Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
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Opponents' Win Percentage (OWP)

How good this team's opponents are — the strength-of-schedule half of RPI.

The average winning percentage of every opponent faced, with each opponent's games against this team excluded (so playing — and beating — a team doesn't drag down its contribution). This is the OWP component of RPI, which weights it at 50%.

Higher is better  ·  league avg 49.7%  ·  as of 2025-04-08

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.56 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 37.8% max 67.2% mean 49.7% std 5.1% (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Opponents' Win Percentage (OWP) z Pctl GP
1 Alabama 67.2% +3.41 100 37
2 Auburn 65.5% +3.07 100 38
3 Purdue 63.9% +2.76 99 36
4 Kentucky 63.2% +2.63 99 36
5 Ole Miss 62.1% +2.41 99 36
6 Texas A&M 61.8% +2.35 99 34
7 Houston 61.7% +2.33 98 40
8 Michigan 61.1% +2.22 98 37
9 Kansas 60.6% +2.11 98 34
10 Oregon 60.4% +2.07 98 35
11 Arizona State 60.0% +2.01 97 33
12 Memphis 59.8% +1.97 97 35
13 Florida 59.5% +1.90 97 40
14 Indiana 59.5% +1.90 96 32
15 Tennessee 59.4% +1.88 96 38
16 Baylor 59.4% +1.88 96 34
17 North Carolina 59.3% +1.87 96 37
18 Michigan State 59.1% +1.83 95 37
19 Georgia 58.9% +1.78 95 33
20 Duke 58.8% +1.78 95 39
21 South Carolina 58.6% +1.73 94 32
22 Illinois 58.6% +1.72 94 35
23 Mississippi State 58.3% +1.67 94 34
24 USC 58.2% +1.65 94 35
25 Arizona 58.1% +1.63 93 37
26 TCU 58.0% +1.61 93 32
27 Nebraska 57.6% +1.53 93 35
28 West Virginia 57.4% +1.49 93 32
29 San Diego State 57.2% +1.46 92 30
30 Arkansas 57.1% +1.44 92 36
31 Minnesota 57.1% +1.43 92 32
32 Marquette 57.0% +1.42 91 34
33 Texas Tech 57.0% +1.42 91 37
34 Virginia 56.9% +1.40 91 32
35 Ohio State 56.9% +1.39 91 32
36 Creighton 56.8% +1.38 90 36
37 UCF 56.6% +1.34 90 37
38 UCLA 56.6% +1.33 90 34
39 Maryland 56.5% +1.33 90 36
40 Missouri 56.5% +1.32 89 34
41 Saint Mary's 56.3% +1.28 89 34
42 Rutgers 56.3% +1.27 89 32
43 Wisconsin 55.9% +1.20 88 37
44 New Mexico 55.8% +1.18 88 34
45 Louisville 55.7% +1.17 88 35
46 Middle Tennessee 55.7% +1.17 88 32
47 Clemson 55.6% +1.15 87 34
48 Syracuse 55.5% +1.13 87 33
49 Southern Illinois 55.5% +1.13 87 31
50 Iowa State 55.5% +1.11 87 35
51 Wofford 55.4% +1.11 86 33
52 Kansas State 55.4% +1.11 86 33
53 Butler 55.4% +1.11 86 35
54 Oklahoma 55.4% +1.11 85 34
55 Gonzaga 55.2% +1.07 85 35
56 Washington 55.1% +1.05 85 30
57 James Madison 55.1% +1.05 85 30
58 Northwestern 55.0% +1.03 84 33
59 Northern Iowa 55.0% +1.03 84 32
60 Saint Louis 55.0% +1.02 84 32
61 UC Irvine 55.0% +1.02 83 38
62 Providence 55.0% +1.02 83 32
63 Duquesne 54.9% +1.02 83 31
64 St. John's 54.8% +0.98 83 36
65 Stanford 54.6% +0.96 82 35
66 Richmond 54.6% +0.95 82 30
67 Vanderbilt 54.5% +0.92 82 33
68 North Texas 54.4% +0.90 82 34
69 Utah State 54.4% +0.90 81 33
70 McNeese 54.3% +0.90 81 33
71 Colorado 54.3% +0.89 81 35
72 Dayton 54.3% +0.89 80 33
73 Akron 54.3% +0.89 80 33
74 UNLV 54.3% +0.88 80 33
75 Western Kentucky 54.3% +0.88 80 30
76 Florida Atlantic 54.2% +0.88 79 33
77 Saint Joseph's 54.2% +0.87 79 35
78 Chattanooga 53.9% +0.81 79 36
79 Miami 53.8% +0.80 79 31
80 Colorado State 53.8% +0.79 78 36
81 San Francisco 53.8% +0.79 78 34
82 UC Riverside 53.7% +0.78 78 32
83 UTSA 53.7% +0.76 77 29
84 Iowa 53.6% +0.76 77 33
85 Cincinnati 53.6% +0.76 77 35
86 LSU 53.6% +0.76 77 32
87 Oakland 53.5% +0.73 76 33
88 George Mason 53.4% +0.72 76 35
89 Boise State 53.4% +0.72 76 36
90 Kent State 53.2% +0.68 75 34
91 La Salle 53.2% +0.68 75 32
92 Kennesaw State 53.2% +0.68 75 30
93 Santa Clara 53.1% +0.66 75 34
94 Pittsburgh 53.1% +0.66 74 32
95 Penn State 53.1% +0.65 74 31
96 Texas 53.0% +0.64 74 35
97 BYU 52.9% +0.62 74 36
98 Jacksonville State 52.8% +0.60 73 33
99 Xavier 52.7% +0.58 73 34
100 Canisius 52.7% +0.57 73 31
101 Montana 52.6% +0.55 72 32
102 Seattle U 52.5% +0.54 72 30
103 Fordham 52.4% +0.52 72 32
104 Loyola Marymount 52.4% +0.52 72 31
105 UIC 52.3% +0.50 71 29
106 Delaware 52.2% +0.49 71 34
107 Towson 52.2% +0.49 71 32
108 Sam Houston 52.2% +0.49 71 29
109 Notre Dame 52.2% +0.49 70 33
110 Louisiana 52.2% +0.48 70 32
111 Chicago State 52.2% +0.48 70 32
112 UConn 52.1% +0.47 69 35
113 UAB 52.1% +0.46 69 36
114 Bradley 52.1% +0.46 69 36
115 UTEP 52.0% +0.44 69 30
116 App State 51.9% +0.43 68 29
117 Arkansas State 51.9% +0.43 68 35
118 Virginia Tech 51.9% +0.42 68 32
119 Florida State 51.8% +0.40 67 32
120 Nevada 51.7% +0.39 67 33
121 Princeton 51.6% +0.37 67 28
122 Rhode Island 51.6% +0.36 67 30
123 SMU 51.6% +0.36 66 35
124 Samford 51.5% +0.34 66 31
125 Yale 51.5% +0.34 66 29
126 Oklahoma State 51.4% +0.32 66 35
127 Evansville 51.3% +0.31 65 31
128 Toledo 51.2% +0.29 65 32
129 Northern Kentucky 51.2% +0.28 65 31
130 Utah 51.2% +0.28 64 33
131 Murray State 51.2% +0.28 64 32
132 Merrimack 51.1% +0.28 64 33
133 Bryant 51.1% +0.27 64 33
134 Siena 51.1% +0.26 63 32
135 Ohio 51.0% +0.26 63 31
136 California 51.0% +0.24 63 33
137 Air Force 51.0% +0.24 63 32
138 Massachusetts 50.9% +0.22 62 31
139 Louisiana Tech 50.8% +0.22 62 29
140 St. Bonaventure 50.8% +0.20 62 33
141 Furman 50.7% +0.19 61 32
142 Seton Hall 50.7% +0.19 61 32
143 Wake Forest 50.7% +0.18 61 32
144 Jackson State 50.6% +0.17 61 34
145 Washington State 50.6% +0.17 60 34
146 Illinois State 50.6% +0.16 60 35
147 Wichita State 50.5% +0.15 60 33
148 NC State 50.3% +0.11 60 31
149 Drake 50.2% +0.09 59 33
150 California Baptist 50.2% +0.09 59 32
151 Harvard 50.2% +0.09 59 26
152 Stony Brook 50.2% +0.08 58 31
153 Gardner-Webb 50.1% +0.07 58 31
154 Davidson 50.1% +0.07 58 32
155 Quinnipiac 50.1% +0.07 58 32
156 VCU 50.0% +0.05 57 34
157 Belmont 50.0% +0.05 57 32
158 Missouri State 50.0% +0.04 57 30
159 New Mexico State 49.8% +0.02 56 29
160 Villanova 49.8% +0.02 56 36
161 Cornell 49.7% -0.00 56 27
162 Southern Miss 49.7% -0.01 56 31
163 Nicholls 49.7% -0.01 55 30
164 Boston College 49.7% -0.01 55 31
165 Loyola Chicago 49.6% -0.02 55 36
166 Milwaukee 49.6% -0.02 55 30
167 East Texas A&M 49.6% -0.02 54 31
168 Wright State 49.6% -0.03 54 31
169 Saint Francis 49.6% -0.03 54 31
170 Central Michigan 49.5% -0.05 53 27
171 Mount St. Mary's 49.5% -0.05 53 35
172 Georgetown 49.4% -0.06 53 34
173 UC Davis 49.4% -0.07 53 30
174 UNC Asheville 49.4% -0.07 52 28
175 Troy 49.4% -0.07 52 32
176 Hofstra 49.3% -0.08 52 31
177 Charleston Southern 49.3% -0.09 52 30
178 Norfolk State 49.3% -0.09 51 32
179 Hampton 49.3% -0.09 51 30
180 South Florida 49.2% -0.10 51 31
181 Pennsylvania 49.2% -0.11 50 27
182 Georgia Tech 49.1% -0.13 50 34
183 New Orleans 49.1% -0.13 50 31
184 Green Bay 49.0% -0.14 50 31
185 Kansas City 49.0% -0.14 49 29
186 Lipscomb 49.0% -0.15 49 33
187 Detroit Mercy 48.9% -0.15 49 31
188 George Washington 48.9% -0.17 48 33
189 William & Mary 48.9% -0.17 48 30
190 Oregon State 48.9% -0.17 48 32
191 San Diego 48.8% -0.19 48 32
192 Vermont 48.8% -0.19 47 31
193 Western Michigan 48.7% -0.20 47 31
194 Lamar 48.6% -0.21 47 30
195 Western Carolina 48.6% -0.21 47 27
196 Charlotte 48.6% -0.22 46 32
197 San José State 48.6% -0.22 46 33
198 Liberty 48.5% -0.23 46 32
199 Cal Poly 48.5% -0.23 45 34
200 Cal State Fullerton 48.5% -0.24 45 30
201 UNC Wilmington 48.5% -0.24 45 33
202 Wyoming 48.5% -0.25 45 31
203 Tulane 48.4% -0.26 44 32
204 Indiana State 48.4% -0.26 44 30
205 Hawai'i 48.4% -0.26 44 29
206 High Point 48.4% -0.27 44 33
207 Charleston 48.4% -0.27 43 32
208 Southeast Missouri State 48.3% -0.27 43 30
209 Omaha 48.3% -0.27 43 33
210 UC San Diego 48.3% -0.28 42 33
211 Colgate 48.3% -0.29 42 32
212 Jacksonville 48.3% -0.29 42 31
213 Winthrop 48.2% -0.29 42 31
214 East Carolina 48.2% -0.29 41 31
215 Texas State 48.2% -0.29 41 30
216 Valparaiso 48.2% -0.30 41 32
217 Tarleton State 48.2% -0.30 40 29
218 Florida Gulf Coast 48.2% -0.30 40 33
219 North Dakota 48.2% -0.30 40 30
220 Sacred Heart 48.2% -0.30 40 32
221 Utah Tech 48.1% -0.31 39 31
222 Stephen F. Austin 48.0% -0.34 39 28
223 Marshall 48.0% -0.34 39 31
224 Temple 48.0% -0.35 39 31
225 North Florida 48.0% -0.35 38 30
226 Portland 47.9% -0.35 38 30
227 Cleveland State 47.9% -0.35 38 33
228 South Carolina Upstate 47.9% -0.35 37 29
229 UMass Lowell 47.9% -0.36 37 29
230 Maryland Eastern Shore 47.9% -0.36 37 27
231 Lehigh 47.8% -0.37 37 28
232 Long Beach State 47.8% -0.38 36 30
233 American University 47.8% -0.38 36 33
234 Fairfield 47.7% -0.39 36 31
235 Oral Roberts 47.7% -0.39 36 26
236 Holy Cross 47.7% -0.40 35 30
237 Morehead State 47.5% -0.43 35 29
238 Northeastern 47.5% -0.43 35 32
239 Army 47.5% -0.43 34 31
240 Monmouth 47.4% -0.45 34 33
241 Georgia State 47.4% -0.45 34 32
242 UNC Greensboro 47.4% -0.45 34 29
243 Pacific 47.4% -0.46 33 31
244 Pepperdine 47.4% -0.46 33 34
245 Weber State 47.3% -0.48 33 31
246 Utah Valley 47.3% -0.48 33 32
247 DePaul 47.2% -0.50 32 34
248 Longwood 47.1% -0.51 32 29
249 Austin Peay 47.1% -0.51 32 31
250 Dartmouth 47.0% -0.53 31 26
251 Buffalo 47.0% -0.53 31 29
252 South Dakota State 47.0% -0.54 31 29
253 Radford 47.0% -0.54 31 31
254 Elon 47.0% -0.54 30 31
255 Howard 46.9% -0.55 30 28
256 Brown 46.9% -0.56 30 26
257 Purdue Fort Wayne 46.9% -0.56 29 30
258 Tennessee State 46.9% -0.56 29 30
259 Houston Christian 46.9% -0.56 29 30
260 West Georgia 46.9% -0.56 29 30
261 Northern Illinois 46.8% -0.56 28 28
262 Old Dominion 46.8% -0.57 28 33
263 UT Martin 46.7% -0.58 28 30
264 Northwestern State 46.7% -0.60 28 30
265 Georgia Southern 46.7% -0.60 27 32
266 Bucknell 46.7% -0.60 27 33
267 Eastern Kentucky 46.6% -0.62 27 30
268 Northern Colorado 46.5% -0.62 26 32
269 North Carolina A&T 46.5% -0.62 26 31
270 Montana State 46.5% -0.63 26 32
271 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 46.4% -0.65 26 30
272 North Dakota State 46.3% -0.66 25 29
273 South Alabama 46.2% -0.68 25 30
274 Iona 46.2% -0.69 25 34
275 Cal State Bakersfield 46.2% -0.69 25 31
276 Fresno State 46.1% -0.71 24 32
277 North Carolina Central 46.1% -0.72 24 29
278 Mississippi Valley State 45.9% -0.76 24 29
279 Incarnate Word 45.8% -0.76 23 32
280 Niagara 45.8% -0.76 23 30
281 Eastern Washington 45.8% -0.77 23 30
282 Grand Canyon 45.7% -0.78 23 33
283 Alabama State 45.7% -0.79 22 35
284 Abilene Christian 45.7% -0.79 22 29
285 Robert Morris 45.6% -0.80 22 34
286 Southern Utah 45.6% -0.81 21 28
287 UT Arlington 45.5% -0.83 21 29
288 Florida A&M 45.5% -0.83 21 29
289 IU Indianapolis 45.5% -0.83 21 29
290 UMBC 45.4% -0.84 20 29
291 Denver 45.4% -0.84 20 29
292 St. Thomas-Minnesota 45.4% -0.85 20 31
293 Miami (OH) 45.4% -0.85 20 32
294 East Tennessee State 45.3% -0.87 19 30
295 UT Rio Grande Valley 45.2% -0.88 19 27
296 Alcorn State 45.2% -0.89 19 31
297 Le Moyne 45.1% -0.89 18 30
298 Idaho 45.1% -0.90 18 31
299 Lindenwood 45.0% -0.93 18 30
300 Rice 45.0% -0.93 18 31
301 Presbyterian 44.9% -0.93 17 30
302 Eastern Michigan 44.9% -0.95 17 31
303 Mercer 44.8% -0.96 17 31
304 Drexel 44.8% -0.97 17 32
305 Grambling 44.7% -0.99 16 31
306 Florida International 44.6% -1.00 16 31
307 Coppin State 44.5% -1.02 16 29
308 Tennessee Tech 44.5% -1.03 15 30
309 Lafayette 44.3% -1.06 15 32
310 New Hampshire 44.3% -1.07 15 30
311 Tulsa 44.2% -1.07 15 31
312 North Alabama 44.2% -1.08 14 33
313 Sacramento State 44.1% -1.09 14 29
314 Queens University 44.1% -1.10 14 33
315 Manhattan 44.0% -1.11 13 30
316 Boston University 44.0% -1.11 13 31
317 UL Monroe 44.0% -1.12 13 30
318 Central Arkansas 43.9% -1.13 13 31
319 Little Rock 43.9% -1.14 12 31
320 The Citadel 43.9% -1.15 12 26
321 Eastern Illinois 43.8% -1.15 12 28
322 Cal State Northridge 43.8% -1.16 12 31
323 Texas Southern 43.7% -1.17 11 29
324 Binghamton 43.6% -1.20 11 29
325 Columbia 43.5% -1.21 11 25
326 Stetson 43.5% -1.21 10 30
327 Prairie View A&M 43.3% -1.25 10 31
328 VMI 43.3% -1.25 10 30
329 Bellarmine 43.3% -1.25 10 29
330 Southern Indiana 43.3% -1.26 9 28
331 UAlbany 43.0% -1.32 9 31
332 SIU Edwardsville 42.9% -1.33 9 31
333 Bethune-Cookman 42.8% -1.35 9 33
334 Campbell 42.8% -1.36 8 30
335 Central Connecticut 42.7% -1.37 8 30
336 Fairleigh Dickinson 42.7% -1.37 8 30
337 Bowling Green 42.6% -1.38 7 30
338 Alabama A&M 42.6% -1.40 7 29
339 NJIT 42.5% -1.41 7 30
340 Rider 42.5% -1.41 7 33
341 Loyola Maryland 42.5% -1.42 6 30
342 Saint Peter's 42.4% -1.42 6 27
343 Navy 42.4% -1.42 6 33
344 Long Island University 42.4% -1.43 6 31
345 Western Illinois 42.1% -1.49 5 28
346 SE Louisiana 42.1% -1.49 5 30
347 South Dakota 41.9% -1.53 5 30
348 Coastal Carolina 41.9% -1.53 4 30
349 Ball State 41.8% -1.54 4 28
350 South Carolina State 41.7% -1.56 4 30
351 Maine 41.5% -1.61 4 32
352 Idaho State 41.5% -1.61 3 27
353 Stonehill 41.2% -1.67 3 30
354 Southern 41.1% -1.67 3 29
355 Northern Arizona 41.1% -1.69 2 30
356 Portland State 40.8% -1.74 2 29
357 Youngstown State 40.8% -1.74 2 32
358 Marist 40.5% -1.79 2 30
359 Morgan State 40.1% -1.88 1 28
360 UC Santa Barbara 39.8% -1.94 1 32
361 Delaware State 39.8% -1.94 1 26
362 Mercyhurst 39.5% -1.99 1 28
363 Wagner 38.5% -2.20 0 26
364 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 37.8% -2.32 0 29