Cause now I wanna be your dog. "I Wanna Be Your Dog" - Iggy and the Stooges

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.59 (team entering with the better value wins 56% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 37.0% max 71.0% mean 52.4% std 5.6% (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Assisted Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Minnesota 71.0% +3.35 100 33
2 Michigan State 67.6% +2.74 100 35
3 Cornell 66.7% +2.57 99 26
4 Nebraska 65.9% +2.43 99 35
5 Northwestern 65.8% +2.42 99 34
6 Purdue 65.6% +2.38 99 39
7 UConn 64.9% +2.25 98 40
8 Indiana State 64.9% +2.24 98 30
9 William & Mary 63.8% +2.06 98 30
10 Cincinnati 63.7% +2.03 98 33
11 Colorado State 62.9% +1.88 97 33
12 Robert Morris 62.8% +1.88 97 31
13 Indiana 62.5% +1.83 97 32
14 East Texas A&M 62.4% +1.81 96 30
15 Lipscomb 62.3% +1.78 96 30
16 Xavier 62.2% +1.76 96 33
17 Utah Valley 62.1% +1.74 96 31
18 IU Indianapolis 61.9% +1.72 95 30
19 Belmont 61.9% +1.71 95 31
20 Portland 61.6% +1.66 95 32
21 Liberty 61.4% +1.62 95 31
22 Texas A&M 61.2% +1.59 94 34
23 Oregon State 61.2% +1.58 94 33
24 Navy 61.2% +1.58 94 32
25 Michigan 61.0% +1.55 93 40
26 DePaul 60.9% +1.53 93 32
27 Loyola Chicago 60.8% +1.51 93 33
28 Tennessee 60.4% +1.45 93 37
29 Saint Louis 60.4% +1.44 92 34
30 Howard 60.3% +1.43 92 31
31 Niagara 60.0% +1.37 92 29
32 UC Davis 59.9% +1.36 91 31
33 Utah State 59.9% +1.36 91 35
34 Georgia Tech 59.9% +1.34 91 31
35 UT Rio Grande Valley 59.9% +1.34 91 31
36 Saint Joseph's 59.6% +1.30 90 34
37 Louisville 59.6% +1.30 90 35
38 Brown 59.5% +1.28 90 25
39 UCLA 59.2% +1.22 90 36
40 Dayton 59.1% +1.22 89 37
41 San Diego 59.1% +1.22 89 31
42 Army 59.0% +1.20 89 30
43 Oregon 59.0% +1.20 88 32
44 Iowa State 59.0% +1.19 88 37
45 Marist 58.9% +1.18 88 30
46 Duke 58.8% +1.15 88 38
47 Houston Christian 58.7% +1.14 87 30
48 Sacred Heart 58.6% +1.12 87 32
49 Stetson 58.5% +1.10 87 31
50 South Florida 58.4% +1.09 87 33
51 Massachusetts 58.4% +1.09 86 32
52 Creighton 58.4% +1.09 86 34
53 Virginia 58.3% +1.06 86 36
54 Marquette 58.1% +1.02 85 32
55 Pacific 58.0% +1.02 85 31
56 Central Arkansas 58.0% +1.01 85 32
57 St. John's 57.9% +1.00 85 37
58 Cleveland State 57.9% +0.99 84 30
59 Georgetown 57.8% +0.97 84 34
60 Saint Mary's 57.8% +0.97 84 32
61 Kansas State 57.7% +0.96 84 32
62 Iowa 57.7% +0.96 83 37
63 Nevada 57.6% +0.94 83 37
64 Troy 57.5% +0.92 83 32
65 Gonzaga 57.5% +0.92 82 35
66 TCU 57.3% +0.88 82 35
67 Wisconsin 57.3% +0.88 82 35
68 Butler 57.2% +0.87 82 32
69 North Carolina 57.2% +0.87 81 33
70 Akron 57.1% +0.86 81 33
71 Kent State 57.1% +0.85 81 32
72 Kentucky 56.9% +0.82 80 36
73 Villanova 56.8% +0.80 80 33
74 St. Thomas-Minnesota 56.7% +0.78 80 31
75 Cal State Northridge 56.6% +0.77 80 32
76 Northern Iowa 56.6% +0.76 79 35
77 Missouri State 56.6% +0.75 79 31
78 USC 56.5% +0.75 79 31
79 Le Moyne 56.5% +0.75 79 31
80 Marshall 56.5% +0.74 78 31
81 Maryland Eastern Shore 56.5% +0.74 78 30
82 Vanderbilt 56.4% +0.72 78 36
83 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 56.3% +0.71 77 30
84 Pepperdine 56.2% +0.69 77 30
85 UT Martin 56.2% +0.68 77 30
86 Harvard 56.1% +0.66 77 28
87 Furman 56.1% +0.66 76 32
88 Austin Peay 56.0% +0.66 76 29
89 Merrimack 56.0% +0.66 76 34
90 La Salle 56.0% +0.66 76 31
91 Yale 56.0% +0.65 75 29
92 Duquesne 55.9% +0.64 75 31
93 Air Force 55.9% +0.63 75 32
94 Arkansas State 55.8% +0.61 74 30
95 Northeastern 55.7% +0.60 74 31
96 Chattanooga 55.6% +0.59 74 29
97 San Francisco 55.6% +0.59 74 32
98 Tulsa 55.6% +0.58 73 36
99 Northern Kentucky 55.5% +0.57 73 31
100 UC San Diego 55.5% +0.56 73 32
101 George Washington 55.4% +0.55 73 34
102 Canisius 55.4% +0.55 72 30
103 Lafayette 55.4% +0.55 72 31
104 Lamar 55.4% +0.54 72 29
105 Cal State Fullerton 55.2% +0.51 71 32
106 St. Bonaventure 55.2% +0.51 71 33
107 Colorado 55.2% +0.51 71 33
108 Mount St. Mary's 55.2% +0.51 71 31
109 Samford 55.2% +0.50 70 30
110 UC Irvine 55.1% +0.49 70 33
111 Montana 55.1% +0.48 70 30
112 Santa Clara 55.0% +0.48 70 34
113 Florida 55.0% +0.47 69 35
114 Princeton 55.0% +0.47 69 28
115 Texas Tech 55.0% +0.47 69 34
116 Charleston Southern 54.9% +0.46 68 29
117 Oakland 54.9% +0.46 68 31
118 Queens University 54.9% +0.46 68 34
119 SMU 54.9% +0.45 68 34
120 Central Michigan 54.9% +0.45 67 29
121 Tulane 54.8% +0.43 67 32
122 Elon 54.6% +0.40 67 30
123 UC Santa Barbara 54.6% +0.40 66 30
124 NC State 54.6% +0.40 66 34
125 Richmond 54.5% +0.39 66 31
126 Green Bay 54.5% +0.39 66 31
127 Buffalo 54.4% +0.37 65 30
128 Maine 54.4% +0.37 65 31
129 Miami 54.4% +0.36 65 35
130 San Diego State 54.4% +0.36 65 32
131 Evansville 54.3% +0.35 64 30
132 Alabama 54.3% +0.35 64 35
133 Lehigh 54.3% +0.34 64 33
134 Columbia 54.3% +0.34 63 26
135 Mercyhurst 54.2% +0.34 63 32
136 Abilene Christian 54.1% +0.31 63 30
137 California 54.1% +0.31 63 33
138 Arizona 54.0% +0.30 62 39
139 Bucknell 54.0% +0.29 62 33
140 Monmouth 53.9% +0.27 62 33
141 Dartmouth 53.9% +0.27 62 25
142 Seattle U 53.8% +0.26 61 33
143 Youngstown State 53.8% +0.25 61 29
144 Wyoming 53.8% +0.25 61 32
145 Iona 53.7% +0.25 60 32
146 UCF 53.7% +0.24 60 33
147 UIC 53.6% +0.23 60 33
148 Davidson 53.6% +0.23 60 32
149 Boston University 53.6% +0.23 59 33
150 Drexel 53.6% +0.22 59 32
151 Ball State 53.6% +0.22 59 29
152 Middle Tennessee 53.5% +0.21 59 29
153 Wake Forest 53.5% +0.20 58 35
154 Bellarmine 53.4% +0.18 58 30
155 Northern Colorado 53.3% +0.17 58 29
156 Eastern Kentucky 53.3% +0.17 57 30
157 Utah Tech 53.2% +0.16 57 31
158 Siena 53.2% +0.16 57 35
159 Saint Peter's 53.2% +0.15 57 28
160 Bryant 53.1% +0.14 56 29
161 Arkansas 53.1% +0.13 56 37
162 Toledo 53.1% +0.13 56 32
163 North Dakota State 53.0% +0.12 55 32
164 Arizona State 53.0% +0.11 55 33
165 South Carolina 52.9% +0.10 55 32
166 Mississippi Valley State 52.9% +0.09 55 32
167 New Mexico 52.8% +0.08 54 36
168 High Point 52.8% +0.07 54 33
169 North Carolina Central 52.7% +0.07 54 28
170 Charleston 52.6% +0.05 54 31
171 Florida A&M 52.6% +0.05 53 29
172 Southern 52.6% +0.05 53 31
173 South Carolina State 52.6% +0.05 53 30
174 Houston 52.6% +0.04 52 37
175 Sam Houston 52.6% +0.04 52 31
176 Ohio State 52.6% +0.04 52 34
177 LSU 52.5% +0.03 52 32
178 Florida State 52.5% +0.03 51 33
179 New Orleans 52.5% +0.02 51 33
180 Fordham 52.4% +0.01 51 29
181 Virginia Tech 52.4% +0.01 51 32
182 Stony Brook 52.4% +0.00 50 30
183 Pennsylvania 52.3% -0.01 50 29
184 Kansas 52.3% -0.01 50 35
185 Delaware 52.3% -0.01 49 30
186 Pittsburgh 52.3% -0.01 49 33
187 Morgan State 52.2% -0.02 49 27
188 Little Rock 52.2% -0.03 49 30
189 Baylor 52.2% -0.03 48 33
190 Nicholls 52.1% -0.05 48 32
191 Florida Gulf Coast 52.0% -0.07 48 32
192 West Virginia 51.9% -0.08 48 35
193 VCU 51.9% -0.09 47 36
194 Northern Illinois 51.8% -0.09 47 28
195 Charlotte 51.8% -0.11 47 33
196 UNC Wilmington 51.7% -0.11 46 32
197 Utah 51.7% -0.13 46 32
198 Washington State 51.6% -0.13 46 31
199 Seton Hall 51.6% -0.13 46 33
200 Grambling 51.6% -0.13 45 31
201 Drake 51.6% -0.14 45 32
202 Winthrop 51.6% -0.14 45 31
203 Saint Francis 51.6% -0.14 45 29
204 SE Louisiana 51.6% -0.14 44 30
205 Coppin State 51.5% -0.15 44 30
206 Colgate 51.4% -0.17 44 31
207 Miami (OH) 51.4% -0.18 43 31
208 South Dakota State 51.3% -0.18 43 29
209 Illinois State 51.3% -0.19 43 35
210 UNLV 51.3% -0.19 43 34
211 Stonehill 51.3% -0.20 42 31
212 Portland State 51.2% -0.20 42 28
213 Missouri 51.2% -0.21 42 33
214 Western Kentucky 51.2% -0.21 41 30
215 Wofford 51.2% -0.21 41 30
216 Fairleigh Dickinson 51.0% -0.24 41 29
217 Northern Arizona 51.0% -0.25 41 29
218 Central Connecticut 50.9% -0.26 40 28
219 SIU Edwardsville 50.9% -0.26 40 29
220 Kennesaw State 50.9% -0.26 40 32
221 Oklahoma 50.9% -0.27 40 37
222 Bradley 50.8% -0.28 39 33
223 East Tennessee State 50.8% -0.28 39 32
224 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 50.7% -0.29 39 29
225 VMI 50.7% -0.30 38 29
226 Northwestern State 50.7% -0.30 38 30
227 North Florida 50.6% -0.31 38 30
228 The Citadel 50.6% -0.31 38 30
229 Georgia State 50.6% -0.31 37 30
230 North Texas 50.5% -0.32 37 31
231 Oklahoma State 50.4% -0.35 37 35
232 Bethune-Cookman 50.4% -0.36 37 31
233 Chicago State 50.3% -0.36 36 31
234 Clemson 50.3% -0.36 36 35
235 UAB 50.3% -0.37 36 31
236 Ole Miss 50.2% -0.38 35 35
237 UL Monroe 50.2% -0.38 35 30
238 Long Island University 50.2% -0.39 35 35
239 Rutgers 50.1% -0.40 35 34
240 Illinois 50.0% -0.43 34 37
241 Florida International 49.9% -0.43 34 29
242 George Mason 49.9% -0.44 34 32
243 Fresno State 49.9% -0.44 34 31
244 Memphis 49.8% -0.45 33 32
245 Hawai'i 49.8% -0.45 33 31
246 Purdue Fort Wayne 49.8% -0.46 33 29
247 UC Riverside 49.7% -0.47 32 30
248 New Haven 49.7% -0.48 32 28
249 Cal Poly 49.6% -0.49 32 31
250 Jacksonville State 49.6% -0.49 32 29
251 Manhattan 49.6% -0.49 31 31
252 Southern Utah 49.6% -0.49 31 29
253 Grand Canyon 49.6% -0.50 31 32
254 American University 49.5% -0.50 30 30
255 Boise State 49.5% -0.52 30 30
256 Quinnipiac 49.4% -0.52 30 31
257 Washington 49.4% -0.53 30 33
258 Loyola Marymount 49.3% -0.54 29 31
259 New Mexico State 49.3% -0.56 29 29
260 Murray State 49.1% -0.58 29 33
261 Presbyterian 49.1% -0.59 29 30
262 Lindenwood 49.1% -0.59 28 30
263 Eastern Washington 49.0% -0.60 28 32
264 McNeese 49.0% -0.60 28 32
265 Old Dominion 49.0% -0.60 27 32
266 UAlbany 48.9% -0.61 27 29
267 Hampton 48.9% -0.62 27 30
268 Wagner 48.9% -0.62 27 28
269 Sacramento State 48.9% -0.63 26 28
270 Loyola Maryland 48.8% -0.64 26 30
271 Valparaiso 48.8% -0.64 26 32
272 Eastern Illinois 48.7% -0.66 26 30
273 Binghamton 48.7% -0.66 25 28
274 Southern Illinois 48.6% -0.66 25 31
275 Stephen F. Austin 48.5% -0.69 25 32
276 Bowling Green 48.5% -0.70 24 29
277 Detroit Mercy 48.5% -0.70 24 30
278 Hofstra 48.3% -0.73 24 33
279 Penn State 48.3% -0.73 24 32
280 James Madison 48.3% -0.74 23 32
281 Temple 48.2% -0.74 23 31
282 Texas State 48.2% -0.75 23 30
283 Milwaukee 48.1% -0.76 23 31
284 Georgia 48.1% -0.77 22 33
285 Western Michigan 48.1% -0.77 22 29
286 Louisiana Tech 48.0% -0.77 22 31
287 Alabama A&M 48.0% -0.78 21 30
288 UTEP 48.0% -0.78 21 28
289 Vermont 47.9% -0.79 21 32
290 Rhode Island 47.9% -0.80 21 32
291 Eastern Michigan 47.9% -0.80 20 30
292 App State 47.8% -0.82 20 30
293 Auburn 47.6% -0.85 20 38
294 Alabama State 47.6% -0.86 20 31
295 Providence 47.5% -0.87 19 33
296 Notre Dame 47.4% -0.88 19 31
297 Boston College 47.4% -0.88 19 31
298 Morehead State 47.4% -0.88 18 30
299 East Carolina 47.3% -0.91 18 30
300 Syracuse 47.1% -0.94 18 32
301 Longwood 47.1% -0.94 18 29
302 Oral Roberts 47.1% -0.94 17 30
303 Florida Atlantic 47.1% -0.94 17 31
304 Idaho State 47.0% -0.96 17 30
305 Wright State 46.9% -0.97 16 33
306 Omaha 46.9% -0.97 16 29
307 UNC Greensboro 46.9% -0.98 16 32
308 Alcorn State 46.6% -1.03 16 32
309 Ohio 46.6% -1.04 15 30
310 UT Arlington 46.4% -1.07 15 30
311 Kansas City 46.2% -1.10 15 28
312 Rice 46.2% -1.10 15 29
313 Long Beach State 46.2% -1.11 14 30
314 Mercer 46.2% -1.11 14 29
315 South Dakota 46.1% -1.12 14 29
316 South Carolina Upstate 46.0% -1.14 13 29
317 Louisiana 45.9% -1.15 13 33
318 Weber State 45.9% -1.15 13 30
319 South Alabama 45.9% -1.16 13 31
320 Norfolk State 45.9% -1.16 12 28
321 Stanford 45.8% -1.17 12 33
322 Jackson State 45.8% -1.17 12 33
323 Delaware State 45.8% -1.17 12 27
324 Radford 45.7% -1.19 11 29
325 Southeast Missouri State 45.7% -1.19 11 30
326 NJIT 45.7% -1.20 11 32
327 Tennessee State 45.5% -1.22 10 30
328 North Carolina A&T 45.4% -1.24 10 28
329 UMass Lowell 45.4% -1.24 10 30
330 Tennessee Tech 45.4% -1.25 10 28
331 Fairfield 45.2% -1.28 9 33
332 Maryland 45.2% -1.29 9 33
333 Mississippi State 45.1% -1.30 9 32
334 BYU 45.0% -1.32 9 35
335 Campbell 44.9% -1.34 8 32
336 UMBC 44.8% -1.36 8 31
337 Holy Cross 44.7% -1.37 8 31
338 Jacksonville 44.7% -1.37 7 30
339 Cal State Bakersfield 44.6% -1.39 7 30
340 Idaho 44.6% -1.39 7 33
341 Western Carolina 44.3% -1.44 7 29
342 New Hampshire 44.3% -1.44 6 28
343 Rider 44.3% -1.44 6 28
344 West Georgia 44.3% -1.44 6 30
345 Incarnate Word 44.2% -1.46 5 28
346 Southern Miss 43.8% -1.54 5 33
347 Texas 43.7% -1.56 5 35
348 Prairie View A&M 43.2% -1.64 5 33
349 Texas Southern 43.2% -1.65 4 28
350 Southern Indiana 43.0% -1.67 4 28
351 UTSA 42.8% -1.71 4 28
352 North Dakota 42.4% -1.79 4 32
353 San José State 42.2% -1.82 3 32
354 Tarleton State 41.7% -1.91 3 28
355 Wichita State 41.3% -1.99 3 35
356 Georgia Southern 41.1% -2.01 2 35
357 Gardner-Webb 41.0% -2.04 2 30
358 North Alabama 40.5% -2.12 2 28
359 UNC Asheville 40.4% -2.14 2 29
360 Coastal Carolina 40.4% -2.15 1 31
361 Denver 40.2% -2.18 1 29
362 Montana State 39.9% -2.22 1 29
363 California Baptist 39.9% -2.24 1 34
364 Towson 38.9% -2.41 0 32
365 Western Illinois 37.0% -2.75 0 28