I had 'em all out there steppin' and fetchin' like their heads were on fire and their asses was catchin'. "The Ballad of Uneasy Rider" - Charlie Daniels

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min -75.0 max 75.0 mean 0.1 std 25.4 (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Margin z Pctl GP
1 Illinois 75.0 +2.95 100 1
2 Missouri 61.0 +2.40 100 1
3 George Washington 52.0 +2.04 99 1
4 Texas 50.0 +1.96 99 1
5 Vanderbilt 46.0 +1.81 99 1
6 Arkansas 45.0 +1.77 98 1
7 West Virginia 45.0 +1.77 98 1
8 Xavier 45.0 +1.77 97 1
9 Rhode Island 44.0 +1.73 97 1
10 Florida State 43.0 +1.69 97 1
11 LSU 43.0 +1.69 96 1
12 Nebraska 42.0 +1.65 96 1
13 Ole Miss 41.0 +1.61 96 1
14 Oregon State 41.0 +1.61 95 1
15 New Mexico 40.0 +1.57 95 1
16 Penn State 40.0 +1.57 95 1
17 UConn 40.0 +1.57 94 1
18 Houston 39.0 +1.53 94 1
19 TCU 39.0 +1.53 94 1
20 Pittsburgh 38.0 +1.49 93 1
21 Michigan State 37.0 +1.45 93 1
22 Nevada 37.0 +1.45 92 1
23 Butler 36.0 +1.41 92 1
24 Utah State 36.0 +1.41 92 1
25 Colorado 35.0 +1.37 91 1
26 Marquette 35.0 +1.37 91 1
27 Minnesota 35.0 +1.37 91 1
28 Duke 34.0 +1.33 90 1
29 Indiana 34.0 +1.33 90 1
30 Texas Tech 34.0 +1.33 90 1
31 Virginia Tech 34.0 +1.33 89 1
32 USC 32.0 +1.26 89 1
33 Dayton 31.0 +1.22 88 1
34 Oklahoma State 31.0 +1.22 88 1
35 Tennessee 31.0 +1.22 88 1
36 Texas A&M 31.0 +1.22 87 1
37 Wright State 31.0 +1.22 87 1
38 Central Arkansas 30.0 +1.18 87 1
39 Kansas 30.0 +1.18 86 1
40 Murray State 30.0 +1.18 86 1
41 Maryland 29.0 +1.14 86 1
42 Virginia 29.0 +1.14 85 1
43 George Mason 28.0 +1.10 85 1
44 Kentucky 28.0 +1.10 84 1
45 Marshall 27.0 +1.06 84 1
46 Providence 27.0 +1.06 84 1
47 South Florida 27.0 +1.06 83 1
48 Boston College 26.0 +1.02 83 1
49 Cincinnati 26.0 +1.02 83 1
50 Northwestern 26.0 +1.02 82 1
51 South Carolina 26.0 +1.02 82 1
52 Loyola Chicago 25.0 +0.98 82 1
53 Saint Louis 25.0 +0.98 81 1
54 Western Kentucky 25.0 +0.98 81 1
55 Grand Canyon 24.0 +0.94 81 1
56 San Diego State 24.0 +0.94 80 1
57 Seton Hall 24.0 +0.94 80 1
58 Richmond 23.0 +0.90 79 1
59 Alabama 22.0 +0.86 79 1
60 Baylor 22.0 +0.86 79 1
61 Georgetown 22.0 +0.86 78 1
62 Iowa 22.0 +0.86 78 1
63 Valparaiso 22.0 +0.86 78 1
64 McNeese 21.0 +0.82 77 1
65 San José State 21.0 +0.82 77 1
66 Wake Forest 21.0 +0.82 77 1
67 Georgia Tech 20.0 +0.78 76 1
68 NC State 19.0 +0.74 76 1
69 Santa Clara 19.0 +0.74 75 1
70 Belmont 18.0 +0.70 75 1
71 Mississippi State 18.0 +0.70 75 1
72 Oregon 18.0 +0.70 74 1
73 DePaul 17.0 +0.66 74 1
74 Georgia 16.0 +0.63 74 1
75 Michigan 16.0 +0.63 73 1
76 Syracuse 16.0 +0.63 73 1
77 Creighton 15.0 +0.59 73 1
78 Davidson 15.0 +0.59 72 1
79 High Point 15.0 +0.59 72 1
80 St. John's 15.0 +0.59 71 1
81 Akron 14.0 +0.55 71 1
82 App State 14.0 +0.55 71 1
83 Florida Atlantic 14.0 +0.55 70 1
84 Louisville 14.0 +0.55 70 1
85 San Francisco 14.0 +0.55 70 1
86 Washington 14.0 +0.55 69 1
87 Clemson 13.0 +0.51 69 1
88 East Carolina 13.0 +0.51 69 1
89 Elon 13.0 +0.51 68 1
90 SMU 13.0 +0.51 68 1
91 Georgia Southern 12.0 +0.47 68 1
92 Old Dominion 12.0 +0.47 67 1
93 Temple 12.0 +0.47 67 1
94 Texas State 12.0 +0.47 66 1
95 UNLV 12.0 +0.47 66 1
96 BYU 11.0 +0.43 66 1
97 Massachusetts 11.0 +0.43 65 1
98 Arizona State 10.0 +0.39 65 1
99 Colorado State 10.0 +0.39 65 1
100 Florida 10.0 +0.39 64 1
101 Louisiana Tech 10.0 +0.39 64 1
102 VCU 10.0 +0.39 64 1
103 Yale 10.0 +0.39 63 1
104 Furman 9.0 +0.35 63 1
105 Miami (OH) 9.0 +0.35 62 1
106 Ohio 9.0 +0.35 62 1
107 St. Thomas 9.0 +0.35 62 1
108 Stanford 9.0 +0.35 61 1
109 UCLA 9.0 +0.35 61 1
110 Boston University 8.0 +0.31 61 1
111 Charlotte 8.0 +0.31 60 1
112 North Carolina 8.0 +0.31 60 1
113 North Florida 8.0 +0.31 60 1
114 Northern Kentucky 8.0 +0.31 59 1
115 Youngstown State 8.0 +0.31 59 1
116 Dartmouth 7.0 +0.27 58 1
117 Duquesne 7.0 +0.27 58 1
118 Southeast Missouri State 7.0 +0.27 58 1
119 Wisconsin 7.0 +0.27 57 1
120 Gonzaga 6.0 +0.23 57 1
121 Bryant 5.0 +0.19 57 1
122 Central Michigan 5.0 +0.19 56 1
123 Saint Mary's 5.0 +0.19 56 1
124 Queens University 5.0 +0.19 56 1
125 East Texas A&M 4.0 +0.15 55 1
126 Memphis 4.0 +0.15 55 1
127 New Hampshire 4.0 +0.15 55 1
128 North Alabama 4.0 +0.15 54 1
129 Bowling Green 3.0 +0.11 54 1
130 Utah 3.0 +0.11 53 1
131 Grambling 2.0 +0.07 53 1
132 Notre Dame 2.0 +0.07 53 1
133 South Dakota State 2.0 +0.07 52 1
134 Tulane 2.0 +0.07 52 1
135 Arkansas State 1.0 +0.03 52 1
136 Cornell 1.0 +0.03 51 1
137 Eastern Michigan 1.0 +0.03 51 1
138 Hawai'i 1.0 +0.03 51 1
139 Iona 1.0 +0.03 50 1
140 UCF 1.0 +0.03 50 1
141 Coastal Carolina -1.0 -0.04 49 1
142 Florida Gulf Coast -1.0 -0.04 49 1
143 Pepperdine -1.0 -0.04 49 1
144 Seattle U -1.0 -0.04 48 1
145 Toledo -1.0 -0.04 48 1
146 Vermont -1.0 -0.04 48 1
147 Kansas State -2.0 -0.08 47 1
148 Northern Illinois -2.0 -0.08 47 1
149 UT Martin -2.0 -0.08 47 1
150 Villanova -2.0 -0.08 46 1
151 Georgia State -3.0 -0.12 46 1
152 Long Beach State -3.0 -0.12 45 1
153 Brown -4.0 -0.16 45 1
154 Iowa State -4.0 -0.16 45 1
155 Oklahoma -4.0 -0.16 44 1
156 UC Davis -4.0 -0.16 44 1
157 Illinois State -5.0 -0.20 44 1
158 Siena -5.0 -0.20 43 1
159 UL Monroe -5.0 -0.20 43 1
160 Winthrop -5.0 -0.20 43 1
161 Purdue -6.0 -0.24 42 1
162 Denver -7.0 -0.28 42 1
163 Marist -7.0 -0.28 42 1
164 Purdue Fort Wayne -7.0 -0.28 41 1
165 California Baptist -8.0 -0.32 41 1
166 Indiana State -8.0 -0.32 40 1
167 Northeastern -8.0 -0.32 40 1
168 St. Bonaventure -8.0 -0.32 40 1
169 UTEP -8.0 -0.32 39 1
170 Western Carolina -8.0 -0.32 39 1
171 Arizona -9.0 -0.36 39 1
172 Bethune-Cookman -9.0 -0.36 38 1
173 Eastern Washington -9.0 -0.36 38 1
174 James Madison -9.0 -0.36 38 1
175 Presbyterian -9.0 -0.36 37 1
176 South Alabama -9.0 -0.36 37 1
177 East Tennessee State -10.0 -0.40 36 1
178 Howard -10.0 -0.40 36 1
179 Kent State -10.0 -0.40 36 1
180 Little Rock -10.0 -0.40 35 1
181 Miami -10.0 -0.40 35 1
182 Montana State -10.0 -0.40 35 1
183 Ohio State -11.0 -0.44 34 1
184 Troy -11.0 -0.44 34 1
185 Ball State -12.0 -0.48 34 1
186 Central Connecticut -12.0 -0.48 33 1
187 Northern Arizona -12.0 -0.48 33 1
188 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi -12.0 -0.48 32 1
189 Western Michigan -12.0 -0.48 32 1
190 Columbia -13.0 -0.52 32 1
191 South Carolina Upstate -13.0 -0.52 31 1
192 Southern -13.0 -0.52 31 1
193 Chattanooga -14.0 -0.56 31 1
194 Colgate -14.0 -0.56 30 1
195 Long Island University -14.0 -0.56 30 1
196 Louisiana -14.0 -0.56 30 1
197 Merrimack -14.0 -0.56 29 1
198 Radford -14.0 -0.56 29 1
199 Lipscomb -14.5 -0.58 29 2
200 Kansas City -15.0 -0.60 28 1
201 Liberty -15.0 -0.60 28 1
202 Monmouth -15.0 -0.60 27 1
203 Washington State -15.0 -0.60 27 1
204 New Haven -16.0 -0.63 27 1
205 North Carolina Central -16.0 -0.63 26 1
206 Oakland -16.0 -0.63 26 1
207 West Georgia -17.0 -0.67 26 1
208 Montana -18.0 -0.71 25 1
209 Tennessee Tech -18.0 -0.71 25 1
210 Southern Indiana -18.0 -0.71 25 1
211 Campbell -19.0 -0.75 24 1
212 Towson -19.0 -0.75 24 1
213 Stetson -19.5 -0.77 23 2
214 Hampton -20.0 -0.79 23 1
215 Maryland Eastern Shore -21.0 -0.83 23 1
216 UAB -21.0 -0.83 22 1
217 UTSA -21.0 -0.83 22 1
218 Loyola Maryland -22.0 -0.87 22 1
219 Northwestern State -22.0 -0.87 21 1
220 Sam Houston -22.0 -0.87 21 1
221 Western Illinois -22.0 -0.87 21 1
222 UNC Asheville -23.0 -0.91 20 1
223 Cal State Fullerton -24.0 -0.95 20 1
224 Saint Peter's -24.0 -0.95 19 1
225 Texas Southern -24.0 -0.95 19 1
226 Lehigh -25.0 -0.99 19 1
227 Morehead State -25.0 -0.99 18 1
228 The Citadel -25.0 -0.99 18 1
229 American University -26.0 -1.03 18 1
230 Binghamton -26.0 -1.03 17 1
231 Wagner -26.0 -1.03 17 1
232 Buffalo -27.0 -1.07 17 1
233 Charleston Southern -27.0 -1.07 16 1
234 Maine -27.0 -1.07 16 1
235 Manhattan -28.0 -1.11 16 1
236 UMBC -28.0 -1.11 15 1
237 Bucknell -29.0 -1.15 15 1
238 Drexel -29.0 -1.15 14 1
239 Fordham -30.0 -1.19 14 1
240 Oral Roberts -30.0 -1.19 14 1
241 Tennessee State -30.0 -1.19 13 1
242 Air Force -31.0 -1.23 13 1
243 Alabama State -31.0 -1.23 13 1
244 Incarnate Word -31.0 -1.23 12 1
245 NJIT -31.0 -1.23 12 1
246 Wofford -31.0 -1.23 12 1
247 Milwaukee -32.0 -1.26 11 1
248 Army -34.0 -1.34 11 1
249 Coppin State -34.0 -1.34 10 1
250 Eastern Illinois -34.0 -1.34 10 1
251 Jackson State -34.0 -1.34 10 1
252 Abilene Christian -35.0 -1.38 9 1
253 Mercyhurst -35.0 -1.38 9 1
254 North Dakota -35.0 -1.38 9 1
255 Idaho State -36.0 -1.42 8 1
256 Lafayette -36.0 -1.42 8 1
257 Quinnipiac -37.0 -1.46 8 1
258 Robert Morris -37.0 -1.46 7 1
259 Rider -38.0 -1.50 7 1
260 La Salle -39.0 -1.54 6 1
261 Lindenwood -39.0 -1.54 6 1
262 Canisius -40.0 -1.58 6 1
263 Gardner-Webb -40.0 -1.58 5 1
264 Utah Tech -40.0 -1.58 5 1
265 Alcorn State -41.0 -1.62 5 1
266 Weber State -41.0 -1.62 4 1
267 Le Moyne -42.0 -1.66 4 1
268 Florida A&M -43.0 -1.70 4 1
269 LSU New Orleans -43.0 -1.70 3 1
270 Holy Cross -44.0 -1.74 3 1
271 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -45.0 -1.78 3 1
272 Mount St. Mary's -45.0 -1.78 2 1
273 Niagara -45.0 -1.78 2 1
274 Bellarmine -46.0 -1.82 1 1
275 Chicago State -50.0 -1.97 1 1
276 Navy -52.0 -2.05 1 1
277 Cleveland State -61.0 -2.41 0 1
278 Fairleigh Dickinson -75.0 -2.96 0 1