Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE +125 UNF -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UNF +5 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -2.4 (-7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 77% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -2.5 (-7.5) | 150.5 (+0.5) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -2.8 (-7.8) | 146.5 (+4.5) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -2.1 (-7.1) | 147.5 (+3.5) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -1.9 (-6.9) | 148.1 (+2.9) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 3, 2025 | SIUE 72 – 63 UNF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 8-10 |
| Home | 12-3 | 8-6 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-10 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 85.7 |
| Massey | -0.7 (#179) | 2.6 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#158) | 0.55 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#194) | -0.19 (#191) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#194) | 0.516 (#145) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | UNF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 37.7 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.39 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 54.5% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 12.7% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 30.1% |
| FT Rate | 12.0% | 14.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 67.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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