Betting Lines
| Spread | MTST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | MTST -210 CSUN +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CSUN +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | MTST -0.9 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.6 (-15.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTST -1.5 (-4.5) | 153.1 (-12.1) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MTST -1.8 (-4.8) | 152.2 (-11.2) | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTST -1.5 (-4.5) | 149.2 (-8.2) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTST -0.7 (-3.7) | 149.3 (-8.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 22, 2023 | CSUN 82 – 70 MTST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTST | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 14-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-14 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 79.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 74.3 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#120) | 7.6 (#71) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.07 (#271) | 1.31 (#77) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#225) | 1.86 (#85) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#225) | 0.496 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTST | CSUN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 39.1% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 31.5 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 52.7% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.4% | 32.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.5% | 41.9% |
Game Analysis
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