We live on blood / We are Sparta F.C "Theme from Sparta FC" - The Fall

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 63.9% max 80.8% mean 72.4% std 3.4% (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Free Throw Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Harvard 80.8% +2.46 100 28
2 Saint Mary's 80.3% +2.33 100 32
3 Manhattan 79.6% +2.11 99 31
4 Detroit Mercy 78.9% +1.92 99 30
5 Vanderbilt 78.9% +1.92 99 36
6 Wisconsin 78.8% +1.88 99 35
7 Bellarmine 78.8% +1.88 98 30
8 Merrimack 78.8% +1.88 98 34
9 Boise State 78.7% +1.85 98 30
10 Delaware 78.6% +1.83 98 30
11 Georgia State 78.6% +1.82 97 30
12 Cal Poly 78.5% +1.80 97 31
13 Tulsa 78.1% +1.69 97 36
14 South Carolina 78.1% +1.68 96 32
15 Sacramento State 78.1% +1.68 96 28
16 Marist 78.1% +1.67 96 30
17 Illinois 78.0% +1.66 96 37
18 Indiana 78.0% +1.65 95 32
19 Sacred Heart 78.0% +1.63 95 32
20 North Florida 77.8% +1.60 95 30
21 Ohio State 77.7% +1.57 95 34
22 Wake Forest 77.6% +1.53 94 35
23 UC Santa Barbara 77.5% +1.51 94 30
24 Green Bay 77.5% +1.50 94 31
25 California 77.4% +1.48 93 33
26 Chattanooga 77.4% +1.46 93 29
27 Montana 77.3% +1.46 93 30
28 Houston 77.3% +1.44 93 37
29 Holy Cross 77.2% +1.41 92 31
30 Oregon State 77.2% +1.41 92 33
31 Denver 77.1% +1.40 92 29
32 Siena 77.1% +1.38 91 35
33 Colorado State 77.0% +1.36 91 33
34 Iowa 76.9% +1.32 91 37
35 Bucknell 76.8% +1.30 91 33
36 NC State 76.8% +1.29 90 34
37 Kansas 76.7% +1.27 90 35
38 Central Connecticut 76.7% +1.27 90 28
39 Alabama 76.7% +1.26 90 35
40 Tulane 76.7% +1.26 89 32
41 Michigan State 76.4% +1.18 89 35
42 Washington 76.4% +1.18 89 33
43 LSU 76.4% +1.17 88 32
44 Creighton 76.4% +1.17 88 34
45 UT Rio Grande Valley 76.3% +1.15 88 31
46 UCLA 76.3% +1.14 88 36
47 Tennessee Tech 76.2% +1.12 87 28
48 Cleveland State 76.2% +1.12 87 30
49 Texas State 76.2% +1.11 87 30
50 Colorado 76.1% +1.10 87 33
51 Louisville 76.1% +1.08 86 35
52 Tennessee State 76.0% +1.07 86 30
53 Bryant 76.0% +1.07 86 29
54 UMBC 76.0% +1.06 85 31
55 Jackson State 75.8% +1.01 85 33
56 Hofstra 75.8% +1.01 85 33
57 American University 75.8% +1.00 85 30
58 Pepperdine 75.8% +1.00 84 30
59 Northern Colorado 75.8% +0.99 84 29
60 Providence 75.7% +0.98 84 33
61 Nevada 75.7% +0.96 84 37
62 Western Kentucky 75.7% +0.96 83 30
63 Prairie View A&M 75.6% +0.93 83 33
64 Nebraska 75.5% +0.92 83 35
65 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 75.5% +0.91 82 30
66 Pacific 75.5% +0.91 82 31
67 Murray State 75.5% +0.90 82 33
68 Oklahoma 75.4% +0.90 82 37
69 Akron 75.4% +0.89 81 33
70 Toledo 75.4% +0.88 81 32
71 Dayton 75.4% +0.88 81 37
72 Grand Canyon 75.3% +0.87 80 32
73 Arizona State 75.3% +0.86 80 33
74 UC Davis 75.3% +0.86 80 31
75 Binghamton 75.3% +0.85 80 28
76 Richmond 75.2% +0.82 79 31
77 Arkansas 75.1% +0.81 79 37
78 Fresno State 75.1% +0.80 79 31
79 Oakland 75.1% +0.80 79 31
80 Northwestern 75.1% +0.79 78 34
81 Georgia 75.0% +0.78 78 33
82 Monmouth 75.0% +0.77 78 33
83 Penn State 75.0% +0.76 77 32
84 Chicago State 75.0% +0.75 77 31
85 Lipscomb 74.9% +0.75 77 30
86 Ole Miss 74.9% +0.75 77 35
87 William & Mary 74.9% +0.74 76 30
88 Queens University 74.9% +0.74 76 34
89 Miami (OH) 74.9% +0.74 76 31
90 Princeton 74.8% +0.70 76 28
91 Michigan 74.8% +0.70 75 40
92 Wright State 74.7% +0.69 75 33
93 East Tennessee State 74.7% +0.69 75 32
94 BYU 74.7% +0.68 74 35
95 San Diego 74.7% +0.68 74 31
96 Temple 74.7% +0.67 74 31
97 Colgate 74.7% +0.67 74 31
98 St. Bonaventure 74.7% +0.67 73 33
99 Purdue 74.6% +0.66 73 39
100 Yale 74.6% +0.64 73 29
101 South Florida 74.6% +0.64 73 33
102 Oklahoma State 74.5% +0.62 72 35
103 Washington State 74.5% +0.62 72 31
104 Western Michigan 74.4% +0.59 72 29
105 Kent State 74.4% +0.59 71 32
106 Santa Clara 74.4% +0.58 71 34
107 Eastern Illinois 74.4% +0.58 71 30
108 Auburn 74.4% +0.58 71 38
109 McNeese 74.4% +0.58 70 32
110 Texas 74.4% +0.58 70 35
111 Georgia Southern 74.3% +0.57 70 35
112 High Point 74.3% +0.57 70 33
113 Morgan State 74.3% +0.57 69 27
114 New Orleans 74.3% +0.57 69 33
115 Wyoming 74.3% +0.56 69 32
116 Virginia Tech 74.3% +0.56 68 32
117 SMU 74.3% +0.55 68 34
118 Eastern Washington 74.3% +0.55 68 32
119 Dartmouth 74.2% +0.53 68 25
120 UC Riverside 74.2% +0.53 67 30
121 Tarleton State 74.2% +0.52 67 28
122 Troy 74.2% +0.52 67 32
123 South Dakota 74.2% +0.52 66 29
124 Cornell 74.1% +0.51 66 26
125 Morehead State 74.1% +0.51 66 30
126 Rutgers 74.1% +0.49 66 34
127 Idaho State 74.1% +0.49 65 30
128 Saint Louis 74.1% +0.49 65 34
129 Mercyhurst 74.1% +0.49 65 32
130 Howard 74.0% +0.49 65 31
131 Portland 74.0% +0.48 64 32
132 Montana State 74.0% +0.48 64 29
133 Georgetown 74.0% +0.48 64 34
134 Bradley 74.0% +0.48 63 33
135 Northwestern State 74.0% +0.47 63 30
136 Longwood 74.0% +0.47 63 29
137 Oral Roberts 74.0% +0.47 63 30
138 Saint Joseph's 73.8% +0.43 62 34
139 North Carolina Central 73.8% +0.42 62 28
140 San José State 73.8% +0.42 62 32
141 Alabama A&M 73.8% +0.42 62 30
142 Cal State Bakersfield 73.8% +0.41 61 30
143 Utah 73.8% +0.41 61 32
144 Texas A&M 73.8% +0.40 61 34
145 Navy 73.6% +0.37 60 32
146 Southern Miss 73.6% +0.37 60 33
147 Charleston 73.6% +0.37 60 31
148 Saint Peter's 73.6% +0.35 60 28
149 Evansville 73.6% +0.35 59 30
150 VCU 73.6% +0.34 59 36
151 Buffalo 73.6% +0.34 59 30
152 Hawai'i 73.5% +0.34 59 31
153 New Mexico State 73.5% +0.33 58 29
154 North Carolina A&T 73.5% +0.32 58 28
155 Baylor 73.5% +0.32 58 33
156 Arizona 73.4% +0.30 57 39
157 Boston University 73.4% +0.30 57 33
158 Austin Peay 73.4% +0.29 57 29
159 Youngstown State 73.3% +0.28 57 29
160 Arkansas State 73.3% +0.27 56 30
161 Old Dominion 73.3% +0.27 56 32
162 Eastern Michigan 73.2% +0.25 56 30
163 Stanford 73.2% +0.24 55 33
164 Omaha 73.2% +0.23 55 29
165 Coastal Carolina 73.1% +0.21 55 31
166 San Diego State 73.0% +0.19 55 32
167 Mercer 73.0% +0.19 54 29
168 Marshall 73.0% +0.19 54 31
169 Oregon 73.0% +0.18 54 32
170 Weber State 72.9% +0.16 54 30
171 Winthrop 72.9% +0.15 53 31
172 Grambling 72.9% +0.15 53 31
173 UCF 72.9% +0.15 53 33
174 Xavier 72.9% +0.14 52 33
175 Duke 72.9% +0.14 52 38
176 New Mexico 72.9% +0.14 52 36
177 Virginia 72.8% +0.11 52 36
178 UL Monroe 72.7% +0.09 51 30
179 Kentucky 72.7% +0.09 51 36
180 Lehigh 72.6% +0.08 51 33
181 Idaho 72.6% +0.07 51 33
182 USC 72.6% +0.06 50 31
183 Utah Tech 72.6% +0.06 50 31
184 Wagner 72.6% +0.05 50 28
185 Long Beach State 72.5% +0.04 49 30
186 UIC 72.5% +0.04 49 33
187 Clemson 72.5% +0.03 49 35
188 George Mason 72.5% +0.03 49 32
189 La Salle 72.5% +0.03 48 31
190 Campbell 72.5% +0.03 48 32
191 Hampton 72.5% +0.02 48 30
192 UConn 72.4% +0.00 48 40
193 Eastern Kentucky 72.4% +0.00 47 30
194 George Washington 72.3% -0.01 47 34
195 UT Arlington 72.3% -0.02 47 30
196 Bowling Green 72.3% -0.02 46 29
197 Stony Brook 72.3% -0.03 46 30
198 Jacksonville 72.3% -0.03 46 30
199 Seton Hall 72.3% -0.03 46 33
200 St. John's 72.2% -0.05 45 37
201 VMI 72.2% -0.05 45 29
202 Maryland 72.2% -0.06 45 33
203 Niagara 72.2% -0.06 45 29
204 IU Indianapolis 72.1% -0.07 44 30
205 Memphis 72.1% -0.07 44 32
206 Rhode Island 72.1% -0.08 44 32
207 Florida Gulf Coast 72.1% -0.08 43 32
208 Northern Kentucky 72.1% -0.10 43 31
209 South Dakota State 72.0% -0.11 43 29
210 Butler 71.9% -0.13 43 32
211 Texas Southern 71.9% -0.14 42 28
212 Canisius 71.9% -0.14 42 30
213 Vermont 71.9% -0.15 42 32
214 Le Moyne 71.8% -0.19 41 31
215 Army 71.7% -0.20 41 30
216 Sam Houston 71.6% -0.24 41 31
217 Mississippi Valley State 71.6% -0.24 41 32
218 Cal State Fullerton 71.6% -0.24 40 32
219 Charlotte 71.6% -0.24 40 33
220 Duquesne 71.5% -0.25 40 31
221 Southern Utah 71.5% -0.25 40 29
222 Texas Tech 71.5% -0.26 39 34
223 Loyola Maryland 71.5% -0.27 39 30
224 Maryland Eastern Shore 71.5% -0.27 39 30
225 Elon 71.4% -0.28 38 30
226 Drake 71.4% -0.29 38 32
227 North Dakota State 71.4% -0.30 38 32
228 Liberty 71.4% -0.30 38 31
229 Western Carolina 71.4% -0.30 37 29
230 California Baptist 71.3% -0.30 37 34
231 Florida State 71.3% -0.32 37 33
232 Florida 71.2% -0.35 37 35
233 Incarnate Word 71.2% -0.35 36 28
234 Illinois State 71.2% -0.36 36 35
235 Georgia Tech 71.1% -0.38 36 31
236 Radford 71.0% -0.40 35 29
237 Ohio 71.0% -0.40 35 30
238 Portland State 71.0% -0.41 35 28
239 Utah State 71.0% -0.41 35 35
240 Ball State 71.0% -0.42 34 29
241 Kansas State 71.0% -0.42 34 32
242 San Francisco 70.9% -0.44 34 32
243 Wofford 70.9% -0.45 34 30
244 Valparaiso 70.9% -0.45 33 32
245 Alcorn State 70.8% -0.48 33 32
246 Central Arkansas 70.7% -0.49 33 32
247 Purdue Fort Wayne 70.7% -0.49 32 29
248 Gonzaga 70.7% -0.50 32 35
249 Lamar 70.7% -0.50 32 29
250 Iona 70.7% -0.50 32 32
251 UAB 70.6% -0.53 31 31
252 Seattle U 70.6% -0.53 31 33
253 NJIT 70.5% -0.54 31 32
254 Alabama State 70.5% -0.55 30 31
255 Fairfield 70.5% -0.56 30 33
256 UNC Greensboro 70.4% -0.58 30 32
257 TCU 70.4% -0.58 30 35
258 Abilene Christian 70.4% -0.58 29 30
259 West Georgia 70.4% -0.58 29 30
260 UTEP 70.4% -0.58 29 28
261 Louisiana 70.4% -0.58 29 33
262 Florida Atlantic 70.3% -0.61 28 31
263 James Madison 70.3% -0.62 28 32
264 Florida A&M 70.3% -0.62 28 29
265 Fordham 70.2% -0.63 27 29
266 New Haven 70.2% -0.65 27 28
267 Middle Tennessee 70.2% -0.65 27 29
268 Kennesaw State 70.1% -0.67 27 32
269 Furman 70.1% -0.67 26 32
270 Rider 70.1% -0.67 26 28
271 Columbia 70.1% -0.67 26 26
272 Fairleigh Dickinson 70.1% -0.68 26 29
273 North Texas 70.0% -0.71 25 31
274 East Carolina 70.0% -0.71 25 30
275 UTSA 69.8% -0.75 25 28
276 UC Irvine 69.7% -0.78 24 33
277 Central Michigan 69.7% -0.80 24 29
278 Notre Dame 69.7% -0.80 24 31
279 Bethune-Cookman 69.7% -0.80 24 31
280 Loyola Marymount 69.5% -0.83 23 31
281 Southeast Missouri State 69.5% -0.84 23 30
282 Saint Francis 69.5% -0.84 23 29
283 North Dakota 69.5% -0.85 23 32
284 Southern 69.5% -0.85 22 31
285 Pennsylvania 69.4% -0.87 22 29
286 Minnesota 69.4% -0.87 22 33
287 Florida International 69.4% -0.87 21 29
288 Houston Christian 69.4% -0.88 21 30
289 Robert Morris 69.4% -0.88 21 31
290 UC San Diego 69.3% -0.91 21 32
291 Wichita State 69.2% -0.92 20 35
292 Stetson 69.2% -0.93 20 31
293 Samford 69.2% -0.94 20 30
294 Northern Iowa 69.2% -0.94 20 35
295 DePaul 69.2% -0.94 19 32
296 Tennessee 69.1% -0.96 19 37
297 Quinnipiac 69.1% -0.97 19 31
298 Missouri 69.1% -0.98 18 33
299 Northeastern 69.0% -1.00 18 31
300 Towson 68.9% -1.01 18 32
301 Delaware State 68.9% -1.02 18 27
302 Villanova 68.9% -1.02 17 33
303 Lafayette 68.9% -1.03 17 31
304 Northern Arizona 68.9% -1.04 17 29
305 St. Thomas-Minnesota 68.7% -1.08 16 31
306 UNC Wilmington 68.7% -1.08 16 32
307 Milwaukee 68.7% -1.09 16 31
308 Utah Valley 68.6% -1.10 16 31
309 Belmont 68.6% -1.11 15 31
310 Stephen F. Austin 68.6% -1.12 15 32
311 Stonehill 68.5% -1.13 15 31
312 Presbyterian 68.5% -1.15 15 30
313 Gardner-Webb 68.5% -1.15 14 30
314 Jacksonville State 68.4% -1.16 14 29
315 North Alabama 68.4% -1.16 14 28
316 Brown 68.4% -1.17 13 25
317 UNC Asheville 68.4% -1.18 13 29
318 SE Louisiana 68.4% -1.18 13 30
319 West Virginia 68.3% -1.19 13 35
320 Miami 68.3% -1.20 12 35
321 Southern Illinois 68.3% -1.21 12 31
322 North Carolina 68.2% -1.24 12 33
323 Norfolk State 68.1% -1.25 12 28
324 South Carolina Upstate 68.1% -1.25 11 29
325 Cincinnati 68.1% -1.26 11 33
326 Rice 68.1% -1.26 11 29
327 Little Rock 68.0% -1.30 10 30
328 East Texas A&M 67.9% -1.31 10 30
329 Indiana State 67.8% -1.35 10 30
330 UT Martin 67.7% -1.36 10 30
331 UNLV 67.7% -1.39 9 34
332 Marquette 67.5% -1.44 9 32
333 Iowa State 67.5% -1.44 9 37
334 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 67.4% -1.45 9 29
335 Lindenwood 67.4% -1.46 8 30
336 Pittsburgh 67.4% -1.46 8 33
337 Mount St. Mary's 67.4% -1.47 8 31
338 Missouri State 67.3% -1.48 7 31
339 Massachusetts 67.3% -1.49 7 32
340 Loyola Chicago 67.3% -1.51 7 33
341 Louisiana Tech 67.2% -1.52 7 31
342 Coppin State 67.2% -1.52 6 30
343 SIU Edwardsville 67.1% -1.54 6 29
344 South Carolina State 66.8% -1.65 6 30
345 Cal State Northridge 66.8% -1.65 5 32
346 Long Island University 66.7% -1.68 5 35
347 Southern Indiana 66.6% -1.71 5 28
348 Drexel 66.5% -1.72 5 32
349 The Citadel 66.5% -1.72 4 30
350 Nicholls 66.2% -1.80 4 32
351 Western Illinois 66.2% -1.81 4 28
352 Kansas City 66.2% -1.82 4 28
353 Mississippi State 66.0% -1.87 3 32
354 UAlbany 65.9% -1.89 3 29
355 UMass Lowell 65.7% -1.95 3 30
356 Northern Illinois 65.7% -1.98 2 28
357 South Alabama 65.5% -2.02 2 31
358 Boston College 65.3% -2.08 2 31
359 New Hampshire 65.1% -2.15 2 28
360 Charleston Southern 64.8% -2.22 1 29
361 Syracuse 64.8% -2.23 1 32
362 App State 64.5% -2.31 1 30
363 Maine 64.3% -2.38 1 31
364 Air Force 64.1% -2.43 0 32
365 Davidson 63.9% -2.49 0 32