I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes
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Steal Rate

Steals per opponent possession.

Season steals ÷ opponents' season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Higher is better  ·  league avg 9.5%  ·  as of 2026-04-07

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.58 (team entering with the better value wins 56% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 5.6% max 15.2% mean 9.5% std 1.6% (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Steal Rate z Pctl GP
1 McNeese 15.2% +3.50 100 32
2 High Point 14.1% +2.79 100 33
3 Seton Hall 13.9% +2.68 99 33
4 Abilene Christian 13.9% +2.66 99 30
5 Tarleton State 13.7% +2.57 99 28
6 Utah Valley 13.3% +2.31 99 31
7 Saint Peter's 13.2% +2.27 98 28
8 Iowa State 13.2% +2.25 98 37
9 Marquette 13.2% +2.24 98 32
10 North Texas 13.1% +2.21 98 31
11 East Tennessee State 12.8% +2.00 97 32
12 Merrimack 12.8% +2.00 97 34
13 Nicholls 12.7% +1.95 97 32
14 Rhode Island 12.7% +1.94 96 32
15 Santa Clara 12.7% +1.93 96 34
16 Tennessee State 12.6% +1.93 96 30
17 UT Martin 12.5% +1.84 96 30
18 Utah State 12.5% +1.81 95 35
19 Chicago State 12.3% +1.74 95 31
20 South Florida 12.1% +1.62 95 33
21 Central Arkansas 12.1% +1.61 95 32
22 Florida International 12.1% +1.60 94 29
23 Dayton 12.0% +1.54 94 37
24 Austin Peay 12.0% +1.51 94 29
25 Maine 11.9% +1.45 93 31
26 Howard 11.9% +1.44 93 31
27 Gonzaga 11.9% +1.44 93 35
28 Bowling Green 11.8% +1.38 93 29
29 Memphis 11.7% +1.38 92 32
30 South Alabama 11.7% +1.36 92 31
31 Northern Kentucky 11.7% +1.35 92 31
32 Houston 11.7% +1.32 91 37
33 Texas State 11.6% +1.29 91 30
34 Longwood 11.5% +1.25 91 29
35 Purdue Fort Wayne 11.5% +1.24 91 29
36 Southern 11.5% +1.22 90 31
37 Florida A&M 11.5% +1.21 90 29
38 NC State 11.5% +1.21 90 34
39 Lindenwood 11.5% +1.20 90 30
40 North Carolina Central 11.5% +1.20 89 28
41 Stanford 11.4% +1.18 89 33
42 Miami 11.4% +1.18 89 35
43 Delaware State 11.4% +1.15 88 27
44 Seattle U 11.4% +1.14 88 33
45 Ball State 11.3% +1.12 88 29
46 Navy 11.3% +1.12 88 32
47 Long Island University 11.3% +1.12 87 35
48 North Dakota 11.3% +1.09 87 32
49 Southern Illinois 11.3% +1.09 87 31
50 Manhattan 11.3% +1.09 87 31
51 Georgia 11.3% +1.08 86 33
52 Eastern Illinois 11.2% +1.07 86 30
53 Georgia Southern 11.2% +1.06 86 35
54 New Mexico 11.2% +1.05 85 36
55 Vanderbilt 11.2% +1.04 85 36
56 Monmouth 11.2% +1.03 85 33
57 UIC 11.2% +1.03 85 33
58 Little Rock 11.1% +1.01 84 30
59 North Dakota State 11.1% +1.01 84 32
60 Quinnipiac 11.1% +0.98 84 31
61 Texas A&M 11.1% +0.97 84 34
62 Buffalo 11.1% +0.96 83 30
63 Brown 11.0% +0.95 83 25
64 Duke 11.0% +0.94 83 38
65 Grambling 11.0% +0.93 82 31
66 Toledo 11.0% +0.93 82 32
67 Alabama State 11.0% +0.93 82 31
68 Alcorn State 11.0% +0.93 82 32
69 St. Bonaventure 11.0% +0.93 81 33
70 Harvard 11.0% +0.93 81 28
71 Florida State 11.0% +0.92 81 33
72 Villanova 11.0% +0.92 80 33
73 San Diego 11.0% +0.92 80 31
74 Wake Forest 11.0% +0.92 80 35
75 TCU 11.0% +0.90 80 35
76 American University 11.0% +0.90 79 30
77 UC Irvine 10.9% +0.89 79 33
78 Florida Gulf Coast 10.9% +0.88 79 32
79 St. John's 10.9% +0.87 79 37
80 Tulane 10.9% +0.87 78 32
81 UT Arlington 10.9% +0.86 78 30
82 San Diego State 10.9% +0.84 78 32
83 Iowa 10.8% +0.83 77 37
84 Duquesne 10.8% +0.81 77 31
85 Fordham 10.8% +0.79 77 29
86 UTEP 10.7% +0.75 77 28
87 Tennessee 10.7% +0.74 76 37
88 Auburn 10.7% +0.74 76 38
89 William & Mary 10.7% +0.73 76 30
90 Bucknell 10.7% +0.73 76 33
91 St. Thomas-Minnesota 10.7% +0.72 75 31
92 Bradley 10.6% +0.71 75 33
93 IU Indianapolis 10.6% +0.68 75 30
94 UAB 10.6% +0.67 74 31
95 UC San Diego 10.6% +0.67 74 32
96 Marist 10.6% +0.67 74 30
97 VCU 10.6% +0.67 74 36
98 Mercyhurst 10.6% +0.66 73 32
99 Nebraska 10.6% +0.66 73 35
100 Saint Francis 10.5% +0.64 73 29
101 Southern Miss 10.5% +0.60 73 33
102 Louisiana Tech 10.5% +0.59 72 31
103 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 10.5% +0.59 72 29
104 Cal State Fullerton 10.4% +0.58 72 32
105 UC Davis 10.4% +0.57 71 31
106 SIU Edwardsville 10.4% +0.56 71 29
107 Sacramento State 10.4% +0.54 71 28
108 Western Kentucky 10.4% +0.53 71 30
109 Stephen F. Austin 10.4% +0.53 70 32
110 George Washington 10.4% +0.53 70 34
111 Portland State 10.4% +0.53 70 28
112 UConn 10.3% +0.51 70 40
113 SE Louisiana 10.3% +0.51 69 30
114 Troy 10.3% +0.50 69 32
115 Wright State 10.3% +0.49 69 33
116 Penn State 10.3% +0.47 68 32
117 Arizona 10.2% +0.46 68 39
118 Mercer 10.2% +0.45 68 29
119 UNLV 10.2% +0.45 68 34
120 DePaul 10.2% +0.45 67 32
121 Cal State Bakersfield 10.2% +0.44 67 30
122 Ole Miss 10.2% +0.44 67 35
123 Radford 10.2% +0.44 66 29
124 UAlbany 10.2% +0.44 66 29
125 BYU 10.2% +0.42 66 35
126 Oakland 10.1% +0.40 66 31
127 Akron 10.1% +0.38 65 33
128 Pittsburgh 10.1% +0.37 65 33
129 Mississippi Valley State 10.1% +0.37 65 32
130 La Salle 10.1% +0.36 65 31
131 UCLA 10.0% +0.33 64 36
132 Kentucky 10.0% +0.32 64 36
133 Northeastern 10.0% +0.31 64 31
134 Richmond 10.0% +0.29 63 31
135 Missouri State 9.9% +0.28 63 31
136 Arkansas 9.9% +0.27 63 37
137 Minnesota 9.9% +0.26 63 33
138 Arizona State 9.9% +0.26 62 33
139 Sam Houston 9.9% +0.25 62 31
140 Saint Louis 9.8% +0.20 62 34
141 East Texas A&M 9.8% +0.20 62 30
142 Utah Tech 9.8% +0.20 61 31
143 Weber State 9.8% +0.19 61 30
144 SMU 9.8% +0.19 61 34
145 VMI 9.8% +0.19 60 29
146 Davidson 9.8% +0.19 60 32
147 Arkansas State 9.8% +0.18 60 30
148 Houston Christian 9.8% +0.18 60 30
149 Youngstown State 9.8% +0.17 59 29
150 South Carolina State 9.8% +0.17 59 30
151 Georgia State 9.7% +0.16 59 30
152 West Virginia 9.7% +0.16 59 35
153 Wyoming 9.7% +0.15 58 32
154 Nevada 9.7% +0.14 58 37
155 Northern Iowa 9.7% +0.13 58 35
156 Miami (OH) 9.7% +0.12 57 31
157 Northern Arizona 9.7% +0.12 57 29
158 Missouri 9.6% +0.10 57 33
159 Lipscomb 9.6% +0.10 57 30
160 Fresno State 9.6% +0.09 56 31
161 Prairie View A&M 9.6% +0.09 56 33
162 Montana State 9.6% +0.08 56 29
163 Lehigh 9.6% +0.08 55 33
164 Jacksonville 9.6% +0.07 55 30
165 Elon 9.6% +0.06 55 30
166 North Alabama 9.6% +0.06 55 28
167 Fairfield 9.6% +0.04 54 33
168 Louisville 9.6% +0.04 54 35
169 Georgetown 9.6% +0.04 54 34
170 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9.5% +0.04 54 30
171 Clemson 9.5% +0.04 53 35
172 Grand Canyon 9.5% +0.03 53 32
173 Kansas State 9.5% +0.03 53 32
174 Rice 9.5% +0.01 52 29
175 New Haven 9.5% +0.00 52 28
176 Iona 9.5% +0.00 52 32
177 Oklahoma State 9.5% -0.01 52 35
178 Hampton 9.5% -0.01 51 30
179 Liberty 9.5% -0.02 51 31
180 Stony Brook 9.4% -0.02 51 30
181 Northwestern State 9.4% -0.03 51 30
182 Bethune-Cookman 9.4% -0.03 50 31
183 Milwaukee 9.4% -0.05 50 31
184 Norfolk State 9.4% -0.06 50 28
185 Virginia 9.4% -0.08 49 36
186 Kennesaw State 9.4% -0.08 49 32
187 Tulsa 9.4% -0.08 49 36
188 Campbell 9.3% -0.11 49 32
189 East Carolina 9.3% -0.12 48 30
190 Pennsylvania 9.3% -0.13 48 29
191 NJIT 9.3% -0.13 48 32
192 Virginia Tech 9.2% -0.18 48 32
193 Alabama A&M 9.2% -0.18 47 30
194 Lamar 9.2% -0.18 47 29
195 Oklahoma 9.2% -0.18 47 37
196 Winthrop 9.2% -0.19 46 31
197 Texas Southern 9.2% -0.20 46 28
198 Florida 9.2% -0.20 46 35
199 Baylor 9.2% -0.20 46 33
200 Butler 9.1% -0.21 45 32
201 Oregon 9.1% -0.23 45 32
202 UTSA 9.1% -0.23 45 28
203 Long Beach State 9.1% -0.23 45 30
204 Massachusetts 9.1% -0.24 44 32
205 Towson 9.1% -0.24 44 32
206 Southeast Missouri State 9.1% -0.25 44 30
207 Stetson 9.1% -0.26 43 31
208 Cincinnati 9.0% -0.27 43 33
209 Louisiana 9.0% -0.27 43 33
210 Southern Indiana 9.0% -0.27 43 28
211 Rutgers 9.0% -0.27 42 34
212 Xavier 9.0% -0.28 42 33
213 UC Santa Barbara 9.0% -0.28 42 30
214 Bryant 9.0% -0.28 41 29
215 Central Michigan 9.0% -0.31 41 29
216 Rider 9.0% -0.31 41 28
217 West Georgia 9.0% -0.32 41 30
218 Siena 9.0% -0.32 40 35
219 Syracuse 9.0% -0.32 40 32
220 Hawai'i 8.9% -0.34 40 31
221 Morehead State 8.9% -0.34 40 30
222 Kent State 8.9% -0.34 39 32
223 Drexel 8.9% -0.35 39 32
224 Colorado 8.9% -0.36 39 33
225 Loyola Maryland 8.9% -0.36 38 30
226 New Hampshire 8.9% -0.37 38 28
227 Kansas City 8.9% -0.38 38 28
228 Niagara 8.8% -0.39 38 29
229 Jackson State 8.8% -0.41 37 33
230 Northwestern 8.8% -0.41 37 34
231 UT Rio Grande Valley 8.8% -0.42 37 31
232 Colgate 8.8% -0.42 37 31
233 Jacksonville State 8.8% -0.42 36 29
234 South Carolina Upstate 8.8% -0.43 36 29
235 San José State 8.8% -0.44 36 32
236 Texas Tech 8.8% -0.45 35 34
237 Loyola Marymount 8.7% -0.45 35 31
238 Valparaiso 8.7% -0.45 35 32
239 Cal State Northridge 8.7% -0.45 35 32
240 Bellarmine 8.7% -0.46 34 30
241 Delaware 8.7% -0.46 34 30
242 Eastern Kentucky 8.7% -0.47 34 30
243 Coppin State 8.7% -0.48 34 30
244 Wichita State 8.7% -0.49 33 35
245 Maryland Eastern Shore 8.7% -0.50 33 30
246 Gardner-Webb 8.6% -0.53 33 30
247 Marshall 8.6% -0.54 32 31
248 Temple 8.6% -0.54 32 31
249 Alabama 8.6% -0.54 32 35
250 Indiana State 8.6% -0.55 32 30
251 Eastern Washington 8.5% -0.59 31 32
252 Mount St. Mary's 8.5% -0.59 31 31
253 LSU 8.5% -0.59 31 32
254 USC 8.5% -0.59 30 31
255 Belmont 8.5% -0.61 30 31
256 California 8.5% -0.62 30 33
257 Columbia 8.5% -0.62 30 26
258 Middle Tennessee 8.4% -0.64 29 29
259 Georgia Tech 8.4% -0.64 29 31
260 South Dakota 8.4% -0.64 29 29
261 Pepperdine 8.4% -0.65 29 30
262 UL Monroe 8.4% -0.65 28 30
263 Queens University 8.4% -0.65 28 34
264 Purdue 8.4% -0.66 28 39
265 Cal Poly 8.4% -0.67 27 31
266 Washington 8.3% -0.69 27 33
267 Air Force 8.3% -0.69 27 32
268 Portland 8.3% -0.70 27 32
269 Western Carolina 8.3% -0.70 26 29
270 New Mexico State 8.3% -0.71 26 29
271 Holy Cross 8.3% -0.72 26 31
272 Detroit Mercy 8.3% -0.73 26 30
273 Eastern Michigan 8.3% -0.73 25 30
274 New Orleans 8.3% -0.75 25 33
275 Oral Roberts 8.2% -0.76 25 30
276 Central Connecticut 8.2% -0.76 24 28
277 Charleston 8.2% -0.77 24 31
278 Saint Mary's 8.2% -0.78 24 32
279 Omaha 8.2% -0.78 24 29
280 Oregon State 8.2% -0.78 23 33
281 Creighton 8.2% -0.79 23 34
282 Pacific 8.2% -0.80 23 31
283 Illinois State 8.2% -0.80 23 35
284 Wofford 8.2% -0.80 22 30
285 Presbyterian 8.1% -0.82 22 30
286 Robert Morris 8.1% -0.82 22 31
287 Northern Illinois 8.1% -0.83 21 28
288 Murray State 8.1% -0.83 21 33
289 Ohio 8.1% -0.84 21 30
290 South Dakota State 8.1% -0.86 21 29
291 Colorado State 8.1% -0.86 20 33
292 Saint Joseph's 8.1% -0.86 20 34
293 Idaho 8.0% -0.88 20 33
294 Yale 8.0% -0.88 20 29
295 Florida Atlantic 8.0% -0.88 19 31
296 California Baptist 8.0% -0.88 19 34
297 Old Dominion 8.0% -0.89 19 32
298 Mississippi State 8.0% -0.89 18 32
299 South Carolina 8.0% -0.90 18 32
300 Texas 8.0% -0.91 18 35
301 Cornell 8.0% -0.92 18 26
302 Wisconsin 8.0% -0.92 17 35
303 The Citadel 7.9% -0.94 17 30
304 Le Moyne 7.9% -0.94 17 31
305 Sacred Heart 7.9% -0.94 16 32
306 Washington State 7.9% -0.95 16 31
307 Lafayette 7.9% -0.95 16 31
308 Army 7.9% -0.96 16 30
309 Tennessee Tech 7.9% -0.97 15 28
310 UNC Greensboro 7.9% -0.98 15 32
311 Incarnate Word 7.9% -0.99 15 28
312 Utah 7.8% -1.00 15 32
313 North Carolina 7.8% -1.00 14 33
314 Kansas 7.8% -1.00 14 35
315 UCF 7.8% -1.01 14 33
316 Michigan 7.8% -1.02 13 40
317 Wagner 7.8% -1.03 13 28
318 Cleveland State 7.7% -1.06 13 30
319 UNC Wilmington 7.7% -1.09 13 32
320 George Mason 7.7% -1.10 12 32
321 Montana 7.7% -1.11 12 30
322 Drake 7.6% -1.13 12 32
323 Idaho State 7.6% -1.13 12 30
324 Michigan State 7.6% -1.14 11 35
325 James Madison 7.6% -1.15 11 32
326 UNC Asheville 7.6% -1.17 11 29
327 Binghamton 7.6% -1.17 10 28
328 San Francisco 7.5% -1.21 10 32
329 Western Illinois 7.5% -1.21 10 28
330 Canisius 7.5% -1.22 10 30
331 UMass Lowell 7.5% -1.23 9 30
332 Fairleigh Dickinson 7.4% -1.25 9 29
333 North Carolina A&T 7.4% -1.27 9 28
334 Southern Utah 7.4% -1.28 9 29
335 Hofstra 7.3% -1.32 8 33
336 Chattanooga 7.3% -1.32 8 29
337 Evansville 7.3% -1.32 8 30
338 Boston University 7.3% -1.35 7 33
339 UMBC 7.3% -1.35 7 31
340 UC Riverside 7.2% -1.37 7 30
341 Providence 7.2% -1.38 7 33
342 Ohio State 7.2% -1.38 6 34
343 App State 7.2% -1.39 6 30
344 Boston College 7.2% -1.42 6 31
345 Dartmouth 7.1% -1.43 5 25
346 Maryland 7.1% -1.44 5 33
347 Princeton 7.1% -1.44 5 28
348 Stonehill 6.9% -1.55 5 31
349 Charlotte 6.9% -1.56 4 33
350 Indiana 6.9% -1.57 4 32
351 Vermont 6.9% -1.60 4 32
352 Boise State 6.8% -1.63 4 30
353 Notre Dame 6.6% -1.77 3 31
354 Furman 6.5% -1.80 3 32
355 Green Bay 6.5% -1.82 3 31
356 Charleston Southern 6.5% -1.84 2 29
357 North Florida 6.4% -1.85 2 30
358 Denver 6.4% -1.87 2 29
359 Samford 6.3% -1.93 2 30
360 Loyola Chicago 6.1% -2.04 1 33
361 Coastal Carolina 6.1% -2.07 1 31
362 Morgan State 6.1% -2.08 1 27
363 Western Michigan 6.0% -2.12 1 29
364 Northern Colorado 5.6% -2.36 0 29
365 Illinois 5.6% -2.38 0 37