Tetrahydrocannabinol für die Allgemeinheit! "Mein Weed" - Nikitaman

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 61% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 44.6% max 59.4% mean 51.5% std 2.7% (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Michigan 44.6% -2.53 100 40
2 Kansas 45.0% -2.37 100 35
3 Saint Louis 45.2% -2.29 99 34
4 Arizona 45.3% -2.26 99 39
5 Marist 45.6% -2.16 99 30
6 SIU Edwardsville 45.6% -2.15 99 29
7 UConn 45.7% -2.12 98 40
8 Virginia 45.7% -2.11 98 36
9 UC Irvine 45.9% -2.05 98 33
10 Florida 46.1% -1.96 98 35
11 UT Martin 46.1% -1.96 97 30
12 Houston 46.2% -1.95 97 37
13 Duke 46.2% -1.93 97 38
14 Hofstra 46.3% -1.92 96 33
15 Gonzaga 46.3% -1.92 96 35
16 California Baptist 46.3% -1.91 96 34
17 Merrimack 46.7% -1.76 96 34
18 Coastal Carolina 46.8% -1.72 95 31
19 Hawai'i 46.8% -1.71 95 31
20 Saint Mary's 46.8% -1.71 95 32
21 Charleston Southern 46.9% -1.67 95 29
22 Drexel 47.1% -1.62 94 32
23 Mount St. Mary's 47.2% -1.57 94 31
24 Wichita State 47.2% -1.56 94 35
25 Seton Hall 47.3% -1.55 93 33
26 Illinois 47.3% -1.52 93 37
27 Cincinnati 47.3% -1.52 93 33
28 Grand Canyon 47.4% -1.48 93 32
29 UT Arlington 47.4% -1.48 92 30
30 UNC Wilmington 47.5% -1.47 92 32
31 Northern Iowa 47.5% -1.47 92 35
32 St. John's 47.5% -1.46 91 37
33 App State 47.5% -1.45 91 30
34 Saint Joseph's 47.7% -1.41 91 34
35 Stephen F. Austin 47.7% -1.38 91 32
36 Stonehill 47.8% -1.36 90 31
37 Tennessee 47.8% -1.36 90 37
38 UT Rio Grande Valley 47.8% -1.35 90 31
39 Saint Peter's 48.1% -1.25 90 28
40 Nebraska 48.1% -1.24 89 35
41 San Diego State 48.2% -1.21 89 32
42 Navy 48.3% -1.18 89 32
43 Kennesaw State 48.3% -1.17 88 32
44 North Carolina 48.3% -1.15 88 33
45 UC San Diego 48.4% -1.12 88 32
46 Seattle U 48.4% -1.12 88 33
47 North Texas 48.4% -1.12 87 31
48 Siena 48.5% -1.10 87 35
49 Towson 48.5% -1.09 87 32
50 West Virginia 48.5% -1.08 87 35
51 Louisiana Tech 48.7% -1.03 86 31
52 New Mexico State 48.7% -1.02 86 29
53 Howard 48.7% -1.01 86 31
54 Louisville 48.7% -1.01 85 35
55 Memphis 48.7% -1.01 85 32
56 Portland State 48.8% -0.99 85 28
57 Southeast Missouri State 48.8% -0.98 85 30
58 South Florida 48.8% -0.98 84 33
59 Clemson 48.8% -0.97 84 35
60 Loyola Marymount 48.9% -0.96 84 31
61 Michigan State 48.9% -0.96 84 35
62 Boston College 48.9% -0.95 83 31
63 Kentucky 48.9% -0.95 83 36
64 Iona 48.9% -0.95 83 32
65 Quinnipiac 48.9% -0.94 82 31
66 James Madison 49.0% -0.93 82 32
67 Vanderbilt 49.0% -0.93 82 36
68 Indiana 49.0% -0.93 82 32
69 VCU 49.0% -0.92 81 36
70 Southern Illinois 49.0% -0.91 81 31
71 New Orleans 49.0% -0.91 81 33
72 Lindenwood 49.1% -0.87 80 30
73 Alabama 49.2% -0.85 80 35
74 Charleston 49.2% -0.83 80 31
75 Le Moyne 49.3% -0.81 80 31
76 McNeese 49.3% -0.81 79 32
77 DePaul 49.3% -0.80 79 32
78 Utah Valley 49.4% -0.78 79 31
79 UMBC 49.4% -0.78 79 31
80 Southern Indiana 49.4% -0.77 78 28
81 Florida Atlantic 49.5% -0.73 78 31
82 Tulsa 49.5% -0.73 78 36
83 George Mason 49.5% -0.72 77 32
84 New Mexico 49.5% -0.71 77 36
85 Jacksonville State 49.6% -0.68 77 29
86 Texas Tech 49.7% -0.67 77 34
87 Utah State 49.7% -0.67 76 35
88 Bethune-Cookman 49.7% -0.64 76 31
89 USC 49.7% -0.64 76 31
90 Illinois State 49.8% -0.63 76 35
91 California 49.8% -0.62 75 33
92 Iowa State 49.8% -0.62 75 37
93 Belmont 49.9% -0.57 75 31
94 Georgia Tech 49.9% -0.57 74 31
95 Fordham 49.9% -0.57 74 29
96 Georgetown 49.9% -0.56 74 34
97 Grambling 50.0% -0.54 74 31
98 UAB 50.0% -0.54 73 31
99 NJIT 50.0% -0.53 73 32
100 Robert Morris 50.0% -0.53 73 31
101 Pacific 50.0% -0.53 73 31
102 Long Island University 50.0% -0.53 72 35
103 Monmouth 50.1% -0.53 72 33
104 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50.1% -0.52 72 29
105 South Alabama 50.1% -0.52 71 31
106 Northern Colorado 50.1% -0.51 71 29
107 Mercyhurst 50.1% -0.49 71 32
108 Washington 50.2% -0.49 71 33
109 Morehead State 50.2% -0.48 70 30
110 Indiana State 50.2% -0.48 70 30
111 Troy 50.2% -0.47 70 32
112 Furman 50.2% -0.47 70 32
113 Central Connecticut 50.2% -0.47 69 28
114 Ohio State 50.2% -0.46 69 34
115 Eastern Michigan 50.3% -0.45 69 30
116 Syracuse 50.3% -0.45 68 32
117 Arkansas State 50.3% -0.45 68 30
118 Marshall 50.3% -0.44 68 31
119 Oregon State 50.3% -0.42 68 33
120 UCLA 50.4% -0.40 67 36
121 Vermont 50.4% -0.40 67 32
122 Harvard 50.4% -0.39 67 28
123 Wagner 50.4% -0.39 66 28
124 Rhode Island 50.4% -0.39 66 32
125 UIC 50.5% -0.37 66 33
126 High Point 50.5% -0.36 66 33
127 Ole Miss 50.5% -0.36 65 35
128 Idaho 50.5% -0.35 65 33
129 Montana 50.5% -0.35 65 30
130 Valparaiso 50.5% -0.34 65 32
131 Marquette 50.6% -0.34 64 32
132 Davidson 50.6% -0.33 64 32
133 Lehigh 50.6% -0.33 64 33
134 Georgia 50.6% -0.32 63 33
135 Georgia State 50.6% -0.32 63 30
136 Maine 50.6% -0.31 63 31
137 Temple 50.7% -0.30 63 31
138 Stony Brook 50.7% -0.30 62 30
139 St. Thomas-Minnesota 50.7% -0.29 62 31
140 Tulane 50.7% -0.29 62 32
141 Texas A&M 50.7% -0.29 62 34
142 Maryland Eastern Shore 50.7% -0.27 61 30
143 San Francisco 50.8% -0.27 61 32
144 Texas 50.8% -0.26 61 35
145 Old Dominion 50.8% -0.26 60 32
146 Eastern Illinois 50.8% -0.26 60 30
147 Virginia Tech 50.8% -0.23 60 32
148 Oregon 50.9% -0.22 60 32
149 Prairie View A&M 50.9% -0.22 59 33
150 LSU 50.9% -0.22 59 32
151 Utah Tech 50.9% -0.22 59 31
152 Charlotte 50.9% -0.21 59 33
153 Lamar 50.9% -0.20 58 29
154 Mississippi State 50.9% -0.20 58 32
155 Middle Tennessee 51.0% -0.20 58 29
156 South Carolina Upstate 51.0% -0.19 57 29
157 Northwestern 51.0% -0.19 57 34
158 Stanford 51.0% -0.18 57 33
159 Fairfield 51.0% -0.18 57 33
160 Rice 51.0% -0.17 56 29
161 East Tennessee State 51.0% -0.17 56 32
162 Oklahoma 51.0% -0.17 56 37
163 Bowling Green 51.0% -0.16 55 29
164 Dayton 51.0% -0.16 55 37
165 Creighton 51.1% -0.15 55 34
166 Nevada 51.1% -0.13 55 37
167 Miami (OH) 51.2% -0.12 54 31
168 Columbia 51.2% -0.12 54 26
169 Western Kentucky 51.2% -0.12 54 30
170 Presbyterian 51.2% -0.12 54 30
171 Florida A&M 51.2% -0.11 53 29
172 TCU 51.2% -0.11 53 35
173 Akron 51.2% -0.10 53 33
174 BYU 51.2% -0.09 52 35
175 UNC Asheville 51.3% -0.07 52 29
176 Brown 51.3% -0.05 52 25
177 Southern Miss 51.4% -0.05 52 33
178 Wisconsin 51.4% -0.05 51 35
179 Providence 51.4% -0.04 51 33
180 Sam Houston 51.4% -0.02 51 31
181 Villanova 51.4% -0.02 51 33
182 Winthrop 51.4% -0.01 50 31
183 Missouri 51.5% -0.00 50 33
184 Fresno State 51.5% +0.00 50 31
185 Delaware 51.5% +0.01 49 30
186 Tennessee Tech 51.5% +0.01 49 28
187 UTEP 51.5% +0.02 49 28
188 South Carolina 51.6% +0.03 49 32
189 SMU 51.6% +0.04 48 34
190 Tennessee State 51.6% +0.05 48 30
191 Cal State Northridge 51.6% +0.06 48 32
192 Yale 51.7% +0.06 48 29
193 Montana State 51.7% +0.06 47 29
194 Morgan State 51.7% +0.07 47 27
195 Chattanooga 51.7% +0.08 47 29
196 Norfolk State 51.7% +0.09 46 28
197 UC Davis 51.7% +0.10 46 31
198 Miami 51.7% +0.10 46 35
199 Little Rock 51.8% +0.10 46 30
200 Notre Dame 51.8% +0.11 45 31
201 Arkansas 51.8% +0.12 45 37
202 Wake Forest 51.8% +0.12 45 35
203 New Haven 51.8% +0.12 45 28
204 South Dakota State 51.8% +0.13 44 29
205 William & Mary 51.9% +0.14 44 30
206 Samford 51.9% +0.14 44 30
207 Minnesota 51.9% +0.15 43 33
208 Butler 51.9% +0.16 43 32
209 Princeton 52.0% +0.19 43 28
210 Texas State 52.0% +0.19 43 30
211 Wyoming 52.0% +0.19 42 32
212 Hampton 52.0% +0.19 42 30
213 Santa Clara 52.0% +0.19 42 34
214 Loyola Chicago 52.0% +0.20 41 33
215 North Dakota State 52.0% +0.21 41 32
216 Richmond 52.0% +0.21 41 31
217 Missouri State 52.0% +0.21 41 31
218 Pennsylvania 52.1% +0.22 40 29
219 Kent State 52.1% +0.22 40 32
220 Alabama A&M 52.1% +0.22 40 30
221 UCF 52.1% +0.22 40 33
222 Alabama State 52.2% +0.25 39 31
223 Detroit Mercy 52.2% +0.25 39 30
224 Colgate 52.2% +0.27 39 31
225 Canisius 52.2% +0.27 38 30
226 Florida State 52.2% +0.28 38 33
227 Austin Peay 52.2% +0.28 38 29
228 Youngstown State 52.3% +0.29 38 29
229 East Carolina 52.3% +0.29 37 30
230 Georgia Southern 52.3% +0.31 37 35
231 UNLV 52.3% +0.32 37 34
232 Purdue 52.4% +0.32 37 39
233 SE Louisiana 52.4% +0.33 36 30
234 George Washington 52.4% +0.33 36 34
235 Arizona State 52.4% +0.33 36 33
236 Murray State 52.4% +0.33 35 33
237 Baylor 52.4% +0.34 35 33
238 Wright State 52.4% +0.34 35 33
239 Kansas State 52.5% +0.36 35 32
240 Texas Southern 52.5% +0.37 34 28
241 Duquesne 52.5% +0.38 34 31
242 Mercer 52.5% +0.39 34 29
243 Colorado 52.6% +0.40 34 33
244 UC Santa Barbara 52.6% +0.40 33 30
245 Iowa 52.6% +0.41 33 37
246 Drake 52.6% +0.41 33 32
247 Louisiana 52.6% +0.42 32 33
248 Washington State 52.6% +0.42 32 31
249 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 52.6% +0.43 32 30
250 Boise State 52.7% +0.43 32 30
251 Liberty 52.7% +0.43 31 31
252 UC Riverside 52.7% +0.43 31 30
253 Ball State 52.7% +0.44 31 29
254 Dartmouth 52.7% +0.45 30 25
255 Portland 52.7% +0.45 30 32
256 NC State 52.7% +0.45 30 34
257 Bryant 52.7% +0.46 30 29
258 Omaha 52.7% +0.46 29 29
259 Bradley 52.8% +0.49 29 33
260 Niagara 52.8% +0.49 29 29
261 East Texas A&M 52.9% +0.51 29 30
262 Massachusetts 52.9% +0.51 28 32
263 Colorado State 52.9% +0.51 28 33
264 Florida International 52.9% +0.52 28 29
265 Delaware State 52.9% +0.53 27 27
266 North Carolina A&T 52.9% +0.54 27 28
267 Jackson State 53.0% +0.55 27 33
268 Rutgers 53.0% +0.56 27 34
269 Ohio 53.0% +0.56 26 30
270 Northwestern State 53.0% +0.57 26 30
271 Radford 53.0% +0.58 26 29
272 Oklahoma State 53.1% +0.59 26 35
273 Lipscomb 53.2% +0.62 25 30
274 Southern 53.2% +0.63 25 31
275 UAlbany 53.2% +0.64 25 29
276 Southern Utah 53.2% +0.65 24 29
277 UTSA 53.3% +0.65 24 28
278 St. Bonaventure 53.3% +0.67 24 33
279 Pittsburgh 53.4% +0.69 24 33
280 Florida Gulf Coast 53.4% +0.71 23 32
281 West Georgia 53.4% +0.72 23 30
282 New Hampshire 53.4% +0.72 23 28
283 Sacred Heart 53.5% +0.74 23 32
284 UMass Lowell 53.5% +0.74 22 30
285 Tarleton State 53.6% +0.77 22 28
286 Lafayette 53.6% +0.77 22 31
287 Green Bay 53.6% +0.77 21 31
288 Boston University 53.6% +0.79 21 33
289 Oral Roberts 53.6% +0.80 21 30
290 Long Beach State 53.7% +0.80 21 30
291 Auburn 53.7% +0.81 20 38
292 Cal Poly 53.8% +0.85 20 31
293 Longwood 53.8% +0.85 20 29
294 Wofford 53.8% +0.86 20 30
295 Campbell 53.9% +0.89 19 32
296 South Carolina State 53.9% +0.90 19 30
297 Manhattan 53.9% +0.90 19 31
298 Utah 53.9% +0.90 18 32
299 Central Michigan 54.0% +0.91 18 29
300 Elon 54.0% +0.91 18 30
301 Cal State Bakersfield 54.0% +0.92 18 30
302 Xavier 54.1% +0.98 17 33
303 Western Illinois 54.2% +0.99 17 28
304 Houston Christian 54.2% +1.01 17 30
305 Northern Kentucky 54.2% +1.01 16 31
306 Pepperdine 54.2% +1.01 16 30
307 Cal State Fullerton 54.3% +1.03 16 32
308 Toledo 54.3% +1.04 16 32
309 Binghamton 54.3% +1.05 15 28
310 Western Michigan 54.4% +1.06 15 29
311 Nicholls 54.4% +1.06 15 32
312 Maryland 54.4% +1.07 15 33
313 American University 54.4% +1.07 14 30
314 Incarnate Word 54.5% +1.10 14 28
315 Idaho State 54.5% +1.10 14 30
316 Weber State 54.5% +1.10 13 30
317 North Carolina Central 54.5% +1.12 13 28
318 South Dakota 54.5% +1.12 13 29
319 Queens University 54.6% +1.14 13 34
320 San Diego 54.7% +1.18 12 31
321 Loyola Maryland 54.7% +1.18 12 30
322 Oakland 54.7% +1.19 12 31
323 Bucknell 54.7% +1.19 12 33
324 Holy Cross 54.8% +1.21 11 31
325 Jacksonville 54.8% +1.22 11 30
326 Eastern Washington 54.9% +1.26 11 32
327 Western Carolina 54.9% +1.26 10 29
328 Central Arkansas 54.9% +1.27 10 32
329 La Salle 55.0% +1.28 10 31
330 Alcorn State 55.0% +1.30 10 32
331 Sacramento State 55.0% +1.31 9 28
332 Evansville 55.1% +1.31 9 30
333 Buffalo 55.1% +1.32 9 30
334 Army 55.1% +1.33 9 30
335 Rider 55.2% +1.35 8 28
336 Fairleigh Dickinson 55.2% +1.36 8 29
337 North Alabama 55.2% +1.37 8 28
338 Stetson 55.2% +1.38 7 31
339 Coppin State 55.4% +1.45 7 30
340 Milwaukee 55.5% +1.48 7 31
341 Mississippi Valley State 55.5% +1.48 7 32
342 Northern Illinois 55.6% +1.51 6 28
343 Cornell 55.9% +1.62 6 26
344 Denver 56.0% +1.67 6 29
345 Purdue Fort Wayne 56.1% +1.69 5 29
346 Eastern Kentucky 56.1% +1.69 5 30
347 UNC Greensboro 56.2% +1.75 5 32
348 Kansas City 56.3% +1.76 5 28
349 North Florida 56.3% +1.78 4 30
350 Air Force 56.4% +1.80 4 32
351 Northeastern 56.4% +1.80 4 31
352 Abilene Christian 56.5% +1.83 4 30
353 North Dakota 56.5% +1.86 3 32
354 Chicago State 56.7% +1.91 3 31
355 Northern Arizona 56.9% +1.99 3 29
356 Gardner-Webb 56.9% +2.01 2 30
357 VMI 57.0% +2.01 2 29
358 UL Monroe 57.1% +2.07 2 30
359 San José State 57.1% +2.08 2 32
360 Cleveland State 57.2% +2.09 1 30
361 The Citadel 57.5% +2.23 1 30
362 IU Indianapolis 58.2% +2.48 1 30
363 Penn State 58.4% +2.55 1 32
364 Saint Francis 58.9% +2.72 0 29
365 Bellarmine 59.4% +2.90 0 30