I'm so tired of being lonely, I still have some love to give. "Handle With Care" - The Travelling WIlburys
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Turnover Rate

Share of possessions that end in a turnover.

Season turnovers ÷ season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Lower is better  ·  league avg 16.8%  ·  as of 2026-04-07

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.63 (team entering with the better value wins 59% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 12.2% max 23.7% mean 16.8% std 1.9% (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 Arkansas 12.2% -2.37 100 37
2 UAB 12.6% -2.18 100 31
3 Houston 12.8% -2.08 99 37
4 Wisconsin 12.8% -2.05 99 35
5 High Point 12.8% -2.03 99 33
6 Northwestern 13.1% -1.92 99 34
7 NC State 13.1% -1.92 98 34
8 South Alabama 13.1% -1.92 98 31
9 Illinois 13.1% -1.90 98 37
10 Alabama 13.1% -1.89 98 35
11 Samford 13.4% -1.76 97 30
12 Wofford 13.4% -1.75 97 30
13 Liberty 13.4% -1.74 97 31
14 UCLA 13.4% -1.73 96 36
15 Vanderbilt 13.5% -1.70 96 36
16 Purdue 13.7% -1.61 96 39
17 Gonzaga 13.7% -1.60 96 35
18 Temple 13.7% -1.58 95 31
19 Bradley 13.9% -1.46 95 33
20 North Carolina 14.0% -1.46 95 33
21 Xavier 14.0% -1.45 95 33
22 Yale 14.0% -1.44 94 29
23 Ole Miss 14.0% -1.43 94 35
24 Clemson 14.0% -1.43 94 35
25 UMBC 14.1% -1.41 93 31
26 Sacramento State 14.1% -1.40 93 28
27 North Dakota 14.1% -1.39 93 32
28 McNeese 14.2% -1.34 93 32
29 Stephen F. Austin 14.2% -1.31 92 32
30 Denver 14.2% -1.31 92 29
31 Georgia 14.3% -1.30 92 33
32 Richmond 14.3% -1.29 91 31
33 Oklahoma 14.3% -1.26 91 37
34 Vermont 14.3% -1.26 91 32
35 Mercyhurst 14.4% -1.25 91 32
36 Miami (OH) 14.4% -1.25 90 31
37 St. Thomas-Minnesota 14.4% -1.24 90 31
38 St. John's 14.4% -1.21 90 37
39 South Carolina 14.5% -1.20 90 32
40 Chattanooga 14.5% -1.20 89 29
41 Northern Iowa 14.5% -1.19 89 35
42 Western Kentucky 14.5% -1.19 89 30
43 Purdue Fort Wayne 14.5% -1.18 88 29
44 Nebraska 14.5% -1.17 88 35
45 Auburn 14.6% -1.12 88 38
46 Colorado 14.7% -1.10 88 33
47 Oakland 14.7% -1.10 87 31
48 Texas A&M 14.7% -1.09 87 34
49 Georgia Southern 14.7% -1.07 87 35
50 Colgate 14.7% -1.07 87 31
51 Toledo 14.7% -1.06 86 32
52 Winthrop 14.7% -1.06 86 31
53 Montana State 14.8% -1.04 86 29
54 Queens University 14.8% -1.03 85 34
55 Merrimack 14.8% -1.02 85 34
56 Nevada 14.8% -1.01 85 37
57 UNC Wilmington 14.9% -0.99 85 32
58 Iowa State 14.9% -0.98 84 37
59 New Mexico 14.9% -0.97 84 36
60 Virginia Tech 14.9% -0.96 84 32
61 Rutgers 14.9% -0.95 84 34
62 Wichita State 15.0% -0.94 83 35
63 UNC Greensboro 15.0% -0.93 83 32
64 Drake 15.0% -0.92 83 32
65 Villanova 15.0% -0.92 82 33
66 New Mexico State 15.0% -0.91 82 29
67 Mercer 15.0% -0.90 82 29
68 Texas 15.0% -0.90 82 35
69 Idaho 15.0% -0.90 81 33
70 VCU 15.1% -0.87 81 36
71 Indiana 15.1% -0.87 81 32
72 Utah State 15.1% -0.87 80 35
73 South Florida 15.1% -0.86 80 33
74 California 15.1% -0.86 80 33
75 Iowa 15.1% -0.85 80 37
76 Arizona 15.1% -0.85 79 39
77 San José State 15.1% -0.84 79 32
78 BYU 15.2% -0.82 79 35
79 East Tennessee State 15.2% -0.81 79 32
80 Florida State 15.2% -0.79 78 33
81 Washington 15.3% -0.78 78 33
82 Cal State Fullerton 15.3% -0.78 78 32
83 Holy Cross 15.3% -0.78 77 31
84 Coastal Carolina 15.3% -0.78 77 31
85 Milwaukee 15.3% -0.77 77 31
86 Santa Clara 15.3% -0.77 77 34
87 App State 15.3% -0.77 76 30
88 VMI 15.3% -0.76 76 29
89 Lafayette 15.3% -0.75 76 31
90 TCU 15.3% -0.74 76 35
91 Ohio State 15.3% -0.74 75 34
92 Central Arkansas 15.4% -0.73 75 32
93 Pennsylvania 15.4% -0.73 75 29
94 Austin Peay 15.4% -0.72 74 29
95 Old Dominion 15.4% -0.72 74 32
96 Fairfield 15.4% -0.71 74 33
97 Ohio 15.4% -0.71 74 30
98 Kentucky 15.4% -0.70 73 36
99 Tulane 15.4% -0.70 73 32
100 Bellarmine 15.4% -0.69 73 30
101 Loyola Maryland 15.4% -0.69 73 30
102 Boston College 15.4% -0.69 72 31
103 Northern Colorado 15.5% -0.68 72 29
104 Akron 15.5% -0.67 72 33
105 Stanford 15.5% -0.66 71 33
106 LSU 15.5% -0.65 71 32
107 Wake Forest 15.5% -0.65 71 35
108 North Dakota State 15.6% -0.61 71 32
109 Tulsa 15.6% -0.60 70 36
110 American University 15.6% -0.60 70 30
111 Kansas 15.6% -0.59 70 35
112 Manhattan 15.6% -0.59 70 31
113 Penn State 15.6% -0.59 69 32
114 Chicago State 15.6% -0.58 69 31
115 Weber State 15.7% -0.56 69 30
116 Valparaiso 15.7% -0.55 68 32
117 Oklahoma State 15.7% -0.55 68 35
118 Charleston 15.7% -0.55 68 31
119 SMU 15.8% -0.53 68 34
120 Georgetown 15.8% -0.52 67 34
121 George Mason 15.8% -0.52 67 32
122 Prairie View A&M 15.8% -0.50 67 33
123 Texas Tech 15.8% -0.50 66 34
124 Davidson 15.8% -0.50 66 32
125 Quinnipiac 15.8% -0.49 66 31
126 Siena 15.8% -0.49 66 35
127 IU Indianapolis 15.8% -0.49 65 30
128 Towson 15.8% -0.48 65 32
129 San Francisco 15.9% -0.48 65 32
130 West Georgia 15.9% -0.47 65 30
131 Butler 15.9% -0.44 64 32
132 Georgia State 15.9% -0.44 64 30
133 Green Bay 15.9% -0.43 64 31
134 Syracuse 16.0% -0.43 63 32
135 Florida Gulf Coast 16.0% -0.42 63 32
136 Elon 16.0% -0.41 63 30
137 UCF 16.0% -0.41 63 33
138 Detroit Mercy 16.0% -0.41 62 30
139 Duke 16.0% -0.40 62 38
140 Northern Arizona 16.0% -0.40 62 29
141 Virginia 16.0% -0.40 62 36
142 Lipscomb 16.0% -0.38 61 30
143 Mississippi State 16.0% -0.38 61 32
144 Cornell 16.1% -0.37 61 26
145 Marquette 16.1% -0.37 60 32
146 Omaha 16.1% -0.37 60 29
147 Miami 16.1% -0.33 60 35
148 Hofstra 16.1% -0.33 60 33
149 Wright State 16.2% -0.32 59 33
150 South Dakota State 16.2% -0.32 59 29
151 Ball State 16.2% -0.31 59 29
152 Buffalo 16.2% -0.28 59 30
153 Baylor 16.2% -0.28 58 33
154 Central Connecticut 16.2% -0.27 58 28
155 Wyoming 16.3% -0.27 58 32
156 The Citadel 16.3% -0.27 57 30
157 Michigan 16.3% -0.26 57 40
158 Northern Kentucky 16.3% -0.26 57 31
159 Northeastern 16.3% -0.23 57 31
160 Murray State 16.4% -0.22 56 33
161 Creighton 16.4% -0.22 56 34
162 Florida 16.4% -0.19 56 35
163 UConn 16.4% -0.18 55 40
164 Bowling Green 16.4% -0.17 55 29
165 UC San Diego 16.5% -0.16 55 32
166 New Hampshire 16.5% -0.14 55 28
167 Alabama A&M 16.5% -0.14 54 30
168 South Dakota 16.5% -0.13 54 29
169 Southern 16.6% -0.11 54 31
170 Minnesota 16.6% -0.09 54 33
171 William & Mary 16.6% -0.09 53 30
172 Marshall 16.6% -0.08 53 31
173 Seton Hall 16.7% -0.06 53 33
174 Providence 16.7% -0.05 52 33
175 Utah 16.7% -0.04 52 32
176 Monmouth 16.7% -0.04 52 33
177 Tennessee State 16.7% -0.04 52 30
178 Seattle U 16.7% -0.03 51 33
179 Western Carolina 16.7% -0.03 51 29
180 Missouri State 16.7% -0.02 51 31
181 Stony Brook 16.7% -0.02 51 30
182 North Texas 16.7% -0.01 50 31
183 Kennesaw State 16.7% -0.01 50 32
184 Louisville 16.8% -0.01 50 35
185 Louisiana 16.8% -0.00 49 33
186 Sam Houston 16.8% -0.00 49 31
187 Saint Joseph's 16.8% -0.00 49 34
188 West Virginia 16.8% +0.00 49 35
189 St. Bonaventure 16.8% +0.02 48 33
190 Navy 16.8% +0.02 48 32
191 Western Michigan 16.8% +0.03 48 29
192 Southeast Missouri State 16.8% +0.03 48 30
193 Illinois State 16.8% +0.04 47 35
194 Eastern Kentucky 16.9% +0.05 47 30
195 Boise State 16.9% +0.06 47 30
196 UL Monroe 16.9% +0.07 46 30
197 Rider 16.9% +0.07 46 28
198 Dayton 16.9% +0.07 46 37
199 Notre Dame 16.9% +0.08 46 31
200 Portland State 16.9% +0.08 45 28
201 Saint Mary's 16.9% +0.08 45 32
202 Marist 17.0% +0.09 45 30
203 Cincinnati 17.0% +0.10 45 33
204 Jacksonville State 17.0% +0.11 44 29
205 Hampton 17.0% +0.14 44 30
206 Incarnate Word 17.1% +0.14 44 28
207 Southern Illinois 17.1% +0.15 43 31
208 East Carolina 17.1% +0.15 43 30
209 UNLV 17.1% +0.15 43 34
210 Radford 17.1% +0.15 43 29
211 Arizona State 17.1% +0.16 42 33
212 Southern Indiana 17.1% +0.17 42 28
213 Idaho State 17.1% +0.17 42 30
214 Middle Tennessee 17.1% +0.18 41 29
215 NJIT 17.1% +0.18 41 32
216 Princeton 17.1% +0.19 41 28
217 Michigan State 17.2% +0.19 41 35
218 Saint Louis 17.2% +0.21 40 34
219 Fordham 17.2% +0.23 40 29
220 Iona 17.2% +0.23 40 32
221 Army 17.2% +0.23 40 30
222 Jacksonville 17.2% +0.24 39 30
223 Pittsburgh 17.2% +0.24 39 33
224 San Diego State 17.2% +0.24 39 32
225 James Madison 17.3% +0.26 38 32
226 Troy 17.3% +0.29 38 32
227 Tennessee 17.4% +0.30 38 37
228 USC 17.4% +0.31 38 31
229 UTEP 17.4% +0.32 37 28
230 UNC Asheville 17.4% +0.32 37 29
231 UTSA 17.4% +0.32 37 28
232 Nicholls 17.4% +0.32 37 32
233 Kansas State 17.4% +0.34 36 32
234 Loyola Marymount 17.4% +0.34 36 31
235 Eastern Michigan 17.5% +0.36 36 30
236 Harvard 17.5% +0.36 35 28
237 Cal State Northridge 17.5% +0.36 35 32
238 North Alabama 17.5% +0.37 35 28
239 Western Illinois 17.5% +0.38 35 28
240 Campbell 17.6% +0.40 34 32
241 Eastern Washington 17.6% +0.40 34 32
242 San Diego 17.6% +0.41 34 31
243 Duquesne 17.6% +0.41 34 31
244 Oregon 17.6% +0.42 33 32
245 Grand Canyon 17.6% +0.43 33 32
246 Florida Atlantic 17.6% +0.43 33 31
247 UIC 17.6% +0.44 32 33
248 Dartmouth 17.6% +0.44 32 25
249 Sacred Heart 17.6% +0.44 32 32
250 Lehigh 17.7% +0.47 32 33
251 Saint Peter's 17.7% +0.47 31 28
252 Boston University 17.7% +0.49 31 33
253 DePaul 17.7% +0.49 31 32
254 Oregon State 17.7% +0.49 30 33
255 Missouri 17.7% +0.50 30 33
256 Utah Tech 17.8% +0.50 30 31
257 UC Irvine 17.8% +0.51 30 33
258 Florida International 17.8% +0.51 29 29
259 New Haven 17.8% +0.52 29 28
260 Furman 17.8% +0.52 29 32
261 North Florida 17.8% +0.52 29 30
262 Morgan State 17.8% +0.52 28 27
263 Massachusetts 17.8% +0.53 28 32
264 Cleveland State 17.9% +0.56 28 30
265 Rice 17.9% +0.56 27 29
266 SIU Edwardsville 17.9% +0.57 27 29
267 UC Davis 17.9% +0.58 27 31
268 Kent State 17.9% +0.61 27 32
269 UMass Lowell 18.0% +0.62 26 30
270 California Baptist 18.0% +0.63 26 34
271 Long Beach State 18.0% +0.64 26 30
272 Belmont 18.0% +0.65 26 31
273 Lamar 18.1% +0.66 25 29
274 South Carolina Upstate 18.1% +0.67 25 29
275 Morehead State 18.1% +0.67 25 30
276 George Washington 18.1% +0.69 24 34
277 Fresno State 18.1% +0.70 24 31
278 Charlotte 18.1% +0.71 24 33
279 Central Michigan 18.1% +0.71 24 29
280 Fairleigh Dickinson 18.2% +0.71 23 29
281 La Salle 18.2% +0.72 23 31
282 Kansas City 18.2% +0.73 23 28
283 Louisiana Tech 18.2% +0.73 23 31
284 Stetson 18.2% +0.73 22 31
285 North Carolina Central 18.2% +0.76 22 28
286 Northwestern State 18.3% +0.77 22 30
287 Delaware 18.3% +0.77 21 30
288 Pepperdine 18.3% +0.80 21 30
289 Alabama State 18.3% +0.81 21 31
290 Southern Miss 18.3% +0.81 21 33
291 SE Louisiana 18.4% +0.84 20 30
292 Little Rock 18.4% +0.86 20 30
293 Oral Roberts 18.5% +0.87 20 30
294 Saint Francis 18.5% +0.87 20 29
295 Washington State 18.5% +0.89 19 31
296 UT Rio Grande Valley 18.5% +0.89 19 31
297 Texas Southern 18.5% +0.90 19 28
298 Colorado State 18.5% +0.90 18 33
299 UAlbany 18.5% +0.90 18 29
300 Maryland 18.5% +0.92 18 33
301 Eastern Illinois 18.6% +0.92 18 30
302 Charleston Southern 18.6% +0.92 17 29
303 Wagner 18.6% +0.93 17 28
304 North Carolina A&T 18.6% +0.94 17 28
305 Robert Morris 18.6% +0.96 16 31
306 Georgia Tech 18.6% +0.96 16 31
307 Lindenwood 18.7% +0.98 16 30
308 Binghamton 18.7% +0.98 16 28
309 Texas State 18.7% +1.00 15 30
310 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 18.7% +1.00 15 30
311 Norfolk State 18.7% +1.01 15 28
312 UC Santa Barbara 18.8% +1.02 15 30
313 Cal State Bakersfield 18.8% +1.05 14 30
314 Youngstown State 18.8% +1.05 14 29
315 Hawai'i 18.8% +1.06 14 31
316 Memphis 18.9% +1.08 13 32
317 Houston Christian 18.9% +1.08 13 30
318 Niagara 18.9% +1.09 13 29
319 Bucknell 18.9% +1.12 13 33
320 Long Island University 19.0% +1.13 12 35
321 UC Riverside 19.0% +1.16 12 30
322 Drexel 19.0% +1.17 12 32
323 Le Moyne 19.1% +1.19 12 31
324 Evansville 19.1% +1.20 11 30
325 Tennessee Tech 19.1% +1.21 11 28
326 Rhode Island 19.1% +1.22 11 32
327 Longwood 19.2% +1.23 10 29
328 Maine 19.2% +1.25 10 31
329 Bethune-Cookman 19.2% +1.26 10 31
330 East Texas A&M 19.2% +1.28 10 30
331 Howard 19.3% +1.30 9 31
332 Columbia 19.3% +1.31 9 26
333 Stonehill 19.4% +1.34 9 31
334 Brown 19.4% +1.35 9 25
335 Presbyterian 19.4% +1.35 8 30
336 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 19.4% +1.36 8 29
337 Jackson State 19.4% +1.36 8 33
338 Indiana State 19.5% +1.39 7 30
339 Montana 19.5% +1.43 7 30
340 Alcorn State 19.6% +1.45 7 32
341 Canisius 19.6% +1.47 7 30
342 Portland 19.6% +1.48 6 32
343 Loyola Chicago 19.8% +1.55 6 33
344 Arkansas State 19.8% +1.56 6 30
345 Cal Poly 19.8% +1.58 5 31
346 Delaware State 19.8% +1.58 5 27
347 Gardner-Webb 19.8% +1.58 5 30
348 Tarleton State 19.9% +1.64 5 28
349 Utah Valley 20.1% +1.73 4 31
350 Pacific 20.1% +1.74 4 31
351 Bryant 20.2% +1.75 4 29
352 Southern Utah 20.3% +1.80 4 29
353 New Orleans 20.4% +1.89 3 33
354 UT Arlington 20.7% +2.05 3 30
355 South Carolina State 20.8% +2.08 3 30
356 Abilene Christian 20.8% +2.09 2 30
357 Grambling 21.2% +2.29 2 31
358 UT Martin 21.4% +2.40 2 30
359 Florida A&M 21.5% +2.46 2 29
360 Northern Illinois 21.7% +2.54 1 28
361 Mississippi Valley State 21.9% +2.63 1 32
362 Air Force 21.9% +2.64 1 32
363 Coppin State 22.3% +2.86 1 30
364 Mount St. Mary's 22.4% +2.89 0 31
365 Maryland Eastern Shore 23.7% +3.57 0 30