Trouble's gonna come to you "Your Time is Gonna Come" - Led Zeppelin

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 0.0% max 100.0% mean 50.4% std 50.1% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Win Percentage (WP) z Pctl GP
1 Akron 100.0% +0.99 100 1
2 Alabama 100.0% +0.99 100 1
3 App State 100.0% +0.99 99 1
4 Arizona State 100.0% +0.99 99 1
5 Arkansas 100.0% +0.99 99 1
6 Arkansas State 100.0% +0.99 98 1
7 BYU 100.0% +0.99 98 1
8 Baylor 100.0% +0.99 97 1
9 Belmont 100.0% +0.99 97 1
10 Boston College 100.0% +0.99 97 1
11 Boston University 100.0% +0.99 96 1
12 Bowling Green 100.0% +0.99 96 1
13 Bryant 100.0% +0.99 96 1
14 Butler 100.0% +0.99 95 1
15 Central Arkansas 100.0% +0.99 95 1
16 Central Michigan 100.0% +0.99 95 1
17 Charlotte 100.0% +0.99 94 1
18 Cincinnati 100.0% +0.99 94 1
19 Clemson 100.0% +0.99 94 1
20 Colorado 100.0% +0.99 93 1
21 Colorado State 100.0% +0.99 93 1
22 Cornell 100.0% +0.99 92 1
23 Creighton 100.0% +0.99 92 1
24 Dartmouth 100.0% +0.99 92 1
25 Davidson 100.0% +0.99 91 1
26 Dayton 100.0% +0.99 91 1
27 DePaul 100.0% +0.99 91 1
28 Duke 100.0% +0.99 90 1
29 Duquesne 100.0% +0.99 90 1
30 East Carolina 100.0% +0.99 90 1
31 East Texas A&M 100.0% +0.99 89 1
32 Eastern Michigan 100.0% +0.99 89 1
33 Elon 100.0% +0.99 88 1
34 Florida Atlantic 100.0% +0.99 88 1
35 Florida 100.0% +0.99 88 1
36 Florida State 100.0% +0.99 87 1
37 Furman 100.0% +0.99 87 1
38 George Mason 100.0% +0.99 87 1
39 George Washington 100.0% +0.99 86 1
40 Georgetown 100.0% +0.99 86 1
41 Georgia 100.0% +0.99 86 1
42 Georgia Southern 100.0% +0.99 85 1
43 Georgia Tech 100.0% +0.99 85 1
44 Gonzaga 100.0% +0.99 84 1
45 Grambling 100.0% +0.99 84 1
46 Grand Canyon 100.0% +0.99 84 1
47 Hawai'i 100.0% +0.99 83 1
48 High Point 100.0% +0.99 83 1
49 Houston 100.0% +0.99 83 1
50 Illinois 100.0% +0.99 82 1
51 Indiana 100.0% +0.99 82 1
52 Iona 100.0% +0.99 82 1
53 Iowa 100.0% +0.99 81 1
54 Kansas 100.0% +0.99 81 1
55 Kentucky 100.0% +0.99 81 1
56 LSU 100.0% +0.99 80 1
57 Louisiana Tech 100.0% +0.99 80 1
58 Louisville 100.0% +0.99 79 1
59 Loyola Chicago 100.0% +0.99 79 1
60 Marquette 100.0% +0.99 79 1
61 Marshall 100.0% +0.99 78 1
62 Maryland 100.0% +0.99 78 1
63 Massachusetts 100.0% +0.99 78 1
64 McNeese 100.0% +0.99 77 1
65 Memphis 100.0% +0.99 77 1
66 Miami (OH) 100.0% +0.99 77 1
67 Michigan State 100.0% +0.99 76 1
68 Michigan 100.0% +0.99 76 1
69 Minnesota 100.0% +0.99 75 1
70 Mississippi State 100.0% +0.99 75 1
71 Missouri 100.0% +0.99 75 1
72 Murray State 100.0% +0.99 74 1
73 NC State 100.0% +0.99 74 1
74 Nebraska 100.0% +0.99 74 1
75 Nevada 100.0% +0.99 73 1
76 New Hampshire 100.0% +0.99 73 1
77 New Mexico 100.0% +0.99 73 1
78 North Alabama 100.0% +0.99 72 1
79 North Carolina 100.0% +0.99 72 1
80 North Florida 100.0% +0.99 71 1
81 Northern Kentucky 100.0% +0.99 71 1
82 Northwestern 100.0% +0.99 71 1
83 Notre Dame 100.0% +0.99 70 1
84 Ohio 100.0% +0.99 70 1
85 Oklahoma State 100.0% +0.99 70 1
86 Old Dominion 100.0% +0.99 69 1
87 Ole Miss 100.0% +0.99 69 1
88 Oregon 100.0% +0.99 69 1
89 Oregon State 100.0% +0.99 68 1
90 Penn State 100.0% +0.99 68 1
91 Pittsburgh 100.0% +0.99 68 1
92 Providence 100.0% +0.99 67 1
93 Rhode Island 100.0% +0.99 67 1
94 Richmond 100.0% +0.99 66 1
95 SMU 100.0% +0.99 66 1
96 Saint Louis 100.0% +0.99 66 1
97 Saint Mary's 100.0% +0.99 65 1
98 San Diego State 100.0% +0.99 65 1
99 San Francisco 100.0% +0.99 65 1
100 San José State 100.0% +0.99 64 1
101 Santa Clara 100.0% +0.99 64 1
102 Seton Hall 100.0% +0.99 64 1
103 South Carolina 100.0% +0.99 63 1
104 South Dakota State 100.0% +0.99 63 1
105 South Florida 100.0% +0.99 62 1
106 Southeast Missouri State 100.0% +0.99 62 1
107 St. John's 100.0% +0.99 62 1
108 St. Thomas 100.0% +0.99 61 1
109 Stanford 100.0% +0.99 61 1
110 Syracuse 100.0% +0.99 61 1
111 TCU 100.0% +0.99 60 1
112 Temple 100.0% +0.99 60 1
113 Tennessee 100.0% +0.99 60 1
114 Texas A&M 100.0% +0.99 59 1
115 Texas 100.0% +0.99 59 1
116 Texas State 100.0% +0.99 58 1
117 Texas Tech 100.0% +0.99 58 1
118 Tulane 100.0% +0.99 58 1
119 UCF 100.0% +0.99 57 1
120 UCLA 100.0% +0.99 57 1
121 UConn 100.0% +0.99 57 1
122 UNLV 100.0% +0.99 56 1
123 USC 100.0% +0.99 56 1
124 Utah State 100.0% +0.99 56 1
125 Utah 100.0% +0.99 55 1
126 VCU 100.0% +0.99 55 1
127 Valparaiso 100.0% +0.99 55 1
128 Vanderbilt 100.0% +0.99 54 1
129 Virginia 100.0% +0.99 54 1
130 Virginia Tech 100.0% +0.99 53 1
131 Wake Forest 100.0% +0.99 53 1
132 Washington 100.0% +0.99 53 1
133 West Virginia 100.0% +0.99 52 1
134 Western Kentucky 100.0% +0.99 52 1
135 Wisconsin 100.0% +0.99 52 1
136 Wright State 100.0% +0.99 51 1
137 Xavier 100.0% +0.99 51 1
138 Yale 100.0% +0.99 51 1
139 Youngstown State 100.0% +0.99 50 1
140 Queens University 100.0% +0.99 50 1
141 Abilene Christian 0.0% -1.01 49 1
142 Air Force 0.0% -1.01 49 1
143 Alabama State 0.0% -1.01 49 1
144 Alcorn State 0.0% -1.01 48 1
145 American University 0.0% -1.01 48 1
146 Arizona 0.0% -1.01 48 1
147 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 0.0% -1.01 47 1
148 Army 0.0% -1.01 47 1
149 Ball State 0.0% -1.01 47 1
150 Bellarmine 0.0% -1.01 46 1
151 Bethune-Cookman 0.0% -1.01 46 1
152 Binghamton 0.0% -1.01 45 1
153 Brown 0.0% -1.01 45 1
154 Bucknell 0.0% -1.01 45 1
155 Buffalo 0.0% -1.01 44 1
156 Cal State Fullerton 0.0% -1.01 44 1
157 California Baptist 0.0% -1.01 44 1
158 Campbell 0.0% -1.01 43 1
159 Canisius 0.0% -1.01 43 1
160 Central Connecticut 0.0% -1.01 43 1
161 Charleston Southern 0.0% -1.01 42 1
162 Chattanooga 0.0% -1.01 42 1
163 Chicago State 0.0% -1.01 42 1
164 Cleveland State 0.0% -1.01 41 1
165 Coastal Carolina 0.0% -1.01 41 1
166 Colgate 0.0% -1.01 40 1
167 Columbia 0.0% -1.01 40 1
168 Coppin State 0.0% -1.01 40 1
169 Denver 0.0% -1.01 39 1
170 Drexel 0.0% -1.01 39 1
171 East Tennessee State 0.0% -1.01 39 1
172 Eastern Illinois 0.0% -1.01 38 1
173 Eastern Washington 0.0% -1.01 38 1
174 Fairleigh Dickinson 0.0% -1.01 38 1
175 Florida A&M 0.0% -1.01 37 1
176 Florida Gulf Coast 0.0% -1.01 37 1
177 Fordham 0.0% -1.01 36 1
178 Gardner-Webb 0.0% -1.01 36 1
179 Georgia State 0.0% -1.01 36 1
180 Hampton 0.0% -1.01 35 1
181 Holy Cross 0.0% -1.01 35 1
182 Howard 0.0% -1.01 35 1
183 Idaho State 0.0% -1.01 34 1
184 Illinois State 0.0% -1.01 34 1
185 Incarnate Word 0.0% -1.01 34 1
186 Indiana State 0.0% -1.01 33 1
187 Iowa State 0.0% -1.01 33 1
188 Jackson State 0.0% -1.01 32 1
189 James Madison 0.0% -1.01 32 1
190 Kansas City 0.0% -1.01 32 1
191 Kansas State 0.0% -1.01 31 1
192 Kent State 0.0% -1.01 31 1
193 La Salle 0.0% -1.01 31 1
194 Lafayette 0.0% -1.01 30 1
195 Le Moyne 0.0% -1.01 30 1
196 Lehigh 0.0% -1.01 30 1
197 Liberty 0.0% -1.01 29 1
198 Lipscomb 0.0% -1.01 29 2
199 Little Rock 0.0% -1.01 29 1
200 Long Beach State 0.0% -1.01 28 1
201 Long Island University 0.0% -1.01 28 1
202 Louisiana 0.0% -1.01 27 1
203 Loyola Maryland 0.0% -1.01 27 1
204 Maine 0.0% -1.01 27 1
205 Manhattan 0.0% -1.01 26 1
206 Marist 0.0% -1.01 26 1
207 Maryland Eastern Shore 0.0% -1.01 26 1
208 Mercyhurst 0.0% -1.01 25 1
209 Merrimack 0.0% -1.01 25 1
210 Miami 0.0% -1.01 25 1
211 Milwaukee 0.0% -1.01 24 1
212 Monmouth 0.0% -1.01 24 1
213 Montana 0.0% -1.01 23 1
214 Montana State 0.0% -1.01 23 1
215 Morehead State 0.0% -1.01 23 1
216 Mount St. Mary's 0.0% -1.01 22 1
217 NJIT 0.0% -1.01 22 1
218 Navy 0.0% -1.01 22 1
219 New Haven 0.0% -1.01 21 1
220 LSU New Orleans 0.0% -1.01 21 1
221 Niagara 0.0% -1.01 21 1
222 North Carolina Central 0.0% -1.01 20 1
223 North Dakota 0.0% -1.01 20 1
224 Northeastern 0.0% -1.01 19 1
225 Northern Arizona 0.0% -1.01 19 1
226 Northern Illinois 0.0% -1.01 19 1
227 Northwestern State 0.0% -1.01 18 1
228 Oakland 0.0% -1.01 18 1
229 Ohio State 0.0% -1.01 18 1
230 Oklahoma 0.0% -1.01 17 1
231 Oral Roberts 0.0% -1.01 17 1
232 Pepperdine 0.0% -1.01 17 1
233 Presbyterian 0.0% -1.01 16 1
234 Purdue 0.0% -1.01 16 1
235 Purdue Fort Wayne 0.0% -1.01 16 1
236 Quinnipiac 0.0% -1.01 15 1
237 Radford 0.0% -1.01 15 1
238 Rider 0.0% -1.01 14 1
239 Robert Morris 0.0% -1.01 14 1
240 Saint Peter's 0.0% -1.01 14 1
241 Sam Houston 0.0% -1.01 13 1
242 Seattle U 0.0% -1.01 13 1
243 Siena 0.0% -1.01 13 1
244 South Alabama 0.0% -1.01 12 1
245 South Carolina Upstate 0.0% -1.01 12 1
246 Southern 0.0% -1.01 12 1
247 St. Bonaventure 0.0% -1.01 11 1
248 Stetson 0.0% -1.01 11 2
249 Tennessee State 0.0% -1.01 10 1
250 Tennessee Tech 0.0% -1.01 10 1
251 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 0.0% -1.01 10 1
252 Texas Southern 0.0% -1.01 9 1
253 The Citadel 0.0% -1.01 9 1
254 Toledo 0.0% -1.01 9 1
255 Towson 0.0% -1.01 8 1
256 Troy 0.0% -1.01 8 1
257 UAB 0.0% -1.01 8 1
258 UC Davis 0.0% -1.01 7 1
259 UL Monroe 0.0% -1.01 7 1
260 UMBC 0.0% -1.01 6 1
261 UNC Asheville 0.0% -1.01 6 1
262 UT Martin 0.0% -1.01 6 1
263 UTEP 0.0% -1.01 5 1
264 UTSA 0.0% -1.01 5 1
265 Utah Tech 0.0% -1.01 5 1
266 Vermont 0.0% -1.01 4 1
267 Villanova 0.0% -1.01 4 1
268 Wagner 0.0% -1.01 4 1
269 Washington State 0.0% -1.01 3 1
270 Weber State 0.0% -1.01 3 1
271 West Georgia 0.0% -1.01 3 1
272 Western Carolina 0.0% -1.01 2 1
273 Western Illinois 0.0% -1.01 2 1
274 Western Michigan 0.0% -1.01 1 1
275 Winthrop 0.0% -1.01 1 1
276 Wofford 0.0% -1.01 1 1
277 Southern Indiana 0.0% -1.01 0 1
278 Lindenwood 0.0% -1.01 0 1