Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -235 USF +192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +19 | 145 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -15.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -12.0 (+7.0) | 147.4 (-2.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.5 (+7.5) | 143.4 (+1.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -13.2 (+5.8) | 144.2 (+0.8) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -11.4 (+7.6) | 148.6 (-3.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 20, 2022 | USF 77 – 70 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | USF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 25-8 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 16-2 |
| Home | 11-2 | 15-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 8-4 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 69.3 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#63) | -1.6 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.35 (#78) | -2.19 (#323) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.66 (#56) | -2.80 (#310) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#79) | 0.328 (#352) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | USF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 22.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.5 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 45.6% |
| TOV% | 16.9% | 15.3% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 29.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 73.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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