Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 25.9% max 72.7% mean 50.4% std 9.5% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Texas 72.7% +2.35 100 1
2 Missouri 71.0% +2.18 100 1
3 Richmond 69.7% +2.04 99 1
4 Grambling 69.0% +1.97 99 1
5 Colorado 69.0% +1.96 99 1
6 Mississippi State 68.3% +1.89 98 1
7 George Washington 67.9% +1.84 98 1
8 San José State 67.9% +1.84 97 1
9 New Mexico 67.5% +1.81 97 1
10 Northwestern 67.3% +1.79 97 1
11 Saint Louis 67.3% +1.78 96 1
12 USC 67.2% +1.78 96 1
13 Wright State 67.2% +1.77 96 1
14 Illinois 66.9% +1.74 95 1
15 St. Thomas 66.7% +1.72 95 1
16 Vanderbilt 66.4% +1.69 95 1
17 Davidson 66.0% +1.65 94 1
18 Kansas 65.8% +1.63 94 1
19 Michigan State 65.3% +1.58 94 1
20 Oregon 64.7% +1.51 93 1
21 Nebraska 64.6% +1.50 93 1
22 Rhode Island 64.2% +1.46 92 1
23 BYU 64.0% +1.44 92 1
24 Winthrop 63.9% +1.43 92 1
25 McNeese 63.8% +1.41 91 1
26 Northern Arizona 63.5% +1.39 91 1
27 NC State 63.4% +1.37 91 1
28 Kentucky 63.3% +1.37 90 1
29 Queens University 63.2% +1.36 90 1
30 Ohio 63.2% +1.35 90 1
31 West Virginia 63.1% +1.34 89 1
32 Minnesota 62.9% +1.32 89 1
33 Marshall 62.7% +1.30 88 1
34 Cornell 62.5% +1.28 88 1
35 Ole Miss 62.3% +1.26 88 1
36 Utah State 62.1% +1.24 87 1
37 Charlotte 61.5% +1.18 87 1
38 UCF 61.2% +1.14 87 1
39 Virginia Tech 61.2% +1.14 86 1
40 Elon 60.8% +1.10 86 1
41 Florida State 60.6% +1.08 86 1
42 Clemson 60.2% +1.04 85 1
43 Colorado State 60.2% +1.04 85 1
44 Pittsburgh 60.0% +1.02 84 1
45 UT Martin 59.8% +1.00 84 1
46 Stanford 59.8% +0.99 84 1
47 Butler 59.7% +0.98 83 1
48 Illinois State 59.5% +0.96 83 1
49 Arkansas 59.4% +0.95 83 1
50 Boston University 59.3% +0.94 82 1
51 Louisiana Tech 59.3% +0.94 82 1
52 Grand Canyon 59.2% +0.93 82 1
53 North Alabama 59.2% +0.93 81 1
54 UConn 59.2% +0.93 81 1
55 SMU 58.9% +0.90 81 1
56 Houston 58.8% +0.89 80 1
57 Wake Forest 58.8% +0.89 80 1
58 Penn State 58.5% +0.85 79 1
59 Northern Illinois 58.3% +0.84 79 1
60 East Carolina 57.9% +0.79 79 1
61 Xavier 57.9% +0.79 78 1
62 Indiana 57.8% +0.78 78 1
63 Belmont 57.7% +0.77 78 1
64 Tennessee 57.7% +0.77 77 1
65 Northeastern 57.6% +0.77 77 1
66 South Carolina 57.4% +0.74 77 1
67 Duquesne 57.3% +0.73 76 1
68 Ohio State 57.0% +0.70 76 1
69 Hawai'i 56.9% +0.68 75 1
70 Villanova 56.7% +0.67 75 1
71 Seattle U 56.5% +0.64 75 1
72 Central Michigan 56.5% +0.64 74 1
73 Murray State 56.5% +0.64 74 1
74 Santa Clara 56.5% +0.64 74 1
75 Bowling Green 56.4% +0.63 73 1
76 Oregon State 56.2% +0.61 73 1
77 Akron 56.0% +0.59 73 1
78 LSU 55.9% +0.59 72 1
79 South Florida 55.9% +0.59 72 1
80 Boston College 55.9% +0.58 71 1
81 Utah 55.9% +0.58 71 1
82 Central Arkansas 55.6% +0.56 71 1
83 Southeast Missouri State 55.6% +0.55 70 1
84 South Alabama 55.6% +0.55 70 1
85 Washington 55.6% +0.55 70 1
86 Tennessee Tech 55.3% +0.52 69 1
87 Virginia 55.2% +0.51 69 1
88 South Carolina Upstate 55.1% +0.50 69 1
89 Texas A&M 54.8% +0.47 68 1
90 Kansas City 54.8% +0.47 68 1
91 Bucknell 54.7% +0.46 68 1
92 Florida Gulf Coast 54.7% +0.46 67 1
93 TCU 54.7% +0.46 67 1
94 Alabama 54.7% +0.45 66 1
95 Baylor 54.6% +0.45 66 1
96 Dayton 54.6% +0.45 66 1
97 San Diego State 54.4% +0.43 65 1
98 Chattanooga 54.4% +0.42 65 1
99 High Point 54.4% +0.42 65 1
100 UNLV 54.1% +0.39 64 1
101 Northern Kentucky 54.0% +0.38 64 1
102 Furman 53.8% +0.37 64 1
103 Florida 53.8% +0.36 63 1
104 East Texas A&M 53.5% +0.33 63 1
105 Seton Hall 53.1% +0.29 62 1
106 Oklahoma State 53.1% +0.29 62 1
107 Texas State 53.1% +0.28 62 1
108 Eastern Illinois 53.0% +0.28 61 1
109 Nevada 52.9% +0.27 61 1
110 Providence 52.9% +0.27 61 1
111 Saint Mary's 52.9% +0.27 60 1
112 Dartmouth 52.8% +0.26 60 1
113 North Florida 52.6% +0.24 60 1
114 South Dakota State 52.6% +0.24 59 1
115 Duke 52.5% +0.23 59 1
116 Iowa 52.5% +0.23 58 1
117 Temple 52.5% +0.23 58 1
118 UTSA 52.4% +0.21 58 1
119 Georgia State 52.3% +0.21 57 1
120 UNC Asheville 52.3% +0.21 57 1
121 Maryland 52.1% +0.18 57 1
122 Valparaiso 52.0% +0.17 56 1
123 Stetson 51.9% +0.16 56 2
124 East Tennessee State 51.8% +0.15 56 1
125 Purdue 51.8% +0.15 55 1
126 Texas Tech 51.8% +0.15 55 1
127 Marquette 51.7% +0.14 55 1
128 St. Bonaventure 51.7% +0.14 54 1
129 Georgetown 51.6% +0.13 54 1
130 Tulane 51.5% +0.12 53 1
131 Loyola Chicago 51.5% +0.12 53 1
132 Miami (OH) 51.5% +0.12 53 1
133 Niagara 51.1% +0.08 52 1
134 Radford 51.0% +0.07 52 1
135 UAB 51.0% +0.06 52 1
136 Arizona State 50.9% +0.06 51 1
137 Southern 50.8% +0.05 51 1
138 Presbyterian 50.8% +0.05 51 1
139 Wisconsin 50.7% +0.04 50 1
140 Louisville 50.7% +0.04 50 1
141 Western Kentucky 50.7% +0.04 49 1
142 App State 50.0% -0.04 49 1
143 Bethune-Cookman 50.0% -0.04 49 1
144 Incarnate Word 50.0% -0.04 48 1
145 Memphis 50.0% -0.04 48 1
146 Monmouth 50.0% -0.04 48 1
147 Montana State 50.0% -0.04 47 1
148 North Carolina 50.0% -0.04 47 1
149 Pepperdine 50.0% -0.04 47 1
150 Purdue Fort Wayne 50.0% -0.04 46 1
151 Sam Houston 50.0% -0.04 46 1
152 Colgate 49.2% -0.12 45 1
153 Indiana State 49.2% -0.13 45 1
154 Georgia 49.2% -0.13 45 1
155 Montana 49.1% -0.13 44 1
156 Columbia 49.1% -0.13 44 1
157 New Haven 49.1% -0.14 44 1
158 Gonzaga 49.1% -0.14 43 1
159 Kansas State 49.1% -0.14 43 1
160 Long Beach State 49.1% -0.14 43 1
161 Michigan 48.6% -0.19 42 1
162 James Madison 48.6% -0.19 42 1
163 Massachusetts 48.5% -0.20 42 1
164 Coastal Carolina 48.4% -0.21 41 1
165 Creighton 48.3% -0.22 41 1
166 San Francisco 48.2% -0.22 40 1
167 Le Moyne 48.2% -0.23 40 1
168 Old Dominion 48.2% -0.23 40 1
169 Denver 48.1% -0.24 39 1
170 Brown 48.0% -0.25 39 1
171 Cincinnati 47.8% -0.27 39 1
172 George Mason 47.8% -0.27 38 1
173 Youngstown State 47.8% -0.28 38 1
174 Bryant 47.7% -0.28 38 1
175 UC Davis 47.4% -0.32 37 1
176 Florida A&M 46.8% -0.38 37 1
177 St. John's 46.8% -0.38 36 1
178 Little Rock 46.6% -0.40 36 1
179 Drexel 46.6% -0.40 36 1
180 Iowa State 46.6% -0.40 35 1
181 Eastern Washington 46.3% -0.43 35 1
182 Alcorn State 46.2% -0.45 35 1
183 UL Monroe 46.2% -0.45 34 1
184 VCU 46.2% -0.45 34 1
185 Loyola Maryland 46.0% -0.46 34 1
186 Syracuse 45.9% -0.47 33 1
187 Texas Southern 45.8% -0.49 33 1
188 Cal State Fullerton 45.7% -0.50 32 1
189 DePaul 45.5% -0.51 32 1
190 Eastern Michigan 45.3% -0.54 32 1
191 Binghamton 45.2% -0.55 31 1
192 Oklahoma 45.2% -0.55 31 1
193 Western Michigan 45.1% -0.56 31 1
194 UCLA 45.1% -0.56 30 1
195 Maryland Eastern Shore 45.0% -0.57 30 1
196 Georgia Tech 44.8% -0.59 30 1
197 Iona 44.7% -0.59 29 1
198 Marist 44.6% -0.61 29 1
199 Holy Cross 44.5% -0.62 29 1
200 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 44.4% -0.63 28 1
201 UTEP 44.3% -0.64 28 1
202 Maine 44.2% -0.65 27 1
203 Lindenwood 44.2% -0.65 27 1
204 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 44.1% -0.66 27 1
205 Lipscomb 43.9% -0.68 26 2
206 Toledo 43.8% -0.69 26 1
207 Long Island University 43.6% -0.71 26 1
208 The Citadel 43.6% -0.71 25 1
209 Arkansas State 43.6% -0.72 25 1
210 Chicago State 43.4% -0.73 25 1
211 North Carolina Central 43.4% -0.73 24 1
212 Vermont 43.4% -0.74 24 1
213 Charleston Southern 43.2% -0.76 23 1
214 Western Illinois 43.1% -0.76 23 1
215 Canisius 42.6% -0.82 23 1
216 Arizona 42.5% -0.83 22 1
217 Georgia Southern 42.5% -0.84 22 1
218 Bellarmine 42.4% -0.84 22 1
219 Western Carolina 42.4% -0.84 21 1
220 Army 42.3% -0.85 21 1
221 Notre Dame 42.3% -0.85 21 1
222 Morehead State 42.2% -0.86 20 1
223 Siena 42.2% -0.86 20 1
224 Campbell 42.1% -0.87 19 1
225 Abilene Christian 42.1% -0.87 19 1
226 Towson 42.1% -0.88 19 1
227 Liberty 42.0% -0.89 18 1
228 Milwaukee 41.9% -0.89 18 1
229 Utah Tech 41.8% -0.90 18 1
230 Central Connecticut 41.7% -0.92 17 1
231 Manhattan 41.7% -0.92 17 1
232 Northwestern State 41.5% -0.93 17 1
233 Yale 41.4% -0.95 16 1
234 Fordham 41.3% -0.96 16 1
235 Kent State 41.2% -0.97 16 1
236 Buffalo 41.1% -0.98 15 1
237 Florida Atlantic 41.1% -0.98 15 1
238 Quinnipiac 41.1% -0.98 14 1
239 Lehigh 40.5% -1.04 14 1
240 Howard 40.4% -1.05 14 1
241 Lafayette 40.3% -1.06 13 1
242 New Hampshire 40.0% -1.09 13 1
243 West Georgia 39.9% -1.11 13 1
244 Troy 39.8% -1.11 12 1
245 Merrimack 39.8% -1.11 12 1
246 Washington State 39.0% -1.20 12 1
247 Alabama State 38.8% -1.22 11 1
248 Coppin State 38.5% -1.26 11 1
249 California Baptist 38.3% -1.27 10 1
250 Miami 38.3% -1.27 10 1
251 Idaho State 37.7% -1.34 10 1
252 Rider 37.7% -1.34 9 1
253 Air Force 37.5% -1.36 9 1
254 NJIT 37.1% -1.40 9 1
255 Oakland 36.5% -1.46 8 1
256 Southern Indiana 36.1% -1.51 8 1
257 Louisiana 35.7% -1.55 8 1
258 Wofford 35.5% -1.57 7 1
259 Tennessee State 35.5% -1.57 7 1
260 Jackson State 35.4% -1.58 6 1
261 Oral Roberts 35.0% -1.62 6 1
262 Cleveland State 34.5% -1.68 6 1
263 American University 34.3% -1.70 5 1
264 Weber State 33.8% -1.75 5 1
265 UMBC 33.3% -1.80 5 1
266 Wagner 33.0% -1.83 4 1
267 Saint Peter's 33.0% -1.83 4 1
268 Mercyhurst 32.8% -1.86 4 1
269 Fairleigh Dickinson 32.0% -1.94 3 1
270 Gardner-Webb 31.9% -1.95 3 1
271 La Salle 31.7% -1.97 3 1
272 Mount St. Mary's 31.5% -1.99 2 1
273 Ball State 31.4% -2.01 2 1
274 North Dakota 31.4% -2.01 1 1
275 Hampton 31.1% -2.03 1 1
276 Robert Morris 29.6% -2.19 1 1
277 LSU New Orleans 27.9% -2.37 0 1
278 Navy 25.9% -2.59 0 1