I'm the all night drug prowling wolf who looks so sick in sun / I'm the white man in the Palais "White Man in Hammersmith Palais" - The Clash

Game Outcomes

Each point is a completed game — x: home team's season-to-date value entering the game, y: away team's. home win home loss

Predicts home win: AUC 0.64 (team entering with the better value wins 60% of games)

Based on 5531 of 5752 completed games where both teams entered with a season-to-date value.

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 18.8 max 29.7 mean 24.1 std 1.9 (n=365)

Team Rankings

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# Team Defensive Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Arizona 29.7 +3.01 100 39
2 Michigan 29.3 +2.79 100 40
3 Saint Louis 29.2 +2.78 99 34
4 Florida 29.2 +2.78 99 35
5 Charleston Southern 29.1 +2.71 99 29
6 Kansas 29.0 +2.64 99 35
7 Coastal Carolina 28.5 +2.39 98 31
8 Alabama 28.2 +2.24 98 35
9 Gonzaga 27.9 +2.05 98 35
10 UC Irvine 27.9 +2.05 98 33
11 Cal State Northridge 27.9 +2.05 97 32
12 Duke 27.8 +2.03 97 38
13 Hawai'i 27.8 +1.99 97 31
14 Illinois 27.7 +1.95 96 37
15 Saint Mary's 27.5 +1.86 96 32
16 Providence 27.5 +1.85 96 33
17 North Carolina 27.4 +1.80 96 33
18 UC San Diego 27.4 +1.79 95 32
19 Arkansas State 27.4 +1.77 95 30
20 Michigan State 27.2 +1.70 95 35
21 Northern Colorado 27.1 +1.61 95 29
22 Louisville 27.0 +1.59 94 35
23 Wichita State 27.0 +1.59 94 35
24 Mississippi State 26.9 +1.51 94 32
25 Stonehill 26.9 +1.50 93 31
26 Virginia 26.8 +1.48 93 36
27 South Florida 26.7 +1.43 93 33
28 Oklahoma State 26.7 +1.40 93 35
29 UMBC 26.6 +1.36 92 31
30 UAB 26.6 +1.35 92 31
31 Tennessee 26.6 +1.34 92 37
32 Saint Joseph's 26.6 +1.34 91 34
33 Cal Poly 26.5 +1.33 91 31
34 Le Moyne 26.5 +1.33 91 31
35 Southern Illinois 26.5 +1.33 91 31
36 Florida Atlantic 26.5 +1.31 90 31
37 Pacific 26.5 +1.30 90 31
38 Samford 26.4 +1.27 90 30
39 Belmont 26.4 +1.26 90 31
40 Georgia Tech 26.4 +1.26 89 31
41 Charleston 26.4 +1.24 89 31
42 Furman 26.3 +1.22 89 32
43 Montana 26.3 +1.20 88 30
44 Mount St. Mary's 26.3 +1.19 88 31
45 Tulsa 26.3 +1.17 88 36
46 Winthrop 26.2 +1.16 88 31
47 Cincinnati 26.2 +1.13 87 33
48 California Baptist 26.2 +1.13 87 34
49 App State 26.1 +1.11 87 30
50 UNC Wilmington 26.1 +1.10 87 32
51 South Alabama 26.1 +1.09 86 31
52 Hofstra 26.0 +1.03 86 33
53 James Madison 26.0 +1.03 86 32
54 Nebraska 26.0 +1.02 85 35
55 Idaho 26.0 +1.02 85 33
56 Creighton 25.9 +0.99 85 34
57 Boston College 25.9 +0.98 85 31
58 Grand Canyon 25.9 +0.97 84 32
59 Illinois State 25.9 +0.96 84 35
60 Miami (OH) 25.8 +0.95 84 31
61 BYU 25.8 +0.94 84 35
62 South Dakota State 25.8 +0.94 83 29
63 Kent State 25.8 +0.93 83 32
64 New Mexico 25.7 +0.88 83 36
65 North Carolina A&T 25.7 +0.88 82 28
66 Western Kentucky 25.7 +0.87 82 30
67 Kentucky 25.7 +0.87 82 36
68 Iona 25.7 +0.87 82 32
69 Akron 25.7 +0.85 81 33
70 LSU 25.7 +0.85 81 32
71 Vermont 25.7 +0.85 81 32
72 Marist 25.6 +0.84 80 30
73 California 25.6 +0.82 80 33
74 Notre Dame 25.5 +0.79 80 31
75 Navy 25.5 +0.78 80 32
76 St. John's 25.5 +0.77 79 37
77 VCU 25.4 +0.73 79 36
78 Lindenwood 25.4 +0.73 79 30
79 Butler 25.4 +0.71 79 32
80 New Orleans 25.4 +0.69 78 33
81 Sam Houston 25.4 +0.69 78 31
82 St. Thomas-Minnesota 25.4 +0.69 78 31
83 SMU 25.4 +0.68 77 34
84 William & Mary 25.3 +0.67 77 30
85 Dartmouth 25.3 +0.67 77 25
86 Eastern Michigan 25.3 +0.66 77 30
87 Wisconsin 25.3 +0.65 76 35
88 SIU Edwardsville 25.3 +0.64 76 29
89 Washington 25.3 +0.64 76 33
90 Texas Tech 25.3 +0.64 76 34
91 Drake 25.3 +0.63 75 32
92 Kennesaw State 25.3 +0.63 75 32
93 Texas A&M 25.2 +0.62 75 34
94 New Mexico State 25.2 +0.61 74 29
95 Marshall 25.2 +0.60 74 31
96 Columbia 25.2 +0.60 74 26
97 Bowling Green 25.1 +0.57 74 29
98 Indiana State 25.1 +0.57 73 30
99 Bethune-Cookman 25.1 +0.56 73 31
100 Cal State Fullerton 25.1 +0.56 73 32
101 Arkansas 25.1 +0.55 73 37
102 Omaha 25.1 +0.55 72 29
103 Western Michigan 25.1 +0.53 72 29
104 George Mason 25.1 +0.53 72 32
105 Troy 25.1 +0.53 71 32
106 Fordham 25.0 +0.51 71 29
107 San Diego State 25.0 +0.51 71 32
108 Georgia 25.0 +0.51 71 33
109 Miami 25.0 +0.51 70 35
110 Texas 25.0 +0.51 70 35
111 UT Rio Grande Valley 24.9 +0.46 70 31
112 UCF 24.9 +0.44 70 33
113 Old Dominion 24.9 +0.44 69 32
114 USC 24.9 +0.44 69 31
115 Boise State 24.9 +0.44 69 30
116 Portland State 24.9 +0.44 68 28
117 Nevada 24.9 +0.44 68 37
118 Towson 24.8 +0.41 68 32
119 UT Martin 24.8 +0.40 68 30
120 Massachusetts 24.8 +0.39 67 32
121 San Francisco 24.8 +0.39 67 32
122 Clemson 24.8 +0.37 67 35
123 Middle Tennessee 24.8 +0.36 66 29
124 Northern Iowa 24.7 +0.35 66 35
125 Colgate 24.7 +0.35 66 31
126 Murray State 24.7 +0.35 66 33
127 UConn 24.7 +0.35 65 40
128 NC State 24.7 +0.33 65 34
129 Detroit Mercy 24.7 +0.33 65 30
130 Southern Miss 24.7 +0.31 65 33
131 Colorado 24.6 +0.28 64 33
132 Lipscomb 24.6 +0.28 64 30
133 Vanderbilt 24.6 +0.25 64 36
134 Austin Peay 24.6 +0.25 63 29
135 South Carolina Upstate 24.6 +0.25 63 29
136 Western Carolina 24.6 +0.25 63 29
137 Fresno State 24.5 +0.25 63 31
138 Texas Southern 24.5 +0.24 62 28
139 Sacred Heart 24.5 +0.24 62 32
140 Jacksonville State 24.5 +0.23 62 29
141 Florida Gulf Coast 24.5 +0.22 62 32
142 NJIT 24.5 +0.22 61 32
143 North Dakota State 24.5 +0.22 61 32
144 West Georgia 24.5 +0.21 61 30
145 George Washington 24.4 +0.19 60 34
146 Georgetown 24.4 +0.18 60 34
147 Loyola Marymount 24.4 +0.16 60 31
148 UNC Greensboro 24.4 +0.16 60 32
149 Xavier 24.4 +0.15 59 33
150 Oklahoma 24.3 +0.13 59 37
151 Washington State 24.3 +0.13 59 31
152 West Virginia 24.3 +0.12 59 35
153 Ole Miss 24.3 +0.11 58 35
154 Houston 24.3 +0.10 58 37
155 UC Riverside 24.3 +0.10 58 30
156 Robert Morris 24.3 +0.09 57 31
157 Central Connecticut 24.3 +0.09 57 28
158 Stephen F. Austin 24.3 +0.09 57 32
159 Fairfield 24.2 +0.08 57 33
160 Longwood 24.2 +0.08 56 29
161 Pennsylvania 24.2 +0.08 56 29
162 Central Arkansas 24.2 +0.07 56 32
163 Tennessee Tech 24.2 +0.07 55 28
164 High Point 24.2 +0.07 55 33
165 Indiana 24.2 +0.05 55 32
166 Bradley 24.2 +0.05 55 33
167 Wagner 24.2 +0.05 54 28
168 Richmond 24.2 +0.04 54 31
169 Chattanooga 24.1 +0.03 54 29
170 Yale 24.1 +0.03 54 29
171 Weber State 24.1 +0.03 53 30
172 Louisiana Tech 24.1 +0.02 53 31
173 Siena 24.1 +0.02 53 35
174 UC Santa Barbara 24.1 +0.01 52 30
175 New Hampshire 24.1 -0.01 52 28
176 Mercer 24.1 -0.01 52 29
177 Southern Utah 24.1 -0.01 52 29
178 UMass Lowell 24.1 -0.01 51 30
179 Valparaiso 24.1 -0.01 51 32
180 Quinnipiac 24.0 -0.03 51 31
181 Dayton 24.0 -0.03 51 37
182 Drexel 24.0 -0.05 50 32
183 Ohio State 24.0 -0.05 50 34
184 UT Arlington 24.0 -0.05 50 30
185 Missouri 24.0 -0.06 49 33
186 East Tennessee State 24.0 -0.06 49 32
187 Purdue 23.9 -0.07 49 39
188 Duquesne 23.9 -0.08 49 31
189 Binghamton 23.9 -0.09 48 28
190 Delaware 23.9 -0.10 48 30
191 Syracuse 23.9 -0.11 48 32
192 Georgia State 23.9 -0.12 48 30
193 East Carolina 23.8 -0.14 47 30
194 Presbyterian 23.8 -0.14 47 30
195 Radford 23.8 -0.14 47 29
196 Boston University 23.8 -0.14 46 33
197 Florida State 23.8 -0.14 46 33
198 Loyola Chicago 23.8 -0.14 46 33
199 Oregon State 23.8 -0.14 46 33
200 Oral Roberts 23.8 -0.15 45 30
201 Wofford 23.8 -0.15 45 30
202 Southern Indiana 23.8 -0.16 45 28
203 UC Davis 23.8 -0.17 45 31
204 Alabama A&M 23.8 -0.17 44 30
205 Stony Brook 23.8 -0.17 44 30
206 Memphis 23.8 -0.18 44 32
207 Virginia Tech 23.8 -0.18 43 32
208 Oakland 23.7 -0.19 43 31
209 Portland 23.7 -0.20 43 32
210 UNLV 23.7 -0.21 43 34
211 Baylor 23.7 -0.21 42 33
212 Cornell 23.7 -0.21 42 26
213 Florida International 23.7 -0.21 42 29
214 Harvard 23.7 -0.22 41 28
215 Texas State 23.7 -0.23 41 30
216 UNC Asheville 23.7 -0.23 41 29
217 Southeast Missouri State 23.6 -0.24 41 30
218 Howard 23.6 -0.26 40 31
219 Kansas State 23.6 -0.27 40 32
220 Wright State 23.6 -0.28 40 33
221 Loyola Maryland 23.6 -0.28 40 30
222 Utah 23.6 -0.28 39 32
223 TCU 23.5 -0.29 39 35
224 Lehigh 23.5 -0.31 39 33
225 Monmouth 23.5 -0.31 38 33
226 Long Island University 23.5 -0.31 38 35
227 Princeton 23.5 -0.32 38 28
228 Iowa State 23.5 -0.32 38 37
229 Lafayette 23.5 -0.33 37 31
230 Lamar 23.5 -0.33 37 29
231 Brown 23.5 -0.33 37 25
232 Tennessee State 23.5 -0.33 37 30
233 Utah Valley 23.5 -0.34 36 31
234 Charlotte 23.4 -0.36 36 33
235 Morehead State 23.4 -0.39 36 30
236 St. Bonaventure 23.4 -0.39 35 33
237 Utah Tech 23.4 -0.40 35 31
238 Utah State 23.3 -0.42 35 35
239 South Carolina 23.3 -0.42 35 32
240 Wyoming 23.3 -0.42 34 32
241 Florida A&M 23.3 -0.42 34 29
242 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 23.3 -0.42 34 29
243 Colorado State 23.3 -0.42 34 33
244 Long Beach State 23.3 -0.42 33 30
245 Alabama State 23.3 -0.43 33 31
246 Holy Cross 23.3 -0.43 33 31
247 Auburn 23.3 -0.43 32 38
248 South Dakota 23.3 -0.44 32 29
249 Seton Hall 23.3 -0.44 32 33
250 Army 23.3 -0.44 32 30
251 Temple 23.3 -0.45 31 31
252 Sacramento State 23.3 -0.45 31 28
253 Rice 23.2 -0.46 31 29
254 Maryland 23.2 -0.47 30 33
255 UIC 23.2 -0.47 30 33
256 Elon 23.2 -0.48 30 30
257 Oregon 23.2 -0.49 30 32
258 Wake Forest 23.2 -0.49 29 35
259 Mercyhurst 23.2 -0.50 29 32
260 Montana State 23.1 -0.51 29 29
261 Milwaukee 23.1 -0.52 29 31
262 Marquette 23.1 -0.52 28 32
263 Ohio 23.1 -0.53 28 30
264 Green Bay 23.1 -0.53 28 31
265 North Texas 23.1 -0.55 27 31
266 Seattle U 23.1 -0.55 27 33
267 Queens University 23.1 -0.56 27 34
268 Denver 23.0 -0.57 27 29
269 East Texas A&M 23.0 -0.57 26 30
270 Southern 23.0 -0.57 26 31
271 Prairie View A&M 23.0 -0.57 26 33
272 Arizona State 23.0 -0.59 26 33
273 Davidson 23.0 -0.59 25 32
274 New Haven 23.0 -0.59 25 28
275 Toledo 23.0 -0.59 25 32
276 Tulane 23.0 -0.59 24 32
277 DePaul 23.0 -0.60 24 32
278 Eastern Kentucky 23.0 -0.60 24 30
279 Georgia Southern 22.9 -0.62 24 35
280 Cal State Bakersfield 22.9 -0.62 23 30
281 Canisius 22.9 -0.62 23 30
282 Evansville 22.9 -0.62 23 30
283 UTSA 22.9 -0.64 23 28
284 Bryant 22.8 -0.70 22 29
285 Youngstown State 22.8 -0.70 22 29
286 Villanova 22.8 -0.72 22 33
287 Stanford 22.7 -0.73 21 33
288 Hampton 22.7 -0.77 21 30
289 Pittsburgh 22.7 -0.77 21 33
290 Jackson State 22.6 -0.78 21 33
291 North Florida 22.6 -0.80 20 30
292 Morgan State 22.6 -0.81 20 27
293 Grambling 22.6 -0.81 20 31
294 Northern Kentucky 22.6 -0.81 20 31
295 Stetson 22.6 -0.81 19 31
296 Minnesota 22.5 -0.83 19 33
297 Pepperdine 22.5 -0.84 19 30
298 UL Monroe 22.5 -0.87 18 30
299 UTEP 22.5 -0.88 18 28
300 Fairleigh Dickinson 22.4 -0.88 18 29
301 Santa Clara 22.4 -0.90 18 34
302 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 22.3 -0.95 17 30
303 Buffalo 22.3 -0.95 17 30
304 Norfolk State 22.3 -0.95 17 28
305 Rhode Island 22.3 -0.96 16 32
306 Campbell 22.3 -0.98 16 32
307 La Salle 22.3 -0.99 16 31
308 Liberty 22.3 -0.99 16 31
309 UCLA 22.3 -0.99 15 36
310 Bucknell 22.2 -1.00 15 33
311 Little Rock 22.2 -1.00 15 30
312 Missouri State 22.2 -1.01 15 31
313 North Alabama 22.2 -1.03 14 28
314 Rutgers 22.2 -1.03 14 34
315 Northern Illinois 22.1 -1.05 14 28
316 Northwestern State 22.1 -1.07 13 30
317 Manhattan 22.1 -1.09 13 31
318 Air Force 22.1 -1.09 13 32
319 Kansas City 22.0 -1.11 13 28
320 Northeastern 22.0 -1.11 12 31
321 Jacksonville 22.0 -1.15 12 30
322 The Citadel 21.9 -1.16 12 30
323 Central Michigan 21.9 -1.16 12 29
324 UAlbany 21.9 -1.16 11 29
325 Rider 21.9 -1.17 11 28
326 Idaho State 21.9 -1.18 11 30
327 Eastern Washington 21.9 -1.19 10 32
328 Eastern Illinois 21.9 -1.20 10 30
329 Cleveland State 21.8 -1.22 10 30
330 North Dakota 21.8 -1.23 10 32
331 Gardner-Webb 21.8 -1.24 9 30
332 Ball State 21.8 -1.26 9 29
333 Saint Peter's 21.8 -1.26 9 28
334 McNeese 21.7 -1.28 9 32
335 SE Louisiana 21.5 -1.38 8 30
336 Maryland Eastern Shore 21.5 -1.40 8 30
337 Maine 21.5 -1.42 8 31
338 Northwestern 21.4 -1.44 7 34
339 Houston Christian 21.3 -1.49 7 30
340 American University 21.3 -1.51 7 30
341 VMI 21.2 -1.56 7 29
342 Incarnate Word 21.1 -1.59 6 28
343 Niagara 21.1 -1.59 6 29
344 Northern Arizona 21.1 -1.59 6 29
345 Purdue Fort Wayne 21.1 -1.59 5 29
346 Mississippi Valley State 21.1 -1.62 5 32
347 Western Illinois 21.0 -1.67 5 28
348 Coppin State 21.0 -1.69 5 30
349 Bellarmine 20.9 -1.74 4 30
350 San Diego 20.8 -1.75 4 31
351 Saint Francis 20.8 -1.78 4 29
352 Delaware State 20.8 -1.79 4 27
353 Alcorn State 20.8 -1.80 3 32
354 IU Indianapolis 20.7 -1.85 3 30
355 Penn State 20.7 -1.85 3 32
356 Tarleton State 20.6 -1.90 2 28
357 Merrimack 20.6 -1.91 2 34
358 Louisiana 20.5 -1.93 2 33
359 Iowa 20.5 -1.94 2 37
360 Nicholls 20.3 -2.04 1 32
361 Chicago State 20.1 -2.14 1 31
362 North Carolina Central 20.1 -2.17 1 28
363 Abilene Christian 19.6 -2.41 1 30
364 South Carolina State 19.5 -2.48 0 30
365 San José State 18.8 -2.87 0 32