This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
← Scoring

Scoring Volatility

How much a team's game margins swing — the standard deviation of margin.

Sample standard deviation of per-game scoring margin. Low volatility means consistent performances; high volatility means blowouts mixed with duds, which makes a team's record less predictive.

Lower is better  ·  league avg 14.4  ·  as of 2026-04-07

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 8.6 max 21.4 mean 14.4 std 2.4 (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Volatility z Pctl GP
1 Jacksonville State 8.6 -2.45 100 29
2 Montana State 8.7 -2.41 100 29
3 Massachusetts 8.7 -2.39 99 32
4 Northern Colorado 9.8 -1.93 99 29
5 Stephen F. Austin 9.9 -1.90 99 32
6 IU Indianapolis 10.0 -1.85 99 30
7 South Carolina Upstate 10.3 -1.74 98 29
8 SE Louisiana 10.4 -1.68 98 30
9 Buffalo 10.4 -1.67 98 30
10 Seattle U 10.5 -1.66 98 33
11 UTEP 10.6 -1.59 97 28
12 Utah Tech 10.7 -1.57 97 31
13 Lehigh 10.7 -1.56 97 33
14 UC San Diego 10.7 -1.56 96 32
15 Utah 10.8 -1.53 96 32
16 Long Beach State 10.8 -1.53 96 30
17 Northeastern 10.8 -1.51 96 31
18 Maine 10.9 -1.49 95 31
19 Missouri State 10.9 -1.47 95 31
20 Monmouth 11.0 -1.45 95 33
21 Toledo 11.0 -1.44 95 32
22 Seton Hall 11.0 -1.43 94 33
23 Kansas City 11.0 -1.42 94 28
24 UC Irvine 11.0 -1.42 94 33
25 Portland State 11.1 -1.41 93 28
26 Eastern Kentucky 11.1 -1.40 93 30
27 Miami (OH) 11.1 -1.39 93 31
28 Kennesaw State 11.2 -1.37 93 32
29 UNC Wilmington 11.2 -1.36 92 32
30 Southern Miss 11.3 -1.32 92 33
31 St. Bonaventure 11.3 -1.32 92 33
32 Boston University 11.3 -1.32 91 33
33 UT Arlington 11.3 -1.31 91 30
34 North Texas 11.3 -1.30 91 31
35 James Madison 11.3 -1.29 91 32
36 Wagner 11.4 -1.26 90 28
37 Georgetown 11.4 -1.25 90 34
38 Brown 11.5 -1.25 90 25
39 South Alabama 11.5 -1.24 90 31
40 Vermont 11.5 -1.22 89 32
41 Siena 11.5 -1.21 89 35
42 Furman 11.6 -1.20 89 32
43 Colgate 11.6 -1.18 88 31
44 Hofstra 11.6 -1.17 88 33
45 Loyola Chicago 11.6 -1.17 88 33
46 Northwestern State 11.6 -1.17 88 30
47 North Alabama 11.7 -1.15 87 28
48 Boston College 11.7 -1.13 87 31
49 Austin Peay 11.7 -1.13 87 29
50 Lamar 11.7 -1.13 87 29
51 Binghamton 11.7 -1.13 86 28
52 New Mexico State 11.8 -1.11 86 29
53 Southern Illinois 11.9 -1.08 86 31
54 Charlotte 11.9 -1.06 85 33
55 Houston Christian 11.9 -1.06 85 30
56 Georgia Southern 11.9 -1.05 85 35
57 Northern Arizona 12.1 -1.00 85 29
58 Central Connecticut 12.1 -0.99 84 28
59 North Carolina A&T 12.1 -0.97 84 28
60 VMI 12.1 -0.97 84 29
61 Temple 12.2 -0.95 84 31
62 Incarnate Word 12.2 -0.95 83 28
63 Stony Brook 12.2 -0.95 83 30
64 UC Santa Barbara 12.2 -0.95 83 30
65 Fordham 12.2 -0.94 82 29
66 Omaha 12.2 -0.93 82 29
67 Stanford 12.3 -0.91 82 33
68 Charleston 12.3 -0.90 82 31
69 UC Davis 12.3 -0.90 81 31
70 Chattanooga 12.3 -0.89 81 29
71 Middle Tennessee 12.3 -0.88 81 29
72 Wright State 12.3 -0.88 80 33
73 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 12.3 -0.88 80 29
74 San Diego 12.4 -0.87 80 31
75 UNC Asheville 12.4 -0.86 80 29
76 Elon 12.4 -0.86 79 30
77 Robert Morris 12.4 -0.86 79 31
78 Old Dominion 12.4 -0.86 79 32
79 Harvard 12.5 -0.82 79 28
80 Saint Joseph's 12.5 -0.82 78 34
81 Winthrop 12.5 -0.81 78 31
82 Sacramento State 12.5 -0.81 78 28
83 Lafayette 12.5 -0.80 77 31
84 Sam Houston 12.5 -0.80 77 31
85 George Mason 12.6 -0.78 77 32
86 Rider 12.6 -0.77 77 28
87 Nicholls 12.6 -0.75 76 32
88 SIU Edwardsville 12.7 -0.74 76 29
89 Belmont 12.7 -0.74 76 31
90 California Baptist 12.7 -0.72 76 34
91 Stonehill 12.7 -0.71 75 31
92 UT Rio Grande Valley 12.8 -0.71 75 31
93 Texas State 12.8 -0.69 75 30
94 Milwaukee 12.8 -0.67 74 31
95 Fairleigh Dickinson 12.9 -0.65 74 29
96 Southern Indiana 12.9 -0.64 74 28
97 Cal State Bakersfield 12.9 -0.63 74 30
98 Idaho State 12.9 -0.63 73 30
99 Saint Peter's 12.9 -0.63 73 28
100 Duquesne 13.0 -0.62 73 31
101 Nevada 13.0 -0.62 73 37
102 Longwood 13.0 -0.61 72 29
103 Youngstown State 13.0 -0.60 72 29
104 Western Illinois 13.0 -0.59 72 28
105 Mercyhurst 13.1 -0.57 71 32
106 Drexel 13.1 -0.57 71 32
107 Louisiana 13.1 -0.56 71 33
108 Wichita State 13.1 -0.56 71 35
109 Holy Cross 13.1 -0.55 70 31
110 Army 13.1 -0.55 70 30
111 Valparaiso 13.1 -0.54 70 32
112 Ole Miss 13.2 -0.54 70 35
113 UTSA 13.2 -0.53 69 28
114 Indiana State 13.2 -0.53 69 30
115 Kent State 13.2 -0.52 69 32
116 Troy 13.2 -0.50 68 32
117 Northern Iowa 13.3 -0.49 68 35
118 Detroit Mercy 13.3 -0.48 68 30
119 VCU 13.3 -0.47 68 36
120 Western Kentucky 13.3 -0.47 67 30
121 Pennsylvania 13.4 -0.43 67 29
122 Fresno State 13.4 -0.43 67 31
123 San José State 13.5 -0.41 66 32
124 Arizona 13.5 -0.41 66 39
125 Northern Kentucky 13.5 -0.41 66 31
126 Rhode Island 13.5 -0.41 66 32
127 Evansville 13.5 -0.40 65 30
128 Quinnipiac 13.5 -0.39 65 31
129 Yale 13.5 -0.39 65 29
130 Weber State 13.5 -0.39 65 30
131 Florida International 13.5 -0.38 64 29
132 Providence 13.5 -0.38 64 33
133 Purdue Fort Wayne 13.6 -0.37 64 29
134 Georgia State 13.6 -0.36 63 30
135 Loyola Maryland 13.6 -0.36 63 30
136 Fairfield 13.6 -0.36 63 33
137 UNC Greensboro 13.6 -0.35 63 32
138 Rice 13.6 -0.35 62 29
139 Ohio 13.6 -0.35 62 30
140 Ball State 13.7 -0.31 62 29
141 App State 13.7 -0.31 62 30
142 Cleveland State 13.7 -0.30 61 30
143 Manhattan 13.7 -0.30 61 31
144 Washington State 13.7 -0.29 61 31
145 Southeast Missouri State 13.8 -0.29 60 30
146 Michigan State 13.8 -0.29 60 35
147 Wofford 13.8 -0.28 60 30
148 Delaware 13.8 -0.27 60 30
149 Grand Canyon 13.8 -0.27 59 32
150 Montana 13.8 -0.27 59 30
151 Utah Valley 13.8 -0.27 59 31
152 Saint Mary's 13.8 -0.26 59 32
153 Hampton 13.8 -0.26 58 30
154 Coastal Carolina 13.8 -0.25 58 31
155 Morehead State 13.8 -0.25 58 30
156 Tarleton State 13.9 -0.25 57 28
157 UIC 13.9 -0.24 57 33
158 Virginia Tech 13.9 -0.24 57 32
159 Princeton 13.9 -0.23 57 28
160 Liberty 13.9 -0.21 56 31
161 Florida Atlantic 13.9 -0.21 56 31
162 Nebraska 14.0 -0.19 56 35
163 Sacred Heart 14.0 -0.19 55 32
164 Grambling 14.0 -0.18 55 31
165 St. Thomas-Minnesota 14.0 -0.17 55 31
166 Abilene Christian 14.0 -0.17 55 30
167 UL Monroe 14.0 -0.17 54 30
168 Idaho 14.0 -0.17 54 33
169 Georgia Tech 14.1 -0.16 54 31
170 Bradley 14.1 -0.15 54 33
171 Niagara 14.1 -0.15 53 29
172 Norfolk State 14.1 -0.15 53 28
173 Long Island University 14.1 -0.15 53 35
174 Gardner-Webb 14.1 -0.15 52 30
175 Pepperdine 14.1 -0.14 52 30
176 Dartmouth 14.1 -0.13 52 25
177 Tulsa 14.1 -0.13 52 36
178 William & Mary 14.1 -0.13 51 30
179 South Florida 14.2 -0.11 51 33
180 Air Force 14.2 -0.11 51 32
181 Bellarmine 14.2 -0.11 51 30
182 Dayton 14.2 -0.10 50 37
183 Mercer 14.2 -0.09 50 29
184 Richmond 14.2 -0.09 50 31
185 Towson 14.2 -0.09 49 32
186 East Tennessee State 14.3 -0.07 49 32
187 Bryant 14.3 -0.07 49 29
188 North Dakota State 14.3 -0.07 49 32
189 Akron 14.3 -0.07 48 33
190 Samford 14.3 -0.05 48 30
191 Delaware State 14.3 -0.04 48 27
192 Villanova 14.4 -0.04 48 33
193 San Francisco 14.4 -0.04 47 32
194 Eastern Washington 14.4 -0.03 47 32
195 Denver 14.4 -0.02 47 29
196 West Georgia 14.4 -0.01 46 30
197 New Mexico 14.5 +0.01 46 36
198 Oral Roberts 14.5 +0.01 46 30
199 Memphis 14.5 +0.01 46 32
200 Charleston Southern 14.5 +0.02 45 29
201 UAB 14.5 +0.02 45 31
202 UConn 14.5 +0.03 45 40
203 South Dakota 14.5 +0.04 45 29
204 Southern 14.5 +0.04 44 31
205 Eastern Illinois 14.5 +0.04 44 30
206 Virginia 14.6 +0.04 44 36
207 Chicago State 14.6 +0.05 43 31
208 UT Martin 14.6 +0.06 43 30
209 Presbyterian 14.6 +0.07 43 30
210 Clemson 14.6 +0.08 43 35
211 New Hampshire 14.7 +0.10 42 28
212 Cal State Northridge 14.7 +0.11 42 32
213 Merrimack 14.7 +0.12 42 34
214 Davidson 14.8 +0.14 41 32
215 Oregon State 14.8 +0.14 41 33
216 East Carolina 14.8 +0.14 41 30
217 Florida Gulf Coast 14.8 +0.16 41 32
218 La Salle 14.8 +0.17 40 31
219 Washington 14.9 +0.17 40 33
220 Marist 14.9 +0.17 40 30
221 Drake 14.9 +0.18 40 32
222 North Dakota 14.9 +0.18 39 32
223 The Citadel 14.9 +0.18 39 30
224 North Florida 14.9 +0.20 39 30
225 Cal Poly 15.0 +0.23 38 31
226 Marshall 15.0 +0.23 38 31
227 Green Bay 15.0 +0.24 38 31
228 UAlbany 15.0 +0.24 38 29
229 Santa Clara 15.1 +0.25 37 34
230 UCF 15.1 +0.25 37 33
231 Tulane 15.1 +0.27 37 32
232 Notre Dame 15.1 +0.27 37 31
233 Colorado State 15.1 +0.28 36 33
234 Eastern Michigan 15.1 +0.29 36 30
235 Mount St. Mary's 15.2 +0.30 36 31
236 California 15.2 +0.30 35 33
237 Le Moyne 15.2 +0.31 35 31
238 Cal State Fullerton 15.2 +0.31 35 32
239 Little Rock 15.2 +0.31 35 30
240 Michigan 15.2 +0.33 34 40
241 Florida A&M 15.3 +0.34 34 29
242 Saint Francis 15.3 +0.36 34 29
243 Iona 15.3 +0.37 34 32
244 Louisiana Tech 15.4 +0.38 33 31
245 St. John's 15.4 +0.39 33 37
246 New Orleans 15.4 +0.40 33 33
247 Radford 15.4 +0.41 32 29
248 Oklahoma State 15.4 +0.42 32 35
249 Houston 15.5 +0.43 32 37
250 Rutgers 15.5 +0.45 32 34
251 Purdue 15.5 +0.45 31 39
252 Boise State 15.5 +0.45 31 30
253 Jacksonville 15.6 +0.47 31 30
254 Arkansas State 15.6 +0.48 30 30
255 Ohio State 15.6 +0.48 30 34
256 TCU 15.6 +0.49 30 35
257 Tennessee State 15.6 +0.49 30 30
258 San Diego State 15.6 +0.49 29 32
259 Arizona State 15.7 +0.50 29 33
260 Portland 15.7 +0.51 29 32
261 Marquette 15.7 +0.52 29 32
262 Duke 15.7 +0.54 28 38
263 Western Michigan 15.7 +0.54 28 29
264 American University 15.8 +0.55 28 30
265 George Washington 15.8 +0.56 27 34
266 Oakland 15.8 +0.58 27 31
267 Kansas 15.8 +0.58 27 35
268 McNeese 15.9 +0.59 27 32
269 UMBC 15.9 +0.59 26 31
270 Utah State 15.9 +0.59 26 35
271 Xavier 15.9 +0.59 26 33
272 Canisius 15.9 +0.61 26 30
273 UC Riverside 15.9 +0.61 25 30
274 Bucknell 15.9 +0.61 25 33
275 Murray State 15.9 +0.62 25 33
276 DePaul 15.9 +0.63 24 32
277 Alabama 16.0 +0.64 24 35
278 Campbell 16.0 +0.64 24 32
279 UCLA 16.0 +0.64 24 36
280 Mississippi Valley State 16.0 +0.64 23 32
281 New Haven 16.0 +0.65 23 28
282 Bowling Green 16.0 +0.66 23 29
283 Columbia 16.0 +0.67 23 26
284 Navy 16.0 +0.67 22 32
285 Vanderbilt 16.1 +0.68 22 36
286 High Point 16.1 +0.68 22 33
287 Colorado 16.1 +0.69 21 33
288 Oregon 16.1 +0.70 21 32
289 Loyola Marymount 16.2 +0.71 21 31
290 North Carolina 16.2 +0.75 21 33
291 SMU 16.3 +0.76 20 34
292 Pacific 16.3 +0.76 20 31
293 Wake Forest 16.3 +0.76 20 35
294 Texas 16.3 +0.78 20 35
295 UNLV 16.4 +0.82 19 34
296 Morgan State 16.4 +0.82 19 27
297 Cincinnati 16.5 +0.85 19 33
298 South Dakota State 16.5 +0.86 18 29
299 East Texas A&M 16.5 +0.87 18 30
300 Lindenwood 16.6 +0.88 18 30
301 Cornell 16.6 +0.90 18 26
302 Wyoming 16.6 +0.90 17 32
303 Stetson 16.6 +0.90 17 31
304 Maryland Eastern Shore 16.6 +0.91 17 30
305 Wisconsin 16.6 +0.91 16 35
306 Miami 16.6 +0.91 16 35
307 USC 16.7 +0.94 16 31
308 Texas Tech 16.7 +0.94 16 34
309 Hawai'i 16.8 +0.96 15 31
310 North Carolina Central 16.8 +0.97 15 28
311 Mississippi State 16.8 +0.99 15 32
312 Oklahoma 16.9 +1.02 15 37
313 BYU 16.9 +1.02 14 35
314 Lipscomb 16.9 +1.02 14 30
315 Northern Illinois 17.0 +1.05 14 28
316 Coppin State 17.0 +1.05 13 30
317 Iowa 17.0 +1.06 13 37
318 Florida 17.1 +1.09 13 35
319 Southern Utah 17.1 +1.11 13 29
320 Alabama A&M 17.1 +1.11 12 30
321 Prairie View A&M 17.1 +1.12 12 33
322 Northwestern 17.2 +1.13 12 34
323 Illinois State 17.3 +1.17 12 35
324 Howard 17.3 +1.19 11 31
325 Illinois 17.4 +1.24 11 37
326 Butler 17.5 +1.25 11 32
327 Tennessee Tech 17.5 +1.27 10 28
328 Minnesota 17.5 +1.28 10 33
329 LSU 17.5 +1.29 10 32
330 West Virginia 17.6 +1.30 10 35
331 Pittsburgh 17.6 +1.32 9 33
332 Auburn 17.6 +1.33 9 38
333 Tennessee 17.6 +1.33 9 37
334 Syracuse 17.7 +1.34 9 32
335 Creighton 17.7 +1.37 8 34
336 Western Carolina 17.8 +1.41 8 29
337 Central Arkansas 17.9 +1.44 8 32
338 Arkansas 18.0 +1.49 7 37
339 South Carolina State 18.1 +1.51 7 30
340 Maryland 18.1 +1.51 7 33
341 Saint Louis 18.2 +1.56 7 34
342 Alabama State 18.2 +1.57 6 31
343 Missouri 18.4 +1.63 6 33
344 South Carolina 18.5 +1.69 6 32
345 Baylor 18.6 +1.73 5 33
346 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 18.6 +1.74 5 30
347 Queens University 18.6 +1.75 5 34
348 UMass Lowell 18.8 +1.80 5 30
349 Alcorn State 19.4 +2.07 4 32
350 Central Michigan 19.4 +2.07 4 29
351 Penn State 19.5 +2.09 4 32
352 Iowa State 19.5 +2.11 4 37
353 NJIT 19.6 +2.15 3 32
354 Texas A&M 20.0 +2.32 3 34
355 Kansas State 20.0 +2.32 3 32
356 Kentucky 20.3 +2.42 2 36
357 Indiana 20.5 +2.52 2 32
358 Bethune-Cookman 20.5 +2.54 2 31
359 Florida State 20.6 +2.56 2 33
360 Gonzaga 20.6 +2.58 1 35
361 Texas Southern 20.7 +2.60 1 28
362 NC State 20.9 +2.70 1 34
363 Georgia 21.1 +2.76 1 33
364 Louisville 21.1 +2.77 0 35
365 Jackson State 21.4 +2.90 0 33