He took it all too far, but boy could he play guitar. "Ziggy Stardust" - David Bowie

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 20.0% max 91.3% mean 53.6% std 13.0% (n=278)

By Conference

A dot per team, best conference average at the top. The tick marks each conference's mean.

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Rankings

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# Team Assisted Field Goal Percentage z Pctl GP
1 SMU 91.3% +2.89 100 1
2 Minnesota 85.3% +2.43 100 1
3 Butler 81.3% +2.12 99 1
4 The Citadel 81.3% +2.12 99 1
5 Marquette 79.3% +1.97 99 1
6 Northwestern 79.3% +1.97 98 1
7 Richmond 77.8% +1.85 98 1
8 Furman 77.3% +1.81 97 1
9 Le Moyne 77.3% +1.81 97 1
10 USC 75.8% +1.70 97 1
11 Ohio 75.0% +1.64 96 1
12 Quinnipiac 75.0% +1.64 96 1
13 Santa Clara 75.0% +1.64 96 1
14 Xavier 74.3% +1.58 95 1
15 Bucknell 73.9% +1.56 95 1
16 Florida 73.9% +1.56 95 1
17 Alcorn State 73.7% +1.54 94 1
18 La Salle 73.3% +1.51 94 1
19 New Hampshire 73.3% +1.51 94 1
20 Montana 72.7% +1.46 93 1
21 San José State 72.7% +1.46 93 1
22 Toledo 72.4% +1.44 92 1
23 Army 72.2% +1.43 92 1
24 Utah State 72.2% +1.43 92 1
25 Chattanooga 72.0% +1.41 91 1
26 App State 71.4% +1.36 91 1
27 Illinois State 71.4% +1.36 91 1
28 Ole Miss 71.4% +1.36 90 1
29 Loyola Maryland 70.8% +1.32 90 1
30 Marist 70.6% +1.30 90 1
31 Grand Canyon 69.7% +1.23 89 1
32 Bryant 69.2% +1.20 89 1
33 Charleston Southern 69.2% +1.20 88 1
34 Utah 69.2% +1.20 88 1
35 Cincinnati 69.0% +1.18 88 1
36 Virginia Tech 69.0% +1.18 87 1
37 Nevada 68.8% +1.16 87 1
38 Nebraska 68.6% +1.15 87 1
39 Mount St. Mary's 68.4% +1.13 86 1
40 DePaul 68.2% +1.12 86 1
41 Fordham 68.2% +1.12 86 1
42 Seton Hall 68.2% +1.12 85 1
43 Clemson 68.0% +1.10 85 1
44 East Texas A&M 68.0% +1.10 84 1
45 Sam Houston 68.0% +1.10 84 1
46 Louisiana Tech 67.9% +1.09 84 1
47 Houston 67.7% +1.08 83 1
48 Central Connecticut 66.7% +1.00 83 1
49 Cornell 66.7% +1.00 83 1
50 Elon 66.7% +1.00 82 1
51 Holy Cross 66.7% +1.00 82 1
52 Louisiana 66.7% +1.00 82 1
53 NC State 66.7% +1.00 81 1
54 Purdue Fort Wayne 66.7% +1.00 81 1
55 Mississippi State 65.7% +0.93 81 1
56 Pittsburgh 65.6% +0.92 80 1
57 South Carolina Upstate 65.5% +0.91 80 1
58 Purdue 65.4% +0.90 79 1
59 Youngstown State 65.4% +0.90 79 1
60 Gonzaga 65.2% +0.89 79 1
61 Illinois 65.2% +0.89 78 1
62 Tennessee State 64.7% +0.85 78 1
63 George Washington 64.5% +0.83 78 1
64 UConn 64.5% +0.83 77 1
65 Wisconsin 64.5% +0.83 77 1
66 Ohio State 64.3% +0.82 77 1
67 Radford 63.6% +0.77 76 1
68 TCU 63.3% +0.74 76 1
69 Wofford 63.2% +0.73 75 1
70 Kentucky 62.5% +0.68 75 1
71 Syracuse 62.5% +0.68 75 1
72 Davidson 62.1% +0.65 74 1
73 Duquesne 62.1% +0.65 74 1
74 Georgetown 62.1% +0.65 74 1
75 Lehigh 61.9% +0.63 73 1
76 LSU 61.5% +0.61 73 1
77 Dayton 61.3% +0.59 73 1
78 Loyola Chicago 61.3% +0.59 72 1
79 Michigan State 61.1% +0.57 72 1
80 Akron 60.9% +0.55 71 1
81 Notre Dame 60.9% +0.55 71 1
82 Central Arkansas 60.7% +0.54 71 1
83 San Diego State 60.6% +0.53 70 1
84 Arkansas State 60.0% +0.49 70 1
85 Maine 60.0% +0.49 70 1
86 Oregon 60.0% +0.49 69 1
87 UCLA 59.3% +0.43 69 1
88 UTEP 59.3% +0.43 69 1
89 UTSA 59.3% +0.43 68 1
90 Arizona 59.1% +0.42 68 1
91 UAB 59.1% +0.42 68 1
92 Central Michigan 58.6% +0.38 67 1
93 Florida Gulf Coast 58.6% +0.38 67 1
94 San Francisco 58.3% +0.36 66 1
95 Providence 58.1% +0.34 66 1
96 South Carolina 58.1% +0.34 66 1
97 UT Martin 58.1% +0.34 65 1
98 Cleveland State 57.9% +0.33 65 1
99 Western Michigan 57.9% +0.33 65 1
100 Winthrop 57.9% +0.33 64 1
101 Georgia State 57.7% +0.31 64 1
102 Southern 57.7% +0.31 64 1
103 St. John's 57.7% +0.31 63 1
104 Vanderbilt 57.6% +0.30 63 1
105 Binghamton 57.1% +0.27 62 1
106 Brown 57.1% +0.27 62 1
107 Iowa 57.1% +0.27 62 1
108 Massachusetts 57.1% +0.27 61 1
109 Northern Illinois 57.1% +0.27 61 1
110 Oklahoma 57.1% +0.27 61 1
111 St. Thomas 57.1% +0.27 60 1
112 Louisville 56.7% +0.23 60 1
113 Western Kentucky 56.7% +0.23 60 1
114 Arizona State 56.5% +0.22 59 1
115 Drexel 56.5% +0.22 59 1
116 New Haven 56.5% +0.22 58 1
117 Yale 56.5% +0.22 58 1
118 Texas Tech 56.0% +0.18 58 1
119 Colgate 55.6% +0.15 57 1
120 East Carolina 55.6% +0.15 57 1
121 Indiana State 55.6% +0.15 57 1
122 Oral Roberts 55.6% +0.15 56 1
123 Penn State 55.6% +0.15 56 1
124 Temple 55.6% +0.15 56 1
125 Wright State 55.3% +0.12 55 1
126 Colorado State 55.2% +0.12 55 1
127 Texas 55.0% +0.10 55 1
128 UMBC 55.0% +0.10 54 1
129 VCU 55.0% +0.10 54 1
130 Western Carolina 55.0% +0.10 53 1
131 Baylor 54.8% +0.09 53 1
132 Michigan 54.8% +0.09 53 1
133 Missouri 54.8% +0.09 52 1
134 Incarnate Word 54.5% +0.07 52 1
135 Kansas State 54.5% +0.07 52 1
136 Arkansas 54.3% +0.05 51 1
137 New Mexico 54.3% +0.05 51 1
138 Creighton 54.2% +0.04 51 1
139 Siena 54.2% +0.04 50 1
140 Texas State 54.2% +0.04 50 1
141 Stanford 53.6% -0.00 49 1
142 Oregon State 53.1% -0.04 49 1
143 Virginia 53.1% -0.04 49 1
144 West Virginia 53.1% -0.04 48 1
145 Hampton 52.9% -0.05 48 1
146 Saint Mary's 52.9% -0.05 48 1
147 Southeast Missouri State 52.9% -0.05 47 1
148 McNeese 52.6% -0.08 47 1
149 Eastern Michigan 52.4% -0.10 47 1
150 Liberty 52.4% -0.10 46 1
151 Long Beach State 52.4% -0.10 46 1
152 Morehead State 52.4% -0.10 45 1
153 North Carolina 52.2% -0.11 45 1
154 UC Davis 52.2% -0.11 45 1
155 Stetson 52.1% -0.12 44 2
156 Eastern Illinois 52.0% -0.13 44 1
157 Iowa State 52.0% -0.13 44 1
158 Kansas City 52.0% -0.13 43 1
159 Oklahoma State 51.7% -0.15 43 1
160 UCF 51.6% -0.16 43 1
161 Colorado 51.4% -0.17 42 1
162 Rhode Island 51.4% -0.18 42 1
163 Alabama State 50.0% -0.28 42 1
164 Canisius 50.0% -0.28 41 1
165 Chicago State 50.0% -0.28 41 1
166 George Mason 50.0% -0.28 40 1
167 Georgia 50.0% -0.28 40 1
168 Georgia Southern 50.0% -0.28 40 1
169 Jackson State 50.0% -0.28 39 1
170 Marshall 50.0% -0.28 39 1
171 Monmouth 50.0% -0.28 39 1
172 Tennessee 50.0% -0.28 38 1
173 Utah Tech 50.0% -0.28 38 1
174 Villanova 50.0% -0.28 38 1
175 Wake Forest 50.0% -0.28 37 1
176 Western Illinois 50.0% -0.28 37 1
177 Miami (OH) 48.4% -0.40 36 1
178 Columbia 48.1% -0.42 36 1
179 James Madison 48.1% -0.42 36 1
180 South Alabama 48.1% -0.42 35 1
181 Boston College 48.0% -0.43 35 1
182 Hawai'i 48.0% -0.43 35 1
183 Old Dominion 48.0% -0.43 34 1
184 South Dakota State 48.0% -0.43 34 1
185 Memphis 47.8% -0.45 34 1
186 North Carolina Central 47.8% -0.45 33 1
187 West Georgia 47.8% -0.45 33 1
188 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 47.6% -0.46 32 1
189 California Baptist 47.6% -0.46 32 1
190 Niagara 47.4% -0.48 32 1
191 Vermont 47.4% -0.48 31 1
192 Alabama 47.2% -0.49 31 1
193 Bellarmine 47.1% -0.50 31 1
194 Fairleigh Dickinson 47.1% -0.50 30 1
195 Mercyhurst 47.1% -0.50 30 1
196 North Dakota 47.1% -0.50 30 1
197 Grambling 46.9% -0.52 29 1
198 American University 46.7% -0.53 29 1
199 St. Bonaventure 46.4% -0.55 29 1
200 Campbell 46.2% -0.57 28 1
201 Robert Morris 46.2% -0.57 28 1
202 Saint Peter's 46.2% -0.57 27 1
203 UL Monroe 46.2% -0.57 27 1
204 Dartmouth 45.8% -0.60 27 1
205 Florida A&M 45.8% -0.60 26 1
206 Valparaiso 45.8% -0.60 26 1
207 Washington State 45.8% -0.60 26 1
208 Northwestern State 45.5% -0.63 25 1
209 Troy 45.5% -0.63 25 1
210 NJIT 45.0% -0.66 25 1
211 Duke 44.8% -0.68 24 1
212 Indiana 44.8% -0.68 24 1
213 Bowling Green 44.4% -0.70 23 1
214 Presbyterian 44.4% -0.70 23 1
215 Northern Arizona 44.0% -0.74 23 1
216 Texas Southern 44.0% -0.74 22 1
217 Tennessee Tech 43.8% -0.76 22 1
218 Florida State 43.6% -0.77 22 1
219 Milwaukee 43.5% -0.78 21 1
220 Towson 43.5% -0.78 21 1
221 Texas A&M 43.3% -0.79 21 1
222 Cal State Fullerton 42.9% -0.83 20 1
223 Kansas 42.9% -0.83 20 1
224 Saint Louis 42.4% -0.86 19 1
225 Queens University 42.1% -0.88 19 1
226 Gardner-Webb 41.7% -0.92 19 1
227 Howard 41.7% -0.92 18 1
228 Weber State 41.7% -0.92 18 1
229 Lindenwood 41.7% -0.92 18 1
230 Pepperdine 41.4% -0.94 17 1
231 UNLV 41.4% -0.94 17 1
232 Abilene Christian 40.9% -0.98 17 1
233 Air Force 40.9% -0.98 16 1
234 Iona 40.9% -0.98 16 1
235 Long Island University 40.9% -0.98 16 1
236 Belmont 40.7% -0.99 15 1
237 Seattle U 40.7% -0.99 15 1
238 Murray State 40.6% -1.00 14 1
239 East Tennessee State 40.0% -1.05 14 1
240 Idaho State 40.0% -1.05 14 1
241 Montana State 40.0% -1.05 13 1
242 Northern Kentucky 40.0% -1.05 13 1
243 Washington 40.0% -1.05 13 1
244 Georgia Tech 39.3% -1.10 12 1
245 BYU 38.7% -1.14 12 1
246 Charlotte 38.5% -1.16 12 1
247 North Alabama 37.5% -1.24 11 1
248 Manhattan 36.8% -1.29 11 1
249 Merrimack 36.8% -1.29 10 1
250 South Florida 36.8% -1.29 10 1
251 High Point 35.7% -1.37 10 1
252 Southern Indiana 35.0% -1.43 9 1
253 Maryland Eastern Shore 34.8% -1.45 9 1
254 Coastal Carolina 34.6% -1.46 9 1
255 Kent State 33.3% -1.56 8 1
256 Lipscomb 33.3% -1.56 8 2
257 Rider 33.3% -1.56 8 1
258 Maryland 32.4% -1.63 7 1
259 Northeastern 32.3% -1.64 7 1
260 UNC Asheville 32.3% -1.64 6 1
261 Lafayette 32.0% -1.66 6 1
262 Ball State 31.3% -1.72 6 1
263 Boston University 31.3% -1.72 5 1
264 Buffalo 30.4% -1.78 5 1
265 Denver 30.4% -1.78 5 1
266 Eastern Washington 30.4% -1.78 4 1
267 North Florida 29.6% -1.84 4 1
268 Wagner 29.4% -1.86 4 1
269 Tulane 29.0% -1.89 3 1
270 Miami 28.6% -1.92 3 1
271 Navy 28.6% -1.92 3 1
272 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 28.6% -1.92 2 1
273 Florida Atlantic 28.0% -1.97 2 1
274 Little Rock 28.0% -1.97 1 1
275 LSU New Orleans 26.7% -2.07 1 1
276 Oakland 25.0% -2.20 1 1
277 Coppin State 21.1% -2.50 0 1
278 Bethune-Cookman 20.0% -2.58 0 1