And I'm telling you son, well, it ain't no fun staring straight down a forty-four. "Gimme Three Steps" - Lynyrd Skynyrd

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 53.3 max 159.6 mean 104.6 std 20.1 (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Efficiency z Pctl GP
1 Missouri 159.6 +2.74 100 1
2 Illinois 158.7 +2.70 100 1
3 Texas 157.1 +2.61 99 1
4 Nebraska 142.7 +1.90 99 1
5 Florida State 141.5 +1.84 99 1
6 Rhode Island 141.2 +1.83 98 1
7 McNeese 141.2 +1.82 98 1
8 Northwestern 139.0 +1.71 97 1
9 BYU 138.6 +1.69 97 1
10 South Carolina 138.2 +1.68 97 1
11 Colorado 137.2 +1.63 96 1
12 Wright State 136.0 +1.57 96 1
13 Arkansas 136.0 +1.56 96 1
14 Mississippi State 135.5 +1.54 95 1
15 Maryland 133.8 +1.46 95 1
16 Vanderbilt 133.1 +1.42 95 1
17 Michigan State 132.7 +1.40 94 1
18 Richmond 131.6 +1.35 94 1
19 Utah State 131.6 +1.34 94 1
20 Grambling 131.3 +1.33 93 1
21 George Washington 130.7 +1.30 93 1
22 UNLV 130.5 +1.29 92 1
23 Nevada 130.5 +1.29 92 1
24 Kentucky 130.3 +1.28 92 1
25 Penn State 129.7 +1.25 91 1
26 Clemson 129.5 +1.24 91 1
27 Ole Miss 129.3 +1.23 91 1
28 New Mexico 129.2 +1.23 90 1
29 Dayton 129.0 +1.22 90 1
30 Boston University 128.7 +1.20 90 1
31 Queens University 128.2 +1.18 89 1
32 Saint Louis 128.1 +1.17 89 1
33 St. Thomas 128.0 +1.17 88 1
34 Indiana 127.8 +1.16 88 1
35 Pittsburgh 127.7 +1.15 88 1
36 San José State 127.6 +1.15 87 1
37 TCU 127.2 +1.13 87 1
38 Northern Illinois 127.1 +1.12 87 1
39 Virginia Tech 126.9 +1.11 86 1
40 Washington 126.6 +1.10 86 1
41 Grand Canyon 126.4 +1.09 86 1
42 Louisiana Tech 126.4 +1.09 85 1
43 Houston 126.0 +1.07 85 1
44 Oregon 126.0 +1.07 84 1
45 Tennessee 125.7 +1.05 84 1
46 Oregon State 125.7 +1.05 84 1
47 San Diego State 125.7 +1.05 83 1
48 West Virginia 125.6 +1.05 83 1
49 Oklahoma State 125.0 +1.02 83 1
50 South Florida 124.8 +1.01 82 1
51 Minnesota 124.7 +1.00 82 1
52 Kansas 124.6 +1.00 82 1
53 USC 124.3 +0.99 81 1
54 Elon 124.1 +0.97 81 1
55 Loyola Chicago 123.8 +0.96 81 1
56 Winthrop 123.7 +0.95 80 1
57 Ohio 123.7 +0.95 80 1
58 Marquette 123.1 +0.92 79 1
59 Butler 123.0 +0.92 79 1
60 LSU 122.7 +0.90 79 1
61 Arizona State 122.2 +0.88 78 1
62 Florida Gulf Coast 122.1 +0.87 78 1
63 Ohio State 122.0 +0.87 78 1
64 UCF 121.4 +0.84 77 1
65 Marshall 121.0 +0.82 77 1
66 Xavier 120.7 +0.80 77 1
67 East Carolina 120.5 +0.79 76 1
68 Providence 120.2 +0.78 76 1
69 Western Kentucky 120.1 +0.77 75 1
70 Charlotte 120.0 +0.77 75 1
71 Santa Clara 119.5 +0.75 75 1
72 Saint Mary's 119.4 +0.74 74 1
73 Duke 119.4 +0.74 74 1
74 NC State 119.3 +0.74 74 1
75 UConn 118.8 +0.71 73 1
76 Texas A&M 118.6 +0.70 73 1
77 Alabama 118.5 +0.69 73 1
78 Central Arkansas 118.1 +0.67 72 1
79 Central Michigan 117.6 +0.65 72 1
80 VCU 117.5 +0.64 71 1
81 Furman 117.5 +0.64 71 1
82 Valparaiso 116.9 +0.62 71 1
83 Tulane 116.5 +0.59 70 1
84 Louisville 116.1 +0.57 70 1
85 Miami (OH) 116.1 +0.57 70 1
86 Syracuse 115.9 +0.56 69 1
87 Georgetown 115.8 +0.56 69 1
88 Davidson 115.7 +0.55 69 1
89 UT Martin 115.7 +0.55 68 1
90 Northern Kentucky 115.6 +0.55 68 1
91 Virginia 115.5 +0.55 68 1
92 Wake Forest 115.5 +0.54 67 1
93 Cornell 115.1 +0.52 67 1
94 Northeastern 115.0 +0.52 66 1
95 George Mason 114.8 +0.51 66 1
96 Iowa 114.6 +0.50 66 1
97 Colorado State 114.4 +0.49 65 1
98 Michigan 114.3 +0.48 65 1
99 San Francisco 114.1 +0.47 65 1
100 Akron 113.8 +0.46 64 1
101 Stanford 113.7 +0.46 64 1
102 UCLA 113.7 +0.46 64 1
103 Boston College 113.6 +0.45 63 1
104 Tennessee Tech 113.5 +0.45 63 1
105 Gonzaga 112.8 +0.41 62 1
106 Murray State 112.2 +0.38 62 1
107 Southeast Missouri State 112.1 +0.37 62 1
108 Baylor 111.9 +0.36 61 1
109 SMU 111.8 +0.36 61 1
110 Memphis 111.6 +0.35 61 1
111 Pepperdine 111.4 +0.34 60 1
112 Youngstown State 111.3 +0.34 60 1
113 Northern Arizona 111.0 +0.32 60 1
114 Florida 110.6 +0.30 59 1
115 Illinois State 110.5 +0.30 59 1
116 Presbyterian 110.1 +0.27 58 1
117 Bowling Green 109.6 +0.25 58 1
118 Kent State 109.6 +0.25 58 1
119 App State 109.6 +0.25 57 1
120 UAB 109.5 +0.24 57 1
121 Duquesne 109.1 +0.23 57 1
122 Texas Tech 109.0 +0.22 56 1
123 Creighton 108.7 +0.21 56 1
124 North Carolina 108.7 +0.20 56 1
125 Columbia 108.4 +0.19 55 1
126 Yale 108.4 +0.19 55 1
127 Iowa State 108.3 +0.18 55 1
128 High Point 107.9 +0.17 54 1
129 Eastern Michigan 107.9 +0.17 54 1
130 Seton Hall 107.5 +0.15 53 1
131 UL Monroe 107.2 +0.13 53 1
132 Indiana State 106.5 +0.10 53 1
133 South Alabama 106.5 +0.10 52 1
134 Texas State 106.4 +0.09 52 1
135 Western Carolina 106.2 +0.08 52 1
136 Cincinnati 106.0 +0.07 51 1
137 East Texas A&M 106.0 +0.07 51 1
138 Purdue 105.9 +0.07 51 1
139 East Tennessee State 105.3 +0.04 50 1
140 Georgia 105.1 +0.02 50 1
141 Colgate 105.0 +0.02 49 1
142 North Alabama 104.9 +0.02 49 1
143 Wisconsin 104.8 +0.01 49 1
144 James Madison 104.6 +0.00 48 1
145 Notre Dame 104.4 -0.01 48 1
146 St. John's 104.2 -0.02 48 1
147 Bethune-Cookman 103.6 -0.05 47 1
148 Coastal Carolina 103.6 -0.05 47 1
149 Temple 103.4 -0.06 47 1
150 South Dakota State 102.8 -0.09 46 1
151 Massachusetts 102.7 -0.09 46 1
152 Arizona 102.4 -0.11 45 1
153 DePaul 102.4 -0.11 45 1
154 UTEP 102.2 -0.12 45 1
155 Hawai'i 102.1 -0.12 44 1
156 Villanova 102.1 -0.12 44 1
157 Montana 102.0 -0.13 44 1
158 Eastern Washington 101.6 -0.15 43 1
159 Old Dominion 101.4 -0.16 43 1
160 Montana State 101.3 -0.16 43 1
161 Stetson 101.0 -0.18 42 2
162 Purdue Fort Wayne 100.4 -0.21 42 1
163 Georgia State 100.4 -0.21 42 1
164 Bryant 100.2 -0.22 41 1
165 St. Bonaventure 100.0 -0.23 41 1
166 Little Rock 100.0 -0.23 40 1
167 Utah 100.0 -0.23 40 1
168 UTSA 99.8 -0.24 40 1
169 Cal State Fullerton 99.5 -0.25 39 1
170 Chattanooga 99.1 -0.27 39 1
171 Texas Southern 98.8 -0.29 39 1
172 Belmont 98.6 -0.30 38 1
173 UC Davis 98.4 -0.31 38 1
174 Dartmouth 98.0 -0.33 38 1
175 Florida Atlantic 97.7 -0.34 37 1
176 Kansas State 97.7 -0.34 37 1
177 UNC Asheville 97.4 -0.36 36 1
178 Arkansas State 97.4 -0.36 36 1
179 Seattle U 97.2 -0.36 36 1
180 Air Force 97.0 -0.38 35 1
181 Georgia Southern 97.0 -0.38 35 1
182 Towson 96.8 -0.39 35 1
183 Georgia Tech 96.3 -0.41 34 1
184 South Carolina Upstate 96.2 -0.42 34 1
185 Long Beach State 96.1 -0.42 34 1
186 Southern 95.8 -0.43 33 1
187 Denver 95.8 -0.44 33 1
188 Oakland 95.4 -0.45 32 1
189 North Florida 95.2 -0.46 32 1
190 Howard 94.5 -0.50 32 1
191 Oklahoma 93.8 -0.53 31 1
192 Bucknell 93.5 -0.55 31 1
193 Miami 92.7 -0.59 31 1
194 Charleston Southern 92.2 -0.61 30 1
195 Binghamton 92.1 -0.62 30 1
196 Lehigh 92.0 -0.63 30 1
197 New Hampshire 91.9 -0.63 29 1
198 Sam Houston 91.8 -0.63 29 1
199 Campbell 91.7 -0.64 29 1
200 Lipscomb 91.2 -0.67 28 2
201 Washington State 90.7 -0.69 28 1
202 Marist 90.7 -0.69 27 1
203 Vermont 90.6 -0.69 27 1
204 Radford 90.4 -0.71 27 1
205 New Haven 90.2 -0.71 26 1
206 Siena 90.1 -0.72 26 1
207 Toledo 90.0 -0.73 26 1
208 Maryland Eastern Shore 89.0 -0.78 25 1
209 Troy 88.7 -0.79 25 1
210 Le Moyne 88.7 -0.79 25 1
211 Florida A&M 88.3 -0.81 24 1
212 Loyola Maryland 87.9 -0.83 24 1
213 Iona 87.9 -0.83 23 1
214 Louisiana 87.8 -0.83 23 1
215 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 87.8 -0.83 23 1
216 Liberty 87.5 -0.85 22 1
217 Manhattan 86.5 -0.90 22 1
218 Merrimack 86.4 -0.90 22 1
219 Morehead State 85.7 -0.94 21 1
220 Buffalo 85.6 -0.95 21 1
221 Fordham 85.3 -0.96 21 1
222 North Carolina Central 85.2 -0.96 20 1
223 Milwaukee 85.0 -0.97 20 1
224 Kansas City 84.3 -1.01 19 1
225 Abilene Christian 84.2 -1.01 19 1
226 Northwestern State 84.0 -1.02 19 1
227 Brown 83.8 -1.03 18 1
228 Chicago State 83.5 -1.05 18 1
229 Monmouth 83.3 -1.06 18 1
230 NJIT 83.0 -1.07 17 1
231 Western Illinois 82.9 -1.08 17 1
232 Holy Cross 82.4 -1.10 17 1
233 Central Connecticut 82.1 -1.12 16 1
234 Wofford 82.0 -1.12 16 1
235 The Citadel 81.8 -1.14 16 1
236 Quinnipiac 81.5 -1.15 15 1
237 Long Island University 81.1 -1.17 15 1
238 Eastern Illinois 81.1 -1.17 14 1
239 California Baptist 80.3 -1.21 14 1
240 Idaho State 80.1 -1.22 14 1
241 Western Michigan 80.0 -1.22 13 1
242 Lindenwood 79.8 -1.23 13 1
243 Drexel 79.7 -1.24 13 1
244 Incarnate Word 79.3 -1.26 12 1
245 Utah Tech 79.3 -1.26 12 1
246 West Georgia 79.1 -1.27 12 1
247 Canisius 78.9 -1.28 11 1
248 Maine 78.5 -1.30 11 1
249 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 78.2 -1.31 10 1
250 Oral Roberts 78.1 -1.32 10 1
251 Wagner 78.0 -1.32 10 1
252 Alcorn State 77.8 -1.33 9 1
253 Alabama State 77.6 -1.34 9 1
254 Ball State 77.6 -1.34 9 1
255 Rider 77.6 -1.34 8 1
256 Weber State 77.5 -1.35 8 1
257 Lafayette 77.2 -1.36 8 1
258 Tennessee State 75.6 -1.44 7 1
259 UMBC 74.7 -1.49 7 1
260 Southern Indiana 73.9 -1.52 6 1
261 Cleveland State 73.4 -1.55 6 1
262 American University 73.1 -1.57 6 1
263 North Dakota 72.4 -1.60 5 1
264 Robert Morris 72.1 -1.61 5 1
265 Hampton 72.1 -1.61 5 1
266 Coppin State 71.6 -1.64 4 1
267 La Salle 71.5 -1.65 4 1
268 Army 71.1 -1.66 4 1
269 LSU New Orleans 70.3 -1.70 3 1
270 Bellarmine 67.9 -1.82 3 1
271 Saint Peter's 67.6 -1.84 3 1
272 Mercyhurst 65.8 -1.93 2 1
273 Niagara 64.9 -1.98 2 1
274 Mount St. Mary's 64.6 -1.99 1 1
275 Gardner-Webb 63.6 -2.04 1 1
276 Fairleigh Dickinson 59.8 -2.23 1 1
277 Jackson State 58.6 -2.29 0 1
278 Navy 53.3 -2.55 0 1