But anyone who ever had heart, they wouldn't turn around and break it. "Sweet Jane" - Lou Reed

Does it predict winners?

Predicts home win: AUC 0.57 (team entering with the better value wins 55% of games)

See the game-by-game scatter on the Predictor page →

Team Distribution

Season-to-date value for every team, with a density curve.

min 5.8 max 16.0 mean 10.3 std 1.7 (n=364)

Team Rankings

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# Team Offensive Rebounds Per Game z Pctl GP
1 Texas A&M 16.0 +3.24 100 34
2 St. John's 14.9 +2.60 100 36
3 Iona 14.6 +2.42 99 34
4 UAB 14.5 +2.39 99 36
5 Old Dominion 14.5 +2.37 99 33
6 Massachusetts 14.1 +2.16 99 31
7 Saint Mary's 14.0 +2.10 98 34
8 Milwaukee 14.0 +2.08 98 30
9 Florida 13.7 +1.95 98 40
10 Idaho State 13.7 +1.93 98 27
11 Alabama A&M 13.5 +1.81 97 29
12 Troy 13.4 +1.78 97 32
13 California 13.4 +1.77 97 33
14 Western Michigan 13.3 +1.72 96 31
15 UT Martin 13.3 +1.68 96 30
16 Saint Peter's 13.3 +1.68 96 27
17 Arkansas State 13.2 +1.64 96 35
18 Lamar 13.2 +1.64 95 30
19 Towson 13.2 +1.62 95 32
20 North Dakota 13.1 +1.57 95 30
21 VCU 13.1 +1.56 94 34
22 Bryant 13.0 +1.55 94 33
23 Illinois 12.9 +1.50 94 35
24 Georgia Southern 12.8 +1.44 94 32
25 East Tennessee State 12.8 +1.42 93 30
26 Houston 12.8 +1.42 93 40
27 Mississippi State 12.8 +1.41 93 34
28 Cal State Northridge 12.7 +1.36 93 31
29 Stephen F. Austin 12.7 +1.35 92 28
30 Baylor 12.7 +1.34 92 34
31 Hampton 12.7 +1.34 92 30
32 Kent State 12.6 +1.33 91 34
33 Utah 12.6 +1.32 91 33
34 Samford 12.6 +1.31 91 31
35 Jacksonville 12.5 +1.27 91 31
36 Eastern Kentucky 12.5 +1.24 90 30
37 Southern 12.5 +1.23 90 29
38 Morgan State 12.5 +1.22 90 28
39 SMU 12.5 +1.22 90 35
40 Robert Morris 12.4 +1.21 89 34
41 Cal State Bakersfield 12.4 +1.20 89 31
42 East Carolina 12.4 +1.20 89 31
43 Alabama 12.4 +1.19 88 37
44 Delaware State 12.4 +1.18 88 26
45 South Carolina State 12.4 +1.17 88 30
46 Arizona 12.3 +1.14 88 37
47 Marshall 12.3 +1.14 87 31
48 Rice 12.3 +1.12 87 31
49 North Alabama 12.3 +1.11 87 33
50 UCF 12.2 +1.10 87 37
51 Memphis 12.2 +1.07 86 35
52 Wofford 12.2 +1.06 86 33
53 North Carolina Central 12.2 +1.05 86 29
54 New Orleans 12.1 +1.01 85 31
55 California Baptist 12.0 +0.96 85 32
56 Fordham 12.0 +0.96 85 32
57 Texas State 12.0 +0.94 85 30
58 UNC Wilmington 11.9 +0.92 84 33
59 UC Riverside 11.9 +0.92 84 32
60 Elon 11.9 +0.90 84 31
61 Michigan State 11.9 +0.89 83 37
62 New Mexico 11.9 +0.89 83 34
63 Tennessee State 11.9 +0.88 83 30
64 Georgia 11.8 +0.87 83 33
65 Quinnipiac 11.8 +0.87 82 32
66 TCU 11.8 +0.86 82 31
67 Texas Tech 11.8 +0.86 82 37
68 Portland State 11.8 +0.86 82 29
69 Auburn 11.8 +0.85 81 38
70 La Salle 11.8 +0.85 81 32
71 Oakland 11.8 +0.83 81 33
72 Detroit Mercy 11.8 +0.83 80 31
73 Nicholls 11.8 +0.82 80 30
74 South Dakota 11.8 +0.82 80 30
75 McNeese 11.8 +0.82 80 33
76 Alcorn State 11.7 +0.81 79 31
77 UAlbany 11.7 +0.81 79 31
78 Manhattan 11.7 +0.80 79 30
79 Northern Arizona 11.7 +0.80 79 30
80 Cleveland State 11.7 +0.80 78 33
81 South Dakota State 11.7 +0.80 78 29
82 Incarnate Word 11.7 +0.79 78 32
83 Akron 11.7 +0.78 77 33
84 Sacred Heart 11.7 +0.78 77 32
85 Duquesne 11.7 +0.77 77 31
86 New Mexico State 11.6 +0.74 77 29
87 Utah State 11.6 +0.73 76 33
88 Wichita State 11.6 +0.73 76 33
89 Lindenwood 11.6 +0.71 76 30
90 San Diego 11.6 +0.70 75 32
91 Georgia State 11.5 +0.69 75 32
92 UT Arlington 11.5 +0.68 75 29
93 SIU Edwardsville 11.5 +0.68 75 31
94 Winthrop 11.5 +0.68 74 31
95 Tennessee 11.5 +0.67 74 38
96 Vanderbilt 11.5 +0.66 74 33
97 Gardner-Webb 11.5 +0.66 74 31
98 Texas Southern 11.5 +0.66 73 29
99 Kennesaw State 11.5 +0.65 73 30
100 Mercer 11.3 +0.57 73 31
101 Temple 11.3 +0.57 72 31
102 Eastern Illinois 11.3 +0.57 72 28
103 Providence 11.3 +0.56 72 32
104 James Madison 11.3 +0.56 72 29
105 Alabama State 11.3 +0.55 71 35
106 Cincinnati 11.3 +0.55 71 35
107 Middle Tennessee 11.3 +0.54 71 32
108 Navy 11.3 +0.54 71 33
109 Charleston Southern 11.3 +0.53 70 30
110 Northwestern State 11.3 +0.53 70 30
111 Clemson 11.3 +0.53 70 34
112 Georgetown 11.3 +0.53 69 34
113 Santa Clara 11.3 +0.53 69 34
114 UT Rio Grande Valley 11.3 +0.53 69 27
115 Florida International 11.3 +0.53 69 31
116 Seton Hall 11.2 +0.51 68 32
117 BYU 11.2 +0.50 68 35
118 UConn 11.2 +0.50 68 35
119 Rutgers 11.2 +0.49 67 32
120 Rider 11.2 +0.49 67 33
121 Oklahoma State 11.2 +0.48 67 35
122 Queens University 11.2 +0.47 67 32
123 Wagner 11.2 +0.47 66 26
124 Grand Canyon 11.1 +0.45 66 33
125 Louisville 11.1 +0.45 66 35
126 Michigan 11.1 +0.41 66 37
127 Long Island University 11.0 +0.40 65 31
128 Radford 11.0 +0.40 65 31
129 Syracuse 11.0 +0.40 65 33
130 Gonzaga 11.0 +0.38 64 35
131 Kansas City 11.0 +0.38 64 29
132 Missouri 11.0 +0.38 64 34
133 Morehead State 11.0 +0.38 64 29
134 Northern Kentucky 11.0 +0.38 63 31
135 Longwood 11.0 +0.36 63 29
136 Central Michigan 11.0 +0.36 63 27
137 Jackson State 10.9 +0.35 63 34
138 Marquette 10.9 +0.35 62 34
139 Northwestern 10.9 +0.35 62 33
140 Georgia Tech 10.9 +0.33 62 34
141 Indiana 10.9 +0.33 61 32
142 North Florida 10.9 +0.32 61 30
143 Yale 10.9 +0.32 61 29
144 Drexel 10.9 +0.31 61 32
145 IU Indianapolis 10.9 +0.30 60 29
146 Florida Atlantic 10.8 +0.29 60 33
147 UL Monroe 10.8 +0.29 60 30
148 Monmouth 10.8 +0.28 60 33
149 UNC Greensboro 10.8 +0.26 59 29
150 George Washington 10.8 +0.26 59 33
151 UNC Asheville 10.8 +0.26 59 28
152 Utah Valley 10.8 +0.26 58 32
153 Seattle U 10.8 +0.25 58 30
154 UCLA 10.8 +0.25 58 34
155 Jacksonville State 10.8 +0.24 58 33
156 Boston University 10.7 +0.23 57 31
157 Central Arkansas 10.7 +0.23 57 31
158 Fairfield 10.7 +0.23 57 31
159 Brown 10.7 +0.23 56 26
160 High Point 10.7 +0.21 56 33
161 Stanford 10.7 +0.20 56 35
162 SE Louisiana 10.7 +0.19 56 30
163 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 10.7 +0.19 55 30
164 Toledo 10.7 +0.18 55 32
165 Duke 10.6 +0.18 55 39
166 Saint Joseph's 10.6 +0.17 55 35
167 Northeastern 10.6 +0.15 54 32
168 Kansas 10.6 +0.13 54 34
169 Maryland 10.6 +0.13 54 36
170 Missouri State 10.5 +0.11 53 30
171 Minnesota 10.5 +0.11 53 32
172 UIC 10.5 +0.10 53 29
173 North Carolina A&T 10.5 +0.09 53 31
174 Boise State 10.5 +0.08 52 36
175 Youngstown State 10.5 +0.08 52 32
176 Southern Utah 10.5 +0.07 52 28
177 Abilene Christian 10.4 +0.06 52 29
178 Sam Houston 10.4 +0.06 51 29
179 Little Rock 10.4 +0.05 51 31
180 Southern Miss 10.3 +0.01 51 29
181 Fresno State 10.3 +0.00 50 32
182 Marist 10.3 -0.00 50 30
183 Stony Brook 10.3 -0.01 50 31
184 Iowa State 10.3 -0.01 50 35
185 LSU 10.3 -0.01 49 32
186 Norfolk State 10.3 -0.01 49 32
187 Omaha 10.3 -0.02 49 33
188 Southern Illinois 10.3 -0.03 48 31
189 San Francisco 10.3 -0.04 48 34
190 Boston College 10.3 -0.04 48 31
191 NC State 10.3 -0.04 48 31
192 Furman 10.2 -0.07 47 32
193 Oregon 10.2 -0.08 47 35
194 Wyoming 10.2 -0.08 47 31
195 Florida State 10.2 -0.08 47 32
196 Texas 10.2 -0.09 46 35
197 NJIT 10.2 -0.10 46 30
198 New Hampshire 10.2 -0.10 46 30
199 Kansas State 10.2 -0.10 45 32
200 Virginia Tech 10.2 -0.10 45 32
201 South Florida 10.1 -0.12 45 31
202 Bethune-Cookman 10.1 -0.12 45 33
203 Drake 10.1 -0.12 44 33
204 South Carolina 10.1 -0.14 44 32
205 Southern Indiana 10.1 -0.15 44 28
206 North Texas 10.1 -0.16 44 34
207 Mount St. Mary's 10.1 -0.16 43 35
208 The Citadel 10.0 -0.17 43 26
209 George Mason 10.0 -0.18 43 35
210 Pacific 10.0 -0.19 42 31
211 Presbyterian 10.0 -0.19 42 30
212 Western Carolina 10.0 -0.19 42 27
213 Notre Dame 10.0 -0.21 42 33
214 Murray State 10.0 -0.21 41 32
215 San Diego State 9.9 -0.23 41 30
216 Cal Poly 9.9 -0.24 41 34
217 Coastal Carolina 9.9 -0.25 40 30
218 UTSA 9.9 -0.25 40 29
219 Kentucky 9.9 -0.26 40 36
220 Maryland Eastern Shore 9.9 -0.26 40 27
221 Eastern Michigan 9.9 -0.27 39 31
222 Loyola Chicago 9.9 -0.27 39 36
223 Pepperdine 9.9 -0.28 39 34
224 Washington State 9.9 -0.28 39 34
225 Florida Gulf Coast 9.8 -0.28 38 33
226 Siena 9.8 -0.28 38 32
227 Rhode Island 9.8 -0.29 38 30
228 Pittsburgh 9.8 -0.30 37 32
229 East Texas A&M 9.8 -0.30 37 31
230 North Carolina 9.8 -0.32 37 37
231 Purdue 9.8 -0.32 37 36
232 South Alabama 9.8 -0.33 36 30
233 Valparaiso 9.8 -0.34 36 32
234 Idaho 9.7 -0.34 36 31
235 Loyola Maryland 9.7 -0.35 36 30
236 Hawai'i 9.7 -0.35 35 29
237 Army 9.7 -0.36 35 31
238 UC Davis 9.7 -0.36 35 30
239 Tulsa 9.7 -0.38 34 31
240 Pennsylvania 9.7 -0.38 34 27
241 Arkansas-Pine Bluff 9.7 -0.39 34 29
242 Coppin State 9.7 -0.39 34 29
243 Dayton 9.6 -0.40 33 33
244 Belmont 9.6 -0.41 33 32
245 App State 9.6 -0.43 33 29
246 Villanova 9.6 -0.45 33 36
247 Colorado 9.5 -0.46 32 35
248 West Georgia 9.5 -0.46 32 30
249 Ohio State 9.5 -0.46 32 32
250 Arkansas 9.5 -0.46 31 36
251 Sacramento State 9.5 -0.47 31 29
252 Austin Peay 9.5 -0.47 31 31
253 Washington 9.5 -0.48 31 30
254 Western Illinois 9.5 -0.48 30 28
255 Miami 9.5 -0.51 30 31
256 Louisiana 9.4 -0.53 30 32
257 Oregon State 9.4 -0.53 29 32
258 Howard 9.4 -0.54 29 28
259 Penn State 9.4 -0.54 29 31
260 Wisconsin 9.4 -0.55 29 37
261 Princeton 9.4 -0.56 28 28
262 Charleston 9.3 -0.61 28 32
263 Louisiana Tech 9.3 -0.61 28 29
264 South Carolina Upstate 9.3 -0.61 28 29
265 UNLV 9.3 -0.61 27 33
266 Fairleigh Dickinson 9.3 -0.61 27 30
267 UC Irvine 9.3 -0.62 27 38
268 Nebraska 9.2 -0.64 26 35
269 Ole Miss 9.2 -0.66 26 36
270 Utah Tech 9.2 -0.66 26 31
271 St. Bonaventure 9.2 -0.66 26 33
272 Florida A&M 9.2 -0.66 25 28
273 Western Kentucky 9.2 -0.67 25 30
274 Miami (OH) 9.2 -0.68 25 32
275 DePaul 9.1 -0.68 25 34
276 Buffalo 9.1 -0.69 24 29
277 Long Beach State 9.1 -0.69 24 30
278 San José State 9.1 -0.70 24 33
279 Columbia 9.1 -0.72 23 25
280 Cal State Fullerton 9.1 -0.73 23 30
281 William & Mary 9.0 -0.75 23 30
282 Tulane 9.0 -0.75 23 32
283 Indiana State 9.0 -0.77 22 30
284 West Virginia 9.0 -0.77 22 32
285 Wright State 9.0 -0.77 22 31
286 Tennessee Tech 9.0 -0.79 21 30
287 Ball State 9.0 -0.79 21 28
288 Houston Christian 8.9 -0.81 21 30
289 UTEP 8.9 -0.81 21 30
290 Bowling Green 8.9 -0.81 20 29
291 Wake Forest 8.9 -0.84 20 32
292 UC Santa Barbara 8.8 -0.86 20 32
293 Hofstra 8.8 -0.86 20 31
294 Prairie View A&M 8.8 -0.88 19 31
295 Binghamton 8.8 -0.91 19 29
296 Denver 8.8 -0.91 19 29
297 Arizona State 8.8 -0.91 18 33
298 Grambling 8.7 -0.91 18 31
299 Vermont 8.7 -0.91 18 31
300 VMI 8.7 -0.94 18 30
301 Tarleton State 8.7 -0.94 17 29
302 Iowa 8.7 -0.96 17 33
303 Nevada 8.7 -0.96 17 33
304 Charlotte 8.7 -0.96 17 32
305 Le Moyne 8.6 -0.98 16 30
306 UC San Diego 8.6 -0.99 16 33
307 USC 8.6 -1.01 16 35
308 Stonehill 8.6 -1.02 15 30
309 Eastern Washington 8.5 -1.03 15 30
310 Chicago State 8.5 -1.04 15 32
311 Bucknell 8.5 -1.05 15 33
312 Central Connecticut 8.5 -1.07 14 30
313 Butler 8.5 -1.08 14 35
314 Oklahoma 8.4 -1.09 14 34
315 Creighton 8.4 -1.10 13 36
316 Colorado State 8.4 -1.12 13 36
317 Campbell 8.3 -1.17 13 30
318 Portland 8.3 -1.17 13 30
319 Dartmouth 8.3 -1.19 12 26
320 Harvard 8.3 -1.19 12 26
321 Saint Francis 8.3 -1.19 12 31
322 North Dakota State 8.2 -1.20 12 29
323 Stetson 8.2 -1.20 11 29
324 Lafayette 8.2 -1.22 11 32
325 Cornell 8.2 -1.23 11 27
326 UMass Lowell 8.2 -1.24 10 29
327 Ohio 8.2 -1.25 10 31
328 Northern Colorado 8.1 -1.29 10 32
329 Chattanooga 8.1 -1.31 10 36
330 Weber State 8.0 -1.32 9 31
331 Bradley 8.0 -1.34 9 36
332 Davidson 8.0 -1.34 9 32
333 Southeast Missouri State 8.0 -1.34 9 30
334 Oral Roberts 7.8 -1.43 8 26
335 Loyola Marymount 7.8 -1.43 8 31
336 Xavier 7.8 -1.48 8 34
337 Northern Iowa 7.8 -1.48 7 32
338 Illinois State 7.7 -1.52 7 35
339 Colgate 7.7 -1.54 7 32
340 Evansville 7.6 -1.58 7 31
341 American University 7.5 -1.60 6 33
342 Mississippi Valley State 7.5 -1.62 6 29
343 Holy Cross 7.5 -1.63 6 30
344 Lipscomb 7.5 -1.64 6 33
345 Niagara 7.5 -1.65 5 30
346 Purdue Fort Wayne 7.5 -1.65 5 30
347 Saint Louis 7.4 -1.66 5 32
348 Air Force 7.4 -1.70 4 32
349 Delaware 7.2 -1.80 4 34
350 Lehigh 7.1 -1.85 4 28
351 Mercyhurst 7.1 -1.87 4 28
352 Merrimack 7.0 -1.90 3 33
353 Maine 7.0 -1.92 3 32
354 Montana 6.8 -2.02 3 32
355 St. Thomas-Minnesota 6.8 -2.03 2 31
356 Northern Illinois 6.8 -2.06 2 28
357 Virginia 6.8 -2.06 2 32
358 Montana State 6.6 -2.13 2 32
359 UMBC 6.4 -2.25 1 29
360 Richmond 6.4 -2.28 1 30
361 Bellarmine 6.3 -2.29 1 29
362 Green Bay 5.9 -2.53 1 31
363 Liberty 5.9 -2.56 0 32
364 Canisius 5.8 -2.60 0 31