Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | NKU -650 BELL +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +16 | 156 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -9.6 (+6.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -6.0 (+10.0) | 133.2 (+22.8) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -4.3 (+11.7) | 134.4 (+21.6) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -4.4 (+11.6) | 135.1 (+20.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -4.0 (+12.0) | 133.4 (+22.6) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 13, 2025 | NKU 80 – 76 BELL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-16 |
| Home | 12-6 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-10 | 0-16 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.6 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 81.3 |
| Massey | -4.3 (#242) | -8.2 (#312) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.86 (#361) | -2.94 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.38 (#357) | -3.84 (#337) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#242) | 0.366 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | BELL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.5% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 25.2% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 28.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.6% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 21.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 56.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 72.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.8% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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