Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
Moody Center · December 1, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread TEX -20.0 Away covered
O/U 136.5 Under
Money TEX -2400 / TXST +1150
Model Predictions
Spread Total TEX win
Actual TEX +19 135 Won
Massey TEX -14.4 (+4.6) — —
Massey Totals — 132.0 (+3.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 93% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 98% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ TEX -14.3 (+4.7) 134.0 (+1.0) 87% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML TEX -13.4 (+5.6) 136.1 (-1.1) 86% ✓
Baseline ML TEX -13.2 (+5.8) 135.6 (-0.6) 86% ✓
Baseline Plus ML TEX -14.0 (+5.0) 136.2 (-1.2) 86% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 10, 2020 TEX 74 – 53 TXST

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings TEX TXST
Overall 21-13 17-18
Conference 9-9 7-11
Home 14-4 9-4
Away 4-6 5-11
Neutral 3-3 3-3
Last 5 4-1 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 75.4 67.5
Avg Pts Against 68.9 70.5
Massey 7.3 (#64) -0.9 (#189)
Bradley-Terry 1.55 (#67) 0.16 (#172)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.40 (#65) 0.18 (#181)
RPI 0.584 (#69) 0.496 (#181)
Shooting & Four Factors TEX TXST
FG% 51.4% 40.7%
3PT% 38.1% 25.7%
REB / G 37.0 38.6
OREB / G 10.2 13.9
AST / TO 1.38 0.81
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 57.8% 44.2%
TOV% 17.6% 20.3%
ORB% 31.6% 36.1%
FT Rate 23.4% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.7% 48.2%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 18.4%
DRB% 70.6% 72.1%
Opp FT Rate 28.1% 35.6%

Game Analysis

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