I'm going to Wichita, far from this opera for evermore. "Seven Nation Army" - The White Stripes

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 57.1 max 85.3 mean 71.6 std 5.1 (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Pace z Pctl GP
1 Tulane 85.3 +2.66 100 1
2 UT Martin 85.3 +2.66 100 1
3 Murray State 84.2 +2.45 99 1
4 Tennessee State 84.2 +2.45 99 1
5 Alabama State 83.4 +2.30 99 1
6 Texas A&M 83.4 +2.30 98 1
7 Bryant 81.5 +1.93 98 1
8 Siena 81.5 +1.93 97 1
9 LSU 81.3 +1.88 97 1
10 LSU New Orleans 81.3 +1.88 97 1
11 Alabama 80.8 +1.79 96 1
12 Sam Houston 80.8 +1.79 96 1
13 Grand Canyon 80.7 +1.78 96 1
14 Texas Southern 80.7 +1.78 95 1
15 Mount St. Mary's 80.4 +1.72 95 1
16 Xavier 80.4 +1.72 95 1
17 Oregon State 79.9 +1.62 94 1
18 Weber State 79.9 +1.62 94 1
19 Winthrop 79.8 +1.59 94 1
20 Queens University 79.8 +1.59 93 1
21 Cal State Fullerton 79.8 +1.59 93 1
22 San Diego State 79.8 +1.59 92 1
23 Florida A&M 78.6 +1.37 92 1
24 Florida State 78.6 +1.37 92 1
25 Florida Gulf Coast 78.4 +1.33 91 1
26 UCF 78.4 +1.33 91 1
27 Arkansas 78.0 +1.24 91 1
28 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 78.0 +1.24 90 1
29 Butler 77.9 +1.22 90 1
30 Lafayette 77.9 +1.22 90 1
31 Mississippi State 77.9 +1.21 89 1
32 Tennessee Tech 77.9 +1.21 89 1
33 Charleston Southern 77.8 +1.20 88 1
34 South Florida 77.8 +1.20 88 1
35 Baylor 77.6 +1.16 88 1
36 Northwestern State 77.6 +1.16 87 1
37 Richmond 77.5 +1.15 87 1
38 UNC Asheville 77.5 +1.15 87 1
39 Southeast Missouri State 77.3 +1.11 86 1
40 Georgia Tech 77.1 +1.06 86 1
41 Hampton 77.1 +1.06 86 1
42 New Mexico 76.5 +0.96 85 1
43 Utah Tech 76.5 +0.96 85 1
44 California Baptist 76.5 +0.95 84 1
45 North Florida 76.5 +0.95 84 1
46 Fordham 76.2 +0.89 84 1
47 Kansas 76.2 +0.89 83 1
48 Drexel 76.2 +0.89 83 1
49 Virginia 76.2 +0.89 83 1
50 Illinois State 76.1 +0.88 82 1
51 Saint Mary's 76.1 +0.88 82 1
52 Buffalo 76.0 +0.85 82 1
53 Marshall 76.0 +0.85 81 1
54 North Alabama 75.8 +0.81 81 1
55 UC Davis 75.8 +0.81 81 1
56 Houston 75.8 +0.80 80 1
57 La Salle 75.8 +0.80 80 1
58 Alcorn State 75.6 +0.77 79 1
59 Ole Miss 75.6 +0.77 79 1
60 SMU 75.6 +0.77 79 1
61 Southern 75.6 +0.77 78 1
62 Cornell 75.5 +0.76 78 1
63 Pepperdine 75.5 +0.76 78 1
64 TCU 75.5 +0.76 77 1
65 Lindenwood 75.5 +0.76 77 1
66 Fairleigh Dickinson 75.4 +0.74 77 1
67 Illinois 75.4 +0.74 76 1
68 Arkansas State 75.4 +0.73 76 1
69 Toledo 75.4 +0.73 75 1
70 Milwaukee 75.3 +0.71 75 1
71 Monmouth 75.3 +0.71 75 1
72 St. John's 75.3 +0.71 74 1
73 USC 75.3 +0.71 74 1
74 Florida Atlantic 74.9 +0.63 74 1
75 Long Island University 74.9 +0.63 73 1
76 San José State 74.3 +0.52 73 1
77 UTSA 74.3 +0.52 73 1
78 Incarnate Word 74.2 +0.51 72 1
79 Oklahoma State 74.2 +0.51 72 1
80 Air Force 74.1 +0.48 71 1
81 Wright State 74.1 +0.48 71 1
82 Pittsburgh 74.0 +0.45 71 1
83 Rider 74.0 +0.45 70 1
84 James Madison 73.8 +0.43 70 1
85 Miami (OH) 73.8 +0.43 70 1
86 Hawai'i 73.8 +0.42 69 1
87 Seattle U 73.8 +0.42 69 1
88 Arizona 73.6 +0.38 69 1
89 UCLA 73.6 +0.38 68 1
90 Northern Kentucky 73.5 +0.37 68 1
91 UTEP 73.5 +0.37 68 1
92 American University 73.5 +0.37 67 1
93 Canisius 73.5 +0.37 67 1
94 Cincinnati 73.5 +0.37 66 1
95 Penn State 73.5 +0.37 66 1
96 Georgia 73.5 +0.37 66 1
97 North Carolina Central 73.5 +0.37 65 1
98 Santa Clara 73.4 +0.34 65 1
99 Towson 73.4 +0.34 65 1
100 DePaul 73.3 +0.32 64 1
101 West Georgia 73.3 +0.32 64 1
102 Colorado State 73.3 +0.32 64 1
103 Montana State 73.3 +0.32 63 1
104 Le Moyne 73.2 +0.32 63 1
105 Nebraska 73.2 +0.32 62 1
106 Boston University 73.1 +0.29 62 1
107 Northeastern 73.1 +0.29 62 1
108 Belmont 73.0 +0.27 61 1
109 Southern Indiana 73.0 +0.27 61 1
110 Coppin State 72.4 +0.15 61 1
111 Gardner-Webb 72.4 +0.15 60 1
112 Michigan State 72.4 +0.15 60 1
113 Michigan 72.4 +0.15 60 1
114 Oakland 72.4 +0.15 59 1
115 Quinnipiac 72.4 +0.15 59 1
116 UConn 72.4 +0.15 58 1
117 Virginia Tech 72.4 +0.15 58 1
118 Lehigh 72.3 +0.14 58 1
119 Saint Louis 72.3 +0.14 57 1
120 Holy Cross 72.3 +0.13 57 1
121 Rhode Island 72.3 +0.13 57 1
122 Lipscomb 72.2 +0.12 56 2
123 Idaho State 71.9 +0.06 56 1
124 Utah State 71.9 +0.06 56 1
125 George Mason 71.9 +0.05 55 1
126 UMBC 71.9 +0.05 55 1
127 Tennessee 71.8 +0.03 55 1
128 Wofford 71.8 +0.03 54 1
129 Colgate 71.7 +0.02 54 1
130 Washington 71.7 +0.02 53 1
131 Bucknell 71.7 +0.01 53 1
132 Maryland 71.7 +0.01 53 1
133 Niagara 71.7 +0.01 52 1
134 West Virginia 71.7 +0.01 52 1
135 Central Michigan 71.7 +0.01 52 1
136 UL Monroe 71.7 +0.01 51 1
137 Chattanooga 71.5 -0.02 51 1
138 Louisville 71.5 -0.02 51 1
139 George Washington 71.4 -0.05 50 1
140 Navy 71.4 -0.05 50 1
141 Denver 71.3 -0.07 49 1
142 Wisconsin 71.3 -0.07 49 1
143 Central Arkansas 71.2 -0.08 49 1
144 Oral Roberts 71.2 -0.08 48 1
145 Creighton 71.1 -0.10 48 1
146 Kansas City 71.1 -0.10 48 1
147 Duquesne 71.1 -0.10 47 1
148 Purdue Fort Wayne 71.1 -0.10 47 1
149 Bowling Green 71.0 -0.12 47 1
150 Georgia State 71.0 -0.12 46 1
151 St. Bonaventure 71.0 -0.13 46 1
152 Youngstown State 71.0 -0.13 45 1
153 Florida 70.9 -0.13 45 1
154 Iowa State 70.9 -0.13 45 1
155 Memphis 70.9 -0.13 44 1
156 Miami 70.9 -0.13 44 1
157 Ohio 70.9 -0.14 44 1
158 South Alabama 70.9 -0.14 43 1
159 Little Rock 70.9 -0.14 43 1
160 VCU 70.9 -0.14 43 1
161 East Carolina 70.8 -0.15 42 1
162 South Carolina Upstate 70.8 -0.15 42 1
163 Maryland Eastern Shore 70.8 -0.16 42 1
164 Wake Forest 70.8 -0.16 41 1
165 Eastern Illinois 70.8 -0.17 41 1
166 Indiana 70.8 -0.17 40 1
167 North Carolina 70.7 -0.17 40 1
168 Western Carolina 70.7 -0.17 40 1
169 Notre Dame 70.7 -0.18 39 1
170 Villanova 70.7 -0.18 39 1
171 Jackson State 70.7 -0.18 39 1
172 McNeese 70.7 -0.18 38 1
173 Texas Tech 70.7 -0.18 38 1
174 UAB 70.7 -0.18 38 1
175 Army 70.3 -0.25 37 1
176 Duke 70.3 -0.25 37 1
177 Maine 70.2 -0.28 36 1
178 Providence 70.2 -0.28 36 1
179 Chicago State 70.1 -0.31 36 1
180 Texas 70.1 -0.31 35 1
181 Ball State 70.0 -0.32 35 1
182 Georgia Southern 70.0 -0.32 35 1
183 Campbell 69.7 -0.38 34 1
184 NC State 69.7 -0.38 34 1
185 Bellarmine 69.5 -0.41 34 1
186 Vanderbilt 69.5 -0.41 33 1
187 Dayton 69.4 -0.43 33 1
188 NJIT 69.4 -0.43 32 1
189 Presbyterian 69.4 -0.43 32 1
190 St. Thomas 69.4 -0.43 32 1
191 Dartmouth 69.4 -0.44 31 1
192 Marist 69.4 -0.44 31 1
193 Abilene Christian 69.3 -0.45 31 1
194 Colorado 69.3 -0.45 30 1
195 Valparaiso 69.2 -0.48 30 1
196 Western Illinois 69.2 -0.48 30 1
197 Cleveland State 68.8 -0.55 29 1
198 Missouri 68.8 -0.55 29 1
199 Northern Arizona 68.8 -0.55 29 1
200 UNLV 68.8 -0.55 28 1
201 Minnesota 68.6 -0.59 28 1
202 North Dakota 68.6 -0.59 27 1
203 Gonzaga 68.6 -0.60 27 1
204 Purdue 68.6 -0.60 27 1
205 Morehead State 68.4 -0.62 26 1
206 Western Kentucky 68.4 -0.62 26 1
207 Massachusetts 68.4 -0.63 26 1
208 Troy 68.4 -0.63 25 1
209 Montana 68.3 -0.64 25 1
210 Oregon 68.3 -0.64 25 1
211 Grambling 68.1 -0.68 24 1
212 Northern Illinois 68.1 -0.68 24 1
213 BYU 67.9 -0.72 23 1
214 Ohio State 67.9 -0.72 23 1
215 Kent State 67.9 -0.73 23 1
216 Louisiana Tech 67.9 -0.73 22 1
217 Akron 67.7 -0.77 22 1
218 Louisiana 67.7 -0.77 22 1
219 Radford 67.6 -0.78 21 1
220 San Francisco 67.6 -0.78 21 1
221 Georgetown 67.5 -0.80 21 1
222 Loyola Maryland 67.5 -0.80 20 1
223 Bethune-Cookman 67.4 -0.82 20 1
224 Furman 67.4 -0.82 19 1
225 Iowa 67.1 -0.87 19 1
226 Central Connecticut 67.0 -0.91 19 1
227 Temple 67.0 -0.91 18 1
228 Nevada 66.9 -0.91 18 1
229 Robert Morris 66.9 -0.91 18 1
230 Kansas State 66.9 -0.93 17 1
231 South Dakota State 66.9 -0.93 17 1
232 Coastal Carolina 66.7 -0.96 17 1
233 Eastern Michigan 66.7 -0.96 16 1
234 Columbia 66.6 -0.98 16 1
235 Elon 66.6 -0.98 16 1
236 Davidson 66.5 -1.00 15 1
237 Washington State 66.5 -1.00 15 1
238 East Texas A&M 66.2 -1.06 14 1
239 Oklahoma 66.2 -1.06 14 1
240 Howard 66.0 -1.09 14 1
241 Yale 66.0 -1.09 13 1
242 Clemson 66.0 -1.10 13 1
243 High Point 65.9 -1.11 13 1
244 Liberty 65.9 -1.11 12 1
245 Long Beach State 65.8 -1.14 12 1
246 Utah 65.8 -1.14 12 1
247 Kentucky 65.6 -1.18 11 1
248 Manhattan 65.6 -1.18 11 1
249 Boston College 65.5 -1.20 10 1
250 Wagner 65.5 -1.20 10 1
251 Charlotte 65.4 -1.22 10 1
252 Indiana State 65.4 -1.22 9 1
253 Brown 64.9 -1.30 9 1
254 New Hampshire 64.9 -1.30 9 1
255 Eastern Washington 64.5 -1.38 8 1
256 Stanford 64.5 -1.38 8 1
257 Marquette 64.3 -1.42 8 1
258 Mercyhurst 64.3 -1.42 7 1
259 New Haven 64.1 -1.47 7 1
260 Syracuse 64.1 -1.47 6 1
261 Binghamton 63.5 -1.58 6 1
262 Northwestern 63.5 -1.58 6 1
263 Loyola Chicago 62.9 -1.70 5 1
264 The Citadel 62.9 -1.70 5 1
265 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 62.8 -1.72 5 1
266 Texas State 62.8 -1.72 4 1
267 Stetson 62.5 -1.78 4 2
268 Iona 62.2 -1.83 4 1
269 Vermont 62.2 -1.83 3 1
270 Saint Peter's 61.8 -1.92 3 1
271 Seton Hall 61.8 -1.92 3 1
272 Arizona State 61.5 -1.97 2 1
273 East Tennessee State 61.5 -1.97 2 1
274 Old Dominion 60.7 -2.12 1 1
275 Western Michigan 60.7 -2.12 1 1
276 South Carolina 59.1 -2.45 1 1
277 App State 57.1 -2.83 0 1
278 Merrimack 57.1 -2.83 0 1