | 39.9 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 42.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 32.9% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 33.7% | 25.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 42.7% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 65.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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