I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.68 (team entering with the better value wins 64% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 42.8% max 59.7% mean 49.9% std 2.8% (n=365)

Team Rankings

Loading…
# Team Total Rebound Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Florida 59.7% +3.52 100 35
2 Tennessee 58.7% +3.14 100 37
3 Michigan State 58.4% +3.04 99 35
4 Duke 57.9% +2.87 99 38
5 Saint Mary's 57.8% +2.81 99 32
6 Arizona 57.3% +2.66 99 39
7 Illinois 57.1% +2.59 98 37
8 Pacific 55.8% +2.13 98 31
9 Miami 55.8% +2.11 98 35
10 Michigan 55.7% +2.09 98 40
11 Arkansas State 55.6% +2.03 97 30
12 Gonzaga 55.4% +1.96 97 35
13 Purdue 55.2% +1.90 97 39
14 Boise State 55.0% +1.85 96 30
15 Virginia 55.0% +1.85 96 36
16 California Baptist 54.9% +1.80 96 34
17 Columbia 54.6% +1.69 96 26
18 Wichita State 54.5% +1.65 95 35
19 Texas 54.5% +1.64 95 35
20 Robert Morris 54.4% +1.62 95 31
21 Saint Louis 54.1% +1.51 95 34
22 UConn 53.8% +1.42 94 40
23 Hawai'i 53.7% +1.37 94 31
24 UNC Wilmington 53.7% +1.36 94 32
25 Grand Canyon 53.6% +1.32 93 32
26 Louisville 53.4% +1.27 93 35
27 Western Carolina 53.4% +1.26 93 29
28 George Washington 53.3% +1.23 93 34
29 Fordham 53.3% +1.22 92 29
30 Washington 53.3% +1.22 92 33
31 Navy 53.2% +1.18 92 32
32 Iowa State 53.1% +1.14 91 37
33 Massachusetts 53.1% +1.14 91 32
34 Towson 52.9% +1.09 91 32
35 Longwood 52.9% +1.08 91 29
36 Kent State 52.9% +1.07 90 32
37 Sam Houston 52.9% +1.06 90 31
38 North Dakota State 52.8% +1.06 90 32
39 Yale 52.8% +1.05 90 29
40 Baylor 52.8% +1.05 89 33
41 South Florida 52.8% +1.04 89 33
42 Texas State 52.8% +1.03 89 30
43 UCF 52.8% +1.03 88 33
44 Auburn 52.7% +1.02 88 38
45 Tulsa 52.7% +1.02 88 36
46 UT Martin 52.7% +1.00 88 30
47 UC Santa Barbara 52.7% +1.00 87 30
48 North Carolina 52.7% +0.99 87 33
49 Akron 52.6% +0.99 87 33
50 Mount St. Mary's 52.6% +0.98 87 31
51 UT Arlington 52.6% +0.97 86 30
52 George Mason 52.6% +0.97 86 32
53 St. John's 52.6% +0.97 86 37
54 BYU 52.6% +0.97 85 35
55 Cal State Northridge 52.5% +0.95 85 32
56 Hofstra 52.5% +0.93 85 33
57 Northern Colorado 52.5% +0.92 85 29
58 South Dakota State 52.5% +0.92 84 29
59 Houston 52.4% +0.92 84 37
60 Nevada 52.4% +0.91 84 37
61 SMU 52.4% +0.91 84 34
62 Howard 52.4% +0.90 83 31
63 Butler 52.4% +0.89 83 32
64 Winthrop 52.4% +0.89 83 31
65 Wyoming 52.4% +0.89 82 32
66 Fairfield 52.3% +0.87 82 33
67 North Carolina A&T 52.3% +0.87 82 28
68 Lamar 52.3% +0.86 82 29
69 Furman 52.2% +0.84 81 32
70 Louisiana Tech 52.2% +0.82 81 31
71 Missouri 52.2% +0.82 81 33
72 St. Bonaventure 52.2% +0.82 80 33
73 Utah Valley 52.2% +0.81 80 31
74 Notre Dame 52.1% +0.80 80 31
75 Kentucky 52.0% +0.77 80 36
76 UIC 51.9% +0.73 79 33
77 Florida Atlantic 51.9% +0.73 79 31
78 Pittsburgh 51.9% +0.73 79 33
79 Vermont 51.9% +0.72 79 32
80 App State 51.9% +0.72 78 30
81 Idaho State 51.9% +0.72 78 30
82 Southern Miss 51.9% +0.71 78 33
83 UAB 51.9% +0.71 77 31
84 Stephen F. Austin 51.9% +0.71 77 32
85 Southern Illinois 51.8% +0.70 77 31
86 Belmont 51.8% +0.69 77 31
87 Illinois State 51.8% +0.69 76 35
88 Texas Tech 51.8% +0.69 76 34
89 Siena 51.8% +0.68 76 35
90 Wright State 51.8% +0.68 76 33
91 Presbyterian 51.8% +0.68 75 30
92 Providence 51.7% +0.66 75 33
93 Seton Hall 51.7% +0.64 75 33
94 Colorado State 51.6% +0.63 74 33
95 Troy 51.6% +0.62 74 32
96 Kennesaw State 51.6% +0.62 74 32
97 TCU 51.6% +0.61 74 35
98 LSU 51.6% +0.61 73 32
99 Cincinnati 51.6% +0.60 73 33
100 New Orleans 51.6% +0.60 73 33
101 New Mexico 51.5% +0.59 73 36
102 Kansas 51.5% +0.59 72 35
103 Santa Clara 51.5% +0.58 72 34
104 Portland State 51.5% +0.58 72 28
105 Weber State 51.5% +0.58 71 30
106 Maryland 51.5% +0.57 71 33
107 Wagner 51.4% +0.56 71 28
108 Idaho 51.4% +0.56 71 33
109 Ohio State 51.4% +0.55 70 34
110 Tennessee State 51.4% +0.53 70 30
111 James Madison 51.3% +0.50 70 32
112 San Francisco 51.3% +0.49 70 32
113 UMass Lowell 51.2% +0.49 69 30
114 Charlotte 51.2% +0.48 69 33
115 Boston University 51.2% +0.46 69 33
116 VCU 51.2% +0.46 68 36
117 Detroit Mercy 51.2% +0.46 68 30
118 Arkansas 51.2% +0.45 68 37
119 Clemson 51.1% +0.42 68 35
120 Washington State 51.1% +0.42 67 31
121 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 51.0% +0.41 67 29
122 UMBC 51.0% +0.40 67 31
123 UC Irvine 51.0% +0.39 66 33
124 West Virginia 51.0% +0.39 66 35
125 Middle Tennessee 51.0% +0.39 66 29
126 Florida Gulf Coast 50.9% +0.37 66 32
127 Saint Joseph's 50.9% +0.37 65 34
128 Marist 50.9% +0.36 65 30
129 New Mexico State 50.8% +0.34 65 29
130 Long Island University 50.8% +0.34 65 35
131 Murray State 50.8% +0.34 64 33
132 East Tennessee State 50.8% +0.34 64 32
133 Jacksonville State 50.8% +0.32 64 29
134 Georgetown 50.8% +0.32 63 34
135 Fairleigh Dickinson 50.8% +0.32 63 29
136 Bowling Green 50.8% +0.32 63 29
137 Quinnipiac 50.7% +0.30 63 31
138 USC 50.7% +0.29 62 31
139 Western Michigan 50.7% +0.29 62 29
140 Jacksonville 50.7% +0.27 62 30
141 Milwaukee 50.6% +0.26 62 31
142 Tennessee Tech 50.6% +0.25 61 28
143 Oklahoma State 50.6% +0.25 61 35
144 Stanford 50.6% +0.25 61 33
145 Stonehill 50.6% +0.25 60 31
146 Alabama 50.5% +0.23 60 35
147 Valparaiso 50.5% +0.23 60 32
148 Lindenwood 50.5% +0.21 60 30
149 Nebraska 50.5% +0.20 59 35
150 Wisconsin 50.4% +0.20 59 35
151 Morehead State 50.4% +0.19 59 30
152 Utah State 50.4% +0.19 59 35
153 Loyola Chicago 50.4% +0.19 58 33
154 Oklahoma 50.4% +0.19 58 37
155 Iowa 50.4% +0.18 58 37
156 Charleston Southern 50.4% +0.18 57 29
157 Saint Peter's 50.4% +0.18 57 28
158 West Georgia 50.4% +0.17 57 30
159 Drexel 50.4% +0.17 57 32
160 Southeast Missouri State 50.3% +0.17 56 30
161 Austin Peay 50.3% +0.17 56 29
162 UC San Diego 50.3% +0.16 56 32
163 Georgia Tech 50.3% +0.16 55 31
164 Western Kentucky 50.3% +0.15 55 30
165 Vanderbilt 50.3% +0.14 55 36
166 Georgia 50.2% +0.12 55 33
167 Cal Poly 50.2% +0.12 54 31
168 Duquesne 50.2% +0.12 54 31
169 San Diego State 50.2% +0.11 54 32
170 Hampton 50.2% +0.10 54 30
171 Harvard 50.1% +0.08 53 28
172 High Point 50.1% +0.08 53 33
173 Campbell 50.1% +0.07 53 32
174 Coastal Carolina 50.1% +0.06 52 31
175 Eastern Washington 50.0% +0.05 52 32
176 Indiana 50.0% +0.05 52 32
177 East Carolina 50.0% +0.04 52 30
178 Oregon 49.9% +0.02 51 32
179 Mercer 49.9% +0.02 51 29
180 Charleston 49.9% +0.00 51 31
181 North Texas 49.9% +0.00 51 31
182 SIU Edwardsville 49.9% -0.00 50 29
183 UAlbany 49.9% -0.01 50 29
184 Bethune-Cookman 49.9% -0.01 50 31
185 Cornell 49.9% -0.01 49 26
186 Colorado 49.8% -0.01 49 33
187 Virginia Tech 49.8% -0.02 49 32
188 La Salle 49.8% -0.03 49 31
189 Samford 49.8% -0.03 48 30
190 Marshall 49.8% -0.04 48 31
191 Central Arkansas 49.8% -0.04 48 32
192 Memphis 49.8% -0.04 48 32
193 Mississippi State 49.8% -0.05 47 32
194 Miami (OH) 49.7% -0.05 47 31
195 Rice 49.7% -0.07 47 29
196 Florida A&M 49.7% -0.07 46 29
197 McNeese 49.7% -0.07 46 32
198 Wofford 49.7% -0.08 46 30
199 Le Moyne 49.7% -0.08 46 31
200 Temple 49.6% -0.09 45 31
201 Norfolk State 49.6% -0.09 45 28
202 Villanova 49.6% -0.09 45 33
203 Youngstown State 49.6% -0.10 45 29
204 Eastern Michigan 49.6% -0.11 44 30
205 Texas A&M 49.5% -0.13 44 34
206 Eastern Kentucky 49.5% -0.14 44 30
207 UNC Asheville 49.5% -0.14 43 29
208 Missouri State 49.5% -0.15 43 31
209 Northern Kentucky 49.5% -0.15 43 31
210 Florida International 49.4% -0.16 43 29
211 Creighton 49.4% -0.17 42 34
212 Boston College 49.4% -0.18 42 31
213 Dayton 49.4% -0.18 42 37
214 UT Rio Grande Valley 49.4% -0.18 41 31
215 Central Connecticut 49.4% -0.18 41 28
216 Maryland Eastern Shore 49.3% -0.20 41 30
217 Army 49.3% -0.20 41 30
218 St. Thomas-Minnesota 49.3% -0.21 40 31
219 UNC Greensboro 49.2% -0.23 40 32
220 DePaul 49.2% -0.23 40 32
221 Rhode Island 49.2% -0.23 40 32
222 Monmouth 49.2% -0.24 39 33
223 Colgate 49.2% -0.25 39 31
224 Alabama State 49.2% -0.25 39 31
225 UNLV 49.2% -0.26 38 34
226 Elon 49.2% -0.26 38 30
227 Princeton 49.1% -0.27 38 28
228 Canisius 49.1% -0.27 38 30
229 UCLA 49.1% -0.27 37 36
230 Incarnate Word 49.1% -0.27 37 28
231 Southern 49.1% -0.28 37 31
232 Sacred Heart 49.1% -0.29 37 32
233 NC State 49.1% -0.29 36 34
234 Green Bay 49.0% -0.31 36 31
235 Fresno State 49.0% -0.32 36 31
236 Montana State 49.0% -0.32 35 29
237 Omaha 49.0% -0.32 35 29
238 Alabama A&M 49.0% -0.32 35 30
239 Grambling 49.0% -0.33 35 31
240 Utah 49.0% -0.33 34 32
241 Pennsylvania 48.9% -0.34 34 29
242 Texas Southern 48.9% -0.34 34 28
243 Northern Illinois 48.9% -0.34 34 28
244 Brown 48.9% -0.36 33 25
245 Bradley 48.9% -0.36 33 33
246 North Alabama 48.8% -0.37 33 28
247 Wake Forest 48.8% -0.39 32 35
248 Abilene Christian 48.8% -0.39 32 30
249 Minnesota 48.8% -0.39 32 33
250 Iona 48.8% -0.40 32 32
251 Davidson 48.7% -0.43 31 32
252 Portland 48.7% -0.43 31 32
253 Oakland 48.7% -0.44 31 31
254 UC Riverside 48.6% -0.45 30 30
255 Queens University 48.6% -0.47 30 34
256 South Dakota 48.6% -0.48 30 29
257 California 48.5% -0.49 30 33
258 Northern Iowa 48.5% -0.49 29 35
259 South Carolina Upstate 48.5% -0.50 29 29
260 Rider 48.5% -0.51 29 28
261 William & Mary 48.5% -0.51 29 30
262 Denver 48.4% -0.52 28 29
263 Drake 48.4% -0.53 28 32
264 Long Beach State 48.3% -0.56 28 30
265 Loyola Maryland 48.3% -0.57 27 30
266 Oral Roberts 48.3% -0.57 27 30
267 Houston Christian 48.2% -0.59 27 30
268 Oregon State 48.2% -0.60 27 33
269 Montana 48.2% -0.60 26 30
270 Toledo 48.2% -0.61 26 32
271 Radford 48.1% -0.63 26 29
272 South Alabama 48.1% -0.63 26 31
273 Indiana State 48.0% -0.66 25 30
274 Florida State 48.0% -0.66 25 33
275 Syracuse 48.0% -0.67 25 32
276 Ole Miss 48.0% -0.67 24 35
277 Southern Utah 48.0% -0.68 24 29
278 Lipscomb 47.9% -0.70 24 30
279 Mercyhurst 47.9% -0.70 24 32
280 Loyola Marymount 47.9% -0.70 23 31
281 Bryant 47.9% -0.71 23 29
282 Buffalo 47.9% -0.72 23 30
283 Lafayette 47.8% -0.76 23 31
284 Arizona State 47.8% -0.76 22 33
285 Old Dominion 47.8% -0.76 22 32
286 Southern Indiana 47.7% -0.78 22 28
287 Dartmouth 47.7% -0.80 21 25
288 Kansas State 47.7% -0.80 21 32
289 Rutgers 47.6% -0.81 21 34
290 South Carolina 47.6% -0.82 21 32
291 Xavier 47.6% -0.82 20 33
292 New Hampshire 47.6% -0.83 20 28
293 Stony Brook 47.6% -0.83 20 30
294 SE Louisiana 47.5% -0.85 20 30
295 Tarleton State 47.5% -0.85 19 28
296 Ohio 47.5% -0.85 19 30
297 Northeastern 47.5% -0.87 19 31
298 American University 47.4% -0.88 18 30
299 Utah Tech 47.4% -0.88 18 31
300 Little Rock 47.4% -0.89 18 30
301 Central Michigan 47.4% -0.90 18 29
302 Richmond 47.3% -0.91 17 31
303 UC Davis 47.3% -0.92 17 31
304 Bucknell 47.3% -0.92 17 33
305 Stetson 47.2% -0.94 16 31
306 Morgan State 47.2% -0.96 16 27
307 Cal State Fullerton 47.2% -0.96 16 32
308 Holy Cross 47.2% -0.98 16 31
309 Pepperdine 47.1% -0.98 15 30
310 NJIT 47.1% -1.00 15 32
311 Marquette 47.0% -1.02 15 32
312 New Haven 47.0% -1.02 15 28
313 Cal State Bakersfield 47.0% -1.03 14 30
314 The Citadel 47.0% -1.03 14 30
315 Coppin State 46.9% -1.05 14 30
316 Binghamton 46.9% -1.07 13 28
317 Northwestern State 46.9% -1.08 13 30
318 Northwestern 46.8% -1.09 13 34
319 Louisiana 46.7% -1.14 13 33
320 Penn State 46.7% -1.15 12 32
321 Delaware 46.6% -1.17 12 30
322 Ball State 46.6% -1.17 12 29
323 Georgia State 46.6% -1.18 12 30
324 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 46.6% -1.19 11 30
325 Lehigh 46.4% -1.23 11 33
326 Delaware State 46.4% -1.24 11 27
327 Georgia Southern 46.3% -1.27 10 35
328 Chattanooga 46.3% -1.28 10 29
329 Eastern Illinois 46.3% -1.29 10 30
330 UTEP 46.2% -1.30 10 28
331 East Texas A&M 46.2% -1.31 9 30
332 North Dakota 46.2% -1.32 9 32
333 South Carolina State 46.0% -1.38 9 30
334 Niagara 45.9% -1.42 9 29
335 San Diego 45.8% -1.45 8 31
336 Jackson State 45.8% -1.48 8 33
337 Nicholls 45.7% -1.48 8 32
338 Seattle U 45.7% -1.50 7 33
339 Saint Francis 45.7% -1.51 7 29
340 Evansville 45.6% -1.53 7 30
341 Manhattan 45.5% -1.56 7 31
342 Cleveland State 45.5% -1.58 6 30
343 Bellarmine 45.5% -1.58 6 30
344 Prairie View A&M 45.4% -1.62 6 33
345 UTSA 45.3% -1.65 5 28
346 Chicago State 45.3% -1.66 5 31
347 San José State 45.1% -1.71 5 32
348 Sacramento State 45.1% -1.72 5 28
349 IU Indianapolis 45.1% -1.72 4 30
350 Western Illinois 45.0% -1.74 4 28
351 North Carolina Central 45.0% -1.75 4 28
352 Alcorn State 44.9% -1.77 4 32
353 Mississippi Valley State 44.9% -1.77 3 32
354 Air Force 44.8% -1.81 3 32
355 Northern Arizona 44.7% -1.86 3 29
356 Liberty 44.5% -1.91 2 31
357 UL Monroe 44.3% -2.01 2 30
358 North Florida 44.2% -2.04 2 30
359 Kansas City 44.1% -2.06 2 28
360 Tulane 43.9% -2.15 1 32
361 Purdue Fort Wayne 43.5% -2.27 1 29
362 VMI 43.1% -2.42 1 29
363 Maine 43.0% -2.48 1 31
364 Merrimack 42.9% -2.51 0 34
365 Gardner-Webb 42.8% -2.53 0 30