This will be our year, took a long time to come "This Will Be Our Year" - The Zombies
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Turnover Rate

Share of possessions that end in a turnover.

Season turnovers ÷ season possessions. Possessions aren't in the box score, so they're estimated as FGA − OffReb + TO + 0.475×FTA (the standard estimator).

Lower is better  ·  league avg 17.3%  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.59 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 12.6% max 25.1% mean 17.3% std 2.0% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Turnover Rate z Pctl GP
1 South Dakota 12.6% -2.37 100 30
2 North Alabama 12.8% -2.29 100 33
3 Ole Miss 12.9% -2.22 99 36
4 Alabama State 13.1% -2.11 99 35
5 UC San Diego 13.4% -1.96 99 33
6 Gonzaga 13.5% -1.94 99 35
7 Toledo 13.6% -1.86 98 32
8 Auburn 13.6% -1.85 98 38
9 Marquette 13.6% -1.84 98 34
10 Iowa 13.7% -1.81 98 33
11 St. Thomas-Minnesota 13.7% -1.79 97 31
12 UAB 13.8% -1.78 97 36
13 Purdue Fort Wayne 13.8% -1.75 97 30
14 Merrimack 13.9% -1.73 96 33
15 Eastern Kentucky 13.9% -1.73 96 30
16 Wisconsin 14.0% -1.68 96 37
17 Valparaiso 14.0% -1.67 96 32
18 Duke 14.0% -1.67 95 39
19 Houston 14.2% -1.58 95 40
20 Texas Tech 14.2% -1.56 95 37
21 Maryland 14.3% -1.51 94 36
22 Army 14.3% -1.49 94 31
23 Texas 14.4% -1.47 94 35
24 NC State 14.4% -1.47 94 31
25 Yale 14.5% -1.42 93 29
26 Vanderbilt 14.5% -1.40 93 33
27 South Alabama 14.6% -1.38 93 30
28 Towson 14.6% -1.37 93 32
29 Davidson 14.6% -1.37 92 32
30 Arkansas State 14.6% -1.36 92 35
31 Austin Peay 14.7% -1.31 92 31
32 Chattanooga 14.7% -1.29 91 36
33 Lipscomb 14.8% -1.27 91 33
34 Pittsburgh 14.8% -1.26 91 32
35 UNC Asheville 14.8% -1.26 91 28
36 Northwestern 14.9% -1.21 90 33
37 Saint Mary's 15.0% -1.18 90 34
38 North Florida 15.0% -1.17 90 30
39 Kentucky 15.0% -1.16 90 36
40 Ohio 15.0% -1.16 89 31
41 Charlotte 15.1% -1.12 89 32
42 North Carolina 15.1% -1.12 89 37
43 Montana State 15.1% -1.09 88 32
44 Northern Arizona 15.2% -1.08 88 30
45 Loyola Marymount 15.2% -1.05 88 31
46 Mississippi State 15.2% -1.04 88 34
47 Princeton 15.3% -1.03 87 28
48 Nicholls 15.3% -1.03 87 30
49 St. John's 15.3% -1.01 87 36
50 Villanova 15.3% -1.01 87 36
51 High Point 15.3% -1.00 86 33
52 UNC Greensboro 15.4% -0.96 86 29
53 North Carolina A&T 15.4% -0.95 86 31
54 Richmond 15.4% -0.95 85 30
55 Liberty 15.4% -0.94 85 32
56 Rutgers 15.4% -0.94 85 32
57 Columbia 15.4% -0.93 85 25
58 New Mexico State 15.5% -0.91 84 29
59 Southeast Missouri State 15.5% -0.91 84 30
60 Maine 15.5% -0.91 84 32
61 La Salle 15.5% -0.90 83 32
62 Fairfield 15.5% -0.90 83 31
63 Western Kentucky 15.5% -0.89 83 30
64 Dayton 15.5% -0.89 83 33
65 Ohio State 15.5% -0.89 82 32
66 Missouri 15.5% -0.88 82 34
67 North Dakota State 15.5% -0.88 82 29
68 UTSA 15.6% -0.87 82 29
69 East Carolina 15.6% -0.87 81 31
70 Cincinnati 15.6% -0.87 81 35
71 Xavier 15.6% -0.87 81 34
72 Nevada 15.6% -0.86 80 33
73 Omaha 15.6% -0.86 80 33
74 Stanford 15.6% -0.84 80 35
75 Lehigh 15.7% -0.82 80 28
76 New Mexico 15.7% -0.81 79 34
77 IU Indianapolis 15.7% -0.80 79 29
78 UAlbany 15.7% -0.78 79 31
79 Purdue 15.7% -0.78 79 36
80 Florida 15.7% -0.78 78 40
81 Temple 15.8% -0.77 78 31
82 Campbell 15.8% -0.75 78 30
83 Baylor 15.8% -0.73 77 34
84 Western Michigan 15.8% -0.73 77 31
85 Clemson 15.9% -0.72 77 34
86 Jacksonville State 15.9% -0.71 77 33
87 Northern Colorado 15.9% -0.70 76 32
88 Belmont 15.9% -0.70 76 32
89 UCLA 15.9% -0.68 76 34
90 UMBC 15.9% -0.68 75 29
91 St. Bonaventure 15.9% -0.68 75 33
92 Miami 15.9% -0.68 75 31
93 Illinois State 15.9% -0.68 75 35
94 Northern Iowa 16.0% -0.67 74 32
95 Hampton 16.0% -0.66 74 30
96 UC Riverside 16.0% -0.66 74 32
97 Tulane 16.0% -0.66 74 32
98 James Madison 16.0% -0.65 73 29
99 Illinois 16.0% -0.64 73 35
100 UNC Wilmington 16.1% -0.62 73 33
101 Louisiana 16.1% -0.62 72 32
102 Utah State 16.1% -0.62 72 33
103 Arizona 16.1% -0.61 72 37
104 Massachusetts 16.1% -0.60 72 31
105 Pepperdine 16.1% -0.59 71 34
106 East Tennessee State 16.1% -0.58 71 30
107 UNLV 16.1% -0.58 71 33
108 Dartmouth 16.1% -0.58 71 26
109 Tennessee 16.1% -0.57 70 38
110 Montana 16.1% -0.57 70 32
111 Nebraska 16.2% -0.57 70 35
112 Charleston 16.2% -0.56 69 32
113 Navy 16.2% -0.56 69 33
114 Butler 16.2% -0.55 69 35
115 Monmouth 16.2% -0.55 69 33
116 Oral Roberts 16.2% -0.54 68 26
117 Presbyterian 16.2% -0.54 68 30
118 West Virginia 16.2% -0.54 68 32
119 Northern Illinois 16.2% -0.53 67 28
120 Florida Gulf Coast 16.2% -0.52 67 33
121 West Georgia 16.3% -0.52 67 30
122 McNeese 16.3% -0.52 67 33
123 Louisville 16.3% -0.51 66 35
124 South Florida 16.3% -0.51 66 31
125 Arkansas 16.3% -0.51 66 36
126 Oregon 16.3% -0.49 66 35
127 Wichita State 16.3% -0.48 65 33
128 Ball State 16.3% -0.47 65 28
129 Bryant 16.3% -0.47 65 33
130 Florida Atlantic 16.4% -0.46 64 33
131 Pennsylvania 16.4% -0.46 64 27
132 Idaho State 16.4% -0.46 64 27
133 Michigan State 16.4% -0.46 64 37
134 Virginia 16.4% -0.45 63 32
135 Saint Joseph's 16.4% -0.43 63 35
136 Akron 16.4% -0.43 63 33
137 Mercyhurst 16.4% -0.43 63 28
138 Boise State 16.5% -0.42 62 36
139 Marshall 16.5% -0.41 62 31
140 North Dakota 16.5% -0.38 62 30
141 Notre Dame 16.6% -0.37 61 33
142 Delaware 16.6% -0.36 61 34
143 California 16.6% -0.36 61 33
144 UTEP 16.6% -0.35 61 30
145 Lafayette 16.6% -0.35 60 32
146 Minnesota 16.6% -0.34 60 32
147 Alabama 16.6% -0.34 60 37
148 Mercer 16.6% -0.33 60 31
149 Oregon State 16.6% -0.33 59 32
150 UCF 16.6% -0.33 59 37
151 Middle Tennessee 16.6% -0.32 59 32
152 Manhattan 16.7% -0.31 58 30
153 Indiana 16.7% -0.30 58 32
154 San Francisco 16.7% -0.29 58 34
155 Wake Forest 16.7% -0.28 58 32
156 North Texas 16.7% -0.28 57 34
157 Prairie View A&M 16.7% -0.28 57 31
158 San Diego State 16.7% -0.28 57 30
159 Santa Clara 16.8% -0.25 56 34
160 Cornell 16.8% -0.25 56 27
161 Colgate 16.8% -0.23 56 32
162 Tulsa 16.8% -0.23 56 31
163 VCU 16.8% -0.23 55 34
164 Murray State 16.8% -0.22 55 32
165 Weber State 16.9% -0.21 55 31
166 Kansas 16.9% -0.19 55 34
167 American University 16.9% -0.19 54 33
168 App State 16.9% -0.19 54 29
169 Old Dominion 16.9% -0.19 54 33
170 UConn 16.9% -0.18 53 35
171 Seattle U 16.9% -0.17 53 30
172 Georgia State 16.9% -0.17 53 32
173 Wofford 17.0% -0.15 53 33
174 Georgetown 17.0% -0.14 52 34
175 Furman 17.0% -0.11 52 32
176 Fairleigh Dickinson 17.1% -0.10 52 30
177 Iowa State 17.1% -0.10 52 35
178 UL Monroe 17.1% -0.08 51 30
179 Siena 17.1% -0.08 51 32
180 Rider 17.1% -0.08 51 33
181 Brown 17.1% -0.07 50 26
182 Southern Indiana 17.2% -0.04 50 28
183 Colorado State 17.2% -0.04 50 36
184 Kent State 17.2% -0.03 50 34
185 SIU Edwardsville 17.2% -0.03 49 31
186 Central Connecticut 17.2% -0.03 49 30
187 San José State 17.2% -0.02 49 33
188 Loyola Chicago 17.2% -0.01 48 36
189 Boston College 17.3% -0.01 48 31
190 Northern Kentucky 17.3% +0.00 48 31
191 Oklahoma 17.3% +0.01 48 34
192 Utah Valley 17.3% +0.01 47 32
193 Vermont 17.3% +0.02 47 31
194 BYU 17.3% +0.02 47 35
195 SE Louisiana 17.3% +0.03 47 30
196 SMU 17.3% +0.03 46 35
197 Georgia Tech 17.4% +0.04 46 34
198 Bellarmine 17.4% +0.05 46 29
199 Penn State 17.4% +0.06 45 31
200 Tennessee Tech 17.4% +0.06 45 30
201 Bradley 17.4% +0.06 45 36
202 Miami (OH) 17.5% +0.10 45 32
203 Florida State 17.5% +0.10 44 32
204 Bowling Green 17.5% +0.12 44 29
205 Washington 17.5% +0.13 44 30
206 Incarnate Word 17.5% +0.14 44 32
207 TCU 17.5% +0.14 43 31
208 Arizona State 17.6% +0.15 43 33
209 UIC 17.6% +0.17 43 29
210 Fresno State 17.6% +0.17 42 32
211 South Dakota State 17.6% +0.18 42 29
212 Loyola Maryland 17.6% +0.18 42 30
213 California Baptist 17.6% +0.19 42 32
214 Kansas State 17.7% +0.20 41 32
215 Youngstown State 17.7% +0.20 41 32
216 USC 17.7% +0.20 41 35
217 Hofstra 17.7% +0.21 40 31
218 Winthrop 17.7% +0.21 40 31
219 Central Michigan 17.7% +0.22 40 27
220 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 17.7% +0.24 40 30
221 Sacred Heart 17.8% +0.25 39 32
222 Evansville 17.8% +0.25 39 31
223 Radford 17.8% +0.25 39 31
224 Wright State 17.8% +0.27 39 31
225 Rice 17.8% +0.27 38 31
226 Utah 17.8% +0.28 38 33
227 Texas A&M 17.8% +0.28 38 34
228 Syracuse 17.9% +0.30 37 33
229 Idaho 17.9% +0.30 37 31
230 Rhode Island 17.9% +0.31 37 30
231 Cleveland State 17.9% +0.31 37 33
232 Holy Cross 17.9% +0.32 36 30
233 Creighton 17.9% +0.33 36 36
234 Oakland 17.9% +0.34 36 33
235 Harvard 17.9% +0.34 36 26
236 VMI 18.0% +0.35 35 30
237 NJIT 18.0% +0.36 35 30
238 Lindenwood 18.0% +0.36 35 30
239 Portland 18.0% +0.36 34 30
240 Quinnipiac 18.0% +0.36 34 32
241 Longwood 18.0% +0.36 34 29
242 Morgan State 18.0% +0.37 34 28
243 Houston Christian 18.0% +0.38 33 30
244 Green Bay 18.0% +0.39 33 31
245 UMass Lowell 18.0% +0.39 33 29
246 UC Irvine 18.0% +0.39 33 38
247 Delaware State 18.1% +0.42 32 26
248 DePaul 18.1% +0.43 32 34
249 William & Mary 18.1% +0.43 32 30
250 Texas State 18.1% +0.43 31 30
251 Norfolk State 18.2% +0.45 31 32
252 Robert Morris 18.2% +0.45 31 34
253 Central Arkansas 18.2% +0.46 31 31
254 UC Santa Barbara 18.2% +0.47 30 32
255 Stony Brook 18.2% +0.48 30 31
256 Western Illinois 18.2% +0.49 30 28
257 Southern Illinois 18.3% +0.50 29 31
258 Queens University 18.3% +0.51 29 32
259 South Carolina 18.3% +0.52 29 32
260 Duquesne 18.3% +0.53 29 31
261 Stonehill 18.3% +0.54 28 30
262 Utah Tech 18.4% +0.55 28 31
263 Sam Houston 18.4% +0.55 28 29
264 Coastal Carolina 18.4% +0.55 28 30
265 Fordham 18.4% +0.56 27 32
266 San Diego 18.4% +0.56 27 32
267 Drake 18.4% +0.57 27 33
268 Portland State 18.4% +0.57 26 29
269 Morehead State 18.4% +0.58 26 29
270 Marist 18.4% +0.59 26 30
271 Chicago State 18.4% +0.60 26 32
272 Canisius 18.5% +0.60 25 31
273 Denver 18.5% +0.62 25 29
274 LSU 18.5% +0.62 25 32
275 George Washington 18.5% +0.62 25 33
276 Grand Canyon 18.5% +0.63 24 33
277 Northeastern 18.5% +0.64 24 32
278 Samford 18.5% +0.64 24 31
279 Southern 18.5% +0.64 23 29
280 Niagara 18.6% +0.66 23 30
281 Drexel 18.6% +0.67 23 32
282 Bucknell 18.6% +0.69 23 33
283 Kansas City 18.7% +0.70 22 29
284 Eastern Illinois 18.7% +0.72 22 28
285 Saint Louis 18.7% +0.72 22 32
286 Stetson 18.7% +0.72 21 29
287 Eastern Washington 18.8% +0.75 21 30
288 Eastern Michigan 18.8% +0.76 21 31
289 Cal State Bakersfield 18.8% +0.76 21 31
290 New Orleans 18.8% +0.78 20 31
291 Georgia 18.8% +0.80 20 33
292 Cal State Northridge 18.9% +0.80 20 31
293 Lamar 18.9% +0.84 20 30
294 Louisiana Tech 19.0% +0.85 19 29
295 Western Carolina 19.0% +0.85 19 27
296 South Carolina Upstate 19.0% +0.86 19 29
297 Georgia Southern 19.0% +0.88 18 32
298 New Hampshire 19.0% +0.89 18 30
299 Providence 19.1% +0.91 18 32
300 UT Rio Grande Valley 19.1% +0.92 18 27
301 Elon 19.1% +0.94 17 31
302 Detroit Mercy 19.1% +0.95 17 31
303 Oklahoma State 19.2% +0.96 17 35
304 Seton Hall 19.2% +0.96 17 32
305 Pacific 19.2% +0.97 16 31
306 Grambling 19.2% +0.97 16 31
307 North Carolina Central 19.2% +1.00 16 29
308 Memphis 19.3% +1.00 15 35
309 UT Arlington 19.3% +1.03 15 29
310 Jackson State 19.4% +1.08 15 34
311 Wagner 19.4% +1.08 15 26
312 Milwaukee 19.4% +1.09 14 30
313 Indiana State 19.4% +1.10 14 30
314 The Citadel 19.4% +1.10 14 26
315 Bethune-Cookman 19.5% +1.11 13 33
316 UT Martin 19.5% +1.11 13 30
317 Buffalo 19.5% +1.12 13 29
318 Alcorn State 19.5% +1.14 13 31
319 Jacksonville 19.5% +1.15 12 31
320 Florida International 19.6% +1.18 12 31
321 Le Moyne 19.6% +1.19 12 30
322 Binghamton 19.6% +1.19 12 29
323 Michigan 19.6% +1.19 11 37
324 Maryland Eastern Shore 19.6% +1.20 11 27
325 Southern Miss 19.7% +1.22 11 29
326 Kennesaw State 19.7% +1.23 10 30
327 UC Davis 19.7% +1.24 10 30
328 Saint Francis 19.7% +1.25 10 31
329 Texas Southern 19.8% +1.28 10 29
330 Troy 19.8% +1.30 9 32
331 George Mason 19.8% +1.31 9 35
332 South Carolina State 19.9% +1.33 9 30
333 Wyoming 19.9% +1.35 9 31
334 Charleston Southern 20.0% +1.37 8 30
335 Long Island University 20.1% +1.41 8 31
336 Virginia Tech 20.1% +1.42 8 32
337 Northwestern State 20.2% +1.50 7 30
338 Sacramento State 20.3% +1.53 7 29
339 Little Rock 20.3% +1.53 7 31
340 Washington State 20.3% +1.54 7 34
341 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 20.5% +1.63 6 29
342 Boston University 20.6% +1.67 6 31
343 Saint Peter's 20.6% +1.69 6 27
344 Missouri State 20.7% +1.72 6 30
345 Cal Poly 20.7% +1.73 5 34
346 Florida A&M 20.7% +1.74 5 28
347 Hawai'i 20.7% +1.75 5 29
348 Air Force 20.8% +1.78 4 32
349 Gardner-Webb 20.8% +1.79 4 31
350 Abilene Christian 20.8% +1.80 4 29
351 Iona 20.9% +1.86 4 34
352 Colorado 20.9% +1.86 3 35
353 Tennessee State 21.1% +1.96 3 30
354 Howard 21.1% +1.96 3 28
355 Cal State Fullerton 21.4% +2.08 2 30
356 Mount St. Mary's 21.4% +2.11 2 35
357 Coppin State 21.6% +2.20 2 29
358 Long Beach State 21.6% +2.21 2 30
359 Southern Utah 21.6% +2.22 1 28
360 Alabama A&M 21.9% +2.34 1 29
361 Stephen F. Austin 22.3% +2.55 1 28
362 East Texas A&M 22.5% +2.65 1 31
363 Mississippi Valley State 24.4% +3.60 0 29
364 Tarleton State 25.1% +3.98 0 29