He just grinned and shook my hand, "No" was all he said. "The Weight" - The Band

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 0.0% max 71.1% mean 25.6% std 11.6% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Free Throw Rate z Pctl GP
1 Georgetown 0.0% -2.20 100 1
2 West Virginia 0.0% -2.20 100 1
3 DePaul 4.3% -1.83 99 1
4 Old Dominion 5.9% -1.70 99 1
5 NC State 7.1% -1.59 99 1
6 Creighton 7.7% -1.54 98 1
7 Indiana 8.0% -1.51 98 1
8 Penn State 8.2% -1.50 97 1
9 Arkansas State 8.2% -1.49 97 1
10 George Mason 8.3% -1.49 97 1
11 Queens University 8.3% -1.49 96 1
12 East Carolina 8.5% -1.47 96 1
13 Marquette 8.6% -1.46 96 1
14 Oregon State 8.8% -1.45 95 1
15 Vermont 8.8% -1.45 95 1
16 Butler 9.0% -1.43 95 1
17 Syracuse 9.3% -1.41 94 1
18 Bowling Green 9.4% -1.40 94 1
19 Pepperdine 9.4% -1.40 94 1
20 Illinois 9.8% -1.36 93 1
21 Texas 9.8% -1.36 93 1
22 TCU 10.0% -1.34 92 1
23 Temple 10.0% -1.34 92 1
24 Central Connecticut 10.2% -1.33 92 1
25 The Citadel 10.3% -1.32 91 1
26 Yale 10.3% -1.32 91 1
27 Virginia 10.3% -1.31 91 1
28 Denver 10.4% -1.30 90 1
29 Fairleigh Dickinson 10.8% -1.27 90 1
30 App State 11.1% -1.25 90 1
31 North Dakota 11.3% -1.23 89 1
32 Washington State 11.3% -1.23 89 1
33 Duke 11.5% -1.21 88 1
34 Kansas 11.6% -1.21 88 1
35 Davidson 11.8% -1.19 88 1
36 Oklahoma 12.3% -1.15 87 1
37 Troy 12.3% -1.14 87 1
38 St. John's 12.5% -1.13 87 1
39 Western Michigan 12.5% -1.13 86 1
40 San José State 12.7% -1.11 86 1
41 Miami (OH) 12.9% -1.10 86 1
42 Clemson 13.3% -1.06 85 1
43 Wake Forest 13.3% -1.06 85 1
44 Alabama 13.8% -1.01 84 1
45 New Hampshire 14.0% -1.00 84 1
46 Kansas State 14.0% -1.00 84 1
47 Louisville 14.0% -1.00 83 1
48 Massachusetts 14.1% -0.99 83 1
49 Toledo 14.3% -0.97 83 1
50 Arizona State 14.5% -0.95 82 1
51 Georgia 14.8% -0.93 82 1
52 New Mexico 14.8% -0.93 82 1
53 Manhattan 15.0% -0.91 81 1
54 Youngstown State 15.0% -0.91 81 1
55 George Washington 15.5% -0.87 81 1
56 Western Kentucky 15.5% -0.87 80 1
57 Richmond 15.6% -0.86 80 1
58 UAB 15.9% -0.83 79 1
59 Lipscomb 16.2% -0.81 79 2
60 Maine 16.2% -0.81 79 1
61 Belmont 16.4% -0.79 78 1
62 Charlotte 16.4% -0.79 78 1
63 Duquesne 16.4% -0.79 78 1
64 Texas Tech 16.7% -0.77 77 1
65 Xavier 16.9% -0.75 77 1
66 Iona 17.0% -0.74 77 1
67 Maryland 17.0% -0.74 76 1
68 Charleston Southern 17.1% -0.73 76 1
69 Missouri 17.2% -0.72 75 1
70 Vanderbilt 17.4% -0.71 75 1
71 Liberty 17.5% -0.69 75 1
72 Long Beach State 17.6% -0.69 74 1
73 Oklahoma State 17.6% -0.69 74 1
74 Florida State 17.7% -0.68 74 1
75 USC 17.7% -0.68 73 1
76 High Point 17.9% -0.67 73 1
77 Nebraska 17.9% -0.67 73 1
78 Seton Hall 18.0% -0.66 72 1
79 Eastern Michigan 18.0% -0.65 72 1
80 Rhode Island 18.2% -0.64 71 1
81 Columbia 18.3% -0.63 71 1
82 Sam Houston 18.7% -0.60 71 1
83 American University 18.8% -0.58 70 1
84 Cleveland State 18.8% -0.58 70 1
85 Morehead State 18.8% -0.58 70 1
86 Louisiana Tech 18.9% -0.58 69 1
87 Ole Miss 19.2% -0.55 69 1
88 California Baptist 19.3% -0.54 69 1
89 Colorado 19.3% -0.54 68 1
90 Colorado State 19.4% -0.54 68 1
91 Texas State 19.6% -0.52 68 1
92 LSU New Orleans 19.7% -0.51 67 1
93 Northern Kentucky 20.0% -0.48 67 1
94 SMU 20.3% -0.45 66 1
95 Robert Morris 20.6% -0.43 66 1
96 Buffalo 20.6% -0.43 66 1
97 Furman 20.7% -0.42 65 1
98 Montana 20.7% -0.42 65 1
99 Oregon 20.7% -0.42 65 1
100 Utah 20.8% -0.42 64 1
101 Texas A&M 20.9% -0.41 64 1
102 UL Monroe 21.0% -0.40 64 1
103 Washington 21.0% -0.40 63 1
104 Oakland 21.1% -0.39 63 1
105 South Florida 21.2% -0.38 62 1
106 Campbell 21.4% -0.36 62 1
107 Central Arkansas 21.7% -0.34 62 1
108 San Diego State 21.7% -0.33 61 1
109 Florida Atlantic 21.8% -0.33 61 1
110 San Francisco 22.0% -0.31 61 1
111 Minnesota 22.0% -0.31 60 1
112 Chattanooga 22.1% -0.31 60 1
113 Hawai'i 22.2% -0.29 60 1
114 Kentucky 22.2% -0.29 59 1
115 Drexel 22.4% -0.28 59 1
116 Hampton 22.4% -0.28 58 1
117 St. Bonaventure 22.4% -0.28 58 1
118 Marshall 22.6% -0.26 58 1
119 Mississippi State 22.7% -0.25 57 1
120 Mount St. Mary's 22.9% -0.24 57 1
121 Niagara 23.0% -0.23 57 1
122 Wofford 23.1% -0.22 56 1
123 Southern Indiana 23.1% -0.22 56 1
124 Boston College 23.2% -0.21 56 1
125 Michigan State 23.2% -0.21 55 1
126 Loyola Chicago 23.4% -0.19 55 1
127 James Madison 23.5% -0.18 55 1
128 Loyola Maryland 23.8% -0.16 54 1
129 Lafayette 23.9% -0.15 54 1
130 Arkansas 24.1% -0.13 53 1
131 Abilene Christian 24.1% -0.13 53 1
132 Quinnipiac 24.2% -0.12 53 1
133 Tennessee 24.2% -0.12 52 1
134 Marist 24.5% -0.09 52 1
135 Pittsburgh 24.6% -0.09 52 1
136 South Alabama 24.6% -0.09 51 1
137 UNC Asheville 24.6% -0.09 51 1
138 Northwestern State 24.6% -0.09 51 1
139 Air Force 25.0% -0.05 50 1
140 Chicago State 25.0% -0.05 50 1
141 Gardner-Webb 25.0% -0.05 49 1
142 Northwestern 25.0% -0.05 49 1
143 Notre Dame 25.0% -0.05 49 1
144 South Carolina 25.0% -0.05 48 1
145 UMBC 25.0% -0.05 48 1
146 Winthrop 25.0% -0.05 48 1
147 Holy Cross 25.4% -0.02 47 1
148 Akron 25.4% -0.02 47 1
149 Georgia State 25.5% -0.02 47 1
150 Eastern Washington 25.5% -0.01 46 1
151 Oral Roberts 25.8% +0.02 46 1
152 Dayton 25.9% +0.02 45 1
153 Merrimack 26.0% +0.03 45 1
154 Rider 26.2% +0.05 45 1
155 Elon 26.3% +0.06 44 1
156 Utah State 26.3% +0.06 44 1
157 South Dakota State 26.4% +0.07 44 1
158 Illinois State 26.5% +0.07 43 1
159 Fordham 26.7% +0.09 43 1
160 Mercyhurst 26.7% +0.09 43 1
161 Navy 26.8% +0.10 42 1
162 Indiana State 26.9% +0.11 42 1
163 Virginia Tech 26.9% +0.11 42 1
164 Santa Clara 27.0% +0.12 41 1
165 Baylor 27.1% +0.13 41 1
166 Gonzaga 27.3% +0.14 40 1
167 Purdue Fort Wayne 27.3% +0.14 40 1
168 Idaho State 27.4% +0.15 40 1
169 Valparaiso 27.5% +0.16 39 1
170 Saint Mary's 27.6% +0.17 39 1
171 Central Michigan 27.7% +0.18 39 1
172 NJIT 27.7% +0.18 38 1
173 Siena 27.7% +0.18 38 1
174 Stanford 27.8% +0.18 38 1
175 Georgia Tech 27.9% +0.19 37 1
176 Maryland Eastern Shore 28.1% +0.21 37 1
177 Arizona 28.2% +0.22 36 1
178 Grambling 28.3% +0.23 36 1
179 Houston 28.3% +0.23 36 1
180 North Florida 28.3% +0.23 35 1
181 St. Thomas 28.3% +0.23 35 1
182 Cornell 28.8% +0.27 35 1
183 Tulane 28.8% +0.27 34 1
184 Boston University 28.8% +0.27 34 1
185 VCU 28.8% +0.27 34 1
186 Bucknell 29.2% +0.30 33 1
187 Villanova 29.2% +0.31 33 1
188 Coppin State 29.3% +0.32 32 1
189 Milwaukee 29.3% +0.32 32 1
190 Wright State 29.4% +0.32 32 1
191 New Haven 29.5% +0.33 31 1
192 Cincinnati 29.6% +0.34 31 1
193 Howard 29.7% +0.35 31 1
194 South Carolina Upstate 29.8% +0.36 30 1
195 Georgia Southern 30.5% +0.42 30 1
196 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 30.6% +0.43 30 1
197 Towson 30.6% +0.43 29 1
198 Binghamton 30.8% +0.44 29 1
199 Saint Peter's 31.3% +0.48 29 1
200 Seattle U 31.4% +0.49 28 1
201 Ohio 31.5% +0.50 28 1
202 BYU 31.6% +0.51 27 1
203 Utah Tech 31.7% +0.52 27 1
204 Kansas City 32.2% +0.56 27 1
205 Monmouth 32.3% +0.57 26 1
206 Canisius 32.3% +0.57 26 1
207 East Texas A&M 32.7% +0.61 26 1
208 Lehigh 32.7% +0.61 25 1
209 Bryant 32.8% +0.62 25 1
210 UNLV 33.3% +0.66 25 1
211 Stetson 33.6% +0.69 24 2
212 Incarnate Word 33.8% +0.71 24 1
213 Le Moyne 33.8% +0.71 23 1
214 North Carolina Central 33.9% +0.71 23 1
215 UTSA 33.9% +0.71 23 1
216 UConn 34.0% +0.72 22 1
217 Saint Louis 34.5% +0.76 22 1
218 Jackson State 34.5% +0.77 22 1
219 Wisconsin 34.6% +0.77 21 1
220 Michigan 34.9% +0.80 21 1
221 Florida 35.0% +0.80 21 1
222 Montana State 35.2% +0.82 20 1
223 Iowa 36.2% +0.91 20 1
224 Bellarmine 36.4% +0.92 19 1
225 Florida A&M 36.6% +0.94 19 1
226 Southeast Missouri State 36.7% +0.95 19 1
227 North Alabama 36.8% +0.96 18 1
228 Ohio State 36.8% +0.96 18 1
229 Radford 36.8% +0.96 18 1
230 Long Island University 37.1% +0.98 17 1
231 Presbyterian 37.3% +1.00 17 1
232 Wagner 37.3% +1.00 17 1
233 Army 37.3% +1.00 16 1
234 North Carolina 37.3% +1.00 16 1
235 Alcorn State 37.7% +1.04 16 1
236 LSU 37.7% +1.04 15 1
237 Northern Arizona 37.7% +1.04 15 1
238 Miami 37.7% +1.04 14 1
239 Memphis 37.9% +1.06 14 1
240 Louisiana 38.0% +1.06 14 1
241 Tennessee State 38.7% +1.12 13 1
242 Kent State 38.9% +1.14 13 1
243 Northeastern 39.0% +1.15 13 1
244 UCF 39.1% +1.15 12 1
245 East Tennessee State 39.6% +1.20 12 1
246 Northern Illinois 40.0% +1.23 12 1
247 Tennessee Tech 40.0% +1.23 11 1
248 Texas Southern 40.0% +1.23 11 1
249 UCLA 40.0% +1.23 10 1
250 Nevada 40.8% +1.30 10 1
251 Cal State Fullerton 41.2% +1.34 10 1
252 Eastern Illinois 41.4% +1.35 9 1
253 Ball State 41.5% +1.36 9 1
254 Providence 41.9% +1.39 9 1
255 Grand Canyon 42.4% +1.44 8 1
256 UC Davis 42.9% +1.48 8 1
257 West Georgia 42.9% +1.48 8 1
258 Florida Gulf Coast 43.1% +1.50 7 1
259 Coastal Carolina 43.4% +1.53 7 1
260 Lindenwood 43.8% +1.56 6 1
261 Bethune-Cookman 44.2% +1.60 6 1
262 Weber State 44.6% +1.63 6 1
263 Iowa State 45.5% +1.70 5 1
264 Murray State 45.5% +1.70 5 1
265 Western Carolina 45.5% +1.70 5 1
266 Dartmouth 45.7% +1.72 4 1
267 Alabama State 46.8% +1.82 4 1
268 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 46.9% +1.82 4 1
269 La Salle 47.4% +1.87 3 1
270 UT Martin 48.5% +1.96 3 1
271 Purdue 49.1% +2.01 3 1
272 McNeese 51.0% +2.18 2 1
273 Brown 51.1% +2.19 2 1
274 Colgate 55.6% +2.57 1 1
275 Western Illinois 56.0% +2.61 1 1
276 UTEP 60.0% +2.95 1 1
277 Little Rock 65.4% +3.41 0 1
278 Southern 71.1% +3.91 0 1