Hallelujah, here she comes. "Skateaway" - Dire Straits

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 13.1 max 22.2 mean 17.6 std 1.6 (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Personal Fouls Per Game z Pctl GP
1 South Alabama 13.1 -2.80 100 31
2 Illinois 13.4 -2.57 100 37
3 Harvard 13.5 -2.51 99 28
4 UMBC 13.7 -2.40 99 31
5 Siena 13.8 -2.32 99 35
6 Central Connecticut 14.1 -2.13 99 28
7 New Haven 14.1 -2.13 98 28
8 Nebraska 14.3 -2.06 98 35
9 Saint Joseph's 14.3 -2.02 98 34
10 Delaware 14.4 -1.99 98 30
11 Navy 14.4 -1.97 97 32
12 Creighton 14.4 -1.96 97 34
13 UAB 14.4 -1.96 97 31
14 Kansas 14.5 -1.93 96 35
15 Purdue 14.5 -1.90 96 39
16 Minnesota 14.5 -1.90 96 33
17 North Carolina 14.7 -1.79 96 33
18 UL Monroe 14.7 -1.76 95 30
19 Liberty 14.8 -1.74 95 31
20 Manhattan 14.9 -1.68 95 31
21 UMass Lowell 15.0 -1.62 95 30
22 Sacred Heart 15.0 -1.62 94 32
23 North Alabama 15.0 -1.58 94 28
24 North Dakota State 15.2 -1.46 94 32
25 Toledo 15.2 -1.46 93 32
26 Fairfield 15.2 -1.45 93 33
27 Butler 15.3 -1.38 93 32
28 Saint Mary's 15.4 -1.36 93 32
29 Niagara 15.4 -1.34 92 29
30 Stetson 15.4 -1.34 92 31
31 Oakland 15.5 -1.32 92 31
32 West Virginia 15.5 -1.31 91 35
33 Houston Christian 15.5 -1.31 91 30
34 Pepperdine 15.5 -1.31 91 30
35 Duke 15.5 -1.30 91 38
36 Miami 15.5 -1.30 90 35
37 Michigan 15.5 -1.29 90 40
38 Furman 15.5 -1.27 90 32
39 Penn State 15.5 -1.27 90 32
40 George Mason 15.6 -1.25 89 32
41 Oregon 15.6 -1.25 89 32
42 Northern Iowa 15.6 -1.24 89 35
43 South Dakota 15.8 -1.13 88 29
44 BYU 15.9 -1.05 88 35
45 Fordham 15.9 -1.04 88 29
46 Mercer 15.9 -1.04 88 29
47 Arizona 15.9 -1.02 87 39
48 Little Rock 15.9 -1.02 87 30
49 Stephen F. Austin 15.9 -1.02 87 32
50 Purdue Fort Wayne 16.0 -1.00 87 29
51 App State 16.0 -1.00 86 30
52 Holy Cross 16.0 -1.00 86 31
53 UC Irvine 16.0 -1.00 86 33
54 Iowa State 16.0 -0.99 85 37
55 Cincinnati 16.0 -0.98 85 33
56 Lehigh 16.0 -0.98 85 33
57 Monmouth 16.0 -0.96 85 33
58 Towson 16.0 -0.96 84 32
59 Utah Tech 16.1 -0.94 84 31
60 East Carolina 16.1 -0.94 84 30
61 Ball State 16.1 -0.93 84 29
62 Yale 16.1 -0.93 83 29
63 St. Thomas-Minnesota 16.1 -0.92 83 31
64 Stonehill 16.1 -0.92 83 31
65 Evansville 16.1 -0.92 82 30
66 Rider 16.1 -0.91 82 28
67 Michigan State 16.1 -0.91 82 35
68 Mississippi State 16.2 -0.88 82 32
69 Utah 16.2 -0.88 81 32
70 Villanova 16.2 -0.86 81 33
71 Buffalo 16.2 -0.85 81 30
72 Clemson 16.2 -0.85 80 35
73 Boston University 16.2 -0.85 80 33
74 Iona 16.2 -0.84 80 32
75 Montana State 16.2 -0.83 80 29
76 Akron 16.2 -0.83 79 33
77 Indiana State 16.3 -0.81 79 30
78 Pittsburgh 16.3 -0.81 79 33
79 UC San Diego 16.3 -0.78 79 32
80 Lafayette 16.3 -0.78 78 31
81 Texas Tech 16.3 -0.78 78 34
82 Lipscomb 16.3 -0.77 78 30
83 TCU 16.3 -0.76 77 35
84 Merrimack 16.4 -0.76 77 34
85 Tulsa 16.4 -0.75 77 36
86 Baylor 16.4 -0.75 77 33
87 Stony Brook 16.4 -0.75 76 30
88 Samford 16.4 -0.73 76 30
89 Syracuse 16.4 -0.71 76 32
90 Tennessee Tech 16.5 -0.69 76 28
91 Bryant 16.5 -0.68 75 29
92 UNC Greensboro 16.5 -0.67 75 32
93 Western Illinois 16.5 -0.67 75 28
94 Louisiana Tech 16.5 -0.66 74 31
95 SIU Edwardsville 16.5 -0.66 74 29
96 St. Bonaventure 16.6 -0.62 74 33
97 Miami (OH) 16.6 -0.62 74 31
98 Quinnipiac 16.6 -0.60 73 31
99 Rutgers 16.6 -0.59 73 34
100 Southern Utah 16.6 -0.59 73 29
101 Troy 16.6 -0.59 73 32
102 Maine 16.6 -0.58 72 31
103 Gonzaga 16.7 -0.57 72 35
104 Seattle U 16.7 -0.56 72 33
105 Dayton 16.7 -0.56 71 37
106 La Salle 16.7 -0.56 71 31
107 Princeton 16.7 -0.56 71 28
108 The Citadel 16.7 -0.52 71 30
109 Central Arkansas 16.8 -0.51 70 32
110 Arkansas 16.8 -0.51 70 37
111 Dartmouth 16.8 -0.51 70 25
112 Columbia 16.8 -0.50 70 26
113 Boston College 16.8 -0.50 69 31
114 Charleston 16.8 -0.50 69 31
115 Fresno State 16.8 -0.50 69 31
116 Kansas City 16.8 -0.49 68 28
117 Illinois State 16.8 -0.48 68 35
118 Northwestern State 16.8 -0.48 68 30
119 East Tennessee State 16.8 -0.47 68 32
120 Pennsylvania 16.8 -0.46 67 29
121 Loyola Maryland 16.9 -0.44 67 30
122 Colorado State 16.9 -0.41 67 33
123 UAlbany 16.9 -0.40 66 29
124 East Texas A&M 16.9 -0.40 66 30
125 Georgia 16.9 -0.39 66 33
126 Oklahoma State 16.9 -0.39 66 35
127 UTSA 17.0 -0.38 65 28
128 Davidson 17.0 -0.38 65 32
129 Drexel 17.0 -0.38 65 32
130 Vermont 17.0 -0.38 65 32
131 Loyola Chicago 17.0 -0.38 64 33
132 Washington 17.0 -0.38 64 33
133 SMU 17.0 -0.36 64 34
134 UIC 17.0 -0.36 63 33
135 Auburn 17.0 -0.34 63 38
136 Wisconsin 17.0 -0.34 63 35
137 Marquette 17.0 -0.34 63 32
138 Eastern Illinois 17.0 -0.34 62 30
139 Marist 17.0 -0.34 62 30
140 Charlotte 17.1 -0.32 62 33
141 Austin Peay 17.1 -0.31 62 29
142 Virginia Tech 17.1 -0.28 61 32
143 Green Bay 17.1 -0.28 61 31
144 Southern Illinois 17.1 -0.28 61 31
145 Binghamton 17.1 -0.27 60 28
146 Northwestern 17.1 -0.27 60 34
147 Bellarmine 17.2 -0.25 60 30
148 UCLA 17.2 -0.25 60 36
149 Boise State 17.2 -0.23 59 30
150 St. John's 17.2 -0.22 59 37
151 Drake 17.2 -0.22 59 32
152 San Francisco 17.2 -0.22 59 32
153 New Mexico 17.2 -0.22 58 36
154 UT Martin 17.2 -0.21 58 30
155 West Georgia 17.2 -0.21 58 30
156 UNC Wilmington 17.3 -0.20 57 32
157 Colgate 17.3 -0.20 57 31
158 Elon 17.3 -0.19 57 30
159 VMI 17.3 -0.19 57 29
160 VCU 17.3 -0.18 56 36
161 Iowa 17.4 -0.14 56 37
162 Temple 17.4 -0.14 56 31
163 Arizona State 17.4 -0.13 55 33
164 Jacksonville State 17.4 -0.12 55 29
165 Wright State 17.4 -0.11 55 33
166 Middle Tennessee 17.4 -0.10 55 29
167 Southern Indiana 17.4 -0.09 54 28
168 Virginia 17.4 -0.08 54 36
169 Omaha 17.4 -0.08 54 29
170 South Dakota State 17.4 -0.08 54 29
171 Wichita State 17.5 -0.07 53 35
172 Hofstra 17.5 -0.06 53 33
173 Xavier 17.5 -0.06 53 33
174 Canisius 17.5 -0.05 52 30
175 Ohio State 17.5 -0.05 52 34
176 UCF 17.5 -0.04 52 33
177 Le Moyne 17.5 -0.04 52 31
178 Lindenwood 17.6 -0.01 51 30
179 Fairleigh Dickinson 17.6 +0.01 51 29
180 South Carolina 17.6 +0.01 51 32
181 Lamar 17.6 +0.03 51 29
182 North Carolina Central 17.6 +0.04 50 28
183 Oklahoma 17.6 +0.05 50 37
184 Portland 17.7 +0.07 50 32
185 Northern Arizona 17.7 +0.07 49 29
186 Stanford 17.7 +0.08 49 33
187 New Hampshire 17.7 +0.09 49 28
188 Alcorn State 17.7 +0.09 49 32
189 Missouri 17.7 +0.09 48 33
190 Gardner-Webb 17.7 +0.10 48 30
191 Presbyterian 17.7 +0.10 48 30
192 Sam Houston 17.7 +0.10 48 31
193 Washington State 17.7 +0.10 47 31
194 Long Island University 17.7 +0.10 47 35
195 San José State 17.8 +0.11 47 32
196 Tulane 17.8 +0.11 46 32
197 Colorado 17.8 +0.11 46 33
198 Montana 17.8 +0.12 46 30
199 Wofford 17.8 +0.12 46 30
200 Florida 17.8 +0.12 45 35
201 Loyola Marymount 17.8 +0.12 45 31
202 Bucknell 17.8 +0.13 45 33
203 Oregon State 17.8 +0.13 45 33
204 Central Michigan 17.8 +0.13 44 29
205 Hawai'i 17.8 +0.14 44 31
206 Richmond 17.8 +0.14 44 31
207 Florida A&M 17.8 +0.16 43 29
208 William & Mary 17.8 +0.16 43 30
209 Nevada 17.8 +0.16 43 37
210 Belmont 17.8 +0.16 43 31
211 Florida Atlantic 17.8 +0.16 42 31
212 Morehead State 17.9 +0.18 42 30
213 Air Force 17.9 +0.19 42 32
214 Georgetown 17.9 +0.19 41 34
215 Delaware State 17.9 +0.19 41 27
216 Missouri State 17.9 +0.22 41 31
217 Notre Dame 17.9 +0.22 41 31
218 Tennessee 17.9 +0.23 40 37
219 North Carolina A&T 18.0 +0.24 40 28
220 DePaul 18.0 +0.24 40 32
221 Valparaiso 18.0 +0.24 40 32
222 Houston 18.0 +0.25 39 37
223 Georgia Tech 18.0 +0.26 39 31
224 SE Louisiana 18.0 +0.26 39 30
225 UTEP 18.0 +0.26 38 28
226 Maryland 18.0 +0.28 38 33
227 Nicholls 18.0 +0.28 38 32
228 George Washington 18.1 +0.30 38 34
229 Bowling Green 18.1 +0.31 37 29
230 Youngstown State 18.1 +0.31 37 29
231 Idaho State 18.1 +0.35 37 30
232 Florida International 18.1 +0.35 37 29
233 Campbell 18.2 +0.36 36 32
234 Rhode Island 18.2 +0.38 36 32
235 Mount St. Mary's 18.2 +0.38 36 31
236 Incarnate Word 18.2 +0.40 35 28
237 Robert Morris 18.2 +0.40 35 31
238 Eastern Michigan 18.2 +0.41 35 30
239 Texas State 18.2 +0.41 35 30
240 Cal State Northridge 18.3 +0.42 34 32
241 NJIT 18.3 +0.42 34 32
242 Pacific 18.3 +0.42 34 31
243 Ohio 18.3 +0.43 34 30
244 Indiana 18.3 +0.44 33 32
245 Maryland Eastern Shore 18.3 +0.45 33 30
246 UConn 18.3 +0.45 33 40
247 Florida State 18.3 +0.47 32 33
248 North Florida 18.3 +0.47 32 30
249 UNC Asheville 18.3 +0.48 32 29
250 NC State 18.4 +0.48 32 34
251 Bethune-Cookman 18.4 +0.48 31 31
252 Eastern Washington 18.4 +0.50 31 32
253 Mercyhurst 18.4 +0.50 31 32
254 UT Rio Grande Valley 18.4 +0.50 30 31
255 Idaho 18.4 +0.53 30 33
256 Providence 18.4 +0.53 30 33
257 Kentucky 18.4 +0.54 30 36
258 Louisville 18.5 +0.55 29 35
259 Texas 18.5 +0.55 29 35
260 Alabama A&M 18.5 +0.55 29 30
261 Georgia State 18.5 +0.55 29 30
262 Saint Louis 18.5 +0.56 28 34
263 Murray State 18.5 +0.58 28 33
264 San Diego 18.5 +0.58 28 31
265 UC Davis 18.5 +0.58 27 31
266 Denver 18.5 +0.58 27 29
267 Northern Colorado 18.5 +0.58 27 29
268 California Baptist 18.5 +0.59 27 34
269 Coastal Carolina 18.5 +0.60 26 31
270 Wake Forest 18.6 +0.62 26 35
271 Alabama 18.6 +0.64 26 35
272 Howard 18.6 +0.64 26 31
273 Western Michigan 18.6 +0.65 25 29
274 Grand Canyon 18.6 +0.65 25 32
275 Tennessee State 18.6 +0.66 25 30
276 Weber State 18.6 +0.66 24 30
277 South Carolina Upstate 18.7 +0.67 24 29
278 High Point 18.7 +0.68 24 33
279 Utah Valley 18.7 +0.68 24 31
280 LSU 18.7 +0.69 23 32
281 Saint Francis 18.7 +0.69 23 29
282 Eastern Kentucky 18.7 +0.70 23 30
283 Northern Kentucky 18.7 +0.70 23 31
284 Brown 18.7 +0.71 22 25
285 California 18.7 +0.71 22 33
286 American University 18.7 +0.72 22 30
287 Milwaukee 18.7 +0.72 21 31
288 Sacramento State 18.8 +0.73 21 28
289 UT Arlington 18.8 +0.76 21 30
290 Florida Gulf Coast 18.8 +0.77 21 32
291 Seton Hall 18.8 +0.77 20 33
292 USC 18.8 +0.78 20 31
293 Rice 18.9 +0.80 20 29
294 Coppin State 18.9 +0.80 20 30
295 Bradley 18.9 +0.81 19 33
296 Grambling 18.9 +0.82 19 31
297 Northern Illinois 18.9 +0.84 19 28
298 Arkansas State 18.9 +0.84 18 30
299 Chicago State 18.9 +0.84 18 31
300 Cal State Fullerton 19.0 +0.88 18 32
301 James Madison 19.0 +0.88 18 32
302 Utah State 19.0 +0.88 17 35
303 Western Carolina 19.0 +0.88 17 29
304 San Diego State 19.0 +0.90 17 32
305 Vanderbilt 19.1 +0.92 16 36
306 Louisiana 19.1 +0.94 16 33
307 Alabama State 19.1 +0.94 16 31
308 Army 19.1 +0.95 16 30
309 Wagner 19.2 +0.99 15 28
310 Southern 19.2 +1.00 15 31
311 McNeese 19.2 +1.02 15 32
312 Prairie View A&M 19.2 +1.03 15 33
313 Northeastern 19.3 +1.04 14 31
314 UC Santa Barbara 19.3 +1.05 14 30
315 Kansas State 19.3 +1.06 14 32
316 Old Dominion 19.3 +1.08 13 32
317 Texas A&M 19.3 +1.08 13 34
318 Ole Miss 19.3 +1.10 13 35
319 Radford 19.3 +1.10 13 29
320 Cleveland State 19.4 +1.11 12 30
321 Jackson State 19.4 +1.13 12 33
322 Detroit Mercy 19.4 +1.13 12 30
323 Southern Miss 19.4 +1.15 12 33
324 Georgia Southern 19.5 +1.17 11 35
325 Queens University 19.5 +1.19 11 34
326 Jacksonville 19.5 +1.21 11 30
327 UC Riverside 19.5 +1.21 10 30
328 New Orleans 19.6 +1.28 10 33
329 Cal Poly 19.6 +1.28 10 31
330 North Texas 19.6 +1.28 10 31
331 Santa Clara 19.7 +1.30 9 34
332 Chattanooga 19.7 +1.31 9 29
333 Portland State 19.7 +1.33 9 28
334 South Florida 19.8 +1.37 9 33
335 Duquesne 19.8 +1.38 8 31
336 Winthrop 19.8 +1.38 8 31
337 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 19.8 +1.40 8 30
338 Oral Roberts 19.8 +1.40 7 30
339 Cornell 19.8 +1.41 7 26
340 Hampton 19.9 +1.42 7 30
341 Kent State 20.0 +1.50 7 32
342 New Mexico State 20.0 +1.52 6 29
343 Norfolk State 20.0 +1.53 6 28
344 Longwood 20.1 +1.55 6 29
345 Texas Southern 20.1 +1.55 5 28
346 Cal State Bakersfield 20.1 +1.57 5 30
347 Western Kentucky 20.1 +1.57 5 30
348 Saint Peter's 20.2 +1.61 5 28
349 Memphis 20.3 +1.66 4 32
350 Long Beach State 20.4 +1.75 4 30
351 Tarleton State 20.5 +1.81 4 28
352 Marshall 20.5 +1.82 4 31
353 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 20.6 +1.87 3 29
354 North Dakota 20.6 +1.89 3 32
355 Southeast Missouri State 20.7 +1.94 3 30
356 Kennesaw State 20.7 +1.95 2 32
357 Massachusetts 21.0 +2.12 2 32
358 Wyoming 21.2 +2.22 2 32
359 Abilene Christian 21.3 +2.33 2 30
360 Morgan State 21.4 +2.40 1 27
361 UNLV 21.5 +2.45 1 34
362 Mississippi Valley State 21.6 +2.47 1 32
363 South Carolina State 21.8 +2.62 1 30
364 IU Indianapolis 22.1 +2.79 0 30
365 Charleston Southern 22.2 +2.87 0 29