I have got the sharpest knife, so I get the biggest slice. "Revolution Rock" - The Clash

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 30.4% max 72.3% mean 53.6% std 8.8% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team True Shooting Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Texas 72.3% +2.12 100 1
2 Missouri 71.6% +2.04 100 1
3 George Washington 71.5% +2.04 99 1
4 San José State 71.5% +2.03 99 1
5 St. Thomas 71.3% +2.02 99 1
6 Mississippi State 70.5% +1.92 98 1
7 Richmond 70.4% +1.92 98 1
8 New Mexico 70.0% +1.87 97 1
9 Grambling 69.8% +1.84 97 1
10 Colorado 69.6% +1.82 97 1
11 Vanderbilt 69.5% +1.81 96 1
12 Wright State 68.9% +1.75 96 1
13 USC 68.4% +1.69 96 1
14 Saint Louis 67.8% +1.62 95 1
15 Nebraska 67.7% +1.60 95 1
16 Northwestern 67.3% +1.56 95 1
17 BYU 67.3% +1.56 94 1
18 SMU 66.4% +1.46 94 1
19 Illinois 66.2% +1.44 94 1
20 Rhode Island 66.1% +1.42 93 1
21 Ohio 65.6% +1.37 93 1
22 Colorado State 65.2% +1.32 92 1
23 Kentucky 65.2% +1.32 92 1
24 McNeese 65.0% +1.30 92 1
25 Oregon 64.9% +1.29 91 1
26 Utah State 64.9% +1.28 91 1
27 Northern Arizona 64.8% +1.28 91 1
28 Clemson 64.8% +1.27 90 1
29 Davidson 64.7% +1.27 90 1
30 Michigan State 64.6% +1.25 90 1
31 NC State 64.3% +1.22 89 1
32 Florida State 64.3% +1.21 89 1
33 Queens University 64.1% +1.19 88 1
34 Kansas 64.0% +1.18 88 1
35 Northern Kentucky 64.0% +1.18 88 1
36 Butler 63.9% +1.18 87 1
37 Elon 63.9% +1.18 87 1
38 Charlotte 63.9% +1.17 87 1
39 Marshall 63.9% +1.17 86 1
40 West Virginia 63.7% +1.15 86 1
41 Boston University 63.5% +1.12 86 1
42 Winthrop 63.5% +1.12 85 1
43 North Alabama 63.4% +1.12 85 1
44 Washington 63.3% +1.10 84 1
45 Arkansas 63.1% +1.08 84 1
46 UCF 63.1% +1.08 84 1
47 Houston 63.0% +1.07 83 1
48 Ole Miss 63.0% +1.07 83 1
49 Ohio State 62.9% +1.05 83 1
50 Oregon State 62.8% +1.05 82 1
51 Stanford 62.6% +1.03 82 1
52 Cornell 62.5% +1.02 82 1
53 Virginia Tech 62.5% +1.02 81 1
54 Minnesota 62.3% +0.99 81 1
55 Louisiana Tech 62.3% +0.99 81 1
56 Pittsburgh 62.2% +0.98 80 1
57 Indiana 62.2% +0.97 80 1
58 Murray State 62.0% +0.96 79 1
59 Tennessee 62.0% +0.95 79 1
60 Florida Gulf Coast 61.8% +0.94 79 1
61 Northern Illinois 61.7% +0.93 78 1
62 Illinois State 61.7% +0.92 78 1
63 Penn State 61.6% +0.91 78 1
64 Akron 61.6% +0.91 77 1
65 Santa Clara 61.4% +0.89 77 1
66 Grand Canyon 61.0% +0.84 77 1
67 Northeastern 60.8% +0.82 76 1
68 UT Martin 60.7% +0.81 76 1
69 San Diego State 60.6% +0.80 75 1
70 Duquesne 60.5% +0.78 75 1
71 Boston College 60.4% +0.78 75 1
72 East Carolina 60.3% +0.76 74 1
73 Wake Forest 60.3% +0.76 74 1
74 UConn 60.2% +0.75 74 1
75 Hawai'i 60.2% +0.75 73 1
76 UAB 59.8% +0.70 73 1
77 TCU 59.7% +0.70 73 1
78 Furman 59.6% +0.69 72 1
79 Villanova 59.5% +0.67 72 1
80 Dayton 59.4% +0.66 71 1
81 Central Arkansas 59.0% +0.62 71 1
82 South Carolina 59.0% +0.62 71 1
83 Belmont 59.0% +0.61 70 1
84 Xavier 58.9% +0.60 70 1
85 Duke 58.9% +0.60 70 1
86 Central Michigan 58.8% +0.60 69 1
87 Seattle U 58.8% +0.59 69 1
88 Virginia 58.5% +0.56 69 1
89 LSU 58.5% +0.56 68 1
90 UNLV 58.4% +0.55 68 1
91 Tennessee Tech 58.3% +0.53 68 1
92 South Florida 58.0% +0.50 67 1
93 Oklahoma State 57.8% +0.47 67 1
94 High Point 57.4% +0.44 66 1
95 Arizona State 57.4% +0.43 66 1
96 South Alabama 57.2% +0.41 66 1
97 Texas A&M 57.2% +0.41 65 1
98 Alabama 57.1% +0.40 65 1
99 Tulane 56.9% +0.38 65 1
100 Texas State 56.8% +0.37 64 1
101 Valparaiso 56.8% +0.37 64 1
102 Southeast Missouri State 56.8% +0.36 64 1
103 Memphis 56.6% +0.34 63 1
104 Miami (OH) 56.5% +0.33 63 1
105 Bowling Green 56.4% +0.32 62 1
106 Gonzaga 56.4% +0.32 62 1
107 Georgetown 56.3% +0.31 62 1
108 Bucknell 56.2% +0.29 61 1
109 Saint Mary's 56.0% +0.27 61 1
110 North Carolina 55.8% +0.26 61 1
111 South Carolina Upstate 55.7% +0.24 60 1
112 Seton Hall 55.6% +0.22 60 1
113 Purdue 55.4% +0.21 60 1
114 Maryland 55.3% +0.20 59 1
115 Florida 55.3% +0.19 59 1
116 Baylor 55.2% +0.19 58 1
117 Kansas City 55.1% +0.18 58 1
118 Chattanooga 55.0% +0.16 58 1
119 Utah 55.0% +0.16 57 1
120 Denver 54.9% +0.14 57 1
121 VCU 54.8% +0.14 57 1
122 Western Kentucky 54.5% +0.11 56 1
123 Texas Tech 54.5% +0.10 56 1
124 Nevada 54.5% +0.10 56 1
125 Southern 54.4% +0.10 55 1
126 Creighton 54.3% +0.09 55 1
127 Presbyterian 54.3% +0.08 55 1
128 North Florida 54.2% +0.06 54 1
129 Stetson 53.9% +0.04 54 2
130 Marquette 53.9% +0.04 53 1
131 Providence 53.9% +0.03 53 1
132 Radford 53.8% +0.03 53 1
133 East Texas A&M 53.8% +0.03 52 1
134 South Dakota State 53.8% +0.03 52 1
135 Kansas State 53.6% +0.00 52 1
136 Pepperdine 53.6% +0.00 51 1
137 Dartmouth 53.6% -0.00 51 1
138 East Tennessee State 53.5% -0.01 51 1
139 UTSA 53.5% -0.01 50 1
140 Eastern Illinois 53.4% -0.02 50 1
141 UNC Asheville 53.4% -0.02 49 1
142 Columbia 53.4% -0.02 49 1
143 DePaul 53.4% -0.02 49 1
144 Montana 53.4% -0.03 48 1
145 Bethune-Cookman 53.4% -0.03 48 1
146 Temple 53.3% -0.03 48 1
147 Georgia 53.2% -0.04 47 1
148 Purdue Fort Wayne 53.2% -0.04 47 1
149 Eastern Michigan 53.2% -0.05 47 1
150 Marist 53.1% -0.05 46 1
151 App State 52.9% -0.07 46 1
152 Montana State 52.8% -0.09 45 1
153 St. John's 52.8% -0.09 45 1
154 UC Davis 52.6% -0.11 45 1
155 Iowa 52.6% -0.12 44 1
156 Indiana State 52.5% -0.13 44 1
157 Georgia State 52.4% -0.14 44 1
158 Louisville 52.3% -0.15 43 1
159 George Mason 52.3% -0.15 43 1
160 Little Rock 52.2% -0.16 43 1
161 Michigan 52.2% -0.16 42 1
162 Incarnate Word 52.0% -0.18 42 1
163 Bryant 52.0% -0.18 42 1
164 Iowa State 51.9% -0.19 41 1
165 Loyola Chicago 51.9% -0.19 41 1
166 San Francisco 51.6% -0.22 40 1
167 Lipscomb 51.6% -0.22 40 2
168 Le Moyne 51.5% -0.24 40 1
169 Youngstown State 51.3% -0.26 39 1
170 Long Beach State 51.2% -0.27 39 1
171 Colgate 51.1% -0.28 39 1
172 Coastal Carolina 51.0% -0.29 38 1
173 Sam Houston 51.0% -0.30 38 1
174 Cincinnati 50.9% -0.30 38 1
175 Eastern Washington 50.8% -0.32 37 1
176 Syracuse 50.8% -0.32 37 1
177 Binghamton 50.7% -0.32 36 1
178 St. Bonaventure 50.7% -0.32 36 1
179 UCLA 50.7% -0.33 36 1
180 Texas Southern 50.6% -0.33 35 1
181 Arizona 50.5% -0.35 35 1
182 Monmouth 50.3% -0.38 35 1
183 Western Carolina 50.1% -0.39 34 1
184 Florida A&M 49.9% -0.42 34 1
185 New Haven 49.8% -0.43 34 1
186 Maine 49.7% -0.44 33 1
187 Wisconsin 49.6% -0.45 33 1
188 James Madison 49.6% -0.45 32 1
189 UL Monroe 49.5% -0.46 32 1
190 Massachusetts 49.2% -0.50 32 1
191 Old Dominion 49.1% -0.51 31 1
192 Niagara 49.0% -0.52 31 1
193 New Hampshire 49.0% -0.52 31 1
194 Drexel 48.9% -0.53 30 1
195 Brown 48.5% -0.57 30 1
196 Cal State Fullerton 48.5% -0.58 30 1
197 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 48.4% -0.59 29 1
198 Yale 48.4% -0.59 29 1
199 Florida Atlantic 48.2% -0.61 29 1
200 Notre Dame 48.1% -0.62 28 1
201 Alcorn State 47.9% -0.65 28 1
202 Georgia Southern 47.8% -0.66 27 1
203 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 47.7% -0.67 27 1
204 Oklahoma 47.6% -0.68 27 1
205 The Citadel 47.6% -0.68 26 1
206 Georgia Tech 47.5% -0.69 26 1
207 Siena 47.3% -0.71 26 1
208 Lehigh 47.3% -0.71 25 1
209 Maryland Eastern Shore 47.2% -0.73 25 1
210 North Carolina Central 47.1% -0.73 25 1
211 Holy Cross 47.1% -0.73 24 1
212 Long Island University 46.9% -0.76 24 1
213 Vermont 46.8% -0.77 23 1
214 Western Illinois 46.8% -0.77 23 1
215 Charleston Southern 46.7% -0.78 23 1
216 UTEP 46.7% -0.78 22 1
217 Northwestern State 46.2% -0.84 22 1
218 Towson 45.9% -0.88 22 1
219 Toledo 45.6% -0.91 21 1
220 Milwaukee 45.6% -0.91 21 1
221 Morehead State 45.5% -0.92 21 1
222 Loyola Maryland 45.3% -0.94 20 1
223 Abilene Christian 45.3% -0.94 20 1
224 Buffalo 45.2% -0.96 19 1
225 Liberty 45.1% -0.96 19 1
226 Miami 45.1% -0.96 19 1
227 Bellarmine 45.0% -0.97 18 1
228 California Baptist 44.7% -1.01 18 1
229 Tennessee State 44.7% -1.01 18 1
230 Iona 44.7% -1.01 17 1
231 Army 44.4% -1.04 17 1
232 Kent State 44.4% -1.04 17 1
233 Utah Tech 44.3% -1.05 16 1
234 Western Michigan 44.3% -1.05 16 1
235 Chicago State 44.2% -1.06 16 1
236 Oakland 44.0% -1.09 15 1
237 Manhattan 43.9% -1.10 15 1
238 Arkansas State 43.9% -1.10 14 1
239 Quinnipiac 43.8% -1.12 14 1
240 Canisius 43.7% -1.13 14 1
241 Alabama State 43.4% -1.16 13 1
242 Campbell 43.4% -1.16 13 1
243 Fordham 43.2% -1.18 13 1
244 Rider 42.9% -1.22 12 1
245 Air Force 42.7% -1.24 12 1
246 Coppin State 42.6% -1.25 12 1
247 Troy 42.5% -1.26 11 1
248 Idaho State 42.4% -1.27 11 1
249 Central Connecticut 42.3% -1.28 10 1
250 Lindenwood 42.2% -1.30 10 1
251 American University 41.7% -1.35 10 1
252 Washington State 41.7% -1.36 9 1
253 Louisiana 41.5% -1.37 9 1
254 NJIT 41.5% -1.37 9 1
255 Lafayette 41.3% -1.40 8 1
256 Merrimack 41.0% -1.43 8 1
257 Howard 41.0% -1.43 8 1
258 Robert Morris 40.9% -1.44 7 1
259 Wofford 40.5% -1.49 7 1
260 West Georgia 40.1% -1.53 6 1
261 Oral Roberts 39.0% -1.65 6 1
262 Wagner 39.0% -1.66 6 1
263 Ball State 38.8% -1.68 5 1
264 La Salle 38.8% -1.68 5 1
265 Gardner-Webb 38.8% -1.69 5 1
266 Southern Indiana 38.6% -1.71 4 1
267 Jackson State 38.4% -1.72 4 1
268 Cleveland State 37.8% -1.79 4 1
269 Saint Peter's 37.4% -1.84 3 1
270 North Dakota 36.8% -1.91 3 1
271 Hampton 36.5% -1.94 3 1
272 LSU New Orleans 36.1% -1.99 2 1
273 UMBC 35.8% -2.02 2 1
274 Weber State 35.6% -2.05 1 1
275 Mount St. Mary's 35.4% -2.07 1 1
276 Mercyhurst 35.1% -2.11 1 1
277 Fairleigh Dickinson 34.0% -2.23 0 1
278 Navy 30.4% -2.64 0 1