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Effective Field Goal Percentage

Field-goal shooting that credits a 3-pointer as 1.5 made shots.

(FGM + 0.5×3PM) ÷ FGA. A made three is worth 1.5 times a made two, so it counts as 1.5 makes; plain FG% undervalues teams that shoot a lot of threes.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 51.3%  ·  as of 2026-04-07

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.66 (team entering with the better value wins 62% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 42.8% max 61.0% mean 51.3% std 3.0% (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Belmont 61.0% +3.20 100 31
2 Saint Louis 59.7% +2.77 100 34
3 Bellarmine 59.4% +2.68 99 30
4 Liberty 59.1% +2.58 99 31
5 St. Thomas-Minnesota 58.9% +2.50 99 31
6 Miami (OH) 58.6% +2.40 99 31
7 Cornell 58.5% +2.37 98 26
8 Michigan 58.3% +2.32 98 40
9 Akron 58.2% +2.26 98 33
10 Purdue 57.6% +2.09 98 39
11 Boston University 57.5% +2.04 97 33
12 Colorado State 57.5% +2.03 97 33
13 Duke 56.6% +1.76 97 38
14 Louisville 56.5% +1.73 96 35
15 Queens University 56.4% +1.70 96 34
16 Arkansas 56.4% +1.69 96 37
17 Iowa 56.4% +1.68 96 37
18 Utah State 56.3% +1.63 95 35
19 Ohio State 56.2% +1.63 95 34
20 Iowa State 56.2% +1.62 95 37
21 Texas Tech 56.1% +1.59 95 34
22 Indiana 56.1% +1.59 94 32
23 Montana 55.8% +1.50 94 30
24 Northern Colorado 55.7% +1.46 94 29
25 Gonzaga 55.6% +1.44 93 35
26 SMU 55.6% +1.43 93 34
27 Yale 55.6% +1.43 93 29
28 Nebraska 55.5% +1.40 93 35
29 Tulsa 55.4% +1.36 92 36
30 Buffalo 55.4% +1.34 92 30
31 Vanderbilt 55.3% +1.33 92 36
32 Miami 55.3% +1.32 91 35
33 East Tennessee State 55.3% +1.31 91 32
34 Alabama 55.2% +1.30 91 35
35 NC State 55.0% +1.23 91 34
36 Missouri 55.0% +1.22 90 33
37 Providence 55.0% +1.21 90 33
38 Utah Valley 54.9% +1.21 90 31
39 Robert Morris 54.9% +1.20 90 31
40 Oklahoma 54.9% +1.19 89 37
41 Green Bay 54.9% +1.19 89 31
42 Marshall 54.8% +1.17 89 31
43 Furman 54.8% +1.15 88 32
44 UT Rio Grande Valley 54.8% +1.15 88 31
45 Arizona 54.7% +1.13 88 39
46 Illinois 54.7% +1.12 88 37
47 UC Santa Barbara 54.7% +1.12 87 30
48 Washington State 54.7% +1.11 87 31
49 Virginia 54.6% +1.10 87 36
50 Toledo 54.5% +1.07 87 32
51 High Point 54.5% +1.07 86 33
52 Wisconsin 54.5% +1.05 86 35
53 Santa Clara 54.4% +1.04 86 34
54 BYU 54.4% +1.04 85 35
55 George Washington 54.4% +1.03 85 34
56 Wright State 54.3% +1.01 85 33
57 North Carolina 54.3% +0.99 85 33
58 William & Mary 54.3% +0.99 84 30
59 UConn 54.3% +0.98 84 40
60 Chattanooga 54.2% +0.96 84 29
61 Georgia 54.2% +0.95 84 33
62 Cleveland State 54.2% +0.95 83 30
63 Florida 54.1% +0.95 83 35
64 UMBC 54.1% +0.93 83 31
65 Texas 54.1% +0.92 82 35
66 Charleston Southern 54.1% +0.92 82 29
67 Lipscomb 54.1% +0.91 82 30
68 Central Arkansas 54.0% +0.90 82 32
69 Minnesota 53.9% +0.85 81 33
70 Murray State 53.8% +0.84 81 33
71 Texas A&M 53.8% +0.83 81 34
72 Michigan State 53.8% +0.83 80 35
73 Northern Iowa 53.8% +0.82 80 35
74 Villanova 53.8% +0.82 80 33
75 Eastern Washington 53.7% +0.81 80 32
76 Youngstown State 53.7% +0.78 79 29
77 Illinois State 53.7% +0.78 79 35
78 VCU 53.6% +0.78 79 36
79 Denver 53.6% +0.77 79 29
80 Montana State 53.6% +0.77 78 29
81 UNLV 53.6% +0.75 78 34
82 New Mexico 53.5% +0.74 78 36
83 Columbia 53.5% +0.73 77 26
84 Baylor 53.4% +0.71 77 33
85 UCLA 53.4% +0.69 77 36
86 Charlotte 53.4% +0.69 77 33
87 Kentucky 53.3% +0.68 76 36
88 Kansas State 53.3% +0.67 76 32
89 Delaware 53.3% +0.67 76 30
90 Utah Tech 53.3% +0.66 76 31
91 Colgate 53.3% +0.66 75 31
92 North Dakota State 53.2% +0.65 75 32
93 Northern Kentucky 53.2% +0.64 75 31
94 Harvard 53.2% +0.63 74 28
95 Vermont 53.1% +0.62 74 32
96 Stetson 53.1% +0.62 74 31
97 James Madison 53.1% +0.61 74 32
98 Mercer 53.1% +0.60 73 29
99 Massachusetts 53.1% +0.59 73 32
100 Navy 53.1% +0.59 73 32
101 Samford 53.1% +0.59 73 30
102 Penn State 53.0% +0.57 72 32
103 Creighton 53.0% +0.57 72 34
104 Auburn 53.0% +0.56 72 38
105 Austin Peay 53.0% +0.56 71 29
106 North Florida 52.9% +0.55 71 30
107 Lehigh 52.9% +0.54 71 33
108 Colorado 52.9% +0.54 71 33
109 Saint Mary's 52.8% +0.52 70 32
110 Indiana State 52.8% +0.51 70 30
111 LSU 52.8% +0.51 70 32
112 Long Island University 52.8% +0.50 70 35
113 George Mason 52.7% +0.48 69 32
114 Oakland 52.7% +0.47 69 31
115 Richmond 52.7% +0.47 69 31
116 San Diego State 52.7% +0.47 68 32
117 Wake Forest 52.7% +0.47 68 35
118 Le Moyne 52.7% +0.45 68 31
119 California 52.7% +0.45 68 33
120 South Alabama 52.6% +0.45 67 31
121 Davidson 52.6% +0.44 67 32
122 Syracuse 52.6% +0.43 67 32
123 UCF 52.6% +0.43 66 33
124 UC San Diego 52.6% +0.43 66 32
125 Purdue Fort Wayne 52.6% +0.42 66 29
126 Clemson 52.6% +0.42 66 35
127 Wofford 52.5% +0.40 65 30
128 Sam Houston 52.5% +0.39 65 31
129 St. Bonaventure 52.4% +0.38 65 33
130 Northeastern 52.4% +0.38 65 31
131 Duquesne 52.3% +0.35 64 31
132 Florida State 52.3% +0.34 64 33
133 Notre Dame 52.3% +0.33 64 31
134 Virginia Tech 52.2% +0.32 63 32
135 Florida Atlantic 52.2% +0.31 63 31
136 IU Indianapolis 52.2% +0.31 63 30
137 Elon 52.2% +0.31 63 30
138 Boise State 52.2% +0.30 62 30
139 Omaha 52.2% +0.30 62 29
140 Pacific 52.2% +0.29 62 31
141 Eastern Kentucky 52.1% +0.27 62 30
142 Utah 52.0% +0.25 61 32
143 South Dakota State 52.0% +0.24 61 29
144 Oklahoma State 52.0% +0.24 61 35
145 Sacred Heart 52.0% +0.24 60 32
146 UNC Greensboro 52.0% +0.24 60 32
147 Florida Gulf Coast 52.0% +0.24 60 32
148 Hawai'i 52.0% +0.23 60 31
149 Iona 51.9% +0.20 59 32
150 Houston 51.9% +0.19 59 37
151 Idaho State 51.8% +0.19 59 30
152 Loyola Marymount 51.8% +0.19 59 31
153 Bowling Green 51.8% +0.18 58 29
154 Wyoming 51.8% +0.18 58 32
155 Xavier 51.8% +0.17 58 33
156 Dartmouth 51.8% +0.16 57 25
157 UC Davis 51.8% +0.16 57 31
158 Central Michigan 51.8% +0.16 57 29
159 Northwestern 51.7% +0.15 57 34
160 Stephen F. Austin 51.7% +0.14 56 32
161 Northern Arizona 51.7% +0.13 56 29
162 Grand Canyon 51.7% +0.13 56 32
163 Weber State 51.7% +0.13 55 30
164 Arkansas State 51.7% +0.13 55 30
165 Central Connecticut 51.6% +0.12 55 28
166 West Virginia 51.6% +0.11 55 35
167 Middle Tennessee 51.6% +0.10 54 29
168 Dayton 51.6% +0.09 54 37
169 American University 51.5% +0.09 54 30
170 Cal Poly 51.5% +0.08 54 31
171 Troy 51.5% +0.08 53 32
172 Mississippi State 51.5% +0.07 53 32
173 Stanford 51.5% +0.06 53 33
174 Tennessee 51.4% +0.05 52 37
175 Kent State 51.4% +0.05 52 32
176 Georgia Southern 51.4% +0.04 52 35
177 Idaho 51.4% +0.04 52 33
178 Hofstra 51.4% +0.03 51 33
179 Drake 51.4% +0.03 51 32
180 Cal State Fullerton 51.4% +0.03 51 32
181 Radford 51.3% +0.03 51 29
182 UAlbany 51.3% +0.02 50 29
183 Cal State Northridge 51.3% -0.00 50 32
184 San Francisco 51.2% -0.01 50 32
185 San Diego 51.2% -0.01 49 31
186 Kansas 51.2% -0.01 49 35
187 Washington 51.2% -0.01 49 33
188 Portland 51.2% -0.02 49 32
189 Bradley 51.1% -0.05 48 33
190 Arizona State 51.1% -0.06 48 33
191 Missouri State 51.1% -0.06 48 31
192 St. John's 51.1% -0.07 48 37
193 Pittsburgh 51.0% -0.08 47 33
194 UNC Asheville 51.0% -0.10 47 29
195 Bethune-Cookman 51.0% -0.10 47 31
196 Presbyterian 51.0% -0.10 46 30
197 Ohio 50.9% -0.11 46 30
198 Howard 50.9% -0.12 46 31
199 Butler 50.9% -0.12 46 32
200 Southern Utah 50.7% -0.17 45 29
201 North Carolina A&T 50.7% -0.20 45 28
202 McNeese 50.7% -0.20 45 32
203 Old Dominion 50.7% -0.20 45 32
204 Drexel 50.7% -0.20 44 32
205 Nicholls 50.6% -0.21 44 32
206 Fresno State 50.6% -0.21 44 31
207 Long Beach State 50.6% -0.21 43 30
208 Mount St. Mary's 50.6% -0.21 43 31
209 South Florida 50.6% -0.22 43 33
210 Florida International 50.6% -0.23 43 29
211 Portland State 50.6% -0.24 42 28
212 Charleston 50.5% -0.24 42 31
213 Cincinnati 50.5% -0.24 42 33
214 Niagara 50.5% -0.26 41 29
215 Marquette 50.5% -0.26 41 32
216 Oregon State 50.5% -0.27 41 33
217 Ole Miss 50.4% -0.27 41 35
218 Western Carolina 50.4% -0.27 40 29
219 Loyola Maryland 50.4% -0.27 40 30
220 UNC Wilmington 50.4% -0.28 40 32
221 TCU 50.4% -0.29 40 35
222 Siena 50.4% -0.29 39 35
223 Pennsylvania 50.4% -0.29 39 29
224 Kennesaw State 50.4% -0.30 39 32
225 USC 50.4% -0.30 38 31
226 South Carolina 50.3% -0.32 38 32
227 Stony Brook 50.2% -0.34 38 30
228 Incarnate Word 50.2% -0.34 38 28
229 Temple 50.2% -0.36 37 31
230 Campbell 50.1% -0.37 37 32
231 Rhode Island 50.1% -0.38 37 32
232 Jacksonville 50.0% -0.41 37 30
233 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 50.0% -0.41 36 30
234 Binghamton 50.0% -0.42 36 28
235 Georgia Tech 50.0% -0.42 36 31
236 Nevada 50.0% -0.42 35 37
237 Tennessee State 50.0% -0.42 35 30
238 Texas State 50.0% -0.43 35 30
239 South Dakota 49.9% -0.44 35 29
240 App State 49.9% -0.45 34 30
241 Western Michigan 49.9% -0.45 34 29
242 Milwaukee 49.9% -0.46 34 31
243 DePaul 49.8% -0.47 34 32
244 Southeast Missouri State 49.8% -0.47 33 30
245 UIC 49.8% -0.48 33 33
246 Loyola Chicago 49.8% -0.48 33 33
247 UMass Lowell 49.8% -0.48 32 30
248 Holy Cross 49.8% -0.48 32 31
249 Seattle U 49.8% -0.49 32 33
250 Winthrop 49.7% -0.50 32 31
251 Texas Southern 49.7% -0.51 31 28
252 Houston Christian 49.7% -0.51 31 30
253 Jacksonville State 49.7% -0.51 31 29
254 Longwood 49.7% -0.51 30 29
255 San José State 49.7% -0.52 30 32
256 Oral Roberts 49.7% -0.53 30 30
257 Georgetown 49.6% -0.53 30 34
258 New Orleans 49.6% -0.54 29 33
259 Monmouth 49.6% -0.55 29 33
260 Princeton 49.6% -0.55 29 28
261 West Georgia 49.6% -0.55 29 30
262 Wagner 49.6% -0.55 28 28
263 Maine 49.6% -0.56 28 31
264 Eastern Michigan 49.6% -0.56 28 30
265 The Citadel 49.5% -0.57 27 30
266 SIU Edwardsville 49.5% -0.59 27 29
267 Detroit Mercy 49.5% -0.59 27 30
268 UC Irvine 49.5% -0.59 27 33
269 Mercyhurst 49.5% -0.59 26 32
270 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 49.5% -0.59 26 29
271 Oregon 49.5% -0.60 26 32
272 North Dakota 49.4% -0.60 26 32
273 Little Rock 49.4% -0.60 25 30
274 Wichita State 49.4% -0.61 25 35
275 Tulane 49.4% -0.61 25 32
276 Marist 49.3% -0.64 24 30
277 Norfolk State 49.3% -0.65 24 28
278 Lafayette 49.3% -0.65 24 31
279 Army 49.3% -0.65 24 30
280 Evansville 49.3% -0.66 23 30
281 Alabama A&M 49.2% -0.67 23 30
282 East Texas A&M 49.2% -0.67 23 30
283 Florida A&M 49.2% -0.68 23 29
284 Saint Joseph's 49.2% -0.69 22 34
285 Morehead State 49.2% -0.70 22 30
286 Southern Illinois 49.2% -0.70 22 31
287 Southern 49.1% -0.70 21 31
288 Merrimack 49.1% -0.71 21 34
289 Southern Miss 49.0% -0.73 21 33
290 Saint Francis 48.9% -0.76 21 29
291 UC Riverside 48.9% -0.77 20 30
292 Air Force 48.9% -0.78 20 32
293 Tennessee Tech 48.9% -0.78 20 28
294 Fairfield 48.8% -0.82 20 33
295 Grambling 48.8% -0.82 19 31
296 New Haven 48.7% -0.84 19 28
297 UT Martin 48.7% -0.84 19 30
298 Memphis 48.7% -0.84 18 32
299 Brown 48.6% -0.86 18 25
300 Fordham 48.6% -0.87 18 29
301 Northwestern State 48.6% -0.88 18 30
302 New Mexico State 48.5% -0.90 17 29
303 Rice 48.5% -0.90 17 29
304 Bucknell 48.5% -0.91 17 33
305 UAB 48.4% -0.96 16 31
306 Tarleton State 48.3% -0.97 16 28
307 South Carolina Upstate 48.3% -0.98 16 29
308 California Baptist 48.3% -0.98 16 34
309 UTEP 48.3% -0.99 15 28
310 Quinnipiac 48.2% -1.02 15 31
311 Maryland 48.1% -1.04 15 33
312 North Alabama 48.0% -1.06 15 28
313 Lindenwood 48.0% -1.09 14 30
314 Coastal Carolina 47.9% -1.11 14 31
315 Manhattan 47.9% -1.12 14 31
316 UL Monroe 47.8% -1.14 13 30
317 Gardner-Webb 47.8% -1.15 13 30
318 Lamar 47.8% -1.15 13 29
319 Maryland Eastern Shore 47.8% -1.15 13 30
320 Alcorn State 47.7% -1.18 12 32
321 Seton Hall 47.6% -1.19 12 33
322 Valparaiso 47.6% -1.20 12 32
323 Pepperdine 47.6% -1.20 12 30
324 Northern Illinois 47.6% -1.21 11 28
325 VMI 47.6% -1.22 11 29
326 Abilene Christian 47.5% -1.24 11 30
327 Western Kentucky 47.5% -1.24 10 30
328 North Carolina Central 47.5% -1.24 10 28
329 Louisiana Tech 47.4% -1.26 10 31
330 Prairie View A&M 47.4% -1.26 10 33
331 Rutgers 47.2% -1.33 9 34
332 UT Arlington 47.2% -1.34 9 30
333 Fairleigh Dickinson 47.1% -1.35 9 29
334 Louisiana 47.1% -1.36 9 33
335 Alabama State 47.1% -1.37 8 31
336 Ball State 47.0% -1.39 8 29
337 Sacramento State 47.0% -1.39 8 28
338 Boston College 47.0% -1.40 7 31
339 Stonehill 46.9% -1.43 7 31
340 Bryant 46.9% -1.44 7 29
341 South Carolina State 46.8% -1.46 7 30
342 NJIT 46.7% -1.49 6 32
343 SE Louisiana 46.7% -1.49 6 30
344 New Hampshire 46.7% -1.51 6 28
345 Towson 46.5% -1.56 5 32
346 East Carolina 46.4% -1.59 5 30
347 Saint Peter's 46.4% -1.61 5 28
348 Canisius 46.3% -1.62 5 30
349 North Texas 46.0% -1.74 4 31
350 Coppin State 45.9% -1.78 4 30
351 Morgan State 45.8% -1.79 4 27
352 Kansas City 45.7% -1.81 4 28
353 Eastern Illinois 45.7% -1.83 3 30
354 Jackson State 45.7% -1.83 3 33
355 Cal State Bakersfield 45.7% -1.83 3 30
356 Hampton 45.7% -1.83 2 30
357 La Salle 45.4% -1.93 2 31
358 Chicago State 45.3% -1.95 2 31
359 Mississippi Valley State 45.2% -2.00 2 32
360 UTSA 44.8% -2.13 1 28
361 Western Illinois 44.5% -2.22 1 28
362 Georgia State 44.2% -2.32 1 30
363 Southern Indiana 43.7% -2.48 1 28
364 Delaware State 42.9% -2.73 0 27
365 Rider 42.8% -2.79 0 28