Really don't mind if you sit this one out. "Thick as a Brick" - Jethro Tull

Does it predict winners?

Weak standalone predictor of the winner.

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 60.8 max 76.5 mean 68.5 std 2.4 (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Pace z Pctl GP
1 Alabama 76.5 +3.27 100 37
2 Cal Poly 75.9 +3.01 100 34
3 South Dakota 75.0 +2.63 99 30
4 Winthrop 74.7 +2.51 99 31
5 UCF 73.7 +2.12 99 37
6 North Florida 73.5 +2.04 99 30
7 South Carolina Upstate 73.5 +2.04 98 29
8 Bryant 73.4 +1.97 98 33
9 Western Kentucky 73.1 +1.87 98 30
10 Alabama A&M 73.1 +1.86 98 29
11 New Mexico 73.0 +1.84 97 34
12 Tennessee State 73.0 +1.82 97 30
13 Indiana State 73.0 +1.81 97 30
14 Cal State Northridge 73.0 +1.81 96 31
15 Illinois 72.9 +1.76 96 35
16 Fresno State 72.8 +1.74 96 32
17 Akron 72.7 +1.72 96 33
18 Grand Canyon 72.7 +1.69 95 33
19 Morgan State 72.6 +1.67 95 28
20 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 72.5 +1.63 95 29
21 Kentucky 72.5 +1.61 94 36
22 Mercer 72.4 +1.59 94 31
23 Buffalo 72.2 +1.49 94 29
24 UMBC 72.1 +1.46 94 29
25 Ohio 72.1 +1.45 93 31
26 Cornell 72.1 +1.44 93 27
27 Western Carolina 72.0 +1.41 93 27
28 Delaware State 72.0 +1.41 93 26
29 Dartmouth 72.0 +1.40 92 26
30 Memphis 72.0 +1.40 92 35
31 Washington State 72.0 +1.39 92 34
32 Samford 71.9 +1.39 91 31
33 Oklahoma State 71.9 +1.38 91 35
34 Massachusetts 71.9 +1.38 91 31
35 Texas Southern 71.8 +1.33 91 29
36 Rhode Island 71.8 +1.33 90 30
37 San Diego 71.8 +1.32 90 32
38 Iowa 71.7 +1.28 90 33
39 Quinnipiac 71.7 +1.27 90 32
40 Southern Miss 71.6 +1.24 89 29
41 Prairie View A&M 71.4 +1.17 89 31
42 Columbia 71.4 +1.16 89 25
43 Howard 71.4 +1.15 88 28
44 South Carolina State 71.2 +1.11 88 30
45 Charleston 71.2 +1.10 88 32
46 Michigan 71.2 +1.09 88 37
47 North Carolina 71.2 +1.09 87 37
48 Kennesaw State 71.2 +1.07 87 30
49 Purdue Fort Wayne 71.1 +1.06 87 30
50 Jackson State 71.1 +1.06 87 34
51 Fordham 71.1 +1.05 86 32
52 St. John's 71.1 +1.05 86 36
53 Gonzaga 71.1 +1.05 86 35
54 Georgia Southern 71.1 +1.03 85 32
55 Lindenwood 71.1 +1.03 85 30
56 UNC Asheville 71.0 +1.01 85 28
57 Penn State 71.0 +1.00 85 31
58 Northern Illinois 71.0 +1.00 84 28
59 William & Mary 71.0 +0.99 84 30
60 Arizona 70.9 +0.97 84 37
61 Arizona State 70.9 +0.97 83 33
62 Temple 70.9 +0.96 83 31
63 Santa Clara 70.8 +0.94 83 34
64 Rutgers 70.8 +0.92 83 32
65 UC Irvine 70.8 +0.91 82 38
66 Arkansas 70.8 +0.91 82 36
67 UT Rio Grande Valley 70.8 +0.90 82 27
68 Middle Tennessee 70.7 +0.89 82 32
69 Arkansas State 70.7 +0.89 81 35
70 Abilene Christian 70.7 +0.87 81 29
71 Maryland 70.6 +0.86 81 36
72 Florida 70.6 +0.84 80 40
73 Belmont 70.6 +0.83 80 32
74 Youngstown State 70.6 +0.83 80 32
75 Sacred Heart 70.5 +0.81 80 32
76 UAB 70.5 +0.80 79 36
77 Bucknell 70.5 +0.80 79 33
78 Florida State 70.5 +0.80 79 32
79 Southern 70.4 +0.78 79 29
80 Le Moyne 70.4 +0.76 78 30
81 Iowa State 70.4 +0.76 78 35
82 Miami (OH) 70.4 +0.76 78 32
83 South Florida 70.4 +0.75 77 31
84 Mississippi State 70.3 +0.74 77 34
85 Florida International 70.3 +0.74 77 31
86 North Dakota 70.3 +0.73 77 30
87 LSU 70.3 +0.72 76 32
88 Florida Atlantic 70.3 +0.71 76 33
89 Longwood 70.3 +0.71 76 29
90 UTSA 70.3 +0.71 75 29
91 Syracuse 70.3 +0.70 75 33
92 Robert Morris 70.2 +0.67 75 34
93 Gardner-Webb 70.2 +0.67 75 31
94 Portland 70.1 +0.65 74 30
95 Ohio State 70.1 +0.64 74 32
96 New Orleans 70.1 +0.64 74 31
97 Vanderbilt 70.1 +0.64 74 33
98 Delaware 70.1 +0.63 73 34
99 North Carolina Central 70.1 +0.62 73 29
100 Missouri 70.0 +0.61 73 34
101 Nebraska 70.0 +0.60 72 35
102 South Dakota State 70.0 +0.60 72 29
103 Southern Utah 70.0 +0.60 72 28
104 Georgia Tech 70.0 +0.60 72 34
105 Kansas 70.0 +0.58 71 34
106 Milwaukee 69.9 +0.57 71 30
107 UIC 69.9 +0.57 71 29
108 Xavier 69.9 +0.56 71 34
109 Queens University 69.9 +0.56 70 32
110 La Salle 69.9 +0.55 70 32
111 UMass Lowell 69.9 +0.55 70 29
112 Oklahoma 69.9 +0.55 69 34
113 California 69.9 +0.55 69 33
114 Georgia State 69.8 +0.52 69 32
115 Bowling Green 69.8 +0.51 69 29
116 Charleston Southern 69.8 +0.51 68 30
117 Wichita State 69.8 +0.51 68 33
118 Toledo 69.8 +0.50 68 32
119 Fairleigh Dickinson 69.7 +0.48 67 30
120 Northern Colorado 69.7 +0.46 67 32
121 Ole Miss 69.7 +0.46 67 36
122 Bethune-Cookman 69.6 +0.45 67 33
123 Southeast Missouri State 69.6 +0.42 66 30
124 St. Thomas-Minnesota 69.6 +0.42 66 31
125 Utah 69.5 +0.41 66 33
126 Chicago State 69.5 +0.39 66 32
127 Utah Valley 69.5 +0.39 65 32
128 USC 69.5 +0.38 65 35
129 Oregon 69.5 +0.38 65 35
130 Texas 69.4 +0.34 64 35
131 Auburn 69.4 +0.34 64 38
132 UT Arlington 69.4 +0.33 64 29
133 Green Bay 69.3 +0.33 64 31
134 Alabama State 69.3 +0.33 63 35
135 BYU 69.3 +0.33 63 35
136 Indiana 69.3 +0.32 63 32
137 SMU 69.3 +0.32 63 35
138 Western Michigan 69.3 +0.31 62 31
139 San Francisco 69.3 +0.31 62 34
140 Louisville 69.3 +0.30 62 35
141 Army 69.3 +0.30 61 31
142 UC Riverside 69.3 +0.29 61 32
143 Denver 69.2 +0.28 61 29
144 Pepperdine 69.2 +0.28 61 34
145 Stetson 69.2 +0.27 60 29
146 UAlbany 69.2 +0.27 60 31
147 DePaul 69.2 +0.27 60 34
148 Michigan State 69.2 +0.26 60 37
149 Marshall 69.2 +0.26 59 31
150 Coppin State 69.2 +0.26 59 29
151 UTEP 69.2 +0.25 59 30
152 North Carolina A&T 69.1 +0.24 58 31
153 Eastern Kentucky 69.1 +0.22 58 30
154 Tennessee Tech 69.1 +0.22 58 30
155 Washington 69.1 +0.22 58 30
156 Iona 69.1 +0.21 57 34
157 Central Michigan 69.1 +0.21 57 27
158 Southern Indiana 69.0 +0.21 57 28
159 Central Arkansas 69.0 +0.20 56 31
160 Sam Houston 69.0 +0.19 56 29
161 Wright State 69.0 +0.17 56 31
162 West Georgia 69.0 +0.17 56 30
163 Chattanooga 68.9 +0.16 55 36
164 Cal State Fullerton 68.9 +0.15 55 30
165 Wisconsin 68.9 +0.15 55 37
166 Manhattan 68.9 +0.14 55 30
167 Valparaiso 68.9 +0.14 54 32
168 Omaha 68.9 +0.14 54 33
169 Yale 68.9 +0.13 54 29
170 Saint Joseph's 68.9 +0.13 53 35
171 Portland State 68.8 +0.12 53 29
172 Ball State 68.8 +0.12 53 28
173 Utah Tech 68.8 +0.11 53 31
174 Nicholls 68.8 +0.10 52 30
175 Eastern Michigan 68.8 +0.10 52 31
176 Saint Louis 68.7 +0.08 52 32
177 Jacksonville 68.7 +0.08 52 31
178 Boston College 68.7 +0.07 51 31
179 Detroit Mercy 68.7 +0.06 51 31
180 Siena 68.7 +0.05 51 32
181 Southern Illinois 68.7 +0.05 50 31
182 Colorado 68.6 +0.04 50 35
183 East Carolina 68.6 +0.03 50 31
184 Marquette 68.6 +0.03 50 34
185 Georgia 68.6 +0.02 49 33
186 UC Davis 68.6 +0.02 49 30
187 UT Martin 68.5 -0.01 49 30
188 Mount St. Mary's 68.5 -0.02 48 35
189 Pacific 68.5 -0.02 48 31
190 UL Monroe 68.5 -0.03 48 30
191 Oral Roberts 68.5 -0.03 48 26
192 Little Rock 68.5 -0.04 47 31
193 Tulsa 68.4 -0.04 47 31
194 Georgetown 68.4 -0.04 47 34
195 New Hampshire 68.4 -0.05 47 30
196 Florida A&M 68.4 -0.05 46 28
197 Loyola Marymount 68.4 -0.05 46 31
198 Texas State 68.4 -0.06 46 30
199 Texas A&M 68.3 -0.09 45 34
200 VMI 68.3 -0.09 45 30
201 Brown 68.3 -0.10 45 26
202 California Baptist 68.3 -0.12 45 32
203 Stephen F. Austin 68.2 -0.12 44 28
204 Kansas State 68.2 -0.14 44 32
205 Creighton 68.2 -0.16 44 36
206 Miami 68.2 -0.16 44 31
207 Tulane 68.1 -0.17 43 32
208 George Washington 68.1 -0.19 43 33
209 Monmouth 68.1 -0.19 43 33
210 East Texas A&M 68.1 -0.19 42 31
211 Princeton 68.0 -0.24 42 28
212 Kent State 67.9 -0.25 42 34
213 Northern Kentucky 67.9 -0.26 42 31
214 Saint Francis 67.9 -0.27 41 31
215 Wake Forest 67.9 -0.27 41 32
216 Loyola Chicago 67.9 -0.28 41 36
217 Norfolk State 67.8 -0.29 40 32
218 Butler 67.8 -0.30 40 35
219 North Alabama 67.8 -0.31 40 33
220 Pennsylvania 67.8 -0.31 40 27
221 Bellarmine 67.8 -0.31 39 29
222 Austin Peay 67.8 -0.31 39 31
223 Eastern Washington 67.8 -0.31 39 30
224 Montana 67.8 -0.32 39 32
225 SE Louisiana 67.7 -0.33 38 30
226 North Dakota State 67.7 -0.33 38 29
227 San José State 67.7 -0.34 38 33
228 Cal State Bakersfield 67.7 -0.35 37 31
229 Texas Tech 67.7 -0.36 37 37
230 Lipscomb 67.6 -0.38 37 33
231 Eastern Illinois 67.6 -0.40 37 28
232 SIU Edwardsville 67.6 -0.41 36 31
233 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 67.5 -0.41 36 30
234 Seattle U 67.5 -0.43 36 30
235 Maryland Eastern Shore 67.4 -0.45 36 27
236 Hawai'i 67.4 -0.46 35 29
237 Lehigh 67.4 -0.46 35 28
238 Pittsburgh 67.4 -0.48 35 32
239 South Carolina 67.3 -0.51 34 32
240 TCU 67.3 -0.52 34 31
241 Binghamton 67.3 -0.53 34 29
242 High Point 67.2 -0.54 34 33
243 Tarleton State 67.2 -0.54 33 29
244 Harvard 67.2 -0.55 33 26
245 Colgate 67.2 -0.56 33 32
246 Dayton 67.2 -0.56 33 33
247 UNC Wilmington 67.2 -0.57 32 33
248 Northeastern 67.1 -0.57 32 32
249 NJIT 67.1 -0.58 32 30
250 Stanford 67.1 -0.58 31 35
251 Notre Dame 67.1 -0.59 31 33
252 Northwestern 67.1 -0.59 31 33
253 Northern Arizona 67.1 -0.60 31 30
254 Utah State 67.1 -0.61 30 33
255 Bradley 67.0 -0.62 30 36
256 Navy 67.0 -0.63 30 33
257 Idaho 67.0 -0.64 29 31
258 Colorado State 67.0 -0.64 29 36
259 Louisiana Tech 67.0 -0.64 29 29
260 Idaho State 67.0 -0.64 29 27
261 Loyola Maryland 67.0 -0.65 28 30
262 Furman 66.9 -0.66 28 32
263 UC San Diego 66.9 -0.66 28 33
264 Providence 66.9 -0.67 28 32
265 Evansville 66.9 -0.67 27 31
266 Murray State 66.9 -0.68 27 32
267 Troy 66.9 -0.69 27 32
268 Louisiana 66.9 -0.69 26 32
269 Virginia Tech 66.8 -0.69 26 32
270 Montana State 66.8 -0.71 26 32
271 San Diego State 66.8 -0.73 26 30
272 Fairfield 66.8 -0.73 25 31
273 Maine 66.7 -0.74 25 32
274 Old Dominion 66.7 -0.75 25 33
275 Liberty 66.7 -0.75 25 32
276 Lafayette 66.7 -0.76 24 32
277 Grambling 66.7 -0.77 24 31
278 Charlotte 66.6 -0.78 24 32
279 Duke 66.6 -0.80 23 39
280 Cincinnati 66.6 -0.81 23 35
281 VCU 66.6 -0.81 23 34
282 George Mason 66.5 -0.82 23 35
283 Alcorn State 66.5 -0.83 22 31
284 UC Santa Barbara 66.5 -0.83 22 32
285 New Mexico State 66.5 -0.83 22 29
286 Clemson 66.5 -0.85 21 34
287 Long Beach State 66.5 -0.85 21 30
288 Baylor 66.5 -0.85 21 34
289 Campbell 66.4 -0.86 21 30
290 Holy Cross 66.4 -0.87 20 30
291 Central Connecticut 66.4 -0.87 20 30
292 Rice 66.4 -0.88 20 31
293 The Citadel 66.4 -0.88 20 26
294 Long Island University 66.4 -0.89 19 31
295 Weber State 66.4 -0.89 19 31
296 Davidson 66.3 -0.91 19 32
297 Illinois State 66.3 -0.91 18 35
298 IU Indianapolis 66.3 -0.92 18 29
299 Presbyterian 66.3 -0.92 18 30
300 Cleveland State 66.3 -0.93 18 33
301 Boise State 66.3 -0.93 17 36
302 Missouri State 66.3 -0.93 17 30
303 West Virginia 66.2 -0.94 17 32
304 UCLA 66.2 -0.96 17 34
305 Canisius 66.2 -0.96 16 31
306 Hampton 66.2 -0.96 16 30
307 Purdue 66.2 -0.97 16 36
308 Mississippi Valley State 66.1 -0.99 15 29
309 Oakland 66.1 -1.00 15 33
310 Lamar 66.1 -1.01 15 30
311 NC State 66.1 -1.02 15 31
312 UNLV 66.0 -1.03 14 33
313 Jacksonville State 66.0 -1.03 14 33
314 Duquesne 65.9 -1.07 14 31
315 McNeese 65.9 -1.09 13 33
316 Richmond 65.8 -1.13 13 30
317 Elon 65.8 -1.14 13 31
318 Western Illinois 65.7 -1.16 13 28
319 Stonehill 65.7 -1.16 12 30
320 Sacramento State 65.7 -1.17 12 29
321 Florida Gulf Coast 65.7 -1.17 12 33
322 Northern Iowa 65.7 -1.18 12 32
323 Kansas City 65.7 -1.18 11 29
324 Oregon State 65.6 -1.20 11 32
325 James Madison 65.6 -1.21 11 29
326 Niagara 65.6 -1.22 10 30
327 East Tennessee State 65.5 -1.24 10 30
328 South Alabama 65.5 -1.24 10 30
329 UConn 65.5 -1.25 10 35
330 Wyoming 65.5 -1.25 9 31
331 Incarnate Word 65.5 -1.25 9 32
332 St. Bonaventure 65.5 -1.25 9 33
333 Seton Hall 65.5 -1.26 9 32
334 Hofstra 65.4 -1.29 8 31
335 Mercyhurst 65.4 -1.30 8 28
336 Nevada 65.3 -1.31 8 33
337 Rider 65.3 -1.34 7 33
338 Air Force 65.2 -1.38 7 32
339 Drexel 65.2 -1.38 7 32
340 Merrimack 65.2 -1.39 7 33
341 Morehead State 65.2 -1.39 6 29
342 Saint Peter's 65.1 -1.42 6 27
343 Minnesota 65.1 -1.43 6 32
344 Marist 65.0 -1.47 6 30
345 Wofford 64.9 -1.47 5 33
346 Tennessee 64.9 -1.47 5 38
347 Houston Christian 64.9 -1.51 5 30
348 Towson 64.8 -1.54 4 32
349 Radford 64.8 -1.55 4 31
350 American University 64.7 -1.56 4 33
351 Northwestern State 64.7 -1.57 4 30
352 Boston University 64.7 -1.58 3 31
353 UNC Greensboro 64.6 -1.61 3 29
354 Stony Brook 64.6 -1.62 3 31
355 Coastal Carolina 64.5 -1.68 2 30
356 App State 64.1 -1.80 2 29
357 Villanova 64.0 -1.87 2 36
358 Saint Mary's 64.0 -1.87 2 34
359 Vermont 63.9 -1.89 1 31
360 Houston 63.4 -2.11 1 40
361 Virginia 61.6 -2.83 1 32
362 Wagner 61.3 -2.96 1 26
363 North Texas 61.3 -2.97 0 34
364 Drake 60.8 -3.16 0 33