We're volunteers of America. "Volunteers" - Jefferson Airplane

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.60 (team entering with the better value wins 57% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 4.8% max 14.5% mean 9.7% std 1.7% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Steal Rate z Pctl GP
1 Merrimack 14.5% +2.81 100 33
2 Drake 14.4% +2.77 100 33
3 Abilene Christian 14.1% +2.59 99 29
4 UC San Diego 14.1% +2.56 99 33
5 Iona 13.9% +2.46 99 34
6 UTEP 13.9% +2.44 99 30
7 Troy 13.7% +2.32 98 32
8 South Alabama 13.5% +2.21 98 30
9 Missouri 13.3% +2.13 98 34
10 Samford 13.3% +2.12 98 31
11 McNeese 13.3% +2.12 97 33
12 Maine 13.3% +2.08 97 32
13 Iowa State 13.2% +2.02 97 35
14 Tarleton State 13.1% +2.02 96 29
15 Little Rock 13.1% +1.99 96 31
16 Marquette 13.1% +1.96 96 34
17 Southern 13.0% +1.93 96 29
18 Mississippi State 13.0% +1.92 95 34
19 George Washington 13.0% +1.92 95 33
20 Vanderbilt 12.8% +1.78 95 33
21 South Carolina State 12.7% +1.74 94 30
22 Florida International 12.7% +1.73 94 31
23 Ole Miss 12.6% +1.68 94 36
24 UTSA 12.6% +1.67 94 29
25 St. John's 12.5% +1.64 93 36
26 Oklahoma State 12.5% +1.64 93 35
27 Utah State 12.4% +1.58 93 33
28 Grand Canyon 12.4% +1.58 93 33
29 Seton Hall 12.4% +1.56 92 32
30 Eastern Illinois 12.3% +1.54 92 28
31 East Texas A&M 12.3% +1.54 92 31
32 VCU 12.3% +1.49 91 34
33 Houston 12.2% +1.49 91 40
34 UCLA 12.2% +1.48 91 34
35 Cleveland State 12.1% +1.42 91 33
36 Eastern Kentucky 11.9% +1.31 90 30
37 Seattle U 11.9% +1.31 90 30
38 North Texas 11.9% +1.28 90 34
39 Texas Southern 11.7% +1.19 90 29
40 Houston Christian 11.7% +1.18 89 30
41 UAlbany 11.7% +1.16 89 31
42 New Mexico 11.6% +1.12 89 34
43 East Tennessee State 11.6% +1.12 88 30
44 Stephen F. Austin 11.6% +1.11 88 28
45 Long Island University 11.6% +1.10 88 31
46 SMU 11.5% +1.08 88 35
47 Georgetown 11.5% +1.05 87 34
48 UT Martin 11.5% +1.03 87 30
49 West Virginia 11.4% +1.01 87 32
50 Penn State 11.4% +0.99 87 31
51 Quinnipiac 11.4% +0.98 86 32
52 Delaware State 11.4% +0.98 86 26
53 Purdue Fort Wayne 11.4% +0.98 86 30
54 South Florida 11.3% +0.96 85 31
55 Cincinnati 11.3% +0.94 85 35
56 George Mason 11.3% +0.94 85 35
57 San Diego State 11.3% +0.94 85 30
58 Coppin State 11.3% +0.94 84 29
59 UC Davis 11.3% +0.93 84 30
60 TCU 11.3% +0.93 84 31
61 Georgia 11.3% +0.93 83 33
62 Northeastern 11.3% +0.93 83 32
63 St. Bonaventure 11.3% +0.92 83 33
64 Jacksonville 11.3% +0.91 83 31
65 Prairie View A&M 11.2% +0.88 82 31
66 Alabama State 11.2% +0.87 82 35
67 Central Connecticut 11.2% +0.87 82 30
68 Maryland 11.2% +0.85 82 36
69 Oklahoma 11.2% +0.85 81 34
70 Clemson 11.1% +0.84 81 34
71 Harvard 11.1% +0.83 81 26
72 Georgia Southern 11.1% +0.83 80 32
73 Xavier 11.1% +0.81 80 34
74 East Carolina 11.1% +0.80 80 31
75 Southeast Missouri State 11.1% +0.80 80 30
76 Texas A&M 11.1% +0.79 79 34
77 Baylor 11.1% +0.79 79 34
78 Tulane 11.0% +0.78 79 32
79 Kansas State 11.0% +0.75 79 32
80 Alabama A&M 11.0% +0.74 78 29
81 Eastern Washington 10.9% +0.72 78 30
82 VMI 10.9% +0.71 78 30
83 Northern Kentucky 10.9% +0.69 77 31
84 Kent State 10.9% +0.68 77 34
85 Lindenwood 10.8% +0.67 77 30
86 Pittsburgh 10.8% +0.65 77 32
87 Memphis 10.8% +0.63 76 35
88 Florida State 10.7% +0.60 76 32
89 Miami (OH) 10.7% +0.60 76 32
90 Massachusetts 10.7% +0.60 75 31
91 Missouri State 10.7% +0.59 75 30
92 Longwood 10.7% +0.58 75 29
93 Western Kentucky 10.7% +0.57 75 30
94 Mercer 10.7% +0.57 74 31
95 Portland State 10.7% +0.56 74 29
96 Arkansas 10.6% +0.53 74 36
97 Tennessee 10.6% +0.53 74 38
98 Arizona 10.6% +0.53 73 37
99 Fordham 10.6% +0.53 73 32
100 Chicago State 10.6% +0.53 73 32
101 North Alabama 10.6% +0.52 72 33
102 Louisiana 10.6% +0.52 72 32
103 Hampton 10.6% +0.51 72 30
104 Milwaukee 10.6% +0.51 72 30
105 Nicholls 10.6% +0.50 71 30
106 Wake Forest 10.6% +0.50 71 32
107 Dayton 10.5% +0.48 71 33
108 UT Rio Grande Valley 10.5% +0.47 71 27
109 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 10.5% +0.45 70 30
110 Florida 10.5% +0.45 70 40
111 Lamar 10.5% +0.44 70 30
112 Gonzaga 10.5% +0.44 69 35
113 Fresno State 10.4% +0.43 69 32
114 Winthrop 10.4% +0.42 69 31
115 Duquesne 10.4% +0.41 69 31
116 Central Arkansas 10.4% +0.40 68 31
117 Cal Poly 10.4% +0.40 68 34
118 BYU 10.4% +0.39 68 35
119 New Orleans 10.4% +0.39 67 31
120 North Carolina Central 10.4% +0.38 67 29
121 Sacred Heart 10.3% +0.37 67 32
122 Central Michigan 10.3% +0.36 67 27
123 Arkansas State 10.3% +0.35 66 35
124 Loyola Maryland 10.3% +0.33 66 30
125 Oregon 10.3% +0.33 66 35
126 Northwestern 10.3% +0.33 66 33
127 UCF 10.3% +0.33 65 37
128 Akron 10.3% +0.32 65 33
129 San Diego 10.3% +0.32 65 32
130 Nebraska 10.2% +0.31 64 35
131 Columbia 10.2% +0.31 64 25
132 La Salle 10.2% +0.29 64 32
133 Cal State Northridge 10.2% +0.29 64 31
134 Northwestern State 10.2% +0.28 63 30
135 Colorado 10.2% +0.28 63 35
136 South Carolina Upstate 10.2% +0.27 63 29
137 LSU 10.2% +0.26 63 32
138 Princeton 10.1% +0.25 62 28
139 Mercyhurst 10.1% +0.24 62 28
140 Stanford 10.1% +0.23 62 35
141 UNC Asheville 10.1% +0.23 61 28
142 UL Monroe 10.1% +0.22 61 30
143 Jackson State 10.1% +0.22 61 34
144 Duke 10.1% +0.22 61 39
145 Texas State 10.1% +0.21 60 30
146 SE Louisiana 10.1% +0.21 60 30
147 Grambling 10.1% +0.20 60 31
148 Eastern Michigan 10.0% +0.20 60 31
149 Siena 10.0% +0.20 59 32
150 Alcorn State 10.0% +0.19 59 31
151 Incarnate Word 10.0% +0.17 59 32
152 Chattanooga 10.0% +0.17 58 36
153 Belmont 10.0% +0.17 58 32
154 West Georgia 10.0% +0.16 58 30
155 Bowling Green 10.0% +0.14 58 29
156 Ohio 9.9% +0.14 57 31
157 UNLV 9.9% +0.13 57 33
158 Rutgers 9.9% +0.13 57 32
159 Fairfield 9.9% +0.12 56 31
160 Oakland 9.9% +0.11 56 33
161 Lipscomb 9.9% +0.10 56 33
162 Auburn 9.9% +0.10 56 38
163 UMBC 9.8% +0.08 55 29
164 Austin Peay 9.8% +0.05 55 31
165 Cal State Bakersfield 9.8% +0.05 55 31
166 NC State 9.8% +0.04 55 31
167 Campbell 9.8% +0.03 54 30
168 William & Mary 9.8% +0.03 54 30
169 South Dakota 9.7% +0.02 54 30
170 Western Michigan 9.7% +0.02 53 31
171 St. Thomas-Minnesota 9.7% +0.01 53 31
172 California Baptist 9.7% +0.01 53 32
173 Youngstown State 9.7% +0.01 53 32
174 Weber State 9.7% -0.00 52 31
175 Fairleigh Dickinson 9.7% -0.00 52 30
176 Tennessee State 9.7% -0.01 52 30
177 Purdue 9.7% -0.03 52 36
178 Saint Peter's 9.6% -0.04 51 27
179 American University 9.6% -0.05 51 33
180 Navy 9.6% -0.05 51 33
181 Norfolk State 9.6% -0.06 50 32
182 Bethune-Cookman 9.6% -0.07 50 33
183 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9.6% -0.07 50 29
184 Kentucky 9.6% -0.08 50 36
185 Wichita State 9.6% -0.09 49 33
186 Presbyterian 9.5% -0.09 49 30
187 Southern Indiana 9.5% -0.10 49 28
188 Wagner 9.5% -0.11 48 26
189 Towson 9.5% -0.11 48 32
190 Saint Mary's 9.5% -0.11 48 34
191 Colgate 9.5% -0.12 48 32
192 Le Moyne 9.5% -0.13 47 30
193 Nevada 9.5% -0.13 47 33
194 Oregon State 9.5% -0.15 47 32
195 Murray State 9.5% -0.15 47 32
196 Southern Miss 9.5% -0.15 46 29
197 Saint Joseph's 9.4% -0.16 46 35
198 Miami 9.4% -0.16 46 31
199 UNC Wilmington 9.4% -0.17 45 33
200 Bucknell 9.4% -0.18 45 33
201 Kansas City 9.4% -0.18 45 29
202 San Francisco 9.3% -0.21 45 34
203 Canisius 9.3% -0.22 44 31
204 Niagara 9.3% -0.23 44 30
205 Utah Tech 9.3% -0.23 44 31
206 Denver 9.3% -0.23 44 29
207 Bellarmine 9.3% -0.24 43 29
208 Ohio State 9.3% -0.24 43 32
209 Minnesota 9.3% -0.25 43 32
210 Texas Tech 9.3% -0.25 42 37
211 Tennessee Tech 9.3% -0.25 42 30
212 Utah Valley 9.3% -0.26 42 32
213 James Madison 9.2% -0.27 42 29
214 Manhattan 9.2% -0.28 41 30
215 UAB 9.2% -0.28 41 36
216 Iowa 9.2% -0.28 41 33
217 Robert Morris 9.2% -0.29 40 34
218 Louisville 9.2% -0.29 40 35
219 Utah 9.2% -0.30 40 33
220 Santa Clara 9.2% -0.30 40 34
221 Furman 9.2% -0.30 39 32
222 SIU Edwardsville 9.2% -0.31 39 31
223 Montana State 9.2% -0.33 39 32
224 Liberty 9.1% -0.34 39 32
225 Army 9.1% -0.34 38 31
226 Richmond 9.1% -0.34 38 30
227 USC 9.1% -0.35 38 35
228 UC Santa Barbara 9.1% -0.35 37 32
229 Charleston 9.0% -0.38 37 32
230 Stonehill 9.0% -0.39 37 30
231 California 9.0% -0.39 37 33
232 Boston University 9.0% -0.39 36 31
233 UC Irvine 9.0% -0.40 36 38
234 Marshall 9.0% -0.40 36 31
235 IU Indianapolis 9.0% -0.40 36 29
236 Washington 9.0% -0.40 35 30
237 Evansville 9.0% -0.41 35 31
238 Delaware 9.0% -0.42 35 34
239 Texas 9.0% -0.42 34 35
240 Bradley 9.0% -0.43 34 36
241 Indiana State 9.0% -0.44 34 30
242 Bryant 8.9% -0.45 34 33
243 UIC 8.9% -0.46 33 29
244 Montana 8.9% -0.46 33 32
245 Virginia 8.9% -0.46 33 32
246 Kennesaw State 8.9% -0.46 33 30
247 Saint Francis 8.9% -0.47 32 31
248 Washington State 8.9% -0.49 32 34
249 Loyola Chicago 8.9% -0.49 32 36
250 UNC Greensboro 8.9% -0.49 31 29
251 Kansas 8.9% -0.49 31 34
252 Northern Iowa 8.8% -0.50 31 32
253 Marist 8.8% -0.50 31 30
254 San José State 8.8% -0.51 30 33
255 DePaul 8.8% -0.51 30 34
256 Middle Tennessee 8.8% -0.52 30 32
257 Buffalo 8.8% -0.52 29 29
258 Villanova 8.8% -0.53 29 36
259 Hofstra 8.8% -0.53 29 31
260 Tulsa 8.8% -0.54 29 31
261 Temple 8.8% -0.55 28 31
262 North Carolina A&T 8.8% -0.55 28 31
263 Southern Illinois 8.7% -0.56 28 31
264 Saint Louis 8.7% -0.57 28 32
265 Monmouth 8.7% -0.60 27 33
266 Air Force 8.7% -0.61 27 32
267 High Point 8.7% -0.61 27 33
268 Pepperdine 8.6% -0.62 26 34
269 Mississippi Valley State 8.6% -0.63 26 29
270 Sacramento State 8.6% -0.63 26 29
271 New Mexico State 8.6% -0.65 26 29
272 Louisiana Tech 8.6% -0.65 25 29
273 Idaho State 8.6% -0.67 25 27
274 Mount St. Mary's 8.6% -0.67 25 35
275 App State 8.5% -0.69 25 29
276 Valparaiso 8.5% -0.69 24 32
277 Lehigh 8.5% -0.70 24 28
278 Queens University 8.5% -0.72 24 32
279 Northern Colorado 8.5% -0.73 23 32
280 Georgia Tech 8.5% -0.73 23 34
281 Sam Houston 8.5% -0.73 23 29
282 South Carolina 8.4% -0.74 23 32
283 Illinois State 8.4% -0.74 22 35
284 Florida Atlantic 8.4% -0.74 22 33
285 Brown 8.4% -0.74 22 26
286 North Florida 8.4% -0.75 21 30
287 Wofford 8.4% -0.75 21 33
288 Omaha 8.4% -0.75 21 33
289 Indiana 8.4% -0.77 21 32
290 Lafayette 8.4% -0.77 20 32
291 North Carolina 8.4% -0.77 20 37
292 Detroit Mercy 8.4% -0.78 20 31
293 Boise State 8.4% -0.78 20 36
294 New Hampshire 8.4% -0.79 19 30
295 Morgan State 8.3% -0.80 19 28
296 Northern Arizona 8.3% -0.81 19 30
297 The Citadel 8.3% -0.81 18 26
298 Cornell 8.3% -0.81 18 27
299 UConn 8.3% -0.82 18 35
300 Notre Dame 8.3% -0.83 18 33
301 Old Dominion 8.3% -0.84 17 33
302 Florida Gulf Coast 8.3% -0.85 17 33
303 UMass Lowell 8.2% -0.85 17 29
304 Western Illinois 8.2% -0.85 17 28
305 Rider 8.2% -0.86 16 33
306 Pacific 8.2% -0.86 16 31
307 Idaho 8.2% -0.86 16 31
308 Yale 8.2% -0.86 15 29
309 Davidson 8.2% -0.87 15 32
310 Loyola Marymount 8.2% -0.90 15 31
311 Virginia Tech 8.1% -0.91 15 32
312 UT Arlington 8.1% -0.93 14 29
313 Rhode Island 8.1% -0.93 14 30
314 Long Beach State 8.1% -0.93 14 30
315 Morehead State 8.1% -0.95 13 29
316 Wright State 8.1% -0.95 13 31
317 Alabama 8.0% -0.98 13 37
318 Northern Illinois 8.0% -1.01 13 28
319 Vermont 8.0% -1.02 12 31
320 Howard 7.9% -1.03 12 28
321 Radford 7.9% -1.06 12 31
322 Maryland Eastern Shore 7.8% -1.13 12 27
323 Charlotte 7.7% -1.16 11 32
324 Michigan State 7.7% -1.19 11 37
325 Colorado State 7.7% -1.20 11 36
326 Stony Brook 7.6% -1.21 10 31
327 Elon 7.6% -1.21 10 31
328 UC Riverside 7.6% -1.22 10 32
329 Boston College 7.6% -1.23 10 31
330 North Dakota 7.6% -1.23 9 30
331 Michigan 7.5% -1.28 9 37
332 Toledo 7.5% -1.29 9 32
333 Drexel 7.5% -1.30 9 32
334 Wisconsin 7.4% -1.32 8 37
335 Jacksonville State 7.4% -1.33 8 33
336 Arizona State 7.4% -1.33 8 33
337 Providence 7.4% -1.35 7 32
338 Gardner-Webb 7.4% -1.35 7 31
339 Florida A&M 7.4% -1.35 7 28
340 Pennsylvania 7.3% -1.42 7 27
341 Green Bay 7.2% -1.49 6 31
342 Rice 7.2% -1.50 6 31
343 Georgia State 7.2% -1.50 6 32
344 Cal State Fullerton 7.1% -1.54 6 30
345 Stetson 7.0% -1.56 5 29
346 Syracuse 7.0% -1.61 5 33
347 NJIT 7.0% -1.61 5 30
348 Dartmouth 6.9% -1.63 4 26
349 Western Carolina 6.9% -1.67 4 27
350 Oral Roberts 6.8% -1.68 4 26
351 Ball State 6.7% -1.75 4 28
352 Southern Utah 6.7% -1.77 3 28
353 Charleston Southern 6.6% -1.83 3 30
354 Wyoming 6.5% -1.88 3 31
355 Holy Cross 6.5% -1.89 2 30
356 Portland 6.5% -1.89 2 30
357 Binghamton 6.4% -1.91 2 29
358 South Dakota State 6.3% -1.99 2 29
359 Butler 5.9% -2.23 1 35
360 Illinois 5.9% -2.23 1 35
361 North Dakota State 5.3% -2.58 1 29
362 Creighton 5.3% -2.58 1 36
363 Hawai'i 5.2% -2.64 0 29
364 Coastal Carolina 4.8% -2.87 0 30