The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.65 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 27.1 max 45.1 mean 34.7 std 2.8 (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Florida 45.1 +3.76 100 35
2 Arizona 42.6 +2.86 100 39
3 Tennessee 42.5 +2.79 99 37
4 South Florida 42.3 +2.75 99 33
5 Arkansas State 41.8 +2.56 99 30
6 Wichita State 41.7 +2.51 99 35
7 Illinois 41.1 +2.29 98 37
8 Alabama 40.7 +2.17 98 35
9 Charleston Southern 40.4 +2.06 98 29
10 Duke 40.2 +2.00 98 38
11 Michigan 40.1 +1.94 97 40
12 Cal State Northridge 40.1 +1.93 97 32
13 Virginia 40.0 +1.92 97 36
14 California Baptist 40.0 +1.91 96 34
15 Gonzaga 39.9 +1.87 96 35
16 Saint Mary's 39.8 +1.84 96 32
17 Winthrop 39.8 +1.83 96 31
18 Michigan State 39.7 +1.79 95 35
19 UAB 39.2 +1.63 95 31
20 UNC Wilmington 39.1 +1.59 95 32
21 Saint Louis 39.1 +1.57 95 34
22 Kansas 39.1 +1.57 94 35
23 UC Irvine 39.0 +1.56 94 33
24 Kent State 38.9 +1.53 94 32
25 Coastal Carolina 38.8 +1.47 93 31
26 Hawai'i 38.6 +1.41 93 31
27 Kennesaw State 38.6 +1.39 93 32
28 Providence 38.5 +1.38 93 33
29 Sam Houston 38.5 +1.35 92 31
30 St. John's 38.4 +1.35 92 37
31 Louisville 38.3 +1.32 92 35
32 Western Kentucky 38.3 +1.30 91 30
33 Mississippi State 38.2 +1.27 91 32
34 Towson 38.2 +1.27 91 32
35 Hofstra 38.2 +1.27 91 33
36 North Carolina 38.2 +1.27 90 33
37 Lindenwood 38.2 +1.26 90 30
38 Georgia 38.1 +1.24 90 33
39 Pacific 38.1 +1.23 90 31
40 BYU 38.1 +1.22 89 35
41 Oklahoma State 38.0 +1.20 89 35
42 UT Martin 38.0 +1.18 89 30
43 Fairfield 37.9 +1.17 88 33
44 Saint Joseph's 37.9 +1.16 88 34
45 Florida Atlantic 37.9 +1.15 88 31
46 Western Carolina 37.8 +1.13 88 29
47 Cal Poly 37.8 +1.12 87 31
48 Southern Illinois 37.8 +1.12 87 31
49 Butler 37.8 +1.11 87 32
50 UCF 37.7 +1.07 87 33
51 SMU 37.6 +1.06 86 34
52 New Orleans 37.5 +1.00 86 33
53 Troy 37.4 +0.99 86 32
54 Miami 37.4 +0.99 85 35
55 Columbia 37.4 +0.99 85 26
56 App State 37.4 +0.98 85 30
57 Kentucky 37.4 +0.96 85 36
58 New Mexico State 37.3 +0.95 84 29
59 Tulsa 37.3 +0.94 84 36
60 Cincinnati 37.3 +0.94 84 33
61 Louisiana Tech 37.3 +0.94 84 31
62 Texas A&M 37.3 +0.93 83 34
63 Washington 37.2 +0.89 83 33
64 Fordham 37.1 +0.88 83 29
65 Georgia Tech 37.1 +0.86 82 31
66 Mount St. Mary's 37.1 +0.86 82 31
67 George Washington 37.1 +0.85 82 34
68 Houston 37.1 +0.85 82 37
69 Rice 37.0 +0.83 81 29
70 Robert Morris 36.9 +0.81 81 31
71 Texas 36.9 +0.79 81 35
72 LSU 36.9 +0.79 80 32
73 Memphis 36.8 +0.78 80 32
74 Charleston 36.8 +0.75 80 31
75 Akron 36.8 +0.75 80 33
76 Texas Tech 36.7 +0.74 79 34
77 Detroit Mercy 36.7 +0.71 79 30
78 Stonehill 36.6 +0.71 79 31
79 Boston College 36.6 +0.69 79 31
80 Notre Dame 36.6 +0.69 78 31
81 Southern Indiana 36.6 +0.69 78 28
82 UConn 36.6 +0.69 78 40
83 Massachusetts 36.6 +0.69 77 32
84 Quinnipiac 36.6 +0.68 77 31
85 Lamar 36.6 +0.67 77 29
86 UC San Diego 36.5 +0.67 77 32
87 New Mexico 36.5 +0.66 76 36
88 VCU 36.5 +0.66 76 36
89 James Madison 36.5 +0.65 76 32
90 Longwood 36.5 +0.65 76 29
91 South Dakota State 36.4 +0.64 75 29
92 Furman 36.4 +0.61 75 32
93 Marshall 36.4 +0.60 75 31
94 Auburn 36.3 +0.60 74 38
95 Baylor 36.3 +0.59 74 33
96 West Georgia 36.3 +0.59 74 30
97 Murray State 36.3 +0.58 74 33
98 North Carolina A&T 36.3 +0.58 73 28
99 Tennessee State 36.3 +0.57 73 30
100 Stephen F. Austin 36.3 +0.56 73 32
101 Idaho 36.2 +0.56 73 33
102 East Carolina 36.2 +0.56 72 30
103 North Dakota State 36.2 +0.55 72 32
104 Florida International 36.2 +0.55 72 29
105 Grand Canyon 36.2 +0.54 71 32
106 Nevada 36.1 +0.51 71 37
107 Northern Colorado 36.0 +0.49 71 29
108 Valparaiso 36.0 +0.49 71 32
109 Arkansas 36.0 +0.48 70 37
110 USC 36.0 +0.46 70 31
111 Southern Miss 35.9 +0.45 70 33
112 UIC 35.9 +0.45 70 33
113 TCU 35.9 +0.44 69 35
114 Western Michigan 35.9 +0.44 69 29
115 Navy 35.8 +0.40 69 32
116 Seton Hall 35.8 +0.39 68 33
117 UMass Lowell 35.7 +0.38 68 30
118 High Point 35.7 +0.38 68 33
119 SIU Edwardsville 35.7 +0.36 68 29
120 Florida Gulf Coast 35.7 +0.36 67 32
121 UT Arlington 35.7 +0.35 67 30
122 San Francisco 35.7 +0.35 67 32
123 Georgetown 35.6 +0.35 66 34
124 Oklahoma 35.6 +0.34 66 37
125 Howard 35.6 +0.34 66 31
126 Wagner 35.6 +0.33 66 28
127 Marist 35.6 +0.33 65 30
128 Morehead State 35.6 +0.33 65 30
129 Iona 35.6 +0.33 65 32
130 Wisconsin 35.5 +0.31 65 35
131 Mercer 35.5 +0.30 64 29
132 Middle Tennessee 35.5 +0.30 64 29
133 Milwaukee 35.5 +0.30 64 31
134 Saint Peter's 35.5 +0.29 63 28
135 Bethune-Cookman 35.5 +0.29 63 31
136 Boise State 35.5 +0.28 63 30
137 Santa Clara 35.4 +0.27 63 34
138 Missouri 35.4 +0.27 62 33
139 Alabama State 35.4 +0.27 62 31
140 South Carolina Upstate 35.4 +0.26 62 29
141 Samford 35.4 +0.26 62 30
142 Maryland 35.4 +0.26 61 33
143 North Texas 35.4 +0.25 61 31
144 Weber State 35.4 +0.25 61 30
145 Florida State 35.3 +0.23 60 33
146 Iowa State 35.3 +0.23 60 37
147 Portland State 35.3 +0.23 60 28
148 Belmont 35.3 +0.21 60 31
149 Pennsylvania 35.2 +0.20 59 29
150 Purdue 35.2 +0.20 59 39
151 Vanderbilt 35.2 +0.19 59 36
152 Creighton 35.1 +0.17 59 34
153 Illinois State 35.1 +0.17 58 35
154 Yale 35.1 +0.16 58 29
155 Wyoming 35.1 +0.16 58 32
156 Bowling Green 35.1 +0.15 57 29
157 Radford 35.1 +0.15 57 29
158 St. Bonaventure 35.1 +0.15 57 33
159 Eastern Kentucky 35.1 +0.14 57 30
160 Eastern Michigan 35.0 +0.13 56 30
161 George Mason 34.9 +0.08 56 32
162 Austin Peay 34.9 +0.08 56 29
163 UTSA 34.9 +0.08 55 28
164 Long Island University 34.9 +0.07 55 35
165 Hampton 34.9 +0.07 55 30
166 Texas State 34.9 +0.07 55 30
167 Nebraska 34.9 +0.06 54 35
168 Tennessee Tech 34.8 +0.05 54 28
169 Jacksonville State 34.8 +0.04 54 29
170 Virginia Tech 34.8 +0.04 54 32
171 Oakland 34.8 +0.03 53 31
172 Utah Valley 34.8 +0.03 53 31
173 Drake 34.8 +0.03 53 32
174 Le Moyne 34.7 +0.02 52 31
175 Elon 34.7 +0.02 52 30
176 San Diego State 34.7 +0.01 52 32
177 Southern 34.7 +0.01 52 31
178 West Virginia 34.7 +0.00 51 35
179 Texas Southern 34.7 -0.00 51 28
180 Central Arkansas 34.6 -0.02 51 32
181 Colorado 34.6 -0.03 51 33
182 Drexel 34.6 -0.04 50 32
183 UMBC 34.5 -0.05 50 31
184 California 34.5 -0.05 50 33
185 Presbyterian 34.5 -0.05 49 30
186 Wofford 34.5 -0.05 49 30
187 La Salle 34.5 -0.06 49 31
188 South Alabama 34.5 -0.06 49 31
189 Pittsburgh 34.5 -0.06 48 33
190 Rider 34.5 -0.06 48 28
191 Duquesne 34.5 -0.07 48 31
192 NC State 34.5 -0.07 48 34
193 Charlotte 34.5 -0.08 47 33
194 Monmouth 34.5 -0.08 47 33
195 Wright State 34.5 -0.08 47 33
196 Cal State Fullerton 34.4 -0.09 46 32
197 Sacred Heart 34.4 -0.09 46 32
198 Oregon 34.4 -0.11 46 32
199 Army 34.4 -0.11 46 30
200 Xavier 34.3 -0.12 45 33
201 Ole Miss 34.3 -0.13 45 35
202 Siena 34.3 -0.13 45 35
203 UNC Greensboro 34.3 -0.13 45 32
204 Cal State Bakersfield 34.3 -0.14 44 30
205 Georgia State 34.3 -0.14 44 30
206 Northern Kentucky 34.3 -0.15 44 31
207 Old Dominion 34.3 -0.15 43 32
208 Villanova 34.2 -0.16 43 33
209 Marquette 34.2 -0.17 43 32
210 UNLV 34.2 -0.17 43 34
211 Vermont 34.2 -0.18 42 32
212 UC Santa Barbara 34.2 -0.18 42 30
213 Syracuse 34.2 -0.19 42 32
214 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 34.1 -0.19 41 29
215 UC Riverside 34.1 -0.20 41 30
216 Bradley 34.1 -0.20 41 33
217 Loyola Chicago 34.1 -0.20 41 33
218 Stanford 34.1 -0.20 40 33
219 Campbell 34.1 -0.21 40 32
220 Clemson 34.1 -0.21 40 35
221 Utah State 34.1 -0.21 40 35
222 Southern Utah 34.1 -0.22 39 29
223 Indiana State 34.1 -0.22 39 30
224 Fresno State 34.1 -0.22 39 31
225 McNeese 34.1 -0.22 38 32
226 Florida A&M 34.0 -0.23 38 29
227 Miami (OH) 34.0 -0.23 38 31
228 Jackson State 34.0 -0.24 38 33
229 Kansas State 34.0 -0.24 37 32
230 Morgan State 34.0 -0.24 37 27
231 UT Rio Grande Valley 34.0 -0.26 37 31
232 New Hampshire 34.0 -0.26 37 28
233 NJIT 33.9 -0.27 36 32
234 Washington State 33.9 -0.27 36 31
235 Fairleigh Dickinson 33.9 -0.27 36 29
236 Cornell 33.9 -0.27 35 26
237 Stony Brook 33.9 -0.28 35 30
238 William & Mary 33.9 -0.28 35 30
239 Brown 33.8 -0.32 35 25
240 Oral Roberts 33.7 -0.34 34 30
241 Southeast Missouri State 33.7 -0.35 34 30
242 Georgia Southern 33.7 -0.36 34 35
243 Omaha 33.7 -0.37 34 29
244 UNC Asheville 33.7 -0.37 33 29
245 Norfolk State 33.6 -0.39 33 28
246 Loyola Maryland 33.6 -0.39 33 30
247 Utah 33.6 -0.39 32 32
248 Colgate 33.6 -0.39 32 31
249 Lipscomb 33.6 -0.40 32 30
250 South Dakota 33.5 -0.43 32 29
251 Loyola Marymount 33.4 -0.45 31 31
252 Dartmouth 33.4 -0.46 31 25
253 Little Rock 33.3 -0.48 31 30
254 Temple 33.3 -0.49 30 31
255 Denver 33.3 -0.49 30 29
256 Wake Forest 33.3 -0.50 30 35
257 Queens University 33.3 -0.51 30 34
258 Missouri State 33.3 -0.51 29 31
259 DePaul 33.3 -0.51 29 32
260 Arizona State 33.2 -0.53 29 33
261 Ohio State 33.2 -0.53 29 34
262 Ohio 33.2 -0.53 28 30
263 North Alabama 33.1 -0.56 28 28
264 Canisius 33.1 -0.57 28 30
265 Central Connecticut 33.1 -0.58 27 28
266 Youngstown State 33.1 -0.58 27 29
267 Alabama A&M 33.0 -0.60 27 30
268 Northern Illinois 33.0 -0.60 27 28
269 Toledo 33.0 -0.61 26 32
270 Rhode Island 32.9 -0.64 26 32
271 Pepperdine 32.9 -0.64 26 30
272 Rutgers 32.9 -0.65 26 34
273 East Tennessee State 32.9 -0.65 25 32
274 Dayton 32.9 -0.65 25 37
275 UAlbany 32.9 -0.65 25 29
276 Prairie View A&M 32.8 -0.66 24 33
277 Sacramento State 32.8 -0.69 24 28
278 Utah Tech 32.7 -0.70 24 31
279 Portland 32.7 -0.70 24 32
280 Grambling 32.6 -0.73 23 31
281 Richmond 32.6 -0.73 23 31
282 Princeton 32.6 -0.73 23 28
283 Lafayette 32.6 -0.74 23 31
284 Davidson 32.6 -0.76 22 32
285 South Carolina 32.6 -0.76 22 32
286 Montana 32.5 -0.77 22 30
287 Long Beach State 32.5 -0.79 21 30
288 Idaho State 32.4 -0.81 21 30
289 Jacksonville 32.4 -0.81 21 30
290 Oregon State 32.4 -0.81 21 33
291 St. Thomas-Minnesota 32.4 -0.81 20 31
292 UC Davis 32.4 -0.81 20 31
293 Indiana 32.4 -0.82 20 32
294 Manhattan 32.4 -0.82 20 31
295 Bryant 32.4 -0.83 19 29
296 UCLA 32.3 -0.85 19 36
297 Incarnate Word 32.2 -0.89 19 28
298 Kansas City 32.2 -0.89 18 28
299 Montana State 32.2 -0.90 18 29
300 Mercyhurst 32.2 -0.91 18 32
301 Boston University 32.1 -0.92 18 33
302 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 32.1 -0.94 17 30
303 East Texas A&M 32.1 -0.94 17 30
304 Colorado State 32.1 -0.94 17 33
305 Maryland Eastern Shore 32.0 -0.95 16 30
306 The Citadel 32.0 -0.95 16 30
307 Eastern Washington 32.0 -0.97 16 32
308 Harvard 31.9 -0.99 16 28
309 North Dakota 31.9 -1.00 15 32
310 Coppin State 31.8 -1.03 15 30
311 UL Monroe 31.8 -1.05 15 30
312 Central Michigan 31.8 -1.05 15 29
313 Eastern Illinois 31.6 -1.09 14 30
314 UTEP 31.6 -1.10 14 28
315 Northern Iowa 31.6 -1.11 14 35
316 Ball State 31.6 -1.11 13 29
317 Northeastern 31.6 -1.11 13 31
318 SE Louisiana 31.6 -1.12 13 30
319 IU Indianapolis 31.5 -1.13 13 30
320 Stetson 31.5 -1.14 12 31
321 Tarleton State 31.4 -1.17 12 28
322 Bucknell 31.4 -1.17 12 33
323 North Florida 31.3 -1.20 12 30
324 Houston Christian 31.3 -1.23 11 30
325 Seattle U 31.2 -1.23 11 33
326 Buffalo 31.2 -1.24 11 30
327 Lehigh 31.1 -1.29 10 33
328 Chattanooga 31.0 -1.31 10 29
329 Minnesota 31.0 -1.33 10 33
330 VMI 30.9 -1.35 10 29
331 Tulane 30.8 -1.38 9 32
332 Cleveland State 30.8 -1.38 9 30
333 Saint Francis 30.8 -1.40 9 29
334 San Diego 30.7 -1.41 9 31
335 Western Illinois 30.7 -1.42 8 28
336 Delaware State 30.6 -1.48 8 27
337 Northwestern State 30.5 -1.49 8 30
338 Northwestern 30.5 -1.50 7 34
339 American University 30.5 -1.51 7 30
340 South Carolina State 30.5 -1.51 7 30
341 Green Bay 30.5 -1.52 7 31
342 Holy Cross 30.4 -1.53 6 31
343 Binghamton 30.4 -1.54 6 28
344 North Carolina Central 30.4 -1.54 6 28
345 Evansville 30.4 -1.55 5 30
346 Nicholls 30.3 -1.56 5 32
347 Louisiana 30.3 -1.56 5 33
348 Abilene Christian 30.3 -1.57 5 30
349 Chicago State 30.3 -1.58 4 31
350 Mississippi Valley State 30.2 -1.61 4 32
351 Gardner-Webb 30.2 -1.62 4 30
352 Alcorn State 30.2 -1.62 4 32
353 Delaware 30.1 -1.63 3 30
354 New Haven 29.9 -1.71 3 28
355 Iowa 29.3 -1.92 3 37
356 Air Force 29.1 -2.01 2 32
357 Purdue Fort Wayne 29.0 -2.04 2 29
358 Penn State 29.0 -2.05 2 32
359 Niagara 28.9 -2.06 2 29
360 San José State 28.9 -2.07 1 32
361 Northern Arizona 28.7 -2.14 1 29
362 Merrimack 28.7 -2.16 1 34
363 Liberty 27.9 -2.42 1 31
364 Maine 27.7 -2.49 0 31
365 Bellarmine 27.1 -2.71 0 30