Lord Lucan is missing. "Lord Lucan is Missing" - The Dodgems
← Scoring

Scoring Margin

Average points scored minus points allowed per game.

Higher is better  ·  league avg -0.3  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.75 (team entering with the better value wins 68% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min -29.8 max 20.5 mean -0.3 std 6.5 (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Scoring Margin z Pctl GP
1 Duke 20.5 +3.20 100 39
2 Gonzaga 16.5 +2.58 100 35
3 Florida 15.2 +2.38 99 40
4 Houston 15.0 +2.36 99 40
5 UC San Diego 14.5 +2.29 99 33
6 Maryland 13.9 +2.19 99 36
7 Auburn 13.6 +2.13 98 38
8 VCU 13.1 +2.07 98 34
9 St. John's 12.7 +2.00 98 36
10 Texas Tech 12.4 +1.96 98 37
11 Iowa State 12.0 +1.90 97 35
12 Saint Mary's 11.0 +1.74 97 34
13 Tennessee 10.9 +1.73 97 38
14 Michigan State 10.5 +1.67 96 37
15 High Point 10.5 +1.66 96 33
16 Clemson 10.3 +1.63 96 34
17 McNeese 10.2 +1.62 96 33
18 Missouri 10.0 +1.59 95 34
19 Yale 9.8 +1.55 95 29
20 Alabama 9.4 +1.50 95 37
21 Wisconsin 9.2 +1.47 94 37
22 Arizona 9.2 +1.47 94 37
23 Louisville 9.0 +1.43 94 35
24 UConn 9.0 +1.43 94 35
25 Santa Clara 9.0 +1.43 93 34
26 UCLA 9.0 +1.43 93 34
27 BYU 8.9 +1.41 93 36
28 Lipscomb 8.8 +1.41 93 33
29 Illinois 8.8 +1.40 92 35
30 New Mexico 8.7 +1.38 92 34
31 SMU 8.6 +1.38 92 35
32 Liberty 8.4 +1.34 91 32
33 UC Irvine 8.4 +1.34 91 38
34 Drake 8.3 +1.33 91 33
35 Utah State 8.2 +1.31 91 33
36 Arkansas State 8.2 +1.31 90 35
37 Boise State 8.1 +1.30 90 36
38 Colorado State 7.9 +1.26 90 36
39 Marquette 7.8 +1.25 90 34
40 Grand Canyon 7.6 +1.22 89 33
41 Kentucky 7.2 +1.16 89 36
42 Akron 7.0 +1.12 89 33
43 Purdue 6.9 +1.11 88 36
44 North Texas 6.9 +1.10 88 34
45 Central Connecticut 6.7 +1.09 88 30
46 San Francisco 6.6 +1.06 88 34
47 Kansas 6.5 +1.05 87 34
48 Xavier 6.5 +1.05 87 34
49 North Alabama 6.5 +1.05 87 33
50 Michigan 6.5 +1.05 87 37
51 Memphis 6.5 +1.05 86 35
52 Saint Joseph's 6.4 +1.04 86 35
53 Oregon State 6.4 +1.03 86 32
54 George Mason 6.4 +1.03 85 35
55 UNC Wilmington 6.3 +1.02 85 33
56 Bradley 6.2 +1.00 85 36
57 North Carolina 6.1 +0.98 85 37
58 Texas A&M 5.9 +0.96 84 34
59 Penn State 5.9 +0.95 84 31
60 Texas 5.9 +0.95 84 35
61 Villanova 5.8 +0.95 83 36
62 Oregon 5.7 +0.92 83 35
63 Troy 5.7 +0.92 83 32
64 South Alabama 5.6 +0.92 83 30
65 St. Thomas-Minnesota 5.5 +0.90 82 31
66 Ole Miss 5.5 +0.89 82 36
67 Creighton 5.4 +0.89 82 36
68 Georgia 5.4 +0.88 82 33
69 Arkansas 5.4 +0.88 81 36
70 Mississippi State 5.4 +0.87 81 34
71 Robert Morris 5.3 +0.87 81 34
72 Chattanooga 5.3 +0.87 80 36
73 Ohio State 5.3 +0.86 80 32
74 Utah Valley 5.2 +0.85 80 32
75 Cal State Northridge 5.2 +0.85 80 31
76 Pittsburgh 5.0 +0.82 79 32
77 Cincinnati 4.9 +0.81 79 35
78 Bryant 4.9 +0.81 79 33
79 Northern Colorado 4.9 +0.81 79 32
80 Baylor 4.9 +0.81 78 34
81 UAB 4.8 +0.79 78 36
82 Northern Iowa 4.8 +0.79 78 32
83 Samford 4.7 +0.77 77 31
84 North Dakota State 4.7 +0.77 77 29
85 Cornell 4.7 +0.77 77 27
86 San Diego State 4.6 +0.76 77 30
87 Vanderbilt 4.6 +0.76 76 33
88 Miami (OH) 4.4 +0.73 76 32
89 South Carolina State 4.4 +0.73 76 30
90 Nevada 4.2 +0.69 75 33
91 East Tennessee State 4.1 +0.69 75 30
92 Milwaukee 4.1 +0.69 75 30
93 Dayton 4.1 +0.68 75 33
94 Kent State 4.1 +0.68 74 34
95 South Dakota State 4.0 +0.66 74 29
96 UC Santa Barbara 3.8 +0.63 74 32
97 George Washington 3.7 +0.62 74 33
98 Oklahoma 3.6 +0.61 73 34
99 Nebraska 3.4 +0.57 73 35
100 West Virginia 3.3 +0.56 73 32
101 Northwestern 3.3 +0.55 72 33
102 Loyola Chicago 3.2 +0.55 72 36
103 UNC Greensboro 3.1 +0.53 72 29
104 Furman 3.1 +0.53 72 32
105 Purdue Fort Wayne 3.1 +0.52 71 30
106 Southeast Missouri State 3.0 +0.51 71 30
107 Utah 2.9 +0.50 71 33
108 Norfolk State 2.9 +0.50 71 32
109 St. Bonaventure 2.8 +0.49 70 33
110 Iowa 2.8 +0.48 70 33
111 Charleston 2.8 +0.48 70 32
112 Stanford 2.7 +0.47 69 35
113 Indiana 2.6 +0.45 69 32
114 Illinois State 2.5 +0.43 69 35
115 Winthrop 2.5 +0.43 69 31
116 Georgetown 2.4 +0.42 68 34
117 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 2.4 +0.42 68 30
118 Cleveland State 2.3 +0.40 68 33
119 Marshall 2.3 +0.40 67 31
120 Wofford 2.2 +0.39 67 33
121 Louisiana Tech 2.2 +0.38 67 29
122 Wake Forest 2.2 +0.38 67 32
123 USC 2.1 +0.37 66 35
124 Belmont 2.1 +0.37 66 32
125 Florida Gulf Coast 2.0 +0.36 66 33
126 Florida State 2.0 +0.36 66 32
127 Drexel 2.0 +0.35 65 32
128 Tulane 2.0 +0.35 65 32
129 Rhode Island 2.0 +0.35 65 30
130 Maine 1.8 +0.33 64 32
131 Quinnipiac 1.8 +0.32 64 32
132 Florida Atlantic 1.8 +0.32 64 33
133 Ohio 1.7 +0.32 64 31
134 Towson 1.7 +0.30 63 32
135 Jacksonville State 1.6 +0.30 63 33
136 Marist 1.5 +0.28 63 30
137 Middle Tennessee 1.5 +0.28 63 32
138 Merrimack 1.4 +0.26 62 33
139 SIU Edwardsville 1.3 +0.25 62 31
140 App State 1.2 +0.24 62 29
141 California Baptist 1.2 +0.24 61 32
142 Kansas State 1.2 +0.24 61 33
143 Seattle U 1.1 +0.22 61 30
144 Youngstown State 1.1 +0.22 61 32
145 UNLV 1.1 +0.22 60 33
146 Southern 1.1 +0.21 60 29
147 Saint Louis 1.0 +0.20 60 32
148 James Madison 1.0 +0.20 60 30
149 Bucknell 0.9 +0.18 59 33
150 Portland State 0.9 +0.18 59 29
151 Omaha 0.8 +0.18 59 33
152 Little Rock 0.8 +0.17 58 31
153 Radford 0.7 +0.16 58 31
154 Manhattan 0.7 +0.16 58 30
155 Tennessee State 0.7 +0.16 58 30
156 Dartmouth 0.7 +0.16 57 26
157 SE Louisiana 0.7 +0.15 57 30
158 Elon 0.6 +0.14 57 31
159 Eastern Kentucky 0.6 +0.14 56 30
160 Davidson 0.6 +0.14 56 32
161 Wichita State 0.5 +0.12 56 33
162 Lamar 0.5 +0.12 56 30
163 New Mexico State 0.4 +0.12 55 29
164 Northeastern 0.4 +0.12 55 32
165 Longwood 0.4 +0.11 55 29
166 Georgia Tech 0.4 +0.11 55 34
167 Murray State 0.4 +0.11 54 32
168 Washington State 0.4 +0.10 54 34
169 Nicholls 0.3 +0.10 54 30
170 Duquesne 0.3 +0.09 53 31
171 LSU 0.3 +0.09 53 32
172 Montana 0.2 +0.08 53 32
173 Texas State 0.2 +0.08 53 30
174 Notre Dame 0.2 +0.07 52 33
175 East Carolina 0.1 +0.07 52 31
176 Temple 0.1 +0.07 52 31
177 Siena 0.1 +0.07 52 32
178 Idaho State 0.0 +0.06 51 27
179 Rice 0.0 +0.05 51 31
180 UMass Lowell -0.0 +0.04 51 29
181 Montana State -0.1 +0.04 50 32
182 Butler -0.1 +0.03 50 35
183 Kennesaw State -0.3 -0.00 50 30
184 Princeton -0.4 -0.01 50 28
185 Incarnate Word -0.4 -0.01 49 32
186 Campbell -0.4 -0.02 49 30
187 Vermont -0.5 -0.02 49 31
188 Queens University -0.5 -0.02 48 33
189 Jacksonville -0.5 -0.02 48 31
190 Rutgers -0.5 -0.03 48 32
191 Sacred Heart -0.6 -0.04 48 32
192 UCF -0.6 -0.05 47 37
193 UNC Asheville -0.6 -0.05 47 28
194 American University -0.8 -0.07 47 33
195 Iona -0.8 -0.07 47 34
196 Alabama State -0.8 -0.07 46 35
197 Northern Arizona -0.8 -0.07 46 30
198 NC State -0.8 -0.07 46 31
199 Brown -0.9 -0.09 45 26
200 UTEP -1.0 -0.10 45 30
201 Long Island University -1.0 -0.10 45 31
202 Hofstra -1.1 -0.12 45 31
203 Wright State -1.1 -0.12 44 31
204 Navy -1.1 -0.12 44 33
205 Providence -1.2 -0.13 44 32
206 TCU -1.2 -0.13 44 32
207 UAlbany -1.2 -0.13 43 31
208 Hampton -1.2 -0.13 43 30
209 UIC -1.2 -0.14 43 29
210 California -1.2 -0.14 42 33
211 Colgate -1.3 -0.15 42 32
212 Mount St. Mary's -1.4 -0.17 42 35
213 Ball State -1.5 -0.18 42 28
214 Western Kentucky -1.5 -0.18 41 30
215 Northern Kentucky -1.6 -0.20 41 31
216 Minnesota -1.7 -0.20 41 32
217 South Carolina -1.7 -0.20 40 32
218 Central Michigan -1.7 -0.21 40 27
219 Oakland -1.7 -0.22 40 33
220 Loyola Marymount -1.7 -0.22 40 31
221 Cal Poly -1.8 -0.23 39 34
222 Lafayette -1.8 -0.23 39 32
223 UC Riverside -1.8 -0.23 39 32
224 South Florida -2.0 -0.25 39 31
225 Delaware -2.0 -0.25 38 34
226 Virginia -2.0 -0.26 38 32
227 William & Mary -2.0 -0.26 38 30
228 DePaul -2.0 -0.26 37 34
229 Texas Southern -2.0 -0.26 37 29
230 Georgia Southern -2.1 -0.27 37 32
231 Colorado -2.1 -0.28 37 35
232 Saint Peter's -2.2 -0.29 36 27
233 South Dakota -2.2 -0.29 36 30
234 Presbyterian -2.3 -0.31 36 30
235 Indiana State -2.5 -0.33 36 30
236 Hawai'i -2.6 -0.34 35 29
237 Boston University -2.6 -0.35 35 31
238 Kansas City -2.6 -0.35 35 29
239 UT Rio Grande Valley -2.7 -0.36 34 27
240 Arizona State -2.7 -0.36 34 33
241 UT Arlington -2.7 -0.37 34 29
242 Valparaiso -2.8 -0.38 34 32
243 UT Martin -3.0 -0.41 33 30
244 UTSA -3.1 -0.42 33 29
245 Syracuse -3.1 -0.43 33 33
246 Jackson State -3.1 -0.43 33 34
247 Delaware State -3.2 -0.44 32 26
248 Massachusetts -3.2 -0.45 32 31
249 Toledo -3.3 -0.45 32 32
250 Tennessee Tech -3.3 -0.45 31 30
251 Oklahoma State -3.3 -0.46 31 35
252 Southern Illinois -3.3 -0.46 31 31
253 Mercer -3.3 -0.46 31 31
254 UMBC -3.3 -0.46 30 29
255 Loyola Maryland -3.4 -0.47 30 30
256 Bowling Green -3.4 -0.48 30 30
257 Abilene Christian -3.4 -0.48 29 29
258 Columbia -3.5 -0.49 29 25
259 Bethune-Cookman -3.5 -0.49 29 33
260 San José State -3.5 -0.50 29 33
261 Stonehill -3.6 -0.50 28 30
262 Lehigh -3.6 -0.50 28 28
263 Northwestern State -3.6 -0.51 28 30
264 Cal State Bakersfield -3.7 -0.52 28 31
265 Eastern Michigan -3.8 -0.54 27 31
266 Fairleigh Dickinson -3.9 -0.55 27 30
267 Harvard -4.0 -0.56 27 26
268 Virginia Tech -4.0 -0.57 26 32
269 Tulsa -4.0 -0.57 26 31
270 Sam Houston -4.2 -0.59 26 29
271 Niagara -4.2 -0.60 26 30
272 Gardner-Webb -4.4 -0.62 25 31
273 Binghamton -4.4 -0.62 25 29
274 Missouri State -4.5 -0.64 25 30
275 Georgia State -4.5 -0.64 25 32
276 Washington -4.5 -0.64 24 30
277 Idaho -4.5 -0.64 24 31
278 La Salle -4.7 -0.67 24 32
279 Stephen F. Austin -4.7 -0.68 23 28
280 North Florida -4.7 -0.68 23 30
281 Army -4.8 -0.69 23 31
282 Charlotte -4.8 -0.69 23 32
283 Rider -4.8 -0.69 22 33
284 North Carolina Central -4.9 -0.70 22 29
285 Grambling -4.9 -0.70 22 31
286 Wyoming -4.9 -0.70 21 31
287 UC Davis -4.9 -0.70 21 30
288 Monmouth -5.0 -0.72 21 33
289 Fordham -5.0 -0.72 21 32
290 Florida International -5.1 -0.73 20 31
291 Howard -5.1 -0.74 20 28
292 Holy Cross -5.2 -0.74 20 30
293 Houston Christian -5.2 -0.75 20 30
294 Saint Francis -5.4 -0.77 19 31
295 Pepperdine -5.4 -0.78 19 34
296 Boston College -5.4 -0.78 19 31
297 Western Michigan -5.4 -0.78 18 31
298 Old Dominion -5.5 -0.79 18 33
299 Wagner -5.5 -0.79 18 26
300 Southern Indiana -5.5 -0.79 18 28
301 Austin Peay -5.7 -0.83 17 31
302 North Dakota -5.9 -0.86 17 30
303 Lindenwood -5.9 -0.86 17 30
304 Mercyhurst -6.0 -0.87 17 28
305 Morehead State -6.1 -0.89 16 29
306 Coastal Carolina -6.2 -0.90 16 30
307 Evansville -6.4 -0.93 16 31
308 VMI -6.4 -0.93 15 30
309 Weber State -6.5 -0.95 15 31
310 Morgan State -6.6 -0.96 15 28
311 Southern Miss -6.6 -0.96 15 31
312 Miami -6.6 -0.97 14 31
313 Eastern Illinois -6.7 -0.98 14 28
314 Western Illinois -6.7 -0.98 14 28
315 Eastern Washington -6.7 -0.99 13 30
316 Fairfield -6.8 -1.00 13 31
317 Richmond -6.9 -1.02 13 30
318 Alcorn State -7.1 -1.04 13 31
319 IU Indianapolis -7.3 -1.07 12 29
320 Florida A&M -7.3 -1.08 12 29
321 Denver -7.4 -1.08 12 29
322 Pennsylvania -7.8 -1.15 12 27
323 Louisiana -8.4 -1.24 11 32
324 Southern Utah -8.5 -1.26 11 28
325 Seton Hall -8.6 -1.28 11 32
326 Utah Tech -8.6 -1.28 10 31
327 Charleston Southern -8.7 -1.28 10 30
328 North Carolina A&T -9.0 -1.33 10 31
329 Pacific -9.2 -1.36 10 31
330 Stony Brook -9.4 -1.40 9 31
331 Le Moyne -9.5 -1.41 9 30
332 Portland -9.5 -1.41 9 30
333 Long Beach State -9.8 -1.45 9 30
334 Fresno State -10.0 -1.49 8 32
335 San Diego -10.0 -1.49 8 32
336 Tarleton State -10.0 -1.49 8 29
337 Sacramento State -10.0 -1.49 7 29
338 NJIT -10.1 -1.50 7 30
339 Detroit Mercy -10.4 -1.54 7 31
340 Bellarmine -10.4 -1.55 7 29
341 East Texas A&M -10.5 -1.57 6 31
342 Alabama A&M -10.6 -1.58 6 29
343 Green Bay -10.7 -1.59 6 31
344 UL Monroe -10.8 -1.61 6 30
345 Central Arkansas -10.9 -1.62 5 31
346 Oral Roberts -10.9 -1.63 5 26
347 West Georgia -11.1 -1.65 5 30
348 Buffalo -11.2 -1.68 4 29
349 Air Force -11.7 -1.75 4 32
350 Prairie View A&M -12.0 -1.80 4 31
351 Stetson -12.0 -1.80 4 30
352 Northern Illinois -12.1 -1.81 3 28
353 New Hampshire -12.3 -1.85 3 30
354 South Carolina Upstate -13.0 -1.94 3 29
355 Western Carolina -13.5 -2.02 2 27
356 Canisius -13.8 -2.08 2 31
357 The Citadel -13.9 -2.09 2 26
358 New Orleans -14.5 -2.19 2 31
359 Coppin State -15.6 -2.34 1 29
360 Arkansas-Pine Bluff -15.9 -2.39 1 29
361 Chicago State -16.2 -2.43 1 32
362 Maryland Eastern Shore -16.2 -2.44 1 27
363 Cal State Fullerton -16.3 -2.46 0 30
364 Mississippi Valley State -29.8 -4.54 0 29