You pay for this but they give you that. "Hey Hey, My My" - Neil Young

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 24.1% max 64.0% mean 43.7% std 8.3% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 Grambling 64.0% +2.44 100 1
2 Texas 62.5% +2.26 100 1
3 Missouri 60.9% +2.07 99 1
4 Colorado 60.3% +2.00 99 1
5 Oregon 60.3% +2.00 99 1
6 Saint Louis 60.0% +1.96 98 1
7 Vanderbilt 60.0% +1.96 98 1
8 Wright State 59.4% +1.89 97 1
9 Richmond 59.0% +1.84 97 1
10 San José State 58.9% +1.83 97 1
11 Kansas 58.3% +1.76 96 1
12 Mississippi State 58.3% +1.76 96 1
13 New Mexico 58.3% +1.76 96 1
14 Michigan State 58.1% +1.73 95 1
15 Utah State 58.1% +1.73 95 1
16 Ole Miss 57.4% +1.65 95 1
17 USC 56.9% +1.59 94 1
18 Queens University 55.9% +1.47 94 1
19 Northwestern 55.8% +1.45 94 1
20 Illinois 55.4% +1.41 93 1
21 Penn State 55.4% +1.41 93 1
22 George Washington 55.4% +1.40 92 1
23 Rhode Island 55.2% +1.39 92 1
24 McNeese 55.1% +1.37 92 1
25 Elon 55.0% +1.36 91 1
26 Florida State 54.9% +1.35 91 1
27 St. Thomas 54.9% +1.35 91 1
28 Stanford 54.9% +1.35 90 1
29 Minnesota 54.8% +1.34 90 1
30 Davidson 54.7% +1.33 90 1
31 Arkansas 54.7% +1.32 89 1
32 BYU 54.4% +1.29 89 1
33 Houston 54.4% +1.29 88 1
34 Boston University 54.2% +1.27 88 1
35 Marshall 54.0% +1.23 88 1
36 Nebraska 53.8% +1.22 87 1
37 Colorado State 53.7% +1.20 87 1
38 NC State 53.6% +1.19 87 1
39 UCF 53.4% +1.17 86 1
40 Kentucky 53.3% +1.16 86 1
41 Winthrop 52.8% +1.09 86 1
42 Duquesne 52.7% +1.09 85 1
43 Wake Forest 52.6% +1.07 85 1
44 Northeastern 52.5% +1.06 84 1
45 West Virginia 52.5% +1.05 84 1
46 Tennessee 52.3% +1.03 84 1
47 Northern Arizona 52.1% +1.01 83 1
48 Belmont 51.9% +0.99 83 1
49 Louisiana Tech 51.9% +0.98 83 1
50 UConn 51.7% +0.96 82 1
51 Murray State 51.6% +0.95 82 1
52 Cornell 51.6% +0.94 82 1
53 LSU 51.3% +0.92 81 1
54 SMU 51.1% +0.89 81 1
55 Clemson 51.0% +0.88 81 1
56 Utah 51.0% +0.87 80 1
57 South Carolina 50.8% +0.86 80 1
58 Grand Canyon 50.8% +0.85 79 1
59 Charlotte 50.0% +0.76 79 1
60 Eastern Illinois 50.0% +0.76 79 1
61 Indiana 50.0% +0.76 78 1
62 Northern Kentucky 50.0% +0.76 78 1
63 Saint Mary's 50.0% +0.76 78 1
64 Seattle U 50.0% +0.76 77 1
65 South Alabama 50.0% +0.76 77 1
66 South Florida 50.0% +0.76 77 1
67 Virginia Tech 50.0% +0.76 76 1
68 Xavier 50.0% +0.76 76 1
69 Oregon State 49.2% +0.66 75 1
70 Pittsburgh 49.2% +0.66 75 1
71 Duke 49.2% +0.65 75 1
72 South Carolina Upstate 49.2% +0.65 74 1
73 High Point 49.1% +0.65 74 1
74 Ohio 49.1% +0.65 74 1
75 Ohio State 49.1% +0.65 73 1
76 Bowling Green 49.1% +0.65 73 1
77 Boston College 49.0% +0.64 73 1
78 Hawai'i 49.0% +0.64 72 1
79 North Alabama 49.0% +0.63 72 1
80 Texas State 49.0% +0.63 71 1
81 San Diego State 48.5% +0.58 71 1
82 Tennessee Tech 48.5% +0.57 71 1
83 UNC Asheville 48.4% +0.57 70 1
84 Texas A&M 48.4% +0.56 70 1
85 Marquette 48.3% +0.56 70 1
86 Illinois State 48.3% +0.55 69 1
87 Kansas City 48.1% +0.52 69 1
88 Alabama 48.0% +0.52 69 1
89 Valparaiso 48.0% +0.52 68 1
90 Southeast Missouri State 47.9% +0.50 68 1
91 Butler 47.8% +0.49 68 1
92 Virginia 47.8% +0.49 67 1
93 Baylor 47.7% +0.48 67 1
94 Dayton 47.7% +0.48 66 1
95 UNLV 47.5% +0.46 66 1
96 Iowa 47.5% +0.45 66 1
97 Columbia 47.4% +0.44 65 1
98 East Carolina 47.4% +0.44 65 1
99 North Florida 47.4% +0.44 65 1
100 Purdue 47.3% +0.43 64 1
101 Maryland 47.2% +0.42 64 1
102 Nevada 47.1% +0.40 64 1
103 Tulane 47.0% +0.39 63 1
104 UT Martin 47.0% +0.39 63 1
105 TCU 46.9% +0.38 62 1
106 Central Michigan 46.8% +0.37 62 1
107 Northern Illinois 46.7% +0.35 62 1
108 St. Bonaventure 46.7% +0.35 61 1
109 Washington 46.3% +0.31 61 1
110 Wisconsin 46.3% +0.31 61 1
111 Stetson 46.2% +0.29 60 2
112 Villanova 46.2% +0.29 60 1
113 Georgetown 46.0% +0.28 60 1
114 Akron 46.0% +0.27 59 1
115 Seton Hall 45.8% +0.25 59 1
116 Temple 45.8% +0.25 58 1
117 Loyola Chicago 45.6% +0.23 58 1
118 Miami (OH) 45.6% +0.23 58 1
119 Providence 45.6% +0.23 57 1
120 East Tennessee State 45.5% +0.21 57 1
121 Texas Tech 45.5% +0.21 57 1
122 Florida Gulf Coast 45.3% +0.19 56 1
123 Dartmouth 45.3% +0.19 56 1
124 Central Arkansas 45.2% +0.17 56 1
125 Santa Clara 45.2% +0.17 55 1
126 Presbyterian 45.0% +0.15 55 1
127 Old Dominion 44.6% +0.11 55 1
128 Oklahoma State 44.6% +0.11 54 1
129 Indiana State 44.3% +0.07 54 1
130 Denver 44.2% +0.06 53 1
131 Louisville 44.1% +0.05 53 1
132 Georgia 44.1% +0.04 53 1
133 Southern 44.1% +0.04 52 1
134 Radford 44.0% +0.03 52 1
135 Pepperdine 43.9% +0.03 52 1
136 Chattanooga 43.9% +0.02 51 1
137 East Texas A&M 43.9% +0.02 51 1
138 South Dakota State 43.9% +0.02 51 1
139 Michigan 43.7% -0.01 50 1
140 Colgate 43.5% -0.02 50 1
141 Western Kentucky 43.5% -0.03 49 1
142 Arizona State 43.4% -0.04 49 1
143 Bucknell 43.4% -0.04 49 1
144 Florida 43.4% -0.04 48 1
145 Gonzaga 43.4% -0.04 48 1
146 Incarnate Word 43.1% -0.07 48 1
147 UAB 43.1% -0.07 47 1
148 Bethune-Cookman 43.1% -0.07 47 1
149 Iowa State 43.1% -0.07 47 1
150 Massachusetts 43.1% -0.08 46 1
151 Monmouth 42.9% -0.10 46 1
152 UTSA 42.9% -0.10 45 1
153 Coastal Carolina 42.6% -0.13 45 1
154 Eastern Washington 42.6% -0.14 45 1
155 New Haven 42.6% -0.14 44 1
156 Little Rock 42.4% -0.16 44 1
157 Texas Southern 42.4% -0.16 44 1
158 Furman 42.3% -0.17 43 1
159 Niagara 42.2% -0.18 43 1
160 San Francisco 42.1% -0.19 43 1
161 Cincinnati 42.0% -0.20 42 1
162 App State 42.0% -0.21 42 1
163 Brown 42.0% -0.21 42 1
164 St. John's 41.9% -0.22 41 1
165 Memphis 41.8% -0.23 41 1
166 North Carolina 41.8% -0.23 40 1
167 Georgia Tech 41.8% -0.23 40 1
168 Kansas State 41.5% -0.27 40 1
169 George Mason 41.2% -0.31 39 1
170 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 41.2% -0.31 39 1
171 Creighton 40.7% -0.37 39 1
172 Georgia State 40.6% -0.37 38 1
173 Cal State Fullerton 40.6% -0.38 38 1
174 Binghamton 40.4% -0.40 38 1
175 Oklahoma 40.4% -0.40 37 1
176 UC Davis 40.4% -0.41 37 1
177 Florida Atlantic 40.3% -0.41 36 1
178 Montana State 40.3% -0.41 36 1
179 Bryant 40.0% -0.45 36 1
180 Long Island University 40.0% -0.45 35 1
181 UL Monroe 40.0% -0.45 35 1
182 Lindenwood 40.0% -0.45 35 1
183 Toledo 39.7% -0.48 34 1
184 Drexel 39.7% -0.49 34 1
185 Eastern Michigan 39.6% -0.49 34 1
186 Long Beach State 39.6% -0.49 33 1
187 Charleston Southern 39.4% -0.52 33 1
188 Canisius 39.3% -0.53 32 1
189 Chicago State 39.3% -0.53 32 1
190 Purdue Fort Wayne 39.3% -0.53 32 1
191 Syracuse 39.3% -0.53 31 1
192 DePaul 39.3% -0.53 31 1
193 Le Moyne 39.3% -0.53 31 1
194 Lipscomb 39.3% -0.54 30 2
195 Western Illinois 39.2% -0.54 30 1
196 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 38.9% -0.58 30 1
197 Youngstown State 38.8% -0.59 29 1
198 Florida A&M 38.7% -0.60 29 1
199 Abilene Christian 38.6% -0.62 29 1
200 Iona 38.6% -0.62 28 1
201 James Madison 38.6% -0.62 28 1
202 UTEP 38.6% -0.62 27 1
203 Sam Houston 38.5% -0.63 27 1
204 VCU 38.5% -0.63 27 1
205 Maryland Eastern Shore 38.3% -0.65 26 1
206 Holy Cross 38.2% -0.67 26 1
207 Loyola Maryland 38.1% -0.68 26 1
208 UCLA 38.0% -0.69 25 1
209 Montana 37.9% -0.70 25 1
210 Georgia Southern 37.7% -0.72 25 1
211 North Carolina Central 37.7% -0.73 24 1
212 Liberty 37.5% -0.75 24 1
213 Siena 37.5% -0.75 23 1
214 Lafayette 37.3% -0.77 23 1
215 Northwestern State 37.3% -0.78 23 1
216 Western Michigan 37.3% -0.78 22 1
217 Campbell 37.1% -0.79 22 1
218 Buffalo 37.1% -0.80 22 1
219 Milwaukee 37.1% -0.80 21 1
220 Bellarmine 37.0% -0.82 21 1
221 Marist 37.0% -0.82 21 1
222 Arizona 36.7% -0.85 20 1
223 Alcorn State 36.5% -0.87 20 1
224 Coppin State 36.5% -0.87 19 1
225 Towson 36.5% -0.87 19 1
226 Kent State 36.5% -0.87 19 1
227 Lehigh 36.2% -0.91 18 1
228 Morehead State 36.2% -0.91 18 1
229 Utah Tech 36.1% -0.92 18 1
230 Yale 35.9% -0.94 17 1
231 Vermont 35.8% -0.95 17 1
232 Arkansas State 35.7% -0.96 17 1
233 Quinnipiac 35.7% -0.96 16 1
234 Notre Dame 35.4% -1.00 16 1
235 Howard 35.3% -1.02 16 1
236 Washington State 35.3% -1.02 15 1
237 Manhattan 35.2% -1.03 15 1
238 Merrimack 35.2% -1.03 14 1
239 Idaho State 35.1% -1.04 14 1
240 California Baptist 35.0% -1.05 14 1
241 Central Connecticut 35.0% -1.05 13 1
242 Miami 35.0% -1.05 13 1
243 Maine 34.9% -1.07 13 1
244 Army 34.6% -1.10 12 1
245 NJIT 34.5% -1.11 12 1
246 Troy 34.4% -1.13 12 1
247 The Citadel 34.0% -1.17 11 1
248 Western Carolina 33.9% -1.18 11 1
249 New Hampshire 33.3% -1.25 10 1
250 West Georgia 33.3% -1.25 10 1
251 Alabama State 32.8% -1.31 10 1
252 Southern Indiana 32.8% -1.32 9 1
253 Cleveland State 32.8% -1.32 9 1
254 Air Force 32.4% -1.37 9 1
255 Fordham 31.9% -1.43 8 1
256 Oakland 31.7% -1.44 8 1
257 Rider 31.6% -1.46 8 1
258 Tennessee State 30.9% -1.54 7 1
259 Wofford 30.6% -1.58 7 1
260 Wagner 30.4% -1.61 6 1
261 Oral Roberts 30.0% -1.65 6 1
262 Weber State 30.0% -1.65 6 1
263 Mercyhurst 29.3% -1.74 5 1
264 Mount St. Mary's 29.2% -1.75 5 1
265 Jackson State 29.2% -1.75 5 1
266 North Dakota 28.8% -1.80 4 1
267 Louisiana 28.6% -1.83 4 1
268 Fairleigh Dickinson 27.9% -1.91 4 1
269 Hampton 27.9% -1.91 3 1
270 American University 27.8% -1.92 3 1
271 UMBC 27.8% -1.92 3 1
272 Ball State 27.1% -2.00 2 1
273 Robert Morris 26.5% -2.07 2 1
274 Saint Peter's 26.0% -2.14 1 1
275 Gardner-Webb 25.5% -2.19 1 1
276 La Salle 25.0% -2.26 1 1
277 LSU New Orleans 24.6% -2.31 0 1
278 Navy 24.1% -2.36 0 1