Just tell me where it hurts and I'll tell you who to call. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 25.9% max 72.7% mean 50.3% std 9.5% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponent Effective Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 George Washington 25.9% -2.58 100 1
2 LSU 27.9% -2.37 100 1
3 Nevada 29.6% -2.19 99 1
4 Georgia Tech 31.1% -2.02 99 1
5 Georgia Southern 31.4% -2.00 99 1
6 Minnesota 31.4% -2.00 98 1
7 Xavier 31.5% -1.98 98 1
8 Houston 31.7% -1.97 97 1
9 UConn 31.9% -1.94 97 1
10 Illinois 32.0% -1.94 97 1
11 Marquette 32.8% -1.85 96 1
12 Seton Hall 33.0% -1.83 96 1
13 Boston College 33.0% -1.82 96 1
14 George Mason 33.3% -1.79 95 1
15 Oregon State 33.8% -1.75 95 1
16 Cincinnati 34.3% -1.69 95 1
17 Missouri 34.5% -1.67 94 1
18 Central Arkansas 35.0% -1.62 94 1
19 Texas Tech 35.4% -1.57 94 1
20 Murray State 35.5% -1.57 93 1
21 Tennessee 35.5% -1.56 93 1
22 Akron 35.7% -1.54 92 1
23 Belmont 36.1% -1.50 92 1
24 Michigan 36.5% -1.46 92 1
25 Dayton 37.1% -1.40 91 1
26 Wright State 37.5% -1.35 91 1
27 Pittsburgh 37.7% -1.33 91 1
28 Utah State 37.7% -1.33 90 1
29 Florida 38.3% -1.26 90 1
30 North Florida 38.3% -1.26 90 1
31 Virginia Tech 38.5% -1.25 89 1
32 Texas A&M 38.8% -1.21 89 1
33 Davidson 39.0% -1.20 88 1
34 Iowa 39.4% -1.15 88 1
35 App State 39.8% -1.11 88 1
36 Massachusetts 39.8% -1.10 87 1
37 DePaul 39.9% -1.10 87 1
38 Brown 40.0% -1.09 87 1
39 Butler 40.3% -1.06 86 1
40 Yale 40.4% -1.04 86 1
41 Saint Louis 40.5% -1.03 86 1
42 Michigan State 41.1% -0.97 85 1
43 Long Island University 41.1% -0.97 85 1
44 Marshall 41.1% -0.97 84 1
45 Louisiana Tech 41.2% -0.96 84 1
46 Kansas 41.3% -0.95 84 1
47 Howard 41.4% -0.94 83 1
48 Baylor 41.5% -0.93 83 1
49 Kentucky 41.7% -0.91 83 1
50 Temple 41.7% -0.91 82 1
51 New Mexico 41.8% -0.90 82 1
52 USC 41.9% -0.88 82 1
53 High Point 42.0% -0.88 81 1
54 Santa Clara 42.1% -0.87 81 1
55 Colorado 42.1% -0.87 81 1
56 NC State 42.1% -0.86 80 1
57 Bryant 42.2% -0.86 80 1
58 Western Kentucky 42.2% -0.85 79 1
59 Duke 42.3% -0.84 79 1
60 Villanova 42.3% -0.84 79 1
61 North Carolina 42.4% -0.84 78 1
62 Vanderbilt 42.4% -0.84 78 1
63 Ball State 42.5% -0.83 78 1
64 UCLA 42.5% -0.82 77 1
65 Penn State 42.6% -0.81 77 1
66 Valparaiso 43.1% -0.76 77 1
67 South Florida 43.2% -0.75 76 1
68 Iona 43.4% -0.73 76 1
69 Georgia 43.4% -0.72 75 1
70 Texas 43.4% -0.72 75 1
71 Toledo 43.6% -0.71 75 1
72 Loyola Chicago 43.6% -0.71 74 1
73 Florida Atlantic 43.6% -0.70 74 1
74 Arkansas State 43.8% -0.68 74 1
75 Texas State 44.1% -0.65 73 1
76 TCU 44.2% -0.65 73 1
77 Providence 44.2% -0.65 73 1
78 Northern Kentucky 44.3% -0.64 72 1
79 Arkansas 44.4% -0.62 72 1
80 Rhode Island 44.5% -0.61 71 1
81 Dartmouth 44.6% -0.61 71 1
82 Vermont 44.7% -0.59 71 1
83 Hampton 44.8% -0.58 70 1
84 Wake Forest 45.0% -0.56 70 1
85 Arizona 45.1% -0.55 70 1
86 Old Dominion 45.1% -0.55 69 1
87 East Texas A&M 45.2% -0.54 69 1
88 Northwestern 45.2% -0.54 69 1
89 Coastal Carolina 45.3% -0.53 68 1
90 West Georgia 45.5% -0.50 68 1
91 San Diego State 45.7% -0.49 68 1
92 Grand Canyon 45.8% -0.48 67 1
93 New Haven 45.9% -0.46 67 1
94 Georgetown 46.0% -0.45 66 1
95 Central Michigan 46.2% -0.44 66 1
96 Little Rock 46.2% -0.44 66 1
97 Ole Miss 46.2% -0.44 65 1
98 Stanford 46.3% -0.42 65 1
99 Memphis 46.6% -0.40 65 1
100 Virginia 46.6% -0.40 64 1
101 VCU 46.6% -0.39 64 1
102 Florida State 46.8% -0.37 64 1
103 Monmouth 46.8% -0.37 63 1
104 North Alabama 47.4% -0.31 63 1
105 Southeast Missouri State 47.5% -0.30 62 1
106 Siena 47.7% -0.28 62 1
107 St. Bonaventure 47.8% -0.27 62 1
108 UMBC 47.8% -0.27 61 1
109 American University 47.8% -0.26 61 1
110 New Hampshire 48.0% -0.24 61 1
111 Wisconsin 48.1% -0.24 60 1
112 Nebraska 48.2% -0.22 60 1
113 Western Michigan 48.2% -0.22 60 1
114 Radford 48.2% -0.22 59 1
115 Kansas City 48.3% -0.21 59 1
116 Eastern Michigan 48.4% -0.21 58 1
117 Troy 48.5% -0.19 58 1
118 Miami (OH) 48.6% -0.18 58 1
119 Oakland 48.6% -0.18 57 1
120 Purdue 49.1% -0.13 57 1
121 South Dakota State 49.1% -0.13 57 1
122 Utah 49.1% -0.13 56 1
123 Syracuse 49.1% -0.13 56 1
124 Elon 49.1% -0.13 56 1
125 Oregon 49.1% -0.12 55 1
126 North Carolina Central 49.2% -0.12 55 1
127 Charlotte 49.2% -0.12 55 1
128 Washington 49.2% -0.12 54 1
129 Alabama 50.0% -0.03 54 1
130 Colorado State 50.0% -0.03 53 1
131 Cornell 50.0% -0.03 53 1
132 Duquesne 50.0% -0.03 53 1
133 Furman 50.0% -0.03 52 1
134 Iowa State 50.0% -0.03 52 1
135 Merrimack 50.0% -0.03 52 1
136 Oklahoma State 50.0% -0.03 51 1
137 South Carolina 50.0% -0.03 51 1
138 St. John's 50.0% -0.03 51 1
139 Western Carolina 50.0% -0.03 50 1
140 Morehead State 50.7% +0.04 50 1
141 Chattanooga 50.7% +0.05 49 1
142 Denver 50.7% +0.05 49 1
143 St. Thomas 50.8% +0.06 49 1
144 SMU 50.8% +0.06 48 1
145 East Tennessee State 50.9% +0.07 48 1
146 McNeese 51.0% +0.07 48 1
147 San Francisco 51.0% +0.07 47 1
148 West Virginia 51.1% +0.08 47 1
149 James Madison 51.5% +0.12 47 1
150 The Citadel 51.5% +0.12 46 1
151 UT Martin 51.5% +0.13 46 1
152 Loyola Maryland 51.6% +0.13 45 1
153 Mercyhurst 51.7% +0.14 45 1
154 Youngstown State 51.7% +0.14 45 1
155 Arizona State 51.8% +0.16 44 1
156 Gonzaga 51.8% +0.16 44 1
157 Jackson State 51.8% +0.16 44 1
158 Western Illinois 52.0% +0.18 43 1
159 Bucknell 52.1% +0.19 43 1
160 Bowling Green 52.3% +0.21 43 1
161 Richmond 52.3% +0.21 42 1
162 San José State 52.4% +0.22 42 1
163 Army 52.5% +0.24 42 1
164 Central Connecticut 52.5% +0.24 41 1
165 California Baptist 52.6% +0.25 41 1
166 Kansas State 52.6% +0.25 40 1
167 Marist 52.8% +0.27 40 1
168 Illinois State 52.9% +0.28 40 1
169 Maine 52.9% +0.28 39 1
170 Robert Morris 52.9% +0.28 39 1
171 Indiana 53.0% +0.28 39 1
172 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 53.1% +0.29 38 1
173 Incarnate Word 53.1% +0.29 38 1
174 Saint Peter's 53.1% +0.30 38 1
175 Clemson 53.3% +0.32 37 1
176 Oklahoma 53.5% +0.34 37 1
177 Miami 53.8% +0.37 36 1
178 Bethune-Cookman 53.8% +0.37 36 1
179 UTEP 54.0% +0.39 36 1
180 Northern Arizona 54.1% +0.40 35 1
181 Lipscomb 54.2% +0.41 35 2
182 Liberty 54.4% +0.43 35 1
183 Louisville 54.4% +0.43 34 1
184 Cal State Fullerton 54.4% +0.43 34 1
185 NJIT 54.6% +0.45 34 1
186 Northwestern State 54.6% +0.45 33 1
187 Sam Houston 54.7% +0.46 33 1
188 UCF 54.7% +0.46 32 1
189 Lindenwood 54.7% +0.46 32 1
190 Maryland 54.7% +0.47 32 1
191 Creighton 54.8% +0.47 31 1
192 Alabama State 54.8% +0.48 31 1
193 East Carolina 55.1% +0.50 31 1
194 Drexel 55.2% +0.52 30 1
195 Mississippi State 55.3% +0.53 30 1
196 Colgate 55.6% +0.55 30 1
197 Ohio 55.6% +0.55 29 1
198 Oral Roberts 55.6% +0.56 29 1
199 Long Beach State 55.9% +0.59 29 1
200 Wagner 55.9% +0.59 28 1
201 Charleston Southern 55.9% +0.59 28 1
202 LSU New Orleans 55.9% +0.59 27 1
203 Louisiana 56.0% +0.60 27 1
204 Weber State 56.2% +0.62 27 1
205 Georgia State 56.4% +0.64 26 1
206 Tennessee State 56.5% +0.65 26 1
207 Towson 56.5% +0.65 26 1
208 UL Monroe 56.5% +0.65 25 1
209 Hawai'i 56.5% +0.65 25 1
210 Notre Dame 56.7% +0.68 25 1
211 Seattle U 56.9% +0.69 24 1
212 BYU 57.0% +0.71 24 1
213 Purdue Fort Wayne 57.3% +0.73 23 1
214 Boston University 57.6% +0.77 23 1
215 Wofford 57.7% +0.78 23 1
216 Southern Indiana 57.7% +0.78 22 1
217 Eastern Illinois 57.8% +0.79 22 1
218 Mount St. Mary's 57.9% +0.80 22 1
219 South Carolina Upstate 57.9% +0.80 21 1
220 Grambling 58.3% +0.85 21 1
221 Canisius 58.5% +0.86 21 1
222 Stetson 58.6% +0.88 20 2
223 La Salle 58.8% +0.89 20 1
224 Maryland Eastern Shore 58.8% +0.89 19 1
225 Southern 58.9% +0.91 19 1
226 Gardner-Webb 59.2% +0.93 19 1
227 UC Davis 59.2% +0.94 18 1
228 Texas Southern 59.2% +0.94 18 1
229 Kent State 59.3% +0.94 18 1
230 Northeastern 59.3% +0.95 17 1
231 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 59.4% +0.96 17 1
232 Saint Mary's 59.5% +0.97 17 1
233 Lafayette 59.7% +0.99 16 1
234 Eastern Washington 59.8% +1.00 16 1
235 Tulane 59.8% +1.01 16 1
236 Rider 60.0% +1.02 15 1
237 Montana State 60.2% +1.04 15 1
238 Florida A&M 60.6% +1.08 14 1
239 Columbia 60.8% +1.11 14 1
240 Coppin State 61.2% +1.15 14 1
241 Florida Gulf Coast 61.2% +1.15 13 1
242 Indiana State 61.5% +1.18 13 1
243 Idaho State 62.1% +1.24 13 1
244 Alcorn State 62.3% +1.26 12 1
245 Pepperdine 62.5% +1.29 12 1
246 Buffalo 62.7% +1.31 12 1
247 North Dakota 62.9% +1.33 11 1
248 Niagara 63.1% +1.35 11 1
249 South Alabama 63.2% +1.36 10 1
250 Winthrop 63.2% +1.36 10 1
251 Manhattan 63.3% +1.37 10 1
252 Campbell 63.4% +1.38 9 1
253 UNLV 63.5% +1.40 9 1
254 UAB 63.8% +1.42 9 1
255 Queens University 63.9% +1.43 8 1
256 Ohio State 64.0% +1.45 8 1
257 Holy Cross 64.2% +1.46 8 1
258 Le Moyne 64.6% +1.51 7 1
259 Montana 64.7% +1.51 7 1
260 Quinnipiac 65.3% +1.58 6 1
261 Fordham 65.8% +1.64 6 1
262 Washington State 66.0% +1.66 6 1
263 Bellarmine 66.4% +1.69 5 1
264 Presbyterian 66.7% +1.73 5 1
265 Fairleigh Dickinson 66.9% +1.75 5 1
266 Air Force 67.2% +1.78 4 1
267 Milwaukee 67.2% +1.79 4 1
268 Lehigh 67.3% +1.79 4 1
269 Binghamton 67.3% +1.79 3 1
270 Utah Tech 67.5% +1.81 3 1
271 Navy 67.9% +1.85 3 1
272 UTSA 67.9% +1.85 2 1
273 Tennessee Tech 68.3% +1.90 2 1
274 Abilene Christian 69.0% +1.97 1 1
275 Northern Illinois 69.0% +1.97 1 1
276 UNC Asheville 69.7% +2.04 1 1
277 Cleveland State 71.0% +2.18 0 1
278 Chicago State 72.7% +2.36 0 1